The Environmental History of Cetaceans in Portugal: Ten Centuries of Whale and Dolphin Records

The history between cetaceans and humans is documented throughout time not only in reports, descriptions, and tales but also in legal documents, laws and regulations, and tithes. This wealth of information comes from the easy spotting and identification of individuals due to their large size, surface breathing, and conspicuous above water behaviour. This work is based on historical sources and accounts accounting for cetacean presence for the period between the 12th and 17th centuries, as well as scientific articles, newspapers, illustrations, maps, non-published scientific reports, and other grey literature from the 18th century onwards. Information on whale use in Portugal's mainland has been found since as early as the 12th century and has continued to be created throughout time. No certainty can be given for medieval and earlier events, but both scavenging of stranded whales or use of captured ones may have happened. There is an increasing number of accounts of sighted, stranded, used, or captured cetaceans throughout centuries which is clearly associated with a growing effort towards the study of these animals. Scientific Latin species denominations only started to be registered from the 18th century onwards, as a consequence of the evolution of natural sciences in Portugal and increasing interest from zoologists. After the 19th century, a larger number of observations were recorded, and from the 20th century to the present day, regular scientific records have been collected. Research on the environmental history of cetaceans in Portugal shows a several-centuries-old exploitation of whales and dolphins, as resources mainly for human consumption, followed in later centuries by descriptions of natural history documenting strandings and at sea encounters. Most cetaceans species currently thought to be present in Portuguese mainland waters were at some point historically recorded.

O financiamento por capitação ajustada pelo risco em contexto de integração vertical de cuidados de saúde : a utilização dos consumos com medicamentos como proxy da carga de doença em ambulatório

RESUMO - Introdução - Com o presente projecto de investigação pretendeu-se estudar o financiamento por capitação ajustado pelo risco em contexto de integração vertical de cuidados de saúde, recorrendo particularmente a informação sobre o consumo de medicamentos em ambulatório como proxy da carga de doença. No nosso país, factores como a expansão de estruturas de oferta verticalmente integradas, inadequação histórica da sua forma de pagamento e a recente possibilidade de dispor de informação sobre o consumo de medicamentos de ambulatório em bases de dados informatizadas são três fortes motivos para o desenvolvimento de conhecimento associado a esta temática. Metodologia - Este trabalho compreende duas fases principais: i) a adaptação e aplicação de um modelo de consumo de medicamentos que permite estimar a carga de doença em ambulatório (designado de PRx). Nesta fase foi necessário realizar um trabalho de selecção, estruturação e classificação do modelo. A sua aplicação envolveu a utilização de bases de dados informatizadas de consumos com medicamentos nos anos de 2007 e 2008 para a região de Saúde do Alentejo; ii) na segunda fase foram simulados três modelos de financiamento alternativos que foram propostos para financiar as ULS em Portugal. Particularmente foram analisadas as dimensões e variáveis de ajustamento pelo risco (índices de mortalidade, morbilidade e custos per capita), sua ponderação relativa e consequente impacto financeiro. Resultados - Com o desenvolvimento do modelo PRx estima-se que 36% dos residentes na região Alentejo têm pelo menos uma doença crónica, sendo a capacidade de estimação do modelo no que respeita aos consumos de medicamentos na ordem dos 0,45 (R2). Este modelo revelou constituir uma alternativa a fontes de informação tradicionais como são os casos de outros estudos internacionais ou o Inquérito Nacional de Saúde. A consideração dos valores do PRx para efeitos de financiamento per capita introduz alterações face a outros modelos propostos neste âmbito. Após a análise dos montantes de financiamento entre os cenários alternativos, obtendo os modelos 1 e 2 níveis de concordância por percentil mais próximos entre si comparativamente ao modelo 3, seleccionou-se o modelo 1 como o mais adequado para a nossa realidade. Conclusão - A aplicação do modelo PRx numa região de saúde permitiu concluir em função dos resultados alcançados, que já existe a possibilidade de estruturação e operacionalização de um modelo que permite estimar a carga de doença em ambulatório a partir de informação relativa ao seu perfil de consumo de medicamentos dos utentes. A utilização desta informação para efeitos de financiamento de organizações de saúde verticalmente integradas provoca uma variação no seu actual nível de financiamento. Entendendo este estudo como um ponto de partida onde apenas uma parte da presente temática ficará definida, outras questões estruturantes do actual sistema de financiamento não deverão também ser olvidadas neste contexto. ------- ABSTRACT - Introduction - The main goal of this study was the development of a risk adjustment model for financing integrated delivery systems (IDS) in Portugal. The recent improvement of patient records, mainly at primary care level, the historical inadequacy of payment models and the increasing number of IDS were three important factors that drove us to develop new approaches for risk adjustment in our country. Methods - The work was divided in two steps: the development of a pharmacy-based model in Portugal and the proposal of a risk adjustment model for financing IDS. In the first step an expert panel was specially formed to classify more than 33.000 codes included in Portuguese pharmacy national codes into 33 chronic conditions. The study included population of Alentejo Region in Portugal (N=441.550 patients) during 2007 and 2008. Using pharmacy data extracted from three databases: prescription, private pharmacies and hospital ambulatory pharmacies we estimated a regression model including Potential Years of Life Lost, Complexity, Severity and PRx information as dependent variables to assess total cost as the independent variable. This healthcare financing model was compared with other two models proposed for IDS. Results - The more prevalent chronic conditions are cardiovascular (34%), psychiatric disorders (10%) and diabetes (10%). These results are also consistent with the National Health Survey. Apparently the model presents some limitations in identifying patients with rheumatic conditions, since it underestimates prevalence and future drug expenditure. We obtained a R2 value of 0,45, which constitutes a good value comparing with the state of the art. After testing three scenarios we propose a model for financing IDS in Portugal. Conclusion - Drug information is a good alternative to diagnosis in determining morbidity level in a population basis through ambulatory care data. This model offers potential benefits to estimate chronic conditions and future drug costs in the Portuguese healthcare system. This information could be important to resource allocation decision process, especially concerning risk adjustment and healthcare financing.

Lime-metakaolin mortars for historical buildings repair: study of the hardening reaction

International Conference Durable Structures: from construction to rehabilitation. Lisbon, LNEC, 31 May-1 June 2012

Vista Alegre: the decline of an historical company

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Chromatic reintegration of historical mortars with lime-based pozzolanic consolidant products

3rd Historic Mortars Conference, 11-14 September 2013, Glasgow, Scotland

Introduction: digital methods and tools for historical research

As an introduction to a series of articles focused on the exploration of particular tools and/or methods to bring together digital technology and historical research, the aim of this paper is mainly to highlight and discuss in what measure those methodological approaches can contribute to improve analytical and interpretative capabilities available to historians. In a moment when the digital world present us with an ever-increasing variety of tools to perform extraction, analysis and visualization of large amounts of text, we thought it would be relevant to bring the digital closer to the vast historical academic community. More than repeating an idea of digital revolution introduced in the historical research, something recurring in the literature since the 1980s, the aim was to show the validity and usefulness of using digital tools and methods, as another set of highly relevant tools that the historians should consider. For this several case studies were used, combining the exploration of specific themes of historical knowledge and the development or discussion of digital methodologies, in order to highlight some changes and challenges that, in our opinion, are already affecting the historians' work, such as a greater focus given to interdisciplinarity and collaborative work, and a need for the form of communication of historical knowledge to become more interactive.

Durability to marine environment of innovative products for consolidation and chromatic reintegration of historical renders

9th International Masonry Conference 2014, 7-9 July, Universidade do Minho, Guimarães

Consolidation and chromatic reintegration of historical renders with lime-based pozzolanic products

Historical renders are exposed to several degradation processes that can lead to a wide range of anomalies,such as scaling, detachments, and pulverization. Among the common anomalies, the loss of cohesion and of adhesion are usually identified as the most difficult to repair; these anomalies still need to be deeply studied to design compatible, durable, and sustainable conservation treatments. The restitution of render cohesion can be achieved using consolidating products. Nevertheless, repair treatments could induce aesthetic alterations, and, therefore, are usually followed by chromatic reintegration. This work aims to study the effectiveness of mineral products as consolidants for lime-based mortars and simultaneously as chromatic treatments for pigmented renders. The studied consolidating products are prepared by mixing air lime,metakaolin, water, and mineral pigments. The idea of these consolidating and coloring products rises from a traditional lime-based technique, the limewash, widely diffused in southern Europe and in the Mediterranean area. Consolidating products were applied and tested on lime-based mortar specimens with a low binder–aggregate ratio and therefore with reduced cohesion. A physico-mechanical, microstructural, and mineralogical characterization was performed on untreated and treated specimens, in order to evaluate the efficacy and durability of the treatments. Accelerated aging tests were also performed to assess consolidant durability, when subjected to aggressive conditions. Results showed that the consolidants tested are compatible, effective, and possess good durability.

The quest for growth in the German organic food retail market: Historical trends, current strategies, and future outlook

This paper aims to provide strategies for the organic supermarket chain “Alnatura” to shape the demand and its market share of the organic food & beverage (F&B) market in Germany within the next five years. Through the historic evolution and the current market assessment of Germany, compared to a benchmark country (US), as well as prospective trends in Germany, reasons and opportunities for market growth are evaluated. In addition, an industry attractiveness, competitor and company analysis is executed. Based on those findings and a conducted survey, suggestions to adjust Alnatura´s current business strategies are deduced and finally examined on its risk and feasibility.

Historic and recent occurrences of pinnipeds in the Archipelago of the Azores

The Archipelago of the Azores (Portugal) is located between 378 and 418N and 258 and 318W and crosses the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. It is the most isolated archipelago in the Atlantic, situated 1600 km west of mainland Portugal and 3500 km from the eastern coast of the United States of America. At present, the only population of seals occurring in the Portuguese territory is found on Desertas Islands, Archipelago of Madeira, where a colony of 24 Mediterranean monk seals, Monachus monachus (Hermann, 1779), still persists (Pires and Neves 2001). Nonetheless, historical accounts reported by Frutuoso (1983) dating from the early to late 1500s mention sightings of ‘‘sea wolves’’ (the old Portuguese folk term for the Mediterranean monk seal) at several sites along the Azorean Island of Santa Maria. Little is known about the occurrence of monk seals in this area over the past five centuries, but the species certainly did not escape deliberate killing by the first settlers. While the early monk seal reports by Frutuoso (1983) are the only reports referring to the presence of colonies of seals in the Azores, more recently several sightings and strandings of vagrant seals of other species have been noted.

From "Humanities and Computing" to "Digital Humanities": Digital Humanities in Portugal with a focus on Historical Research

In the following text I will develop three major aspects. The first is to draw attention to those who seem to have been the disciplinary fields where, despite everything, the Digital Humanities (in the broad perspective as will be regarded here) have asserted themselves in a more comprehensive manner. I think it is here that I run into greater risks, not only for what I have mentioned above, but certainly because a significant part, perhaps, of the achievements and of the researchers might have escaped the look that I sought to cast upon the past few decades, always influenced by my own experience and the work carried out in the field of History. But this can be considered as a work in progress and it is open to criticism and suggestions. A second point to note is that emphasis will be given to the main lines of development in the relationship between historical research and digital methodologies, resources and tools. Finally, I will try to make a brief analysis of what has been the Digital Humanities discourse appropriation in recent years, with very debatable data and methods for sure, because studies are still scarce and little systematic information is available that would allow to go beyond an introductory reflection.

Historical trajectories of currently shrinking Portuguese cities: A typology of urban shrinkage

Cities develop according to different patterns, undergoing population growth during some periods and decline (shrinkage) during others. Theories attempting to understand these behaviours include: 1) shrinkage is a natural process in the life cycle of a city, alternating with periods of growth, or 2) shrinkage is an extreme event that places cities into a continuous decline process with no return to population growth. We use retrospective data over a period of 130 years to study 25 Portuguese cities currently facing population decline, and show that both theories coexist in time and space. Five types of shrinking city are revealed: “Persistent Early Shrinkage” due to exodus fromthe rural periphery, “Metropolitan Shrinkage” due to the challenges of urban sprawl, “Recent Shrinkage” in de-industrialisation hotspots, “Cyclic Shrinkage” occurring in political transformation cores, and “Mild Shrinkage” due to life-style disamenity. As diversity of city population trajectories appears to be the norm in both Portugal and other Western European countries, the incorporation of this range into the management of urban transitions is recommended in order to reinforce city resilience.

Historical reconstructions of raw materials based on a blue smalt coating applied to a seventeenth-century altarpiece

Based on samples cross-sections from the Main Altarpiece of the Coimbra Old Cathedral, where a blue coating performed in 1685 is observed (that was partly covered with a Prussian blue-containing overpaint), the raw materials present in this coating were reproduced and studied. Blue areas were painted with smalt in oil, according to the contract signed by Manoel da Costa Pereira in 1684 and the analysis by Le Gac in 2009. Based on these, three batches of cobalt-based glasses (S1, S2 and S3) were heated and melted in alumina crucibles in the kiln. S1 contained 6.03 % of cobalt oxide, S2 contained 2.10 %, with the addition of 1.49 % of magnesium oxide, and S3 contained 6.82 % of cobalt oxide, with the addition of 4.63% of antimony trioxide. These batches were ground mechanically with water and manually with different vehicles stated in recipes. The results were studied by means of OM, SEM-EDS, X-Ray CT, Colorimetry and Vickers HT. Different binders were also produced and analyzed by means of μ-FTIR, in order to perform their characterization and obtain Standard Spectra. Since anhydrite was identified in the ground layers, gypsum from Óbidos was also characterized by XRD. The main goal of this thesis was to study all the raw materials present in the 1685-blue coating, in order to allow the historically accurate reconstruction of the layers build-up in the next future.

A historical approach to the new secular stagnation hypothesis

In this paper, we analyze the behavior of real interest rates over the long-run using historical data for nine developed economies, to assess the extent to which the recent decline observed in most advanced countries is at odds with the past data, as suggested by the Secular Stagnation hypothesis. By using data from 1703 and performing stationarity and structural breaks tests, we find that the recent decline in interest rates is not explained by a structural break in the time series. Our results also show that considering long-run data leads to different conclusions than using short-run data.