358 resultados para Soils -- Catalonia -- Alt Empordà


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The increasing interest aroused by more advanced forecasting techniques, together with the requirement for more accurate forecasts of tourismdemand at the destination level due to the constant growth of world tourism, has lead us to evaluate the forecasting performance of neural modelling relative to that of time seriesmethods at a regional level. Seasonality and volatility are important features of tourism data, which makes it a particularly favourable context in which to compare the forecasting performance of linear models to that of nonlinear alternative approaches. Pre-processed official statistical data of overnight stays and tourist arrivals fromall the different countries of origin to Catalonia from 2001 to 2009 is used in the study. When comparing the forecasting accuracy of the different techniques for different time horizons, autoregressive integrated moving average models outperform self-exciting threshold autoregressions and artificial neural network models, especially for shorter horizons. These results suggest that the there is a trade-off between the degree of pre-processing and the accuracy of the forecasts obtained with neural networks, which are more suitable in the presence of nonlinearity in the data. In spite of the significant differences between countries, which can be explained by different patterns of consumer behaviour,we also find that forecasts of tourist arrivals aremore accurate than forecasts of overnight stays.

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Aquest TPT (Treball Pràctic Tutorat) esdevé la última etapa a realitzar per a la culminació dels estudis d’Enginyer Tècnic Forestal (especialitat en explotacions forestals). El TPT en qüestió és un Pla Tècnic de Gestió i Millora Forestal (PTGMF): Instrument d’Ordenació Forestal dels boscos públics i privats de Catalunya, gestionat pel Departament de Medi Ambient i Habitatge de la Generalitat de Catalunya mitjançant el Centre de la Propietat Forestal (CPF), on s’organitzen en el temps i l’espai totes les actuacions que es pretenen dur a terme en una zona d’estudi en concret (que ha de ser sempre major a 25 hectàrees). Un PTGMF consta de 3 parts diferenciades: - El PTGMF, pròpiament dit, com a document principal. - La cartografia (mapes de situació, de gestió i cadastral). - Els annexes (les fitxes descriptives de les unitats d’actuació i els resultats de l’inventari forestal).

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Pig slurry is a valuable nutrient resource but constitutes a waste disposal problem in areas of high animal density. In the semiarid area of Pla d’Urgell, in the Ebro Valley, North-East Spain, irrigated crops receive large amounts of nutrients in the form of manure and mineral fertilizers. We studied the effect of pig slurry and additional side-dress mineral fertilizers on irrigated wheat, Triticum aestivum L., on a coarse loam soil, with high soil P and K levels. Yields increased by 62.3% when using pig slurry. The application of ammonium sulfate nitrate sidedress did not significantly increase wheat production. The average apparent recoveries were higher for potassium (88.7%) than for nitrogen (51.3%) and phosphorus (36.3%). Greater amounts of soil NO3-N were measured over the four growing seasons, which was consistent with the amount of N applied. Macronutrient and micronutrient uptake was significant higher for pig slurry treatments, but only small differences were found between the pig slurry and pig slurry plus ammonium sulfate nitrate treatments. The unfertilized treatment showed significantly lower soil P, K, Cu and Zn content than pig slurry treatments; 34%, 21%, 34%, and 26% respectively. These findings could be used to develop a nutrient management plan based on knowledge of soil test results and crop nutrient removal. This could help to improve the use of pig slurry and mineral fertilizers on limited available land areas and prevent the accumulation of potentially toxic elements in soils and the export of nutrients through agricultural drainage.

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Introduction: Early detection of breast cancer (BC) with mammography may cause overdiagnosis and overtreatment, detecting tumors which would remain undiagnosed during a lifetime. The aims of this study were: first, to model invasive BC incidence trends in Catalonia (Spain) taking into account reproductive and screening data; and second, to quantify the extent of BC overdiagnosis. Methods: We modeled the incidence of invasive BC using a Poisson regression model. Explanatory variables were: age at diagnosis and cohort characteristics (completed fertility rate, percentage of women that use mammography at age 50, and year of birth). This model also was used to estimate the background incidence in the absence of screening. We used a probabilistic model to estimate the expected BC incidence if women in the population used mammography as reported in health surveys. The difference between the observed and expected cumulative incidences provided an estimate of overdiagnosis. Results: Incidence of invasive BC increased, especially in cohorts born from 1940 to 1955. The biggest increase was observed in these cohorts between the ages of 50 to 65 years, where the final BC incidence rates more than doubled the initial ones. Dissemination of mammography was significantly associated with BC incidence and overdiagnosis. Our estimates of overdiagnosis ranged from 0.4% to 46.6%, for women born around 1935 and 1950, respectively. Conclusions: Our results support the existence of overdiagnosis in Catalonia attributed to mammography usage, and the limited malignant potential of some tumors may play an important role. Women should be better informed about this risk. Research should be oriented towards personalized screening and risk assessment tools.

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Background: Breast cancer mortality has experienced important changes over the last century. Breast cancer occurs in the presence of other competing risks which can influence breast cancer incidence and mortality trends. The aim of the present work is: 1) to assess the impact of breast cancer deaths among mortality from all causes in Catalonia (Spain), by age and birth cohort and 2) to estimate the risk of death from other causes than breast cancer, one of the inputs needed to model breast cancer mortality reduction due to screening or therapeutic interventions. Methods: The multi-decrement life table methodology was used. First, all-cause mortality probabilities were obtained by age and cohort. Then mortality probability for breast cancer was subtracted from the all-cause mortality probabilities to obtain cohort life tables for causes other than breast cancer. These life tables, on one hand, provide an estimate of the risk of dying from competing risks, and on the other hand, permit to assess the impact of breast cancer deaths on all-cause mortality using the ratio of the probability of death for causes other than breast cancer by the all-cause probability of death. Results: There was an increasing impact of breast cancer on mortality in the first part of the 20th century, with a peak for cohorts born in 1945–54 in the 40–49 age groups (for which approximately 24% of mortality was due to breast cancer). Even though for cohorts born after 1955 there was only information for women under 50, it is also important to note that the impact of breast cancer on all-cause mortality decreased for those cohorts. Conclusion: We have quantified the effect of removing breast cancer mortality in different age groups and birth cohorts. Our results are consistent with US findings. We also have obtained an estimate of the risk of dying from competing-causes mortality, which will be used in the assessment of the effect of mammography screening on breast cancer mortality in Catalonia.

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Background: In Catalonia (Spain) breast cancer mortality has declined since the beginning of the 1990s. The dissemination of early detection by mammography and the introduction of adjuvant treatments are among the possible causes of this decrease, and both were almost coincident in time. Thus, understanding how these procedures were incorporated into use in the general population and in women diagnosed with breast cancer is very important for assessing their contribution to the reduction in breast cancer mortality. In this work we have modeled the dissemination of periodic mammography and described repeat mammography behavior in Catalonia from 1975 to 2006. Methods: Cross-sectional data from three Catalan Health Surveys for the calendar years 1994, 2002 and 2006 was used. The dissemination of mammography by birth cohort was modeled using a mixed effects model and repeat mammography behavior was described by age and survey year. Results: For women born from 1938 to 1952, mammography clearly had a period effect, meaning that they started to have periodic mammograms at the same calendar years but at different ages. The age at which approximately 50% of the women were receiving periodic mammograms went from 57.8 years of age for women born in 1938–1942 to 37.3 years of age for women born in 1963–1967. Women in all age groups experienced an increase in periodic mammography use over time, although women in the 50–69 age group have experienced the highest increase. Currently, the target population of the Catalan Breast Cancer Screening Program, 50–69 years of age, is the group that self-reports the highest utilization of periodic mammograms, followed by the 40–49 age group. A higher proportion of women of all age groups have annual mammograms rather than biennial or irregular ones. Conclusion: Mammography in Catalonia became more widely implemented during the 1990s. We estimated when cohorts initiated periodic mammograms and how frequently women are receiving them. These two pieces of information will be entered into a cost-effectiveness model of early detection in Catalonia.

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Background: At present, it is complicated to use screening trials to determine the optimal age intervals and periodicities of breast cancer early detection. Mathematical models are an alternative that has been widely used. The aim of this study was to estimate the effect of different breast cancer early detection strategies in Catalonia (Spain), in terms of breast cancer mortality reduction (MR) and years of life gained (YLG), using the stochastic models developed by Lee and Zelen (LZ). Methods: We used the LZ model to estimate the cumulative probability of death for a cohort exposed to different screening strategies after T years of follow-up. We also obtained the cumulative probability of death for a cohort with no screening. These probabilities were used to estimate the possible breast cancer MR and YLG by age, period and cohort of birth. The inputs of the model were: incidence of, mortality from and survival after breast cancer, mortality from other causes, distribution of breast cancer stages at diagnosis and sensitivity of mammography. The outputs were relative breast cancer MR and YLG. Results: Relative breast cancer MR varied from 20% for biennial exams in the 50 to 69 age interval to 30% for annual exams in the 40 to 74 age interval. When strategies differ in periodicity but not in the age interval of exams, biennial screening achieved almost 80% of the annual screening MR. In contrast to MR, the effect on YLG of extending screening from 69 to 74 years of age was smaller than the effect of extending the screening from 50 to 45 or 40 years. Conclusion: In this study we have obtained a measure of the effect of breast cancer screening in terms of mortality and years of life gained. The Lee and Zelen mathematical models have been very useful for assessing the impact of different modalities of early detection on MR and YLG in Catalonia (Spain).

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Background: Noroviruses are one of the principal biological agents associated with the consumption of contaminated food. The objective of this study was to analyse the size and epidemiological characteristics of foodborne outbreaks of gastroenteritis in Catalonia, a region in the northeast of Spain. Methods: In all reported outbreaks of gastroenteritis associated with food consumption, faecal samples of persons affected were analysed for bacteria and viruses and selectively for parasites. Study variables included the setting, the number of people exposed, age, sex, clinical signs and hospital admissions. The study was carried out from October 2004 to October 2005. Results: Of the 181 outbreaks reported during the study period, 72 were caused by Salmonella and 30 by norovirus (NoV); the incidence rates were 14.5 and 9.9 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. In 50% of the NoV outbreaks and 27% of the bacterial outbreaks (p = 0.03) the number of persons affected was ≥10; 66.7% of NoV outbreaks occurred in restaurants; no differences in the attack rates were observed according to the etiology. Hospitalizations were more common (p = 0.03) in bacterial outbreaks (8.6%) than in NoV outbreaks (0.15%). Secondary cases accounted for 4% of cases in NoV outbreaks compared with 0.3% of cases in bacterial outbreaks (p < 0.001) Conclusion: Norovirus outbreaks were larger but less frequent than bacterial outbreaks, suggesting that underreporting is greater for NoV outbreaks. Food handlers should receive training on the transmission of infections in diverse situations. Very strict control measures on handwashing and environmental disinfection should be adopted in closed or partially-closed institutions.

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Background: Breast cancer (BC) causes more deaths than any other cancer among women in Catalonia. Early detection has contributed to the observed decline in BC mortality. However, there is debate on the optimal screening strategy. We performed an economic evaluation of 20 screening strategies taking into account the cost over time of screening and subsequent medical costs, including diagnostic confirmation, initial treatment, follow-up and advanced care. Methods: We used a probabilistic model to estimate the effect and costs over time of each scenario. The effect was measured as years of life (YL), quality-adjusted life years (QALY), and lives extended (LE). Costs of screening and treatment were obtained from the Early Detection Program and hospital databases of the IMAS-Hospital del Mar in Barcelona. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used to compare the relative costs and outcomes of different scenarios. Results: Strategies that start at ages 40 or 45 and end at 69 predominate when the effect is measured as YL or QALYs. Biennial strategies 50-69, 45-69 or annual 45-69, 40-69 and 40-74 were selected as cost-effective for both effect measures (YL or QALYs). The ICER increases considerably when moving from biennial to annual scenarios. Moving from no screening to biennial 50-69 years represented an ICER of 4,469€ per QALY. Conclusions: A reduced number of screening strategies have been selected for consideration by researchers, decision makers and policy planners. Mathematical models are useful to assess the impact and costs of BC screening in a specific geographical area.

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La superfície regada a Catalunya és d'unes 260.00 ha. aproximadament, la qual constitueix el 26 % de l'àrea conreada i el 8 % de l'àrea total; tot i així, en l'àrea regada es produeix, aproximadament, el 68 % del producte final agrari. El pes econòmic de l'àrea regada, la facilitat més gran per introduir noves tecnologies amb una rendibilitat superior i la necessitat que tenen les mateixes tecnologies de disposar d'una informació de base van fer aconsellable iniciar les tasques de cartografia de sòls del Departament d'Agricultura, Ramaderia i Pesca (DARP) en les àrees indicades. La naturalesa del problema plantejat, consistent bàsicament en l'aplicació de tecnologia agrícola (programació de regs, utilització de l'aigua de reg sota condicions de salinitat-sodicitat, plans de fertilització, reg de sòls guixencs, i selecció de sòls segons l'aptitud per als cultius, etc.), i també la grandària de les explotacions i parcel·les, obliguen a disposar d'una acurada informació quantitativa i a plantejar una cartografia de sòls detallada. En aquest treball s'exposen els estudis realitzats fins ara sobre cartografia de sòls i les aplicacions que s'han efectuat o que es preveu que s'efectuaran en un termini curt. Es comenta la problemàtica sorgida en el transcurs de la realització d'aquests treballs cartogràfics, es revisen les aplicacions dutes a terme i les dificultats que s'han trobat en la transmissió i la transferència de la informació generada al sector agrari en general i als tècnics de l'Administració.

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En aquest treball es presenta una proposta per a la denominació d'horitzons genètics dels sòls de Catalunya, recollint especialment el cas de la gènesi dels que s'han desenvolupat sobre materials originaris rics en carbonatats i guix. Al llarg del document s'expliciten els criteris de denominació i les regles nomenclaturals adoptades, com també la utilització dels subíndexs per indicar els processos edafics i les propietats dels horitzons. Finalment, es presenta un conjunt de denominacions per als horitzons més freqüentment trobats a Catalunya.

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Es va realitzar una sèrie d'assaigs d'adobat nitrogenat en diferents comarques de la Catalunya interior. En el conjunt d'aquests assaigs es varen comprovar tres mètodes diferents que es va considerar que eren prometedors per tal de millorar la fertilització nitrogenada. Els mètodes assajats eren el mètode del balanç de nitrogen, el del nitrogen mineral i el del contingut de nitrats al suc de la base de les tiges (CNSBT). Els sòls on es van realitzar els assaigs no presentaven cap limitació especial per al cultiu del blat i eren profunds, ben drenats, no salins i de textura mitjana; l'única excepció era un assaig sobre sòl moderadament profund. Per tant, i també pel que fa a la fertilitat química, els sòls s'han de considerar d'un potencial productiu mitjàalt. El mètode del balanç de nitrogen s'ha mostrat com a molt prometedor de cara a definir si cal la magnitud de l'adobat de cobertora per a les condicions estudiades. El mètode de nitrogen mineral també ha estat efectiu en aquest sentit, mentre que el del CNSBT s'ha revelat com a no aplicable en les condicions assajades, on en molts casos l'aigua és també factor limitant. Al llarg dels assaigs s'han identificat un seguit de factors que impedeixen ajustar la fertilitat nitrogenada. Entre aquests cal esmentar la mala estimació de la producció objectiu, la dificultat de predir el N disponible a partir dels adobs orgànics, dificultats de mostreig pel nitrogen nítric i l'efecte crític que té l'erràtica disponibilitat d'aigua que complica molt l'estratègia de fertilització nitrogenada a adoptar.

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Es va avaluar el contingut del sòl en Mn, Cu, Zn, Ni i Cd fent una extracció amb DTPA, segons el mètode de Lindsay i Norvell (1969). Les mostres analitzades procedien de parcel·les agrícoles d'arreu de Catalunya, conservades al Banc de Mostres de Sòls del Mapa de Sòls de Catalunya del DARP. Els resultats es van agrupar per sistemes agrícoles en funció de l'origen de les mostres, ja que dins de cada un es pot assumir una reducció important en l'interval de variació de diferents factors. Es va realitzar una comparació estadística entre els valors mitjans dels diferents sistemes agrícoles, entre els valors mitjans de les dues profunditats de sòl considerades, i una interpretació agronòmica. Els resultats van indicar que els sòls procedents d'horticultura intensiva del Maresme són els que tenen continguts disponibles més elevats dels metalls considerats. D'altra banda, es fa palès que els valors estan condicionats tant pel material originari del sòl com per l'acció antròpica. Per al Cu i el Zn en les mostres de sòls del Maresme els continguts trobats estan molt per sobre dels mínims considerats com a agronòmicament satisfactoris.