Educational expansion, intergenerational mobility and over-education

[eng] There is a vast literature on intergenerational mobility in sociology and economics. Similar interest has emerged for the phenomenon of over-education in both disciplines. There are no studies, however, linking these two research lines. We study the relationship between social mobility and over-education in a context of educational expansion. Our framework allows for the evaluation of several policies, including those affecting social segregation, early intervention programs and the power of unions. Results show the evolution of social mobility, over-education, income inequality and equality of opportunity under each scenario.

Interiority of the optimal population growth rate with endogenous fertility

This paper analyzes the issue of the interiority of the optimal population growth rate in a two-period overlapping generations model with endogenous fertility. Using Cobb-Douglas utility and production functions, we show that the introduction of a cost of raising children allows for the possibility of the existence of an interior global maximum in the planner¿s problem, contrary to the exogenous fertility case

La teoría de la detección de señales en tareas y reconocimiento de palabras de clase cerrada

Esta investigación representa una actualización y extensión de los modelos matemáticos aplicados por Wickelgren y Norman (1966). Tal modelación ha partido del supuesto teórico de continuidad de la fuerza de la huella asi como del continuo de estados de respuesta de la TDS (teoria de la detección de señales). Si partimos de tales modelos, de la abundancia de resultados experimentales en este sentido y de la analogia entre el decaimiento geométrico y el aritmético, podemos estimar la función matemitica que mejor describe y predice 10s resultados. La aplicación se ha concretado en palabras de clase cerrada o palabras funcionales (pronombres, preposiciones, etc.) considerando L-K como variable independiente (L=longitud de la lista, K=posiciÓn serial). Los resultados confirman que el modelo describe de una forma precisa los datos obtenidos y la utilidad para este propósito de las medidas d', beta y las curvas MOC (característica operativa de la memoria).

Análisis evaluativo de las características teórico-empíricas de los sistemas de ecuaciones estructurales

El empleo generalizado de los modelos de ecuaciones estructurales ha llevado al planteamiento de distintas estrategias de trabajo en el ámbito de los diseños no experimentales. Es por ello que este tipo de análisis estadístico está relacionado en su propia configuración con aspectos de carácter estrictamente metodológico. Ello no es en sí mismo una novedad, puesto que técnicas como el Anova presentan esa misma configuración. Sin embargo, no puede pensarse en los sistemas de ecuaciones estructurales en los mismos términos que el resto de pruebas estadísticas. De ahí que en este articulo se pretenda efectuar un análisis de la técnica en cuestión desde una perspectiva teórica y empírica para mostrar algunos de los elementos criticos de este tipo de tratamiento de datos. Así se efectua una revisión del proceso de modelización estadística estructural, comentando la posibilidad de interpretación causal a partir de la estimación de parametros, su adecuación en diseños experimentales y, de forma general, una evaluación de los procedimientos de ajuste global de los datos obtenidos

Space Competition and Time Delays in Human Range Expansions. Application to the Neolithic Transition

Space competition effects are well-known in many microbiological and ecological systems. Here we analyze such an effectin human populations. The Neolithic transition (change from foraging to farming) was mainly the outcome of a demographic process that spread gradually throughout Europe from the Near East. In Northern Europe, archaeological data show a slowdown on the Neolithic rate of spread that can be related to a high indigenous (Mesolithic) population density hindering the advance as a result of the space competition between the two populations. We measure this slowdown from a database of 902 Early Neolithic sites and develop a time-delayed reaction-diffusion model with space competition between Neolithic and Mesolithic populations, to predict the observed speeds. The comparison of the predicted speed with the observations and with a previous non-delayed model show that both effects, the time delay effect due to the generation lag and the space competition between populations, are crucial in order to understand the observations

Migration Determinants at a Local Level

This paper is about determinants of migration at a local level. We use data from Catalan municipalities in order to understand what explains migration patterns trying to identify whether they are main explained by amenities or economic characteristics. We distinguish three typologies of migration in terms of distance travelled: short-distance, short-medium-distance and medium-distance and we hypothesize whether migration determinants vary across these groups. Our results show that, effectively, there are some noticeable differences, suggest that spatial issues must be taken into account and provide some insights for future research. Keywords: population dynamics, spatial econometrics. JEL codes: C21, R0, R23

Sistema de evaluación para la toma decisión en la modificación de una estación de tren via simulación informática

Proyecto centrado en la simulación informática de modelos para la creación y modificaciones de una línea de ferrocarriles (tanto de paradas, intercambiadores como las infraestructura que los componen). Se utiliza Anylogic ya que cumple con los requisitos que se necesitan para la realización del modelo en realización prestaciones-precio, además, nos permite la importación y exportación de los datos para la generación de las entradas y estudio de las salidas.

Modelización matemática

La modelización matemática pretende describir la realidad en términos matemáticos,una tarea difícil y que, sin embargo,está jalonada de éxitos sorprendentes. Elproceso de modelización matemática puede esquematizarse en el cuadro de la figura.A partir de un problema dado, de Índole físi ca, tecnológica, biológica. económica.ete., la primera etapa consiste en la formulación matemática del problema. Suobjetivo es asocia rle un modelo matemático que lo describa. Ello obliga a teneren cuenta únicamente una parte de las características que in tervienen en el problemainicial y prescindir de otras que se consideran accesorias o incluso irrclevantespara su resolución. Hay que hacer hipótesis sobre la influencia de los diferentesfactores que intervienen . Son elecciones difíciles y susceptibles de ser modificadasposteriormente. Para obtener el modelo matemático tenemos que conseguir traduciral lenguaje matemático las características seleccionadas. En el modelo matemáticoéstas apareceran en la forma de variables, funciones, ecuaciones, ete. A continuacióndebemos resolver el problema matemático resultante para obtener resultados concretos,normalmente numéricos.

La trampa de Rousseau. O com es pot saltar del convencionalisme al civisme

En aquest text es presenta una lectura de Rousseau des de la seva dimensió política i sota una perspectiva d’actualitat. Amb una aproximació a la concepció i l’argumentació dels elements que conformen el projecte polític en l’obra El contracte social —això és, justícia, moral i raó— les autores pensen a fons la modernitat des de l’assumpció del convencionalisme cívic liberal. L’espai públic és, doncs, l’eix que permet desgranar els arguments que condicionen un ésser humà que es desplega molt més enllà de la naturalesa i que donen sentit a una educació conscient d’una de les seves finalitats intrínseques més rellevants.

Spreading due to heterogeneity in two-phase flow

Postprint (published version)

Prediction of Childhood Asthma Using Conditional Probability and Discrete Event Simulation

Abstract: Asthma prevalence in children and adolescents in Spain is 10-17%. It is the most common chronic illness during childhood. Prevalence has been increasing over the last 40 years and there is considerable evidence that, among other factors, continued exposure to cigarette smoke results in asthma in children. No statistical or simulation model exist to forecast the evolution of childhood asthma in Europe. Such a model needs to incorporate the main risk factors that can be managed by medical authorities, such as tobacco (OR = 1.44), to establish how they affect the present generation of children. A simulation model using conditional probability and discrete event simulation for childhood asthma was developed and validated by simulating realistic scenario. The parameters used for the model (input data) were those found in the bibliography, especially those related to the incidence of smoking in Spain. We also used data from a panel of experts from the Hospital del Mar (Barcelona) related to actual evolution and asthma phenotypes. The results obtained from the simulation established a threshold of a 15-20% smoking population for a reduction in the prevalence of asthma. This is still far from the current level in Spain, where 24% of people smoke. We conclude that more effort must be made to combat smoking and other childhood asthma risk factors, in order to significantly reduce the number of cases. Once completed, this simulation methodology can realistically be used to forecast the evolution of childhood asthma as a function of variation in different risk factors.

Progress in front propagation research

We review the progress in the field of front propagation in recent years. We survey many physical, biophysical and cross-disciplinary applications, including reduced-variable models of combustion flames, Reid's paradox of rapid forest range expansions, the European colonization of North America during the 19th century, the Neolithic transition in Europe from 13 000 to 5000 years ago, the description of subsistence boundaries, the formation of cultural boundaries, the spread of genetic mutations, theory and experiments on virus infections, models of cancer tumors, etc. Recent theoretical advances are unified in a single framework, encompassing very diverse systems such as those with biased random walks, distributed delays, sequential reaction and dispersion, cohabitation models, age structure and systems with several interacting species. Directions for future progress are outlined

Modeling and control of electromechanical systems

The material presented in the these notes covers the sessions Modelling of electromechanical systems, Passive control theory I and Passive control theory II of the II EURON/GEOPLEX Summer School on Modelling and Control of Complex Dynamical Systems.We start with a general description of what an electromechanical system is from a network modelling point of view. Next, a general formulation in terms of PHDS is introduced, and some of the previous electromechanical systems are rewritten in this formalism. Power converters, which are variable structure systems (VSS), can also be given a PHDS form.We conclude the modelling part of these lectures with a rather complex example, showing the interconnection of subsystems from several domains, namely an arrangement to temporally store the surplus energy in a section of a metropolitan transportation system based on dc motor vehicles, using either arrays of supercapacitors or an electric poweredflywheel. The second part of the lectures addresses control of PHD systems. We first present the idea of control as power connection of a plant and a controller. Next we discuss how to circumvent this obstacle and present the basic ideas of Interconnection and Damping Assignment (IDA) passivity-based control of PHD systems.