Question order and context effects on multi-items scales questions

Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação

Vulnerability of mediterranean watersheds to climate change

Desertification is a critical issue for Mediterranean drylands. Climate change is expected to aggravate its extension and severity by reinforcing the biophysical driving forces behind desertification processes: hydrology, vegetation cover and soil erosion. The main objective of this thesis is to assess the vulnerability of Mediterranean watersheds to climate change, by estimating impacts on desertification drivers and the watersheds’ resilience to them. To achieve this objective, a modeling framework capable of analyzing the processes linking climate and the main drivers is developed. The framework couples different models adapted to different spatial and temporal scales. A new model for the event scale is developed, the MEFIDIS model, with a focus on the particular processes governing Mediterranean watersheds. Model results are compared with desertification thresholds to estimate resilience. This methodology is applied to two contrasting study areas: the Guadiana and the Tejo, which currently present a semi-arid and humid climate. The main conclusions taken from this work can be summarized as follows: • hydrological processes show a high sensitivity to climate change, leading to a significant decrease in runoff and an increase in temporal variability; • vegetation processes appear to be less sensitive, with negative impacts for agricultural species and forests, and positive impacts for Mediterranean species; • changes to soil erosion processes appear to depend on the balance between changes to surface runoff and vegetation cover, itself governed by relationship between changes to temperature and rainfall; • as the magnitude of changes to climate increases, desertification thresholds are surpassed in a sequential way, starting with the watersheds’ ability to sustain current water demands and followed by the vegetation support capacity; • the most important thresholds appear to be a temperature increase of +3.5 to +4.5 ºC and a rainfall decrease of -10 to -20 %; • rainfall changes beyond this threshold could lead to severe water stress occurring even if current water uses are moderated, with droughts occurring in 1 out of 4 years; • temperature changes beyond this threshold could lead to a decrease in agricultural yield accompanied by an increase in soil erosion for croplands; • combined changes of temperature and rainfall beyond the thresholds could shift both systems towards a more arid state, leading to severe water stresses and significant changes to the support capacity for current agriculture and natural vegetation in both study areas.

Estudo Estratigráfico e Paleontológico do Jurássico do Algarve Ocidental

Algarve Province, Southern Portugal, corresponds in part to a meso-cenozoic basin running along the coast from Cabo S. Vicente to beyond Spanish border. Structurally it is a big monocline plunging southwards much deformed mainly by two East-West longitudinal flexures. Lithostratigraphical and chronostratigraphical studies dealt specially with Jurassic formations. This and the geological mapping of the post-Hercynian sedimentary formations allow us to define the following units: Triassic-Lower Liassic Arenitos de Silves (Silves sandstones sensu P. Choffat, pro parte) - At their base the Silves sandstones (0-150m) are represented mainly by cross-bedded red sandstones. This unit is Upper Triassic (Keuper) in age, on the evidence of some Brachiopoda. Complexo margo-carbonatado de Silves (Silves marl-limestone complex=Silves sandstones sensu P. Choffat, pro parte) (80-200m) overlies the preceding, it may be reported to the Upper Triassic-Hettangian. It consists of a thick pelite-marl-dolomite-limestone series with many intercalations of greenstones. Since no fossils were found it is not possible to conclude whether it is still Hettangian or if it does correspond, in the whole or in part, already to the Sinemurian. Liassic Dolomitos e calcários dolomíticos de Espiche (Espiche dolomite-rocks and dolomitic-limestones) - The usually massive and finely crystalline or saccharoidal dolomites and dolomitic-limestones are the toughest strata of the Algarve margin giving rise to several hills. Its thickness attains in certain points 60 metres at least. Based on geometry and on lithological similarities with the carbonated complex of the northern basin of Tagus river (Peniche, São Pedro de Muel, Quiaios), this formation can be accepted as Sinemurian in age. As it happens with the carbonated complex, here also the first dolomite beds are non-isochronal throughout the region; upper time-limit of the dolomitic facies is either Lower Carixian, Lower Toarcian or even Lower Dogger. The dolomitization is secondary but not much later than sedimentation. However, between Cabo S. Vicente-Vila do Bispo there is evidence of an even later secondary dolomitization related to the regional fault complex. Calcário dolomítico com nódulos de silex da praia de Belixe (Belixe beach dolomitic-limestone with silex nodules) (50-55m) - Ascribed to Lower or Middle Carixian on the basis of Platypleuroceras sp., Metaderoceras sp. nov. and M. gr. Venarense. Calcário cristalino compacto com Protogrammoceras, Fuciniceras e ? Argutarpites de Belixe (Belixe compact crystalline limestone with Protogrammoceras, Fuciniceras and ? Argutarpites) (30m) - Ascribed to Lower Domerian. Middle and Upper Domerian are indicated but by a single specimen of ? Argutarpites. Calcários margosos e margas com Dactylioceras semicelatum e Harpoceratídeos de Armação Nova (Armação Nova marly limestones and marls with D. semicelatum and Harpoceratidae) (25m) -Ascribed to Lower Toarcian. Middle and Upper Toarcian formations are not known in the Algarve. Dogger Calcários oolíticos, c. corálicos, c. pisolíticos, c. calciclásticos, c. dolomíticos e dolomitos de Almadena (Almadena oolitic-limestones, coral-reef-limestones, pisolite-limestones, limeclastic-limestones, dolomitic-limestones and dolomite-rocks) (more than 50 metres), with lagoonal facies. Ascribed to Aalenian-Bathonian-? Callovian. Margas acinzentadas e calcários detríticos com Zoophycos da praia de Mareta (Mareta beach greyish marls and detritical limestones with Zoophycos) (40m) - Pelagic transreef facies with Upper Bajocian and Bathonian ammonites. Calcários margosos e margas da praia de Mareta (Mareta beach pelagic marly-limestones and marls) (110m) - Ascribed to the Callovian on its ammonites. Malm Near Cabo S. Vicente and Sagres the first Upper Jurassic level consists of a yellowish-brown nodular, compact, locally phosphated and ferruginous, sometimes conglomeratic, marly limestone (0,35-1,50m) containing a rich macrofauna, which includes: 1) Callovian forms unknown at Lower Oxfordian; 2) Upper Callovian forms that still survived in Lower and Middle Oxfordian; 3) Lower Oxfordian forms (Mariae and Cordatum Zones); 4) Lower and Middle Oxfordian forms (Mariae to Plicatilis Zone); 5) Middle Oxfordian forms (plicatilis Zone), and some ones appearing in Middle Oxfordian. This condensed deposit is therefore dated from Middle Oxfordian (Plicatilis Zone). The other Upper Jurassic lithostratigraphical units were also mapped but their detailed study is not presented in this work. Correlations between lithostratigraphical and chronostratigraphical scales from P. Choffat, J. Pratsch, C. Palain and from the author are stated. Further correlations are attempted between zonc scales of Carixian-Lower Toarcian and Upper Bajocian-Middle Oxfordian of France, Spain (Asturias, Iberian and Betic Chains), Argel (Orania) and Portugal (northern Tagus basin and Algarve). The study of pyritous fossil assemblages common in Upper Bathonian-Lower Callovian marly levels of the praia da Mareta seems to suggest that these sediments were deposited in a bay or in an almost closed coastal re-entrance virtually without deep water circulation. Although such conditions may occur at any depth one may suppose that these ones actually correspond to an infralittoral neritic environment. The thaphocoenosis collected there are almost entirely composed of nektonic (ammonites, Belemnites) and planktonic (Bositra) faunas. The sedentary (crinoids, brachiopods) or free (sea-urchins, gastropods) epibenthonic forms are very scarce; endobenthonic forms are not known. The palaeontological study of all Nautiloids and Ammonoids of the Liassic and Dogger is presented (except Kosmoceratidae and Perisphinctaceae). Among the thirty one taxa dealt with, one is new (Metaderoceras sp. nov.) and the great majority of the others has been identified for the first time in Algarve. Some others have never been reported before in Portuguese formations. The evolution, during Jurassic times, of the sedimentary basins of the Portuguese plate margin is described. The absence of Cephalopods in the very extensive marly and dolomitic limestones, partly marine, suggests that, during Lower Liassic, palaeogeography underwent no great changes. Dolomitic-limestone with silex nodules from Cabo S. Vicente contain the first ammonites recorded at the base of the Middle Liassic. This facies, although very common in Tethys, is unknown north of the Tagus. The faunal assemblage has a mediterranean to submediterranean character. Comparisons between faunal assemblage" from Algarve with the ones known north of the Tagus show that communications between Boreal Europe and Tethys, virtually non-existent during Lower and Middle Carixian, became very easy during Lower Domerian. In earlier Pliensbachian times two distinct seas were adjacent to the Iberian plate. One, an epicontinental sea with a tethyan fauna, extended southwards from the Meseta margin. Another, was a boreal sea; during its transgressive episodes boreal faunas attained into the basin north of the Tagus. During Middle Carixian and Lower Domerian, owing to simultaneous transgressions, these two seas joined together allowing faunal exchanges along the epicontinental areas which limited the emerging hercynian chains belts. During Liassic, the Algarve belonged undoubtedly to the tethyan submediterranean province. The area north of the Tagus, on the contrary, was a complex realm where subboreal and tethyan affinities alternatively prevailed. In the Algarve the first Middle Jurassic deposits do frequently show lateral thickness reductions as well as unconformities contemporaneous with other generalized disturbances on the sedimentation processes in other parts of Europe. By this time, near Sagres, a barrier reef developed separating lagoonal or ante-reef facies from the transreef pelagic zone. The presence of tethyan fauna, the abundance of Phylloceratidae and the absence of boreal forms allow us to consider the Algarve basin as a submediterranean province. The presence of Callovian pelagic fossiliferous formations in the Loulé area shows that during Middle Jurassic the marl-limestone transreef sedimentation was not confined to the western Algarve. They would extend eastwards where they only can be seen in the core of some anticlines. This is due to the progressive sinking of the meso-cenozoic formations as we proceed towards the South of the Sagres-Algoz-Querença flexure. In the whole of the Peninsule, and as for the Middle Callovian, an important regression can be clearly recognized on the evidence of an erosion surface which strikes obliquely the Middle and Upper Callovian strata. The geographic boundaries of the different faunal provinces are not changed by the presence of many Kosmoceratidae in the phosphate nodules since they are but a minority in comparison with the tethyan forms. An abstract model can be constructed showing that in Western Europe the Kosmoceratidae may have migrated South and westwards through a channel of the sea that linked Paris basin to Poitou and Aquitaine. By migrating between the Iberian meseta and the Armorican massif this fauna reached northern Tagus basin at the beginning of Upper Callovian (Athleta Zone); this south and southwest bound migration would have proceeded, allowing such forms to reach Algarve basin only in latest Callovian times (Lamberti Zone). This migration means that during Middle Jurassic a widely spread North Atlantic sea would exist, flooding the western part of Portugal up to the Poitou.

Cartografia geológica do Mesozóico na AML e aspectos relativos à normalização

Cartografia Geológica Aplicada a Áreas Urbanas

Petits mammifères du burdigalien infèrieur (Universidade Católica, Avenida do Uruguay)

Improved bromoform concentration as developped at CEPUNL allowed better recovery of small mammals'teeth. At Universidade Católica and Avenida do Uruguay 19 taxa (and a further one with doubt) were recognized. Some are new for the level and for Tagus basin: Lagopsis cadeoti and Melissiodon dominans (1st reference for the genus); Glirudinus modestus (formerly under another name); Armantomys (1st reference for this level); Peridyromys murinus (referred before under another name); Microdyromys legidensis (1st ref. of gen. and sp. for this level); and Heteroxerus rubricati, formerly reported to other species of the same genus. Both localities share the same position viz marine levels under and above. This allows us to correlate them with NS or N6 Blow's zones. Both are distinctly younger-than glauconite in underlying beds about 21 MY old (K-Ar). Small mammals point out to MN3a Neogene subunit. Fauna is much alike Lower Burdigalian ones in Spain, France, Germany and Austria. Terrestrial, maybe steppe forms predominate. Land environment was open, with scant plant cover but not devoid of trees. Peridyromys murinus numerical importance and other data suggest a not so warm climate in correspondance to a minimum temperature event. This is corroborated by associated marine fish fauna entirely without warm water stenotherm species, and by paleobotanical/palynological data. Results are in close agreement with Central Northern Spain. The localities studied here are even more interesting as direct correlations between marine and continental stratigraphical scales are possible.

Integrated ecological-economic modelling and assessment aproach for coastal ecosystem management

Thesis submitted to the Faculty of Sciences and Technology, New University of Lisbon, for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Sciences

The computational role of short-term plasticity and the balance of excitation and inhibition in neural microcircuits: experimental and theoretical analysis

The computations performed by the brain ultimately rely on the functional connectivity between neurons embedded in complex networks. It is well known that the neuronal connections, the synapses, are plastic, i.e. the contribution of each presynaptic neuron to the firing of a postsynaptic neuron can be independently adjusted. The modulation of effective synaptic strength can occur on time scales that range from tens or hundreds of milliseconds, to tens of minutes or hours, to days, and may involve pre- and/or post-synaptic modifications. The collection of these mechanisms is generally believed to underlie learning and memory and, hence, it is fundamental to understand their consequences in the behavior of neurons.(...)

Gérer la distance: les sauts d'échelle dans les relations sociales

Espaces et sociétés, N.79, modes de vie et société portugaise, pág. 93-106

MASS CONSERVATION ENHANCEMENT OF FREE BOUNDARY FLOWS IN COMPOSITES MANUFACTURING

Undesirable void formation during the injection phase of the liquid composite molding process can be understood as a consequence of the non-uniformity of the flow front progression, caused by the dual porosity of the fiber perform. Therefore the best examination of the void formation physics can be provided by a mesolevel analysis, where the characteristic dimension is given by the fiber tow diameter. In mesolevel analysis, liquid impregnation along two different scales; inside fiber tows and within the spaces between them; must be considered and the coupling between these flow regimes must be addressed. In such case, it is extremely important to account correctly for the surface tension effects, which can be modeled as capillary pressure applied at the flow front. When continues Galerkin method is used, exploiting elements with velocity components and pressure as nodal variables, strong numerical implementation of such boundary conditions leads to ill-posing of the problem, in terms of the weak classical as well as stabilized formulation. As a consequence, there is an error in mass conservation accumulated especially along the free flow front. This article presents a numerical procedure, which was formulated and implemented in the existing Free Boundary Program in order to significantly reduce this error.

Mass Conservation Enhancement of Free Boundary Mesolevel Flows during LCM Processes of Composites Manufacturing

Undesirable void formation during the injection phase of the liquid composite moulding process can be understood as a consequence of the non-uniformity of the flow front progression, caused by the dual porosity of the fibre perform. Therefore the best examination of the void formation physics can be provided by a mesolevel analysis, where the characteristic dimension is given by the fibre tow diameter. In mesolevel analysis, liquid impregnation along two different scales; inside fibre tows and within the open spaces between them; must be considered and the coupling between these flow regimes must be addressed. In such case, it is extremely important to account correctly for the surface tension effects, which can be modelled as capillary pressure applied at the flow front. Numerical implementation of such boundary conditions leads to ill-posing of the problem, in terms of the weak classical as well as stabilized formulation. As a consequence, there is an error in mass conservation accumulated especially along the free flow front. This contribution presents a numerical procedure, which was formulated and implemented in the existing Free Boundary Program in order to significantly reduce this error.

Numerical Method to Predict Void Formation during The Liquid Composite Molding Process

Void formation during the injection phase of the liquid composite molding process can be explained as a consequence of the non-uniformity of the flow front progression. This is due to the dual porosity within the fiber perform (spacing between the fiber tows is much larger than between the fibers within in a tow) and therefore the best explanation can be provided by a mesolevel analysis, where the characteristic dimension is given by the fiber tow diameter of the order of millimeters. In mesolevel analysis, liquid impregnation along two different scales; inside fiber tows and within the open spaces between the fiber tows must be considered and the coupling between the flow regimes must be addressed. In such cases, it is extremely important to account correctly for the surface tension effects, which can be modeled as capillary pressure applied at the flow front. Numerical implementation of such boundary conditions leads to illposing of the problem, in terms of the weak classical as well as stabilized formulation. As a consequence, there is an error in mass conservation accumulated especially along the free flow front. A numerical procedure was formulated and is implemented in an existing Free Boundary Program to reduce this error significantly.

Alterações da substância branca cerebral relacionadas com o envelhecimento

INTRODUÇÃO: Estudos prévios, com técnicas de imagem, documentam de forma consistente a existência de alterações da substância branca cerebral relacionadas com o envelhecimento (ASBRE). Tais alterações poderão ter um papel importante no declínio funcional do idoso, reflectindo‐se sobretudo no desempenho motor e cognitivo, com repercussão evidente na prática clínica. Apesar disso, a caracterização em definitivo dos fenótipos clínicos e da evolução das ASBRE continua por esclarecer, possivelmente pelas dificuldades metodológicas de que se reveste o seu estudo, incluindo: a adequação das baterias neuropsicológicas, a utilização de amostras de doentes com diferentes graus de severidade e de envolvimento regional, as limitações das diferentes escalas e a sensibilidade dos diferentes métodos de imagem. A Ressonância Magnética (RM) de difusão tem revelado grande sensibilidade para as alterações isquémicas, admitindo‐se que poderá permitir uma melhor caracterização das ASBRE e deste modo possibilitar uma correlação mais precisa com as variáveis cognitivas e motoras, permitindo avaliar ainda a substância branca aparentemente normal (SBAN). OBJECTIVOS: Descrever a evolução imagiológica das ASBRE no intervalo de um ano e analisar a sua expressão clínica e impacto funcional; identificar factores preditivos de progressão das ASBRE e de declínio funcional associado. Descrever a expressão clínica e perfil evolutivo dos doentes com ASBRE com envolvimento preferencial da região parieto‐occipital; comparar este grupo de doentes com os doentes com ASBRE, sem envolvimento preferencial desta região. Medir os coeficientes de difusão aparente (CDA), utilizando regiões de interesse (RDI), em diferentes localizações da substância branca, incluindo substância branca lesada e SBAN, descrever sua evolução temporal no intervalo de um ano e determinar suas correlações clínicas e imagiológicas. MÉTODOS: Utilizando uma amostra de conveniência, foram estudados 30 doentes, com mais de 65 anos, sem incapacidade funcional ou com incapacidade mínima, avaliada pela escala de actividades instrumentais da vida diária (IADL), apresentando ASBRE em TC. Foi utilizado um protocolo exaustivo de avaliação clínica (com particular destaque para as funções motoras e cognitivas) e imagiológica, em dois momentos de avaliação separados por um ano de intervalo (t0 e t1). As ASBRE foram avaliadas com escalas visuais, escala ARWMC e escala de Fazekas, e os doentes foram estudados em função do grau de severidade (ligeiro versus moderado a grave na escala de Fazekas) e de um envolvimento preferencial posterior (definido como 2 ou mais pontos na escala ARWMC na região parieto‐occipital por comparação com a região frontal). Os CDA foram avaliados mediante estudo de RDI, na substância branca frontal lesada (SBFL) e SBAN frontal, parieto‐occipital e dos pedúnculos cerebelosos. Para verificar diferenças na ordem de distribuição das variáveis foi usado o teste de Mann‐Whitney e para comparação de proporções, o teste exacto de Fisher. Na comparação entre a avaliação em t0 e t1 foi usado o teste Wilcoxon Signed Ranks na comparação da distribuição da ordem das variáveis e o teste McNemar na análise de frequências. Na análise correlacional foram utilizados os testes de T para variáveis emparelhadas e as correlações entre estas foram efectuadas com o coeficiente de correlação de Spearman ou de Pearson. O trabalho foi aprovado pela Comissão de Ética do hospital onde foi realizado e todos os doentes incluídos assinaram um consentimento informado. RESULTADOS: A idade média da população estudada foi 72,5 anos (17 doentes eram do sexo masculino). No final de um ano, 1 doente tinha falecido e 3 doentes não completaram a avaliação imagiológica. Registou‐se uma progressão significativa das ASBRE segundo a escala ARWMC (t0: 8,37 / t1: 9,65 ; p<0,001). Na análise funcional, motora e cognitiva, não houve um agravamento significativo. Avaliando os doentes em t0 e t1 segundo o grau de severidade das ASBRE, o grupo com atingimento moderado a grave (ASBRE2) comparado com o grupo com atingimento ligeiro (ASBRE1) apresentava: maior extensão de lesão da substância branca (ARWMC t0: 11,9 / 4,8 ; p<0.001 ; t1: 14,0 / 5,9 ; p<0,001); tendência a pior desempenho funcional (IADL t0: 90,7 / 99,2 ; p=0,023; t1: 86,4 / 96,7 ; p=n.s.) e motor (SPPB t0: 9,8 / 10,3 ; p=n.s. ; t1: 9,5 / 10,5 ; p=0,058); tendência a maior compromisso do humor (Escala Cornell t0: 6,7 / 3,5 ; p=0,037; t1: 6,2 / 4,5 ; p=n.s.). Analisando a evolução, de t0 para t1, de cada um dos grupos (ASBRE2 e ASBRE1) registou‐se: aumento da extensão da lesão da substância branca em ambos (ASBRE2: 12,0 / 14,0;z=‐2,687 ; p=0,007; ASBR1: 4,8 / 5,9 ; z=‐2,724 ; p=0,006); variação não significativa funcional e motora; tendência ao agravamento em ambos na prova de Cancelamento de dígitos (ASBRE2: 17,5 / 17,4 ; p=n.s. ; ASBRE1: 19,9 / 16,9 ; z=‐2,096 ; p=0,036);tendência à melhoria em ambos no MMS (ASBRE2: 25,7 / 27,5 ; z=‐2,155 ; p=0,031; ASBRE1: 27,5 / 28,2 ; p=n.s). Avaliando os doentes em t0 e t1 em função do padrão de distribuição das ASBRE, os doentes com um envolvimento preferencial posterior (ASBREP) comparados com os restantes (ASBREnP), apresentavam: maior extensão da lesão (ARWMC t0: 10,8 / 6,9 ; p=0,025; t1: 12,9 / 7,6 ; p=0,011); diferenças não significativas no desempenho motor; tendência a melhor desempenho na prova dos Labirintos (t0: 8,1 / 11,8 ; p=0,06; t1: 8,7 / 9,5 ; p=n.s.) e Cancelamento de dígitos (t0: 20,9 / 17,4 ; p=0,045; t1: 18,5 / 16,3 ; p=n.s.); tendência a maior compromisso depressivo na GDS (t0: 5,0 / 3,68 ; p=n.s. ; t1: 5,7 / 3,3 p=0,033). Analisando o perfil evolutivo de t0 para t1, registou‐se: aumento da extensão da lesão nos dois grupos (ASBREP: 10,8 / 12,9 ; z=‐2,555 ; P=0,011; ASBREnP: 6,4 / 7,6 ; z=‐2,877 ; p=0,04); variação em sentidos diferentes com melhoria funcional no grupo ASBREP (91,0 / 95,5 ; z=‐0,926 ; p=0,036) e agravamento no grupo ASBREnP (96,7 / 89,8 ; z=‐2,032 ; p=0,042); variação sem sentidos diferentes, com agravamento significativo no grupo ASBREnP no item estação de pé do SPPB (ASBREP 3,8/3,9 p=n.s.; ASBREnP 3,9/3,6; z=‐2,236 ; p=0,025); tendência à melhoria nos dois grupos no MMS (ASBREP: 27,2 / 28,2 ; p=n.s.; ASBREnP: 26,3 / 27,7 ; z=‐2,413 ; p=0,016) e tendência em sentidos diferentes no Trail Making, com eventual melhoria no grupo ASBREP (113,9 / 91,6 ; p=n.s.) e agravamento no grupo ASBREnP (113,7 / 152,0 ; z=‐2,155 ; p=0,031). Na análise da imagem, utilizando a escala ARWMC e o estudo dos CDA, na avaliação transversal na inclusão, a comparação entre as pontuações médias da escala ARWML nas diferentes regiões mostrava diferenças significativas (F=39,54 , p<0,0001). A análise comparativa post‐hoc de Bonferroni mostrou valores significativamente mais altos para as regiões frontais e parieto‐occipitais (p<0,0001). Os valores médios dos CDA eram significativamente diferentes entre regiões (F=44,56; p<0,0001), sendo mais altos na SBFL (p<0,0001). Não existia diferença significativa entre os valores registados na SBAN nas regiões frontais e parieto‐occipitais. As pontuações regionais da escala ARWMC e os valores médios dos CDA correlacionavam‐se todos de forma positiva. A pontuação da escala ARWMC na região frontal correlacionava‐se significativamente com os valores do CDA da SBFL (r=0,467 ; p=0,012). Existia tendência para uma correlação positiva entre as pontuações da escala ARWMC na região frontal e os valores médios dos CDA na SBAN frontal (r=0,276 ; p=0,155). As pontuações da escala ARWMC e os CDA correlacionavam‐se de forma positiva com a idade e com a tensão arterial (TA). Foram encontradas correlações significativas entre: idade e SBAN frontal (r=0,440 ; p=0,019); TA diastólica e SBFL (r=0,386 ; p=0,034); TA sistólica e SBAN Parieto‐occipital (r=0,407 ; P=0,032). Na avaliação motora e cognitiva, dado elevado número de variáveis, foi efectuada uma análise de factor principal. Registou‐se uma tendência global negativa na correlação entre as pontuações da escala visual na região frontal, os valores dos CDA, e o desempenho motor e cognitivo. Na análise evolutiva, (n=19), registou‐se variação significativa dos CDA, com aumento na SBFL (Direita: z=‐2,875 ; p=0,004 ; Esquerda: z=‐2,113 ; p=0,035) e diminuição na SBAN dos pedúnculos cerebelosos (Direita: z=‐2,094 ; p=0,036 ; Esquerda: z=‐1,989 ; p=0,047). Foi observada uma correlação negativa entre a variação do CDA na SBAN dos pedúnculos cerebelosos e na SBFL contralateral (SBAN pedúnculo cerebeloso Esquerdo / SBFL Direita: r=‐0,133 ; p=n.s.; SBAN pedúnculo cerebeloso Direito / SBFL Esquerda: r=‐0,561 ; p=0,012). Os valores dos CDA à direita correlacionavam‐se de forma positiva com a velocidade da marcha (r=0,562 ; p=0,012). CONCLUSÕES: A progressão das ASBRE pode ser observada com uma escala visual detalhada no intervalo de um ano. Contudo, o eventual agravamento da incapacidade funcional, motora e cognitiva, não parece ser apreciável em igual intervalo de tempo. A maior severidade das ASBRE associa‐se a uma tendência para um maior compromisso funcional, motor e possivelmente do humor. A questão da progressão em escalas simplificadas, de um estádio ligeiro para um estádio moderado a grave, não é elucidada pelos resultados do presente trabalho. Os doentes com um envolvimento preferencial da região parieto‐occipital poderão constituir um subgrupo distinto que, apesar de ter maior extensão de lesão, parece ter um melhor desempenho motor e cognitivo. O perfil evolutivo destes doentes parece igualmente ser distinto, não se observando a tendência ao agravamento funcional, motor e cognitivo (sobretudo em provas de função executiva) que se encontra nos restantes doentes. A análise transversal na inclusão, utilizando uma escala visual e o estudo dos CDA, sugere que a severidade das ASBRE se correlaciona com o compromisso motor e cognitivo, bem como com a idade e com a TA. Uma maior vulnerabilidade da substância branca frontal à lesão vascular parece ter um papel importante no compromisso motor e na disfunção executiva, (essencialmente à custa do compromisso da atenção), possivelmente associada à desconexão dos circuitos fronto‐subcorticais. A análise dos CDA sugere que isso é válido igualmente para a SBAN e sublinha que, as imagens de RM convencional poderão não traduzir a verdadeira extensão da lesão e consequentemente do compromisso motor e cognitivo. A relação entre a progressão da doença vascular em lesões frontais constituídas e a redução do CDA no pedúnculo cerebeloso contralateral poderá estar associada a um pior desempenho motor. A disrupção dos circuitos fronto‐cerebelosos, determinando hipometabolismo e diminuição da perfusão no cerebelo, poderá ser responsável pela diminuição do CDA no cerebelo. ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION: Previous studies, with new imaging techniques, have consistently documented the presence of age‐related white matter lesions (ARWML), emphasizing their role in agerelated functional decline, mainly related to motor and cognitive impairment, and inherent consequences in clinical practice. However clinical significance of ARWML remains to be elucidated, probably on account of methodological difficulties such as: specific neuropsychological batteries, utilization of samples with different degrees of severity and regional involvement, utilization of different imaging scales and different sensitivity of imaging techniques. Recently, Diffusion Weighted Magnetic Ressonance imaging (DWI) has shown a higher sensitivity to ischemic lesions, suggesting it might be superior for characterization of ARWML, allowing more precise correlation with motor and cognitive variables, and evaluating also normal appearing white matter (NAWM). OBJECTIVES: To describe imagiologic evolution of ARWML within one year interval and to analyse its clinical and functional significance. To identify predictors of ARWML progression and associated functional impairment. To describe clinical characteristics and evolution profile of patients with predominantly posterior lesions; to compare this group of patients with patients without predominantly posterior lesions. To study average Apparent Diffusion Coeficcients (ADC) in different white matter regions using regions of interest (ROI); to analyse their evolution profile and to determine their clinical and imagiologic correlations. METHODS: A sample of 30 patients older than 65 years, without functional impairment or with minimal impairment, according to the Instrumental Activities of Daily Lliving scale, with ARWML on CT scan, were studied in a cross‐sectional design. An extensive clinical(with detailed motor and cognitive evaluation) and imagiologic protocol was applied in two one‐year interval separate moments (t0 and t1). ARWML were studied using visual scales, ARWMC and Fazekas’s scale, and patients were studied according to degree of severity (Fazekas scale mild versus moderate / severe) and preferential involvement of the posterior region (defined as 2 or more points in the ARWMC scale in the parietooccipital region compared with frontal region). Evaluation of ADC was performed using ROI in frontal lesioned white matter (FLWM) and NAWM (frontal, parieto‐occipital and cerebellar regions). To study differences in the distribution of variables the Mann‐Whitney test was used and to compare proportions the exact Fisher Test was used. To compare temporal evolution profile between t0 and t1, the Wilcoxon Signed ranks Test was used to analyse the distribution of variables and the Mc Nemar Test to analyse frequencies. Correlation analysis was performed using Spearman or Pearson tests. The study was approved by the local Ethics Committee and all patients signed an informed consent. RESULTS: Mean age was 72.5 years (17 patients were male). By the end of the study, one patient was dead and 3 patients did not undergo brain imaging. There was a higher extent of ARWML evaluated with the ARWMC scale (t0: 8.37 / t1: 9.65 ; p<0.001). Functional, motor and cognitive performance did not progress significantly. Evaluating patients in t0 and t1 according to the degree of severity (Fazekas scale), the moderate / severe group of patients (WML2), compared with the mild group (WML1), showed: higher extent of lesion (ARWMC scale t0: 11.9 / 4.8 ; p<0.001 ; t1: 14.0 / 5.9 ; p<0.001); tendency to worse functional (IADL t0: 90.7 / 99.2 ; p=0.023; t1: 86.4 / 96.7 ; p=n.s.) and motor (SPPB t0: 9.8 / 10.3 ; p=n.s. ; t1: 9.5 / 10.5 ; p=0.058) performance; tendency to higher depressive scores (Cornell Scale t0: 6.7 / 3.5 ; p=0.037; t1: 6.2 / 4.5; p=n.s.). Analysing the evolution profile from t0 to t1 of each group (WML2 and WML1), there was a higher extent of lesion (ARWMC scale) in both (WML2: 12.0 / 14.0; z=‐2.687 ; p=0.007; WML1: 4.8 / 5.9 ; z=‐2.724 ; p=0.006); non‐significant variation in functional and motor performances; tendency to worse performance on the Digit Cancelling (WML2: 17.5 / 17.4 ; p=n.s. ; WML1: 19.9 / 16.9 ; z=‐2.096 ; p=0,036) and to better performance on the MMS (WML2: 25.7 / 27.5 ; z=‐2.155 ; p=0.031; WML1: 27.5/ 28.2 ; p=n.s). Evaluating patients in t0 and t1 according to the regional distribution of ARWML, patients with predominantly posterior lesions (WMLP) compared with the rest of the group (WMLnP), showed: higher extent of lesion (ARWMC scale t0: 10.8 / 6.9 ; p=0.025; t1:12.9 / 7.6 ; p=0.011); non significant differences on motor evaluation; tendency to a better performance on Maze (t0: 8.1 / 11.8 ; p=0.06; t1: 8.7 / 9.5 ; p=n.s.) and Digit cancelling (t0: 20.9 / 17.4 ; p=0.045; t1: 18.5 / 16.3 ; p=n.s.) tests;tendency to higher scores on GDS (t0: 5.0 / 3.68 ; p=n.s. ; t1: 5.7 / 3.3 p=0.033). Analysing the evolution profile from t0 to t1 of each group (WMLP and WMLnP), there was: higher extent of lesion (ARWMC scale) in both groups (WMLP: 10.8 / 12.9 ;z=‐2,555 ; P=0,011; WMLnP: 6.4 / 7.6 ; z=‐2.877; p=0.04); variation in different directions with better functional performance in the group WMLP (91.0 / 95.5 ;z=‐0.926 ; p=0.036) and worse in WMLnP (96.7 / 89.8 ; z=‐2.032 ; p=0.042); variation in different directions with worse motor performance in one SPPB item (total stands) in the group WMLnP (WMLP 3.8/3.9 p=n.s.; ASBREnP 3.9/3.6; z=‐2.236 ; p=0.025);tendency to improvement in both groups in MMS (WMLP: 27.2 / 28.2 ; p=n.s.; WMLnP:26.3 / 27.7 ; z=‐2.413 ; p=0.016); tendency to a variation in different directions in the Trail Making Test, with possible improvement in the group WMLP (113.9 / 91.6 ;p=n.s.) and worsening in the group WMLnP (113.7 / 152.0 ; z=‐2.155 ; p=0.031). Imaging analysis in the inclusion, using the ARWMC scale and ADC evaluation, showed significant differences in different regions (F=39.54, p<0.0001). Comparative post‐hoc Bonferroni analysis showed significantly higher scores in the frontal and parieto‐occipital regions (p<0.0001. ADC values were significantly different between regions (F=44.56; p<0.0001), being higher in FLWM (p<0‐0001). There was no significant difference between ADC in NAWM in frontal and parieto‐occipital regions. ARWMC scores and ADC values correlated positively. Significant correlations were found between frontal ARWMC score and FLWM ADC values (r=0.467 ; p=0.012). ARWMC scores and ADC values correlated positively with age and blood pressure. Significant correlations were: age and frontal NAWM (r=0.440 ; p=0.019); Diastolic blood pressure and FLWM (r=0.386 ; p=0.034); sistolic blood pressure and parietooccipital NAWM (r=0.407 ; P=0.032). Due to the higher number of motor and cognitive variables a preliminary study was done, using principal component analysis. A global tendency to a negative correlation was found between ARWMC scores, ADC values and motor and cognitive performances. Evolutive analysis of ADC (n=19), showed a significant variation, with higher values in t1 in FLWM (Right: z=‐2.875 ; p=0.004 ; Left: z=‐2.113 ; p=0.035) and lower values in t1 in cerebellar NAWM (Right: z=‐2.094 ; p=0.036 ; Left: z=‐1.989 ; p=0.047). A negative correlation was found between ADC variation in cerebellar NAWM and contralateral FLWM (Left cerebellar NAWM / Right FLWM: r=‐0.133 ; p=n.s.; Right cerebellar NAWM/ Left FLWM: r=‐0.561 ; p=0.012). ADC values on the right correlated positively with walking speed (r=0,562 ; p=0,012). CONCLUSIONS: Progression of ARWML can be documented with a detailed visual scale in a one year interval. However, functional, motor and cognitive impairment, do not seem to progress significantly within the same period. A higher severity of ARWML is associated with a tendency to a worse functional and motor performance (and possibly to higher scores in depression scales). The issue of progression in a simplified visual scale from a mild to a moderate / severe degree of ARWML is not further elucidated. Patients with predominantly posterior lesions may be a subset of ARWML patients, with a different profile, that despite higher extent of lesion, seem to fair better than the rest of the group, namely with better performance on motor and cognitive tests. Evolution profile of this subset of patients also seems to be different, without a clearcut tendency to worsening functional, motor and cognitive (particularly for executive function tests) performance that is observed in the rest of the group. Imaging analysis, with a visual scale and ADC evaluation, suggests that severity of ARWML correlates negatively with cognitive and motor performance and positively with age and blood pressure. A higher vulnerability of frontal white matter to vascular disease seems to play an important role in motor and cognitive dysfunction, mainly determined by impairment of attention skills associated with frontal‐subcortical disconnection. DWI results, suggest that this may also be true for NAWM, underlining that conventional MR images may not represent the true extent of cognitive decline. The relation between vascular disease progression inside frontal lesions and ADC reduction in contralateral cerebellar peduncles, may be associated with a worse motor performance. Disruption of fronto‐cerebellar cicuits, with associated regional hypometabolism, may be responsible for the reduction of cerebellar ADC.

Iberian peninsula ecosystem carbon fluxes: a model-data integration study

Dissertação apresentada para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia do Ambiente pela Universidade Nova de Lisboa,Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia

Multi-scale vegetation classification using earth observation data of the Sundarban mangrove forest, Bangladesh.

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Automated image tagging through tag propagation

Trabalho apresentado no âmbito do Mestrado em Engenharia Informática, como requisito parcial Para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática