31 resultados para 230204 Applied Statistics


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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for degree of Master in Statistics and Information Management.

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To show with the case of Applied Optics (AO), the adequacy of blended learning to the teaching/learning process in experimental Science and technology (S&T).

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Estuaries are perhaps the most threatened environments in the coastal fringe; the coincidence of high natural value and attractiveness for human use has led to conflicts between conservation and development. These conflicts occur in the Sado Estuary since its location is near the industrialised zone of Peninsula of Setúbal and at the same time, a great part of the Estuary is classified as a Natural Reserve due to its high biodiversity. These facts led us to the need of implementing a model of environmental management and quality assessment, based on methodologies that enable the assessment of the Sado Estuary quality and evaluation of the human pressures in the estuary. These methodologies are based on indicators that can better depict the state of the environment and not necessarily all that could be measured or analysed. Sediments have always been considered as an important temporary source of some compounds or a sink for other type of materials or an interface where a great diversity of biogeochemical transformations occur. For all this they are of great importance in the formulation of coastal management system. Many authors have been using sediments to monitor aquatic contamination, showing great advantages when compared to the sampling of the traditional water column. The main objective of this thesis was to develop an estuary environmental management framework applied to Sado Estuary using the DPSIR Model (EMMSado), including data collection, data processing and data analysis. The support infrastructure of EMMSado were a set of spatially contiguous and homogeneous regions of sediment structure (management units). The environmental quality of the estuary was assessed through the sediment quality assessment and integrated in a preliminary stage with the human pressure for development. Besides the earlier explained advantages, studying the quality of the estuary mainly based on the indicators and indexes of the sediment compartment also turns this methodology easier, faster and human and financial resource saving. These are essential factors to an efficient environmental management of coastal areas. Data management, visualization, processing and analysis was obtained through the combined use of indicators and indices, sampling optimization techniques, Geographical Information Systems, remote sensing, statistics for spatial data, Global Positioning Systems and best expert judgments. As a global conclusion, from the nineteen management units delineated and analyzed three showed no ecological risk (18.5 % of the study area). The areas of more concern (5.6 % of the study area) are located in the North Channel and are under strong human pressure mainly due to industrial activities. These areas have also low hydrodynamics and are, thus associated with high levels of deposition. In particular the areas near Lisnave and Eurominas industries can also accumulate the contamination coming from Águas de Moura Channel, since particles coming from that channel can settle down in that area due to residual flow. In these areas the contaminants of concern, from those analyzed, are the heavy metals and metalloids (Cd, Cu, Zn and As exceeded the PEL guidelines) and the pesticides BHC isomers, heptachlor, isodrin, DDT and metabolits, endosulfan and endrin. In the remain management units (76 % of the study area) there is a moderate impact potential of occurrence of adverse ecological effects and in some of these areas no stress agents could be identified. This emphasizes the need for further research, since unmeasured chemicals may be causing or contributing to these adverse effects. Special attention must be taken to the units with moderate impact potential of occurrence of adverse ecological effects, located inside the natural reserve. Non-point source pollution coming from agriculture and aquaculture activities also seem to contribute with important pollution load into the estuary entering from Águas de Moura Channel. This pressure is expressed in a moderate impact potential for ecological risk existent in the areas near the entrance of this Channel. Pressures may also came from Alcácer Channel although they were not quantified in this study. The management framework presented here, including all the methodological tools may be applied and tested in other estuarine ecosystems, which will also allow a comparison between estuarine ecosystems in other parts of the globe.

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Paper presented at the 9th European Conference on Knowledge Management, Southampton Solent University, Southampton, UK, 4-5 Sep. 2008. URL: http://academic-conferences.org/eckm/eckm2008/eckm08-home.htm

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Thesis presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the subject of Electrical and Computer Engineering by the Universidade Nova de Lisboa,Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia

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Thesis submitted in the fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master in Biomedical Engineering

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RESUMO: A partir da desinstitucionalização psiquiátrica, a ênfase nas políticas públicas de saúde mental passou para os serviços comunitários e para períodos mais curtos de hospitalização. As famílias, então, tornaram-se as principais provedoras de cuidados cotidianos e de apoio aos pacientes. As dificuldades e o despreparo em assumir este novo papel têm gerado um sentimento de sobrecarga nos familiares, o que pode afetar sua saúde física e mental. Vários estudos investigaram as consequências de se tornar um cuidador de um paciente psiquiátrico, mas poucos pesquisaram o impacto na saúde mental desses cuidadores. A presente pesquisa investigou a relação entre a sobrecarga e a saúde mental dos familiares cuidadores de pacientes psiquiátricos. Participaram deste estudo 74 familiares cuidadores de pacientes com diagnóstico de esquizofrenia, atendidos no ambulatório do Serviço de Referência em Saúde Mental, da cidade de Divinópolis, MG. Os familiares participaram de uma entrevista estruturada. Nela foram aplicadas a Escala de Avaliação da Sobrecarga dos Familiares de Pacientes Psiquiátricos (FBIS-BR) e, para avaliar a saúde mental dos cuidadores, a Escala de Depressão de Beck (BDI). Foram realizadas análises estatísticas descritivas, univariadas e multivariadas. Os resultados mostraram que a maioria dos cuidadores era do sexo feminino (78,40%), pais (62,20%) e com idade média de 59,14 anos. Os cuidadores apresentaram uma média de sobrecarga global objetiva de 2,05 (DP ± 0,54), em uma escala de 1 a 5 pontos, e uma média de sobrecarga global subjetiva de 2,44 (DP ± 0,71), em uma escala de 1 a 4 pontos. Os resultados da escala BDI mostraram que 42 cuidadores poderiam ser classificados com depressão mínima (56,80%), 17 com depressão leve (23,00%), 7 com depressão moderada (9,50%) e 8 com depressão grave (10,80%). Foram encontradas correlações positivas significativas entre o grau de sobrecarga global e das subescalas e o nível de depressão. As análises multivariadas mostraram que o principal preditor de depressão dos cuidadores foi a sobrecarga global subjetiva. Outros preditores foram a obrecarga objetiva das rotinas diárias e da supervisão dos comportamentos problemáticos dos pacientes e a sobrecarga subjetiva das preocupações com o paciente. As informações levantadas mostraram o impacto do papel de cuidador na saúde mental dos familiares e apontaram para a necessidade de uma maior atenção, por parte dos gestores e profissionais da área, aos cuidadores de pacientes psiquiátricos.----------ABSTRACT: The emphasis in public policy on mental health was transferred to community services and for shorter periods of hospitalization from the psychiatric deinstitutionalization. Then the families become the first provider of daily care and support to patients. The difficulties and unprepared to assume this new role has generated a sense of overload in the relatives, which can affect your physical and mental health. Several studies have investigated the consequences of becoming a caregiver of a psychiatric patient, but few scholars have researched the impact on the mental health of caregivers. The present study has investigated the relationship between overload and mental health of family caregivers of psychiatric patients. The study included 74 family caregivers of patients with schizophrenia and outpatient clinic of the Department of Mental Health Reference, in Divinópolis, Minas Gerais, Brazil. The Rating Scale Burden of Relatives of Psychiatric Patients and the scale of Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) to assess the mental health of caregivers were applied in the interview. Descriptive statistics and univariate and multivariate analysis have performed. The results showed that the majority of caregivers were female (78.40%), parents (62.20%) and mean age of 59.14 years. The caregivers had an average burden overall objective of 2.05 (± 0.54) on a scale of 1 to 5 points, and a subjective global average burden of 2.44 (± 0.71) in a scale of 1 to 4 points. The results of the BDI showed that 42 caregivers could be classified with minimal depression (56.80%), 17 with mild depression (23.00%), 7 with moderate depression (9.50%) and 8 with severe depression (10 80%). Significant positive correlations were found between the degree of overloading and global subscales and depression levels. Multivariate analysis showed that the main predictor of caregivers' depression was the global subjective burden. Other predictors were the objective burden of daily routines and supervision of problem behaviors of patients and subjective burden of the concerns about patient. The resulting information showed the impact of caregiver role in the mental health of relatives and pointed to the need for higher attention of managers and professionals to caregivers of psychiatric patients.

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Paper presented as "key note" at the Doctorate Conference on Technology Assessment in June 2011, at FCT-UNL, Monte de Caparica.

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Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

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RESUMO: Um dos principais resultados das intervenções de Fisioterapia dirigidas a utentes com Dor Lombar Crónica (DLC) é reduzir a incapacidade funcional. A Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS) é um instrumento amplamente aceite a nível internacional na medição do nível de incapacidade funcional reportada pelos indivíduos com DLC. O objetivo deste estudo é dar um contributo para a adaptação cultural da versão portuguesa da QBPDS (QBPDS-VP) e investigar o poder de resposta e interpretabilidade da escala. Metodologia: Realizou-se um estudo metodológico, multicentro, baseado num coorte prospetivo de 132 utentes com DLC. Os utentes foram recrutados a partir da lista de espera de 16 serviços de Medicina Física e de Reabilitação/Fisioterapia de várias áreas geográficas de Portugal. A QBPDS- VP foi administrada 3 vezes, em 3 momentos de recolha de dados distintos: T0 - momento inicial (utentes em lista de espera); T1 - 1 semana de intervalo (início dos tratamentos de Fisioterapia); e T2 - 6 semanas de intervalo (pós-intervenção de Fisioterapia). Os dados recolhidos em T0 foram utilizados para a análise fatorial e para o estudo da consistência interna (n=132); os dados da amostra emparelhada de T0 e T1 (n=132) para a fiabilidade teste-reteste; e os dados da amostra emparelhada de T0 e T2 (n=120) para a análise do poder de resposta e interpretabilidade. A âncora externa utilizada foi a perceção global de mudança, neste caso a PGIC- VP, que foi respondida em T1 e T2. O nível de significância para o qual os valores se consideraram satisfatórios foi de p≤ 0,05. O tratamento dos dados foi realizado no software IBM SPSS Statistics (versão 20). Resultados: A QBPDS- VP é uma escala unidimensional, que revela uma excelente consistência interna (α de Cronbach= 0,95) e uma fiabilidade teste-reteste satisfatória (CCI= 0,696; IC 95%: 0,581–0,783). Esta escala demonstrou um poder de resposta moderado, quando aplicada em utentes com DLC ( = 0,426 e AAC= 0,741; IC 95%: 0,645 – 0,837). A Diferença Mínima Detetável (DMD) estimada foi de 19 pontos e as estimativas da Diferença Mínima Clinicamente Importante (DMCI) variaram entre 7 (pelo método curva ROC) e 8 pontos (pelo método “diferença média de pontuação”). A estimativa pela curva ROC deriva do ponto ótimo de corte de 6,5 pontos, com Área Abaixo da Curva (AAC)= 0,741, sensibilidade de 72%, e especificidade de 71%. Uma análise complementar da curva ROC baseada nas diferenças de pontuações da QBPDS, expressa em percentagem, revelou um ponto ótimo de corte de - 24% (AAC= 0,737, sensibilidade de 71%, e especificidade de 71%). Para pontuações iniciais da QBPDS- VP mais altas (≥34 pontos), foi encontrado um ponto ótimo de corte de 10,5 pontos (AAC= 0,738, sensibilidade de 73%, e especificidade de 67%). Conclusão: A QBPDS-VP demonstrou bons níveis de fiabilidade e poder de resposta, recomendando-se o seu uso na medição e avaliação da incapacidade funcional de utentes com DLC. A DMD estimada, de 19 pontos, determinou uma amplitude válida da QBPDS-VP de 19 a 81 pontos. Este estudo propõe estimativas de DMCI da QBPDS- VP numa aplicação específica da escala (em utentes com DLC que são referidos para a intervenção de Fisioterapia). A pontuação inicial da QBPDS- VP deve ser considerada na interpretação de mudanças de pontuação, após a intervenção de Fisioterapia.------------ ABSTRACT: One of the main results of physiotherapy interventions for patients with Chronic Low Back Pain (CLBP) is decrease the functional disability. The Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS) is an instrument widely accepted internationally, in measuring the level of disability reported by individuals with CLBP. The purpose of this study is to contribute to the cultural adaptation of the Portuguese version of QBPDS (QBPDS - PV) and investigate the Responsiveness and Interpretability of QBPDS-PV. Methodology: This was a methodological and multicenter study, based on a sample of 132 subjects with CLBP. The patients were recruited from the waiting lists of 16 medicine rehabilitation service, in many Portugal districts. The Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale was administered in three different moments: T0 – baseline (patients in the waiting list); T1- one week after T0 (the beginning of treatment); and T2 – six weeks after T1 (the posttreatment). The data collected at T0 were used for factor analysis and to study the internal consistency (n = 132); paired sample data of T0 and T1 (n=132) were used for test-retest reliability, and sample data paired for T0 and T2 (n=120) used for responsiveness and interpretability analysis. The external anchor was the global perception of change, measured by the Portuguese version of Patient’s Global Impression of Change (PGIC) Scale. The minimal level of significance established was p ≤ 0,05. Data analysis was performed using the IBM SPSS Statistics software (version 20). Results: The QBPDS-PV is a unidimensional scale, demonstrates an excellent internal consistency (Cronbach's α=0.95) and satisfactory test-retest reliability (ICC= 0.696, 95% CI: 0.581–0.783). The scale revealed moderate responsiveness when applied to patients with CLBP ( = 0.426 and AUC= 0.741, 95% CI: 0.645 - 0.837). The Smallest Detectable Change (SDC) was 19 points, whereas the Minimal Clinically Important Change (MCIC) ranged between 7 (ROC curve method) and 8 points (by the "mean difference score"). The estimate was derived from the ROC curve by an optimal cutoff point of 6.5 points, with Area Under the Curve (AUC)= 0.741, sensitivity 72%, and specificity of 71%. A complementary analysis of the ROC curve based on differences in QBPDS scores from baseline, expressed in percentage, revealed an optimal cutoff point of -24% (AUC= 0.737, sensitivity of 71%, and specificity of 71%). For the highest initial scores of QBPDS-PV (≥ 34 points) was found an optimal cutoff of 10.5 points (AUC= 0.738, sensitivity of 73%, and specificity 67%). Conclusion: The QBPDS-PV demonstrated good levels of reliability and responsiveness, being recommended its use in the measurement and evaluation of disability of patients with CLBP. The SDC of 19 points determined the QBPDS‟ scale width of 19 to 81. This study proposes MCIC values for QBPDS –PV for this specific setting (in CLBP patients who are referred for physiotherapy intervention). The QBPDS –PV baseline score have to be taken into account while interpreting the score change after physiotherapy intervention.

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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia Industrial

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Dissertation submitted in the fufillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master in Biomedical Engineering

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Research Project submited as partial fulfilment for the Master Degree in Statistics and Information Management