Constraint reasoning for differential models

The basic motivation of this work was the integration of biophysical models within the interval constraints framework for decision support. Comparing the major features of biophysical models with the expressive power of the existing interval constraints framework, it was clear that the most important inadequacy was related with the representation of differential equations. System dynamics is often modelled through differential equations but there was no way of expressing a differential equation as a constraint and integrate it within the constraints framework. Consequently, the goal of this work is focussed on the integration of ordinary differential equations within the interval constraints framework, which for this purpose is extended with the new formalism of Constraint Satisfaction Differential Problems. Such framework allows the specification of ordinary differential equations, together with related information, by means of constraints, and provides efficient propagation techniques for pruning the domains of their variables. This enabled the integration of all such information in a single constraint whose variables may subsequently be used in other constraints of the model. The specific method used for pruning its variable domains can then be combined with the pruning methods associated with the other constraints in an overall propagation algorithm for reducing the bounds of all model variables. The application of the constraint propagation algorithm for pruning the variable domains, that is, the enforcement of local-consistency, turned out to be insufficient to support decision in practical problems that include differential equations. The domain pruning achieved is not, in general, sufficient to allow safe decisions and the main reason derives from the non-linearity of the differential equations. Consequently, a complementary goal of this work proposes a new strong consistency criterion, Global Hull-consistency, particularly suited to decision support with differential models, by presenting an adequate trade-of between domain pruning and computational effort. Several alternative algorithms are proposed for enforcing Global Hull-consistency and, due to their complexity, an effort was made to provide implementations able to supply any-time pruning results. Since the consistency criterion is dependent on the existence of canonical solutions, it is proposed a local search approach that can be integrated with constraint propagation in continuous domains and, in particular, with the enforcing algorithms for anticipating the finding of canonical solutions. The last goal of this work is the validation of the approach as an important contribution for the integration of biophysical models within decision support. Consequently, a prototype application that integrated all the proposed extensions to the interval constraints framework is developed and used for solving problems in different biophysical domains.

Influence of the deposition pressure on the properties of transparent and conductive ZnO: Ga thin-film produced by r.f. sputtering at room temperature

Thin Solid Films, vol. 427, nº 1-2

Integrated ecological-economic modelling and assessment aproach for coastal ecosystem management

Thesis submitted to the Faculty of Sciences and Technology, New University of Lisbon, for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Sciences

The differential effects of switching costs and attractiveness of alternatives on customer loyalty

Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação.

Patologia óssea do insuficiente renal crónico: desafio clínico-biológico ; Caracterização da osteodistrofia renal e efeitos da biocompatibilidade de membranas de hemodiálise, na remodelação óssea

Resumo: Os resultados das nossas investigações, apresentadas ao longo desta dissertação,contribuíram para a otimização do diagnóstico invasivo e não invasivo da osteodistrofia renal e permitiram evidenciar a relevância, para a expressão clínica e histológica da ODR, de algumas articularidades específicas da população hemodialisada, nomeadamente: a utilização de membranas de hemodiálise mais biocompatíveis e com elevada permeabilidade, o recurso a técnicas de hemodiafiltração com otimização da capacidade convectiva, as limitações dos marcadores bioquímicos de remodelação óssea ou a insuficiência / deficiência em vitamina D nativa (bem como os resultados da suplementação com esta vitamina). Testámos, pela primeira vez em doentes hemodialisados, novos marcadores da formação e reabsorção óssea, que validámos mediante a comparação com os resultados da histomorfometria óssea. No seu conjunto, e de forma integrada, as nossas investigações permitiram-nos: - Evidenciar a diminuição da expressão do recetor da PTH/PTHrP na cartilagem de crescimento, num modelo animal de IRC, o que explica, pelo menos em parte, o atraso de crescimento observado nesta patologia, bem como a diminuição da resposta à ação da PTH; - Demonstrar as vantagens da determinação da isoforma óssea da fosfatase alcalina, em relação à fosfatase alcalina total, no diagnóstico diferencial entre baixa e elevada remodelação óssea; - Utilizar, pela primeira vez em hemodialisados, a piridinolina e a desoxipiridinolina no diagnóstico da reabsorção óssea. Este foi o primeiro marcador sérico específico da atividade osteoclástica, utilizado com sucesso em doentes anúricos em hemodiálise. Evidenciámos uma excelente correlação destes dois marcadores bioquímicos com a superfície osteoclástica e com o número de osteoclastos/mm2;- Demonstrar as acentuadas limitações de outros marcadores da formação e reabsorção óssea (nomeadamente a osteocalcina, o propeptido carboxiterminal do procolagénio tipo I-PICP, e o Telopeptido do colagénio tipo I – ICTP) com base nas correlações entre os doseamentos séricos ou plasmáticos destes marcadores e a biópsia óssea com avaliação histomorfométrica; -Evidenciar as limitações induzidas pela sobrecarga alumínica na interpretação dos níveis séricos dos marcadores não invasivos da remodelação óssea;-Testar a eficácia e segurança da utilização de “microdoses” de desferroxamina na terapêutica da intoxicação alumínica, em doentes com acentuada exposição a este metal;-Demonstrar que os doentes hemodialisados cronicamente com dialisadores de poliacrilonitrilo (membranas de alta permeabilidade),apresentavam menor ativação osteoblástica e osteoclástica, que os doentes dialisados com membranas de cuprofano(baixa permeabilidade), sendo os níveis de iPTH semelhantes em ambos os grupos estudados. Estes resultados apontam para uma menor ativação da remodelação óssea quando se utilizam membranas de hemodiálise mais biocompatíveis e/ou de maior permeabilidade, o que se poderá relacionar com a ultrafiltração de mediadores da ativação celular ou com a menor ativação dos mecanismos estimuladores da remodelação óssea, por parte destas membranas. Entre os mediadores da remodelação óssea que demonstrámos serem relevantes e estarem aumentados no soro de hemodialisados com membranas de baixo fluxo, contam-se a beta-2-microglobulina (2-M) e algumas citoquinas, com ação estimuladora das linhagens celulares envolvidas na remodelação óssea. Demonstrámos igualmente uma correlação positiva dos níveis séricos de 2-M com os níveis séricos da osteocalcina, da isoenzima óssea da fosfatase alcalina (marcadores da formação óssea) e com os níveis séricos da piridinolina (marcador da reabsorção óssea). Os níveis séricos de 2-M correlacionaram-se ainda, de forma negativa, com o volume osteoide (matriz óssea não calcificada). Nestes doentes hemodialisados, demonstrámos a presença de níveis séricos aumentados da interleucina-1, do antagonista do recetor da interleucina-1, da interleucina-6 e do recetor solúvel da interleucina-6. Salientamos as relações inversas que observámos, por um lado entre os níveis de antagonista do recetor da interleucina-1 e a superfície osteoblástica, e por outro lado entre o rácio do recetor da interleucina-6 / interleucina-6 (IL6-r/IL6) e a superfície osteoclástica. De acordo com estes nossos resultados originais, entendemos que a interferência nos níveis circulantes e na ativação local destes mediadores poderá justificar, em grande parte, o aumento da prevalência de doença óssea adinâmica, descrita por nós e por outros grupos. Evidenciámos uma elevadíssima prevalência de doença adinâmica (>50% dos doentes), numa população de hemodialisados sem exposição prévia ao alumínio, tratados de acordo com os K/DOQI “guidelines” e que ao longo de um ano mantiveram níveis séricos de cálcio e de fósforo controlados. Consequentemente, os doentes tratados de forma otimizada apresentaram uma prevalência surpreendentemente elevada de doença adinâmica. Os nossos resultados (classificados com o grau de evidência máxima pelos peritos KDIGO) contribuíram para dar suporte à grande diferença nos guidelines K/DOQI (2003) e KDIGO (2009) no que respeita aos valores alvo da PTH. Estamos conscientes que de que o facto de termos uma percentagem tão elevada de doença óssea adinâmica nas nossas populações de hemodialisados, bem como a demonstração de que alguns doentes com valores de PTH intacta (2ª geração) de cerca de 600 pg/ml tinham doença óssea adinâmica, condicionaram os novos objetivos KDIGO para a PTH. Os nossos resultados suportam, em nossa opinião, a adequação e vantagem da utilização dos critérios da KDIGO em vez dos KDOQI. Tendo em conta que os primeiros definem objetivos para a PTH entre 2 e 9 vezes o limite superior do normal e não se comprometem com valores alvo absolutos e rígidos (definidos previamente nos KDOQI entre 150 e 300 pg/mL), esta nova abordagem parece-nos mais correta.Na nossa investigação clínica, caracterizámos ainda a população hemodialisada portuguesa no que respeita aos níveis séricos de calcidiol, identificando a população com suficiência, insuficiência ou deficiência em vitamina D3. Documentámos uma acentuada prevalência de insuficiência e mesmo de deficiência nesta vitamina, numa vasta população de hemodialisados, a qual, muito provavelmente, reflete de forma fidedigna, o que se pode observar na restante população de doentes portugueses IRC em estádio 5d (em diálise). Descrevemos, pela primeira vez em doentes hemodialisados, uma associação entre deficiência em calcidiol e a presença de fatores de risco cardiovascular (que têm sido identificados nos doentes urémicos). A nossa investigação conduziu-nos a resultados originais, ao identificar os níveis baixos de 25(OH)vitamina D3 como um provável fator de risco cardiovascular em hemodialisados, visto que a deficiência nesta vitamina se associou, de forma muito significativa, ao aumento da prevalência de calcificações vasculares, a inflamação, a pressão de pulso mais elevada, a hipertrofia ventricular esquerda, a insuficiência cardíaca e a níveis séricos aumentados de “BNP-Brain natriuretic peptide”. Finalmente, numa avaliação prospetiva, de intervenção terapêutica, corrigimos a insuficiência ou deficiência em 25(OH)vitamina D3 e demonstrámos que essa correção se associou a uma redução dos fatores de risco cardiovascular. Esta última intervenção foi totalmente inovadora, visto ser a primeira avaliação prospetiva da evolução dos fatores de risco cardiovasculares, em função da suplementação com vitamina D nativa, em doentes hemodialisados. Em resumo, pensamos que os resultados das nossas investigações, acima sumarizadas e apresentadas ao longo dos diversos capítulos desta dissertação,contribuiram para uma nova perspetiva da osteodistrofia renal e para recolocar o foco da atenção dos nefrologistas no tecido ósseo e no eixo paratormona – vitamina D – remodelação óssea. Este eixo surje claramente envolvido em múltiplos processos fisiopatológicos, que suportam a elevada morbilidade e mortalidade (nomeadamente de causa cardiovascular) observada nos doentes urémicos.---------ABSTRACT: The results of our research, presented throughout this thesis, contributed towards the optimisation of the invasive and non-invasive diagnosis of renal osteodystrophy. They have also highlighted the importance, to the clinical and histological expression of the ODR, of some specific characteristics of the haemodialysis population, including: the use of biocompatible high permeability haemodialysis membranes, the use of haemodiafiltration techniques with convection enhancement, as well as the limitations of biochemical markers of bone turnover or native vitamin D insufficiency/deficiency (along with the supplementation results of this vitamin). New bone formation and resorption markers, which were validated by comparison with the results of bone histomorphometry, have been tested for the first time on haemodialysis patients.As a whole, and in an integrated approach, our research enabled us to: - Show the decrease of the PTH/PTHrP receptor expression in cartilage growth, used on an IRC animal model, which explains, to some extent, not only the delayed growth observed in this pathology, but also the slow response to PTH. - Point out the advantages of the determination of bone isoform of alkaline phosphatase, in relation to the total alkaline phosphatase, in the differential diagnosis between low and high-bone turnover.- Use pyridinoline and deoxypyridinoline in the diagnosis of bone resorption for the first time on haemodialysis patients. This was the first specific serum market of the osteoclastic activity, which was successfully used on anuric patients undergoing haemodialysis treatment. We also observed an excellent correlation of these biochemical markers with the osteoclastic surface and the number of osteoclasts/mm2. - Demonstrate the sharp limitations of other markers of bone formation and resorption (namely osteocalcin, carboxyterminal propeptide of type I-PICP procollagen and telopeptide of type I-ICTP collagen) based on correlations between these markers’ serum or plasma assays and bone biopsy with histomorphometric assessment.-Show the limitations induced by aluminium overload in the interpretation of serum levels of bone remodelling non-invasive markers.-Test the efficacy and the safety of the use of deferoxamine “microdoses” for treatment of aluminium overload among patients with high levels of serum aluminium. - Demonstrate that patients with chronic haemodialysis dialysers of polyacrylonitrile (high permeability membranes) show a lower osteoblastic and osteoclastic activation than those undergoing dialysis with cuprofan membranes (low permeability), being the iPTH levels similar in both groups of patients. These findings point towards a lower activation of bone remodelling when using more biocompatible dialysis membranes and/or of higher permeability, which may relate to the ultrafiltration of cell activation mediators or to the lower activation of the stimulating mechanisms of bone remodelling, regarding the membranes. Beta-2-microglobulin (2-M) and some cytokines that play a role/participate in bone remodelling are among the bone remodelling mediators, which we demonstrated to be relevant and to be increased in the serum of haemodialysis with low flow membranes. We also proved that there is a positive correlation of serum 2-M levels not only with serum osteocalcin levels, of the bone isoenzyme of alkaline phosphatase (bone forming markers), but also with levels of serum pyridinoline (bone resorption marker).Serum 2-M levels correlate negatively with the volume of osteoid (uncalcified bone matrix). We also demonstrated the presence of elevated serum levels of interleukin-1,interleukin-1 receptor antagonist, interleukin-6 and soluble interleukin-6 receptor in haemodialysis patients. We stress the inverse relationship which we observed on one hand between the interleukin-1 receptor antagonist levels and the osteoblastic surface and on the other between the ratio of interleukin-6 receptor / interleukin-6 (IL6-r/IL6) and the osteoblastic surface. According to these unique findings, we believe that the interference in the circulating levels and in the local activation of these mediators may partly explain the rising prevalence of adynamic bone disease. A high prevalence of adynamic disease has also been observed in a haemodialysis population (>50% of patients) with no previous exposure to aluminium. The patients were treated according to K/DOQI guidelines and maintained controlled serum calcium and phosphorus levels over one year. As a result, the patients who received optimised treatment showed a surprisingly high prevalence of adynamic disease. Our results, which were ranked with the highest degree of evidence by KDIGO experts, contributed to the great difference regarding the target values of PTH in the K/DOQI (2003) and KDIGO (2009) guidelines. We are aware that the finding of such a high percentage of adynamic bone disease in our haemodialysis population, as well as the evidence that some patients with intact PTH values (2nd generation) of 600 pg/ml suffered from adynamic bone disease, have hindered, the new KDIGO objectives to PTH.In our opinion, our results support the suitability and the advantage of using KDIGO criteria instead of KDOQI. This seems to be the right approach when taking into consideration that KDIGO sets objectives to PTH between 2 and 9 times the normal upper limit and does not compromise with the rigid and absolute target values (between 150 and 300 pg/mL) previously defined by KDOQI. In our clinical research, the Portuguese haemodialysis population was characterised in terms of serum clacidiol levels and identified as having vitamin D3 sufficiency, insufficiency or deficiency. It was also recorded the prevalence of severe vitamin D3 insufficiency and even deficiency in a large haemodialysis population, which most likely provides a reliable picture of the rest of the population in IRC Portuguese patients with 5d stage (undergoing dialysis). We described for the first time in aemosialysis patients an association between calcidiol deficiency and the presence of ardiovascular risk factors, (which have been identified on uraemic patients).Our research led us to unique findings by having identified the low levels of 25(OH) vitamin D3 as a likely cardiovascular risk factor in patients undergoing haemodialysis treatment, given that deficiency in this vitamin has been significantly associated not only with a rise in the prevalence of vascular calcifications, but also inflammation, left ventricular hypertrophy, high pulse pressure and high serum BNPBrain natriuretic peptide levels. Finally, based on a prospective assessment of therapeutic intervention, 25(OH)vitamin D3 insufficiency or deficiency was corrected and we were able to demonstrate that this same correction was associated with a reduction in cardiovascular risk factors. This was a forward-looking intervention regarding the supplementation of native vitamin D in haemodialysis patients, since it was the first prospective assessment of the evolution of cardiovascular risk factors. In short, the results of our research, summarised above and presented throughout the various chapters of this thesis, contributed towards a new perspective of the renal osteodystrophy and also to draw the nephrologists’ attention to the bone tissue and to the axis PTH – vitamin D – bone remodelling. This axis appears clearly involved in multiple physiopathological processes, which support the high morbidity and mortality rate, (particularly of cardiovascular causes), observed in uraemic patients.

Do hospitals react to random demand pressure by early discharges?

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Differential exploitation of cashew - a low conflict crop - by sympatric humans and chimpanzees

Modification of natural areas by human activities mostly has a negative impact on wildlife by increasing the geographical and ecological overlap between people and animals. This can result in escalating levels of competition and conflict between humans and wildlife, for example over crops. However, data on specific crops and crop parts that are unattractive to wildlife yet important for human livelihoods are surprisingly scarce, especially considering their potential application to reducing crop damage by wildlife. Here we examine the co-utilization of a nationally important and spatially abundant cash crop, cashew Anacardium occidentalis, by people and chimpanzees Pan troglodytes verus inhabiting a forested–agricultural matrix in Cantanhez National Park in Guinea-Bissau. In this Park people predominantly harvest the marketable cashew nut and discard the unprofitable fruit whereas chimpanzees only consume the fruit. Local farmers generally perceive a benefit of raiding by chimpanzees as they reportedly pile the nuts, making harvesting easier. By ensuring that conflict levels over crops, especially those with high economic importance, remain low, the costs of living in proximity to wildlife can potentially be reduced. Despite high levels of deforestation associated with cashew farming, these findings point to the importance of cashew as a low-conflict crop in this area.

Comparing exchange market pressure in West and Southern African countries

We compare the performance of Cape Verde and Mozambique concerning financial credibility as measured by Exchange Market Pressure, an institutional feature that has often been overlooked in the literature as a relevant institution for economies. Drawing on previous research by Macedo et al. (2009), we expand their analysis and, using several definitions of “financial credibility”, all related to different angles on Exchange Market Pressure indices, we conclude that - against reasonable benchmarks in their respective regions - financial credibility has been very good for Cape Verde and fairly good for Mozambique.

The agroindustrial residue valorisation with high pressure CO2 within biorefinery concept

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica

Development of a "green process" for the isolation of natural functional extracts with anti-cancer activity - Application of high-pressure technology

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica

Correction of the anisotropy in resistivity: application to pore pressure prediction

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Geológica (Georrecursos)

Development of composite particles for pulmonary delivery

In this work, biocompatible and biodegradable poly(D-L-lactide-co-glycolide) (PLGA) microparticles with the potential for use as a controlled release system of vaccines and other drugs to the lung were manufactured using supercritical CO2, through the Supercritical Assisted Atomization (SAA) technique. After performing a controlled variance in production parameters (temperature, pressure, CO2/solution flow ratio) PLGA microparticles were characterized and later used to encapsulate active pharmaceutical ingredients (API). Bovine serum albumin (BSA) was chosen as model protein and vaccine, while sildenafil was the chosen drug to treat pulmonary artery hypertension and their effect on the particles characteristics was evaluated. All the produced formulations were characterized in relation to their morphology (Morphologi G3 and scanning electronic microscopy (SEM)), to their physical-chemical properties (X-ray diffraction (XRD, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), Fourier transform infrared (FTIR)) and aerodynamic performance using an in vitro aerosolization study – Andersen cascade impactor (ACI) - to obtain data such as the fine particle fraction (FPF) and the mass median aerodynamic diameter (MMAD). Furthermore, pharmacokinetic, biodegradability and biocompatibility tests were performed in order to verify the particle suitability for inhalation. The resulting particles showed aerodynamic diameters between the 3 and 5 μm, yields up to 58% and FPF percentages rounding the 30%. Taken as a whole, the produced microparticles do present the necessary requests to make them appropriate for pulmonary delivery.

Do hospitals react to random demand pressure by early discharges?

This project tries to assess whether hospitals react to random demand pressure by discharging patients earlier than expected. As a matter of fact, combining an unpredictable demand for medical services with limited and, to some extent, fixed medical resources, generates strong incentives to discharge patients earlier than expected when demand is high − increasing the risk of readmission and decreasing the benefit from treatment. This work was conducted as a way to determine whether those incentives actually affect discharging decisions. Analysis of Portuguese hospitals data shows that hospital utilization levels at the time of admission, prior to the admission and post admission do have a negative impact over the length of stay in hospital, although this impact is quantitatively irrelevant. More than that, larger utilization levels have a positive impact over the probability of being discharged at certain days of the week, indicating that an early discharges problem may exist.

Exchange rate pressure in Angola

The objective of this work is to develop an operational tool to analyze exchange rate pressure in the context of Angola. The Angolan economy exhibits a number of relevant characteristics: a closed financial account, a partially controlled current account, a highly dollarized economy and exports (oil) price determined in World markets. These features have a direct effect on the demand of foreign currency and motivate their inclusion in the specification of a model for Angola. The model provides the rational for a measure of an exchange market rate pressure (EMP) index that contains exports changes, imports changes, the foreign interest rate and inflation and the change in foreign reserves corrected for a measure dollarization. The empirical performance new measure is comparable (slightly better) to the performance of the EMP indexes obtained in Eichengreen Rose and Wyplosz (1994) and Klassen and Jager (2011).