27 resultados para Mathematical and statistical techniques
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Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia - SFRH/BD/27914/2006
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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.
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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.
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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia do Ambiente
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Thesis submitted in Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa for the degree of Master in Materials Engineering
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Trabalho apresentado no âmbito do European Master in Computational Logics, como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Computational Logics
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia Química, especialidade de Engenharia Bioquímica
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The continued increase in availability of economic data in recent years and, more importantly, the possibility to construct larger frequency time series, have fostered the use (and development) of statistical and econometric techniques to treat them more accurately. This paper presents an exposition of structural time series models by which a time series can be decomposed as the sum of a trend, seasonal and irregular components. In addition to a detailled analysis of univariate speci fications we also address the SUTSE multivariate case and the issue of cointegration. Finally, the recursive estimation and smoothing by means of the Kalman filter algorithm is described taking into account its different stages, from initialisation to parameter s estimation.
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This work describes the synthesis and characterization of a series of new α-diimine and P,O, β-keto and acetamide phosphines ligands, and their complexation to Ni(II), Co(II),Co(III) and Pd(II) to obtain a series of new compounds aiming to study their structural characteristics and to test their catalytic activity. All the compounds synthesized were characterized by the usual spectroscopic and spectrometric techniques: Elemental Analysis, MALDI-TOF-MS spectrometry, IR, UV-vis, 1H, 13C and 31P NMR spectroscopies. Some of the paramagnetic compounds were also characterized by EPR. For the majority of the compounds it was possible to solve their solid state structure by single crystal X-ray diffraction. Tests for olefin polymerization were performed in order to determine the catalytic activity of the Co(II) complexes. Chapter I presents a brief introduction to homogenous catalysis, highlighting the reactions catalyzed by the type of compounds described in this thesis, namely olefin polymerization and oligomerization and reactions catalyzed by the complexes bearing α-diimines and P,O type ligands. Chapter II is dedicated to the description of the synthesis of new α-diimines cobalt (II) complexes, of general formula [CoX2(α-diimine)], where X = Cl or I and the α-diimines are bis(aryl)acenaphthenequinonediimine) (Ar-BIAN) and 1,4-diaryl-2,3-dimethyl-1,4-diaza-1,3-butadiene (Ar-DAB). Structures solved by single crystal X-ray diffraction were obtained for all the described complexes. For some of the compounds, X-band EPR measurements were performed on polycrystalline samples, showing a high-spin Co(II) (S = 3/2) ion, in a distorted axial environment. EPR single crystal experiments on two of the compounds allowed us to determine the g tensor orientation in the molecular structure. In Chapter III we continue with the synthesis and characterization of more cobalt (II)complexes bearing α-diimines of general formula [CoX2(α-diimine)], with X = Cl or I and α-diimines are bis(aryl)acenaphthenequinonediimine) (Ar-BIAN) and 1,4-diaryl-2,3-dimethyl- 1,4-diaza-1,3-butadiene (Ar-DAB). The structures of three of the new compounds synthesized were determined by single crystal X-ray diffraction. A NMR paramagnetic characterization of all the compounds described is presented. Ethylene polymerization tests were done to determine the catalytic activity of several of the Co(II) complexes described in Chapter II and III and their results are shown. In Chapter IV a new rigid bidentate ligand, bis(1-naphthylimino)acenaphthene, and its complexes with Zn(II) and Pd(II), were synthesized. Both the ligand and its complexes show syn and anti isomers. Structures of the ligand and the anti isomer of the Pd(II) complex were solved by single crystal X-ray diffraction. All the compounds were characterized by elemental analysis, MALDI-TOF-MS spectrometry, and by IR, UV-vis, 1H, 13C, 1H-1H COSY, 1H-13C HSQC, 1H-13C HSQC-TOCSY and 1H-1H NOESY NMR when necessary. DFT studies showed that both conformers of [PdCl2(BIAN)] are isoenergetics and can be obtain experimentally. However, we can predict that the isomerization process is not available in square-planar complex, but is possible for the free ligand. The molecular geometry is very similar in both isomers, and only different orientations for naphthyl groups can be expected. Chapter V describes the synthesis of new P, O type ligands, β-keto phosphine, R2PCH2C(O)Ph, and acetamide phosphine R2PNHC(O)Me, as well as a series of new cobalt(III) complexes namely [(η5-C5H5)CoI2{Ph2PCH2C(O)Ph}], and [(η5- C5H5)CoI2{Ph2PNHC(O)Me}]. Treating these Co(III) compounds with an excess of Et3N, resulted in complexes η2-phosphinoenolate [(η5-C5H5)CoI{Ph2PCH…C(…O)Ph}] and η2- acetamide phosphine [(η5-C5H5)CoI{Ph2PN…C(…O)Me}]. Nickel (II) complexes were also obtained: cis-[Ni(Ph2PN…C(…O)Me)2] and cis-[Ni((i-Pr)2PN…C(…O)Me)2]. Their geometry and isomerism were discussed. Seven structures of the compounds described in this chapter were determined by single crystal X-ray diffraction. The general conclusions of this work can be found in Chapter VI.
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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Conservação e Restauro
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A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Information Systems.
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Dissertação apresentada para a obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Informática pela Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia
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Dissertation to obtain the degree of Doctor in Electrical and Computer Engineering, specialization of Collaborative Networks
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RESUMO - Visa-se explicitar a origem, a razão de ser, a natureza e o que se perspectiva da relação entre a Epidemiologia e a Saúde Pública, através de uma leitura histórica. As duas entidades foram-se definindo e fazendo sentido em conjunto, com sucessos e, também, muita polémica, desde há milénios e até meados do século XIX. Nesta época, uma combinação de circunstâncias proporcionou-lhes uma explosão de crescimento e de definição, de par com várias outras áreas disciplinares. Desde o antigo relato bíblico de como boa alimentação explica o bom estado de saúde, até à valorização científica das condicionantes sociais e económicas da saúde por Marmot e Rose, passando por «miasmas» causando doença e pela deslocação do conceito de risco individual de saúde para o de risco populacional — com as implicações inerentes a essa importante inovação —, este percurso permite identificar as fundações de tão notável simbiose, explicar o estado presente, vê-la evoluir e achar nela o significado do património hoje disponível, e o que ele promete. Algumas discrepâncias quanto à designação dos seus métodos, bem como a contínua discussão quanto à sua verdadeira natureza e orientação futura, atestam a juventude da Epidemiologia como disciplina científica. Entretanto, a Saúde Pública esforça-se por manter a sua essência integradora, à medida que outras disciplinas contribuem mais para que concretize os seus objectivos; é desafiada pela exposição das populações, em larga escala, a factores de doença, por vezes de intensidade mínima, e pelo surgimento de novas doenças ou a ampliação do volume de outras na população, muitas vezes não respeitando fronteiras. A história dessa simbiose mostra bem que conhecer o modo como uma doença se origina permite controlá-la na população, ou mesmo evitá-la, e que é grande o número de problemas que, em sinergia, as duas disciplinas podem clarificar e resolver. Assim, a Epidemiologia oferece à Saúde Pública explicações (olhos, inteligência e linguagem) para os problemas de saúde das populações — o que permite à segunda saber sobre o quê agir —, cenários de possível evolução dos problemas — o que permite aos decisores optarem em função de diferentes pressupostos, sobre como agir — e capacidade de juízo sobre os resultados das acções empreendidas, em simultâneo com a elevação do nível de consciência, de compreensão e de intervenção quanto ao que se está a passar, tanto pelos profissionais, como pela população — transferência do conhecimento. Facilmente se antecipa que a relação entre as duas disciplinas irá evoluir para maior complexidade e, também, solicitação e exigência da Saúde Pública sobre a Epidemiologia, que terá que corresponder em utilidade. E esta, continuando a subespecializar-se e a sofisticar-se tanto nos métodos, como nos enfoques sobre categorias específicas de factores, precisará de progredir muito na gestão da sua consistência enquanto corpo de conhecimento integrado e com peculiaridades metodológicas, à semelhança da Saúde Pública.O modo como evoluirá a relação entre ambas depende ainda da evolução dos próprios problemas, conceitos, teorias e soluções relacionados com a saúde das populações, e ainda do desenvolvimento das demais disciplinas chamadas à integração por ambas, para enfrentarem esses desafios. Nomeadamente, a Epidemiologia terá que gerir com perícia dificuldades já identificadas, como: incorporar métodos qualitativos de investigação na sua fortíssima tradição e cultura quantitativa; operacionalizar satisfatoriamente o conceito de «risco atribuível na população», ao serviço da definição de prioridades de acção dirigida às necessidades de saúde; aperfeiçoar modelos de interpretação causal que respeitem a multicausalidade; aproveitar as técnicas estatísticas de análise multivariada, sem se perder na abstracção dos seus modelos; desenvolver a investigação nas dimensões positivas de saúde, além da doença, para contribuir melhor para a realização da Saúde Pública, sua principal cliente e fornecedora de oportunidades.--------------------------ABSTRACT - The aim of the author is to explicit the origin, the rationale, the nature and the prospects of the relationship between Epidemiology and Public health, through an historic approach. The two entities have been defining and making sense together, by achieving successes, but also with much controversy, since millennia ago, until mid XIX century. A combination of circumstances provided them the opportunity for an explosion of growth and definition, then, alongside several other disciplines. From the ancient biblical report on how good food explains good health, up to the scientific appreciation of both social and economical constraints to health by Marmot and Rose, passing through «miasma» causing disease and through displacing from individual health risk to population risk — with the inherent implications of that important innovation —, this route allows the identification of the foundations of such remarkable symbiosis, the explanation of current status, to see its evolution and find in it the meaning of today’s heritage and what it promises. Some discrepancies on the name of its methods, as well as the continuing discussion about its true nature and future orientation, attest Epidemiology’s youth as a scientific discipline. Meanwhile, Public Health strives to keep its integrating essence, while other disciplines increasingly contribute so that it achieves its objectives; it is challenged by large scale population exposure to disease factors, sometimes with a minimum intensity, and by new diseases emerging in the population or by old ones getting amplified, often not respecting regions boundaries. The history of such a symbiosis shows that knowing the way a disease is generated allows to control it in the population, or even to avoid it, and that the number of problems that the two disciplines are able to clarify and solve together in synergy is considerable. Therefore, Epidemiology offers Public Health explanations (eyes, intelligence and language) for populations’s health problems — allowing that the latter knows on what to act —, scenarios on how problems may tend to evolve — allowing decision-makers to make their choices as a function of different assumptions, on how to act — and judgement capabilities on the results of already undertaken actions, accompanied by the raising of conscience level, understanding and intervention of what is going on by both professionals and the population – knowledge transfer. It is easy to anticipate that the relationship between both disciplines will develop towards increasing complexity and demand from Public Health to Epidemiology, and that this one will have to correspond in usefulness. And the latter, while continuing its subspecialisation and sophistication either in its methods, or in its approaches to specific factor categories, will need to progress in managing its consistency as an integrated body of knowledge having methodological peculiarities, similarly to Public Health. Further, the way the relationship between both will evolve depends on the evolution of the problems themselves, of the concepts, theories and solutions related to the health of populations, and on the development of remaining disciplines called to integration by both, in other to face those problems. Namely, Epidemiology will have to manage with expertise some already known difficulties, as: the inclusion of qualitative research methods in its very strong quantitative tradition and culture; to grant satisfactory operation to the «population attributable risk» concept, in support to the definition of action priorities envisaging health needs; to improve causal interpretation models that comply with multicausality; to take advantage of multivariate statistical techniques, without get