Occupational Musculoskeletal Disorders in Europe: Impact, Risk factors and Preventive Regulations

The aim of this article is to characterize musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) in EU working population according to available Eurostat data, to identify relevant risk factors and to refer existing legislation and standards to prevent MSDs. The following questions will be answered: How often do MSDs occur in EU? What are the risk factors? Do legislation and standards exist to prevent these disorders?

Synopsis of global scenario and forecasting surveys scenarios in risk habitat megacity (RHM)

The main objective of the paper is to provide a synopsis of global scenario and forecasting surveys. First, the paper will give an overview on existing global scenario and forecasting surveys and their specific scenario philosophies and storylines. Second, the major driving forces that shape and characterise the different scenarios will be identified. The scenario analysis has been provided for the research project Risk Habitat Megacity (HRM) that aims at developing strategies for sustainable development in megacities and urban agglomerations. The analysis of international scenario surveys is an essential component within RHM. The scenario analysis will be the basis and source for the development of own RHM-framework scenarios and for defining specific driving forces of change.

Evaluation of the potential of translocated common cockle for ecological risk assessment studies: bioaccumulation and biomarkers test

Thesis submitted to the Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia to obtain the Master’s degree in Environmental Engineering, profile in Ecological Engineering

The simple economics of risk-sharing agreements between the NHS and the pharmaceutical industry

The Janssen-Cilag proposal for a risk-sharing agreement regarding bortezomib received a welcome signal from NICE. The Office of Fair Trading report included risk-sharing agreements as an available tool for the National Health Service. Nonetheless, recent discussions have somewhat neglected the economic fundamentals underlying risk-sharing agreements. We argue here that risk-sharing agreements, although attractive due to the principle of paying by results, also entail risks. Too many patients may be put under treatment even with a low success probability. Prices are likely to be adjusted upward, in anticipation of future risk-sharing agreements between the pharmaceutical company and the third-party payer. An available instrument is a verification cost per patient treated, which allows obtaining the first-best allocation of patients to the new treatment, under the risk sharing agreement. Overall, the welfare effects of risk-sharing agreements are ambiguous, and care must be taken with their use.

Risk management of new product development process

Dissertation submitted to Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia of Universidade Nova de Lisboa for the achievement of Integrated Master´s degree in Industrial Management Engineering

Congruences on monoids of transformations preserving the orientation on a finite chain

Journal of Algebra, 321 (2009), p. 743–757

Development of web services to help risk management of construction projects

Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores

Geospatial database generation from digital newspapers: use case for risk and disaster domains.

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Epidemiologia e Saúde Públi

RESUMO - Visa-se explicitar a origem, a razão de ser, a natureza e o que se perspectiva da relação entre a Epidemiologia e a Saúde Pública, através de uma leitura histórica. As duas entidades foram-se definindo e fazendo sentido em conjunto, com sucessos e, também, muita polémica, desde há milénios e até meados do século XIX. Nesta época, uma combinação de circunstâncias proporcionou-lhes uma explosão de crescimento e de definição, de par com várias outras áreas disciplinares. Desde o antigo relato bíblico de como boa alimentação explica o bom estado de saúde, até à valorização científica das condicionantes sociais e económicas da saúde por Marmot e Rose, passando por «miasmas» causando doença e pela deslocação do conceito de risco individual de saúde para o de risco populacional — com as implicações inerentes a essa importante inovação —, este percurso permite identificar as fundações de tão notável simbiose, explicar o estado presente, vê-la evoluir e achar nela o significado do património hoje disponível, e o que ele promete. Algumas discrepâncias quanto à designação dos seus métodos, bem como a contínua discussão quanto à sua verdadeira natureza e orientação futura, atestam a juventude da Epidemiologia como disciplina científica. Entretanto, a Saúde Pública esforça-se por manter a sua essência integradora, à medida que outras disciplinas contribuem mais para que concretize os seus objectivos; é desafiada pela exposição das populações, em larga escala, a factores de doença, por vezes de intensidade mínima, e pelo surgimento de novas doenças ou a ampliação do volume de outras na população, muitas vezes não respeitando fronteiras. A história dessa simbiose mostra bem que conhecer o modo como uma doença se origina permite controlá-la na população, ou mesmo evitá-la, e que é grande o número de problemas que, em sinergia, as duas disciplinas podem clarificar e resolver. Assim, a Epidemiologia oferece à Saúde Pública explicações (olhos, inteligência e linguagem) para os problemas de saúde das populações — o que permite à segunda saber sobre o quê agir —, cenários de possível evolução dos problemas — o que permite aos decisores optarem em função de diferentes pressupostos, sobre como agir — e capacidade de juízo sobre os resultados das acções empreendidas, em simultâneo com a elevação do nível de consciência, de compreensão e de intervenção quanto ao que se está a passar, tanto pelos profissionais, como pela população — transferência do conhecimento. Facilmente se antecipa que a relação entre as duas disciplinas irá evoluir para maior complexidade e, também, solicitação e exigência da Saúde Pública sobre a Epidemiologia, que terá que corresponder em utilidade. E esta, continuando a subespecializar-se e a sofisticar-se tanto nos métodos, como nos enfoques sobre categorias específicas de factores, precisará de progredir muito na gestão da sua consistência enquanto corpo de conhecimento integrado e com peculiaridades metodológicas, à semelhança da Saúde Pública.O modo como evoluirá a relação entre ambas depende ainda da evolução dos próprios problemas, conceitos, teorias e soluções relacionados com a saúde das populações, e ainda do desenvolvimento das demais disciplinas chamadas à integração por ambas, para enfrentarem esses desafios. Nomeadamente, a Epidemiologia terá que gerir com perícia dificuldades já identificadas, como: incorporar métodos qualitativos de investigação na sua fortíssima tradição e cultura quantitativa; operacionalizar satisfatoriamente o conceito de «risco atribuível na população», ao serviço da definição de prioridades de acção dirigida às necessidades de saúde; aperfeiçoar modelos de interpretação causal que respeitem a multicausalidade; aproveitar as técnicas estatísticas de análise multivariada, sem se perder na abstracção dos seus modelos; desenvolver a investigação nas dimensões positivas de saúde, além da doença, para contribuir melhor para a realização da Saúde Pública, sua principal cliente e fornecedora de oportunidades.--------------------------ABSTRACT - The aim of the author is to explicit the origin, the rationale, the nature and the prospects of the relationship between Epidemiology and Public health, through an historic approach. The two entities have been defining and making sense together, by achieving successes, but also with much controversy, since millennia ago, until mid XIX century. A combination of circumstances provided them the opportunity for an explosion of growth and definition, then, alongside several other disciplines. From the ancient biblical report on how good food explains good health, up to the scientific appreciation of both social and economical constraints to health by Marmot and Rose, passing through «miasma» causing disease and through displacing from individual health risk to population risk — with the inherent implications of that important innovation —, this route allows the identification of the foundations of such remarkable symbiosis, the explanation of current status, to see its evolution and find in it the meaning of today’s heritage and what it promises. Some discrepancies on the name of its methods, as well as the continuing discussion about its true nature and future orientation, attest Epidemiology’s youth as a scientific discipline. Meanwhile, Public Health strives to keep its integrating essence, while other disciplines increasingly contribute so that it achieves its objectives; it is challenged by large scale population exposure to disease factors, sometimes with a minimum intensity, and by new diseases emerging in the population or by old ones getting amplified, often not respecting regions boundaries. The history of such a symbiosis shows that knowing the way a disease is generated allows to control it in the population, or even to avoid it, and that the number of problems that the two disciplines are able to clarify and solve together in synergy is considerable. Therefore, Epidemiology offers Public Health explanations (eyes, intelligence and language) for populations’s health problems — allowing that the latter knows on what to act —, scenarios on how problems may tend to evolve — allowing decision-makers to make their choices as a function of different assumptions, on how to act — and judgement capabilities on the results of already undertaken actions, accompanied by the raising of conscience level, understanding and intervention of what is going on by both professionals and the population – knowledge transfer. It is easy to anticipate that the relationship between both disciplines will develop towards increasing complexity and demand from Public Health to Epidemiology, and that this one will have to correspond in usefulness. And the latter, while continuing its subspecialisation and sophistication either in its methods, or in its approaches to specific factor categories, will need to progress in managing its consistency as an integrated body of knowledge having methodological peculiarities, similarly to Public Health. Further, the way the relationship between both will evolve depends on the evolution of the problems themselves, of the concepts, theories and solutions related to the health of populations, and on the development of remaining disciplines called to integration by both, in other to face those problems. Namely, Epidemiology will have to manage with expertise some already known difficulties, as: the inclusion of qualitative research methods in its very strong quantitative tradition and culture; to grant satisfactory operation to the «population attributable risk» concept, in support to the definition of action priorities envisaging health needs; to improve causal interpretation models that comply with multicausality; to take advantage of multivariate statistical techniques, without get

A solidão na gravidez : determinantes da solidão e seu impacto na ligação materno-fetal

RESUMO - O sentimento de solidão tem vindo a tornar-se cada vez mais frequente entre os indivíduos, fruto do desenvolvimento da sociedade moderna. Especificamente, ocorrendo durante a gravidez, situação que produz na mulher importantes alterações não só físicas, como também psicológicas, familiares e sociais, deve passar a ser alvo de uma atenção especial. De um ponto de vista da Saúde Mental, o desenvolvimento saudável da gravidez exige uma rede de suporte social e uma relação conjugal satisfatórias. Tais elementos devem ser considerados como factores protectores do aparecimento de sentimentos de solidão. Pelo contrário, um baixo sentido de coerência e o aparecimento de depressão durante a gravidez são factores de risco que, inevitavelmente, irão interferir na qualidade da ligação materno-fetal, com repercussões no desenvolvimento psico-social do futuro ser humano. Este protocolo de projecto propõe um estudo transversal, exploratório e de natureza quantitativa. Engloba dois sub-estudos, focando os determinantes da solidão e o impacto desta na ligação materno-fetal, e pretende identificar associações pertinentes entre as várias dimensões envolvidas. A amostra em estudo será constituída por 202 grávidas que frequentam o Centro de Saúde de Torres Vedras. As variáveis correspondentes serão operacionalizadas através de questionários estandardizados e validados para a população portuguesa, sendo eles a Escala de Solidão da UCLA, a Escala de Satisfação com o Suporte Social, a Escala de Avaliação de Áreas da Vida Conjugal, a Escala de Ligação Materno-Fetal, a Escala de Depressão Pós-Parto de Edimburgo e o Questionário de Orientação para Viver. Espera-se identificar e caracterizar as possíveis associações entre a solidão e a satisfação com o suporte social, a satisfação conjugal, a depressão durante a gravidez e o sentido de coerência, que a explicarão, e a ligação materno-fetal, que será influenciada por ela. Os questionários serão respondidos pelas grávidas seleccionadas de acordo com critérios de inclusão e exclusão. Além das descrições estatísticas iniciais, as análises de associação serão realizadas em função das distribuições encontradas, e tendo em conta dimensões do contexto sociodemográfico. Os resultados da investigação serão divulgados num relatório final. ----------------------- ABSTRACT - The feeling of loneliness is increasing as a result of developments in modern society. Specifically occurring during pregnancy, when important changes - physical, psychological and related to the family structure and interaction with society - take place, special attention should be devoted. To maintain good mental health during pregnancy it is important to have good social support and harmonious conjugal relations, both considered as factors preventing the emergence of feelings of loneliness. By contrast low sense of coherence and depression during the pregnancy are risk factors which, inevitably, will affect the quality of the maternal-fetal attachment and have repercussions on the psycho-social development of the future individual. This protocol of draft proposes a transversal exploratory study of a quantitative nature on two sub-studies, exploring the determinants of loneliness and its impact on the maternal-fetal attachment, which intends to identify some correlations between parameters. The study sample is made up of 202 pregnant women who are patients at the Health Centre of the city of Torres Vedras. They will be selected according to criteria of inclusion and exclusion. All variables will be measured through standardized and validated surveys illustrating the Portuguese population, like the Scale of Loneliness of the UCLA, Scale of Satisfaction with the Social Support, Scale of Evaluation of Areas of the Conjugal Life, Maternal-Fetal Attachment Scale, Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale, and Orientation To Life Questionnaire. We expect to identify correlations between loneliness and satisfaction with social support and conjugal relations, depression during pregnancy and sense of coherence, which will explain it, and the maternal-fetal attachment, which will influence it. Beyond the initial statistical descriptions, the data analysis will be executed according to the distributions found and will be carried taking into account the socio-demographic context. The results of the survey will be published in a final report.

Development and validation of a risk model for prediction of hazardous alcohol consumption in general practice attendees : the PredictAL study

Background: Little is known about the risk of progression to hazardous alcohol use in people currently drinking at safe limits. We aimed to develop a prediction model (predictAL) for the development of hazardous drinking in safe drinkers. Methods: A prospective cohort study of adult general practice attendees in six European countries and Chile followed up over 6 months. We recruited 10,045 attendees between April 2003 to February 2005. 6193 European and 2462 Chilean attendees recorded AUDIT scores below 8 in men and 5 in women at recruitment and were used in modelling risk. 38 risk factors were measured to construct a risk model for the development of hazardous drinking using stepwise logistic regression. The model was corrected for over fitting and tested in an external population. The main outcome was hazardous drinking defined by an AUDIT score >= 8 in men and >= 5 in women. Results: 69.0% of attendees were recruited, of whom 89.5% participated again after six months. The risk factors in the final predictAL model were sex, age, country, baseline AUDIT score, panic syndrome and lifetime alcohol problem. The predictAL model's average c-index across all six European countries was 0.839 (95% CI 0.805, 0.873). The Hedge's g effect size for the difference in log odds of predicted probability between safe drinkers in Europe who subsequently developed hazardous alcohol use and those who did not was 1.38 (95% CI 1.25, 1.51). External validation of the algorithm in Chilean safe drinkers resulted in a c-index of 0.781 (95% CI 0.717, 0.846) and Hedge's g of 0.68 (95% CI 0.57, 0.78). Conclusions: The predictAL risk model for development of hazardous consumption in safe drinkers compares favourably with risk algorithms for disorders in other medical settings and can be a useful first step in prevention of alcohol misuse.

Risk-based decision support system for life cycle management of industrials plants

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores

Integration of sediment contamination with multi–biomarker responses in a novel bioindicator candidate (Sepia officinalis) for risk assessment in impacted estuaries

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia do Ambiente

GIS capacity building for risk management to help developing countries:Case of climate change problem in Amhara rural region (Ethiopia)

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Epidemiological studies of Streptococcus pneumoniae carriage in the post-vaccination era among two risk groups: children and the elderly

Dissertation presented to obtain the Ph.D. degree in Biology/ Molecular Biology