Foresight methodologies to understand changes in the labour process. Experience from Portugal

The foresight and scenario building methods can be an interesting reference for social sciences, especially in terms of innovative methods for labour process analysis. A scenario – as a central concept for the prospective analysis – can be considered as a rich and detailed portrait of a plausible future world. It can be a useful tool for policy-makers to grasp problems clearly and comprehensively, and to better pinpoint challenges as well as opportunities in an overall framework. The features of the foresight methods are being used in some labour policy making experiences. Case studies developed in Portugal will be presented, and some conclusions will be drawn in order to organise a set of principles for foresight analysis applied to the European project WORKS on the work organisation re-structuring in the knowledge society, and on the work design methods for new management structures of virtual organisations.

The transformation of work? A quantitative evaluation of changes in work in Portugal

This report is made for the Work Package 15 of WORKS project and tries to develop more information on the Portuguese situation in the work structures changes in the recent years. It starts with an analysis of socio- economical indicators (Macro economical indicators, Employment indicators, Consumption, Technology at the workplace, Productivity), and then approaches the situation in terms of work flexibility in its dimensions of time use and New forms of work organisation. It traces employment in business functions with a sectoral and occupational approach, and analyses the occupational change in South Europe with particular relevance to Portugal (skill utilisation and job satisfaction, occupational and industrial mobility, quantitative evaluation of the shape of employment in Europe. Finaly are analysed the globalisation indicators.

Spatio-temporal land use/land cover changes analysis and monitoring in the Valencia Municipality, Spain

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

Pliocene-quaternary upwelling in the SoutheasternAtlantic may reflect changes in water mass production

Proceedings of tile 1" R.C.A.N.S. Congress, Lisboa, October 1992

Coastal sedimentary environments and sea-level changes

A detailed knowledge of the 3-D arrangement and lateral facies relationships of the stacking patterns in coastal deposits is essential to approach many geological problems such as precise tracing of sea level changes, particularly during small scale fluctuations. These are useful data regarding the geodynamic evolution of basin margins and yield profit in oil exploration. Sediment supply, wave-and tidal processes, coastal morphology, and accommodation space generated by eustasy and tectonics govern the highly variable architecture of sedimentary bodies deposited in coastal settings. But these parameters change with time, and erosional surfaces may play a prominent role in areas located towards land. Besides, lateral shift of erosional or even depositional loci very often results in destruction of large parts of the sediment record. Several case studies illustrate some commonly found arrangements of facies and their distinguishing features. The final aim is to get the best results from the sedimentological analysis of coastal units.

Are societal changes new? Questions or trends and future perceptions on knowledge-based economy

With the emergence of a global division of labour, the internationalisation of markets and cultures, the growing power of supranational organisations and the spread of new information technologies to every field of life, it starts to appear a different kind of society, different from the industrial society, and called by many as ‘the knowledge-based economy’, emphasizing the importance of information and knowledge in many areas of work and organisation of societies. Despite the common trends of evolution, these transformations do not necessarily produce a convergence of national and regional social and economic structures, but a diversity of realities emerging from the relations between economic and political context on one hand and the companies and their strategies on the other. In this sense, which future can we expect to the knowledge economy? How can we measure it and why is it important? This paper will present some results from the European project WORKS – Work organisation and restructuring in the knowledge society (6th Framework Programme), focusing the future visions and possible future trends in different countries, sectors and industries, given empirical evidences of the case studies applied in several European countries, underling the importance of foresight exercises to design policies, prevent uncontrolled risks and anticipate alternatives, leading to different ‘knowledge economies’ and not to the ‘knowled

Host-induced changes in the cell surface N-linked glycoproteins, from Aspergillus fumigatus. Search for specific targets with potential for clinical therapy and/or diagnosis.

This dissertation is presented to obtain a Master degree in Structural and Functional Biochemistry

Membrane structural changes support the involvement of mitochondria in the bile salt-induced apoptosis of rat hepatocytes

Clin Sci (Lond). 2002 Nov;103(5):475-85

Web-assisted tobacco intervention in Portuguese : intentions to make behavioural changes and behavioural changes

ABSTRACT - The problem of how to support “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC) and “behaviour changes” (BC) in smoking cessation when there is a scarcity of resources is a pressing issue in public health terms. The present research focuses on the use of information and communications technologies and their role in smoking cessation. It is developed in Portugal after the ratification of WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (on 8 November 2005). The prevalence of smokers over fifteen years of age within the population stood at 20.9% (30.9% for men and 11.8% for women). While the strategy of helping people to quit smoking has been emphasised at National Health Service (NHS) level, the uptake of cessation assistance has exceeded the capacity of the service. This induced the search of new theoretical and practical venues to offer alternative options to people willing to stop smoking. Among these, the National Health Plan (NHP) of Portugal (2004-2010), identifies the use of information technologies in smoking cessation. eHealth and the importance of health literacy as a means of empowering people to make behavioural changes is recurrently considered an option worth investigating. The overall objective of this research is to understand, in the Portuguese context, the use of the Internet to help people to stop smoking. Research questions consider factors that may contribute to “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC) and “behavioural changes” (BC) while using a Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP). Also consideration is given to the trade-off on the use of the Web as a tool for smoking cessation: can it reach a vast number of people for a small cost (efficiency) demonstrating to work in the domain of smoking cessation (efficacy)”? In addition to the introduction, there is a second chapter in which the use of tobacco is discussed as a public health menace. The health gains achieved by stopping smoking and the means of quitting are also examined, as is the use of the Internet in smoking cessation. Then, several research issues are introduced. These include background theory and the theoretical framework for the Sense of Coherence. The research model is also discussed. A presentation of the methods, materials and of the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) follows. In chapter four the results of the use of the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) are presented. This study is divided into two sections. The first describes results related to quality control in relation to the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) and gives an overview of its users. Of these, 3,150 answered initial eligibility questions. In the end, 1,463 met all eligibility requirements, completed intake, decided on a day to quit smoking (Dday) and declared their “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC) while a second targeted group of 650 did not decide on a Dday. With two quit attempts made before joining the platform, most of the participants had experienced past failures while wanting to stop. The smoking rate averaged 21 cigarettes per day. With a mean age of 35, of the participants 55% were males. Among several other considerations, gender and the Sense of Coherence (SOC) influenced the success of participants in their IBC and endeavour to set quit dates. The results of comparing males and females showed that, for current smokers, establishing a Dday was related to gender differences, not favouring males (OR=0.76, p<0.005). Belonging to higher Socio-economic strata (SES) was associated with the intention to consider IBC (when compared to lower SES condition) (OR=1.57, p<0.001) and higher number of school years (OR=0.70, p<0.005) favoured the decision to smoking cessation. Those who demonstrated higher confidence in their likelihood of success in stopping in the shortest time had a higher rate of setting a Dday (OR=0.51, p<0.001). There were differences between groups in IBC reflecting the high and low levels of the SOC score (OR=1.43, p=0.006), as those who considered setting a Dday had higher levels of SOC. After adjusting for all variables, stages of readiness to change and SOC were kept in the model. This is the first Arm of this research where the focus is a discussion of the system’s implications for the participants’ “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC). Moreover, a second section of this study (second Arm) offers input collected from 77 in-depth interviews with the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) users. Here, “Behaviour Change” (BC) and the usability of the platform are explored a year after IBC was declared. A percentage of 32.9% of self-reported, 12-month quitters in continuous abstinence from smoking from Dday to the 12-month follow- up point of the use of the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) has been assessed. Comparing the Sense of Coherence (SOC) scores of participants by their respective means, according to the two groups, there was a significant difference in these scores of non smokers (BC) (M=144,66, SD=22,52) and Sense of Coherence (SOC) of smokers (noBC) (M=131,51, SD=21,43) p=0.014. This WATIP strategy and its contents benefit from the strengthening of the smoker’s sense of coherence (SOC), so that the person’s progress towards a life without tobacco may be experienced as comprehensible, manageable and meaningful. In this sample the sense of coherence (SOC) effect is moderate although it is associated with the day to quit smoking (Dday). Some of the limitations of this research have to do with self-selection bias, sample size (power) and self-reporting (no biochemical validation). The enrolment of participants was therefore not representative of the smoking population. It is not possible to verify the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) evaluation of external validity; consequently, the results obtained cannot be applied generalized. No participation bias is provided. Another limitation of this study is the associated limitations of interviews. Interviewees’ perception that fabricating answers could benefit them more than telling the simple truth in response to questions is a risk that is not evaluated (with no external validation like measuring participants’ carbon monoxide levels). What emerges in this analysis is the relevance of the process that leads to the establishment of the quit day (Dday) to stop using tobacco. In addition, technological issues, when tailoring is the focus, are key elements for scrutiny. The high number of dropouts of users of the web platform mandates future research that should concentrate on the matters of the user-centred design of portals. The focus on gains in health through patient-centred care needs more research, so that technology usability be considered within the context of best practices in smoking cessation.

Analysis of urban land use and land cover changes: a case of study in Bahir Dar, Ethiopia

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

Archaeometallurgical study of the Proto-historic collection of Moinhos de Golas (North Portugal): a forecast for technological changes?

This work presents the archaeometallurgical study of a group of metallic artefacts found in Moinhos de Golas site, Vila Real (North of Portugal), that can generically be attributed to Proto-history (1st millennium BC, Late Bronze Age and Iron Age). The collection is composed by 35 objects: weapons, ornaments and tools, and others of difficult classification, as rings, bars and one small thin bent sheet. Some of the objects can typologically be attributed to Late Bronze Age, others are of more difficult specific attribution. The archaeometallurgical study involved x-ray digital radiography, elemental analysis by micro-energy dispersive X-ray fluorescence spectrometry and scanning electron microscopy with energy dispersive spectroscopy, microstructural observations by optical microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. The radiographic images revealed structural heterogeneities frequently related with the degradation of some artefacts and the elemental analysis showed that the majority of the artefacts was produced in a binary bronze alloy (Cu-Sn) (73%), being others produced in copper (15%) and three artefacts in brass (Cu-Zn(-Sn-Pb)). Among each type of alloy there’s certain variability in the composition and in the type of inclusions. The microstructural observations revealed that the majority of the artefacts suffered cycles of thermo-mechanical processing after casting. The diversity of metals/alloys identified was a discovery of great interest, specifically due to the presence of brasses. Their presence can be interpreted as importations related to the circulation of exogenous products during the Proto-history and/or to the deposition of materials during different moments at the site, from the transition of Late Bronze Age/Early Iron Age (Orientalizing period) onwards, as during the Roman period.

Long-run performance of sovereign rating changes

This paper examines the impact of Sovereign rating changes on the aggregate stock and bond market returns both in emerging and developed countries. Rating downgrades in emerging markets are associated with significant negative wealth effects both in the stock and bond markets. Moreover, the effects of rating downgrades persist up to six-months after the event. In contrast, upgrades in emerging markets convey no information. Rating changes in developed markets have no significant impact on either stock and bond market returns. Rating agencies act pro-cyclically, downgrading countries in bad times and, consequently, contributing to the instability in emerging markets.

The influence of price changes on consumers' purchase decisions

The development of an effective pricing strategy requires the acquaintance of consumers’ price perception as well as the range of elements that influence the price sensitivity. This paper analyses the relationships between product features, individual characteristics and the level of price increase/decrease that induces the consumers to change their purchase decisions. The results of a dedicated survey show, that price sensitivity, individual preferences, type of product and direction of price change and individual characteristics of consumers (gender, age, professional situation) have a significant impact on a threshold at which people are willing to choose the less attractive, but cheaper alternative to their favorite product or give up the variety in consumption. From a consumer behavior perspective, these findings play a fundamental role in pricing.

Microvascularização arterial da cóclea

RESUMO: Na descrição deste estudo foi utilizada a terminologia anatómica da Sociedade Brasileira de Anatomia adaptada ao português por J. A. Esperança-Pina de acordo com o tratado Anatomia Humana da Relação. Os actuais estudos sobre hipoacusia sensorioneural implicam um grupo crescente de situações, em que a lesão se situa ao nível da microvascularização coclear, daí que o conhecimento exacto da angiomorfologia normal se torne essencial na fase actual do conhecimento. A autora tem vindo a estudar, desde 1986, a angiomorfologia do ouvido Interno no modelo experimental, o Cobaio, utilizando várias técnicas microvasculares. sendo dado enfâse particular neste estudo à técnica de microscopia electrónica de varrimento em moldes vasculares. Os animais usados no presente estudo pertencem à espécie cavia porcellus, cobaio, por serem considerados na comunidade cientifica internacional como o melhor modelo experimental para estudo do ouvido interno, pelo facto de a morfologia coclear ser muito semelhante à do Homem e por isso ser um modelo fiável para cirurgia experimental e microdissecção. Este estudo foi realizado em 100 cobaios, cavia porcellus, de ambos os sexos com peso médio de 450g. A vascularização do ouvido interno, no cobaio como no homem, faz-se através dos ramos de divisão da artéria auditiva interna ou labiríntica. A artéria labiríntica origina-se como ramo colateral da artéria cerebelosa ântero-inferior a qual tem origem na artéria basilar ou na artéria vertebral. Embora no homem a artéria auditiva interna possa também destacar-se da artéria basilar e até da artéria vertebral, no cobaio em todos os casos estudados a sua origem verificou-se sempre na artéria cerebelosa ântero-inferior. A artéria labiríntica, ao passar abaixo do meato auditivo interno, divide-se na artéria vestibular anterior e na artéria coclear comum.A artéria vestibular anterior dirige-se para o nervo vestibular, emite vasa nervorum para este nervo e vasculariza o utrículo e os canais semicirculares. A artéria coclear comum origina dois ramos principais, a artéria vestíbulo‑coclear ou vestibular posterior no cobaio, a qual se destaca junto à espira basal da cóclea e a artéria coclear, como ramo terminal, que passa a denominar-se de artéria modiolar ou espiralada, após entrar no modíolo. A artéria modiolar ascende no modíolo promovendo através dos seus ramos colaterais e dos seus ramos terminais a microvascularização coclear, numa vascularização de órgão de tipo terminal. Ao longo do seu trajecto verificou‑se de modo constante uma redução gradual de calibre em cada uma das espiras, por emissão de ramos colaterais, sendo que o calibre da artéria na base da cóclea apresenta um valor que diminui gradualmente até ao ápice. A artéria modiolar origina em todo o seu trajecto ramos colaterais, cujo número diminui em valor absoluto da base para o ápice: Arteríolas radiárias internas, arteríolas de trajecto flexuoso que caminham junto às estruturas sensorioneurais da parede interna da cóclea, junto ao lábio timpânico da lâmina espiral óssea e na parede do próprio modíolo, que se relacionam intimamente com este. As arteríolas radiárias internas originam‑se no flanco da artéria modiolar espiralada. Contam‑se dez a doze em cada espira, extraordinariamente flexuosas desde a sua origem. As arteríolas radiárias internas originam como ramos colaterais, vários grupos de arteríolas de menor calibre, que vascularizam distintas regiões da parede interna da cóclea, as arteríolas do gânglio espiral, a rede espiral interna, as arteríolas de origem dos glomérulos de Schwalbe e a arteríola da lâmina basilar. As arteríolas radiárias externas importantes ramos colaterais da artéria modiolar espiralada promovem a vascularização de importantes estruturas da parede externa. Ao atingir o limite externo do ligamento espiral, as arteríolas radiárias externas dividem‑se em vários ramos arteriolares de menor calibre, ao longo da convexidade do limite externo do ligamento espiral, originando a rede capilar pós-estriada que ocupa a porção lateral do ligamento espiral e a rede capilar ad‑ -estriada, na sua porção mais medial em íntima relação com a estria vascular. A espira basal da cóclea apresenta grande riqueza de vascularização, com características particulares apenas a esta espira, a qual é metabolicamente a mais exigente. A arteríola da janela da cóclea aborda a janela da cóclea pela sua convexidade e divide-se numa rica rede vascular da qual emergem arteríolas pré-capilares que se ramificam em capilares, os quais se dirigem em profundidade penetrando a rampa timpânica da cóclea ao nível da espira basal. Importou neste estudo verificar quais as semelhanças em termos de calibre de estruturas análogas, na parede interna e na parede externa da cóclea, com particular incidência na rede capilar. Do estudo estatístico realizado com testes paramétricos de Tamahane e não paramétricos de Mann-Whitney, verifica-se que comparando todas as estruturas consideradas estas têm calibres diferentes, com excepção dos capilares da estria vascular e do ligamento espiral, pertencentes à parede externa da cóclea que têm calibres iguais aos capilares da rede espiral interna e aos capilares da parede interna da cóclea, dependentes das arteríolas da rede espiral interna. As redes capilares dependentes das arteríolas radiárias internas que vascularizam as estruturas sensorioneurais junto á parede interna do modiolo são em tudo semelhantes em termos de calibre às redes capilares da parede externa da cóclea, incluindo os capilares da estria vascular. Esta particularidade traduz num órgão com vascularização de tipo terminal,um mecanismo de controlo do fluxo sanguíneo coclear tão importante na parede interna como na parede externa da cóclea. ------------ ABSTRACT:Current studies on sensorineural hearing loss, imply a growing group of situations in which the lesion is located at the level of the cochlear microvasculature, hence the exact knowledge of normal angiomorfology becomes essential in current state of knowledge. The author has been studying since 1986, the angiomorfology of inner on the experimental model, the guinea pig, using various microvascular techniques being given particular emphasis in this study to the results of the technique of scanning electron microscopy on corrosion casts. The animals used in this study belong to the species cavia porcellus, guinea pig, to be considered in the international scientific community as the best experimental model for the study of the inner ear, the cochlear morphology is very similar to human and therefore a reliable model for experimental surgery and microdissection. This study was performed in 100 guinea pigs of both sexes with average weight of 450g. There shall be a brief description of embryology, anatomy and cochlear physiology in the light of developmental biology, regarding also the spatial location of the cochlea and the determinism of morphogenetic fields in their development and function. The cochlear transduction mechanism converts the sound wave in stimuli sound and so afferent auditory nerve fibres and deafness are closely related to the cochlear microvasculature. Cochlear ischemia is accompanied by immediate hearing loss. The different type of cochlear injury that leads to sensorineural deafness is well studied in presbycusis where an objective link with the audiometric pattern as been established. The sensory type of deafness, is closely related to the degeneracy of the organ of Corti and damage to the outer hair cells at the basal turn of the cochlea. Keeping in mind cochlear tonotopy with location of high frequency sounds at the level of the base of the cochlea, it explains the audiometric pattern with loss in high frequencies. The neural type of deafness, is characterized by neuronal loss with loss of descendant important neuronal afferents, with audiometric translation on a gradually curve with important loss of auditory discrimination. The metabolic type of deafness results in atrophy of the vascular stria, with consequent change in the potential of the endolymph by decreasing the vascular stria cells and changes in K + recycling mechanism. There is also a change in the morphology of the spiral ligament and the audiometric patern as a flattened curve with loss at all frequencies. Bearing in mind cochlear tonotopy and being characterized all types of sensorineural deafness, we may inquire to what extent the cochlear microvasculature, considering not only the cochlea as a whole but different regions of the inner wall and the outer wall of the cochlea, contributes to deafness. We analysed the entire cochlear morphology on scanning electron microscopy with particular emphasis on bone and membranous cochlea. The inner wall of the cochlea and intramodiolar structures such as the spiral ganglion, the morphology of its cell bodies and their axons are analyzed. The morphology of Corti’s organ is described in detail, with description and large detail of the inner and outer hair cells. Is then presented the study of the microvasculature itself. The spiral modiolar artery is observed with the diaphanization technique and the technique of scanning electron microscopy on corrosion vascular casts. After emergence of collateral branches of the greatest importance, the radiating internal and external arterioles, the modiolar artery gives rise to its terminal branches, the arterioles of the cochear apex. Arterial vasa vasorum and vasa nervorum are displayed with a great detail, which was not yet described in such detail in previous microvascular studies. The arterial radiating arterioles originate in the flank of the spiral modiolar artery in number of ten to twelve in each loop, and they vascularize through their branches the inner wall cochlear sensorineural structures located in the modiolus as the spiral ganglion and structures near the organ of Corti. Their caliber is above 20 μm on the basal turn and in the second loop it decreases to values between 12 and 20 μm, decreasing progressively to the apex of the cochlea.They arise near the modiolus or on their way in the spiral lamina forming vascular loops, and divide without presenting vascular constrictions in their divisions, originating new vascular loops of lower caliber. Internal ratiating arterioles originate as collateral branches several groups of smaller caliber arterioles, which vascularize distinct regions of the inner wall of the cochlea namely, the arterioles of the spiral ganglion, the internal spiral network, the arterioles of origin of the glomeruli of Schwalbe and the arterioles of the basilar membrane. The glomeruli of Schwalbe play an important functional role as relay-stations, in hemodynamic terms, to control the cochlear microvasculature. External radiating arterioles have their origin in the spiral modiolar artery, they are directed towards the outer wall of the cochlea and run through the roof of the scala vestibuli. Above the insertion of Reissner’s membrane on the external wall the external radiating arterioles originate the spiral ligament arterioles, which vascularize the spiral ligament, they divide into several arteriolar branches of smaller caliber, along the convexity of the outer edge of the spiral ligament. The connective tissue of the spiral ligament forms a mesh with supporting function of the highly specialized epithelium, where pericytes were identifiable. Next to its base there is the microvascular network of stria vascularis. The adstriated vascular network which is divided into a capillary network, the capillary network of stria vascularis. The stria vascularis, the only vascularized epithelium of the human body, plays an important role, forming an haemato-labyrintine barrier to assure labyrinthine endocochlear potential and transport of ions, essential for the mechanism of transduction of external hair cells. The cochlear basal turn has a special feature on its external wall, the region of the windows, the round windows giving access to scala tympani and the oval window thatleads into scala vestibuli, and so it is metabolic demanding. For their role in cochlear tonotopy the sensorineural structures and those of the external wall of the cochlea, are particularly vulnerable to hypoxia. Although the complementarity of all the techniques was important for three- -dimensional reconstruction of the microvasculature of the cochlea, the scanning electron microscopy technique, especially when we used the system Semafore was fundamental to perform precise morphometric mesures regarding all vascular structures.Regarding the capillaries of the inner and outer wall of the cochlea networks this technique allowed their characterization in morphometric terms. To conclude the capillaries of the inner wall and of the external wall of the cochlea have similar size. So although located at different cochlear regions, with a different functional role, in cochlear physiology these networks consist of capillaries of similar caliber. It seems to translate a cochlear blood flow control mechanism that is so important in the inner wall as in and the external wall of the cochlea to provide for in inner ear homeosthasia.