4 resultados para GONZALEZ, JOAQUIN V.

em RUN (Repositório da Universidade Nova de Lisboa) - FCT (Faculdade de Cienecias e Technologia), Universidade Nova de Lisboa (UNL), Portugal


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Teeth and astragali were used for a biometrical study concerning suids from V-a (upper Burdigalian) and V-b (Langhian) divisions from Lisbon's Miocene series. The Hyotherium (V-b) are identical to those from french localities, hence they all belong in the same species H. soemmeringi. Bunolistriodon populations from V-a and V-b are homogenous; no significant difference between them has been found, inspite of different geological age. Both may be ascribed to B. lockharti. No evolutive trend was detected. The presence of another form close to the north african B. massai could not be confirmed either. French localities' Bunolistriodon populations also seem homogenous and conspecific with those from Lisbon. Notwithstanding its essentially homogenous character, there can be distinguished two sets in both V-a and V-b populations according to M3 size; this remains to be explained, since the last molars are the most likely to show a broad range of variation and are not unequivocally related to sexual dimorphism. Classification of the rare Tayassuidae has been confirmed. All known taxa are shown (see tableau I).

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Dissertação apresentada para cumprimento dos requisitos necessários à obtenção do grau de Mestre em História Moderna e dos Descobrimentos.

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Background: Little is known about the risk of progression to hazardous alcohol use in people currently drinking at safe limits. We aimed to develop a prediction model (predictAL) for the development of hazardous drinking in safe drinkers. Methods: A prospective cohort study of adult general practice attendees in six European countries and Chile followed up over 6 months. We recruited 10,045 attendees between April 2003 to February 2005. 6193 European and 2462 Chilean attendees recorded AUDIT scores below 8 in men and 5 in women at recruitment and were used in modelling risk. 38 risk factors were measured to construct a risk model for the development of hazardous drinking using stepwise logistic regression. The model was corrected for over fitting and tested in an external population. The main outcome was hazardous drinking defined by an AUDIT score >= 8 in men and >= 5 in women. Results: 69.0% of attendees were recruited, of whom 89.5% participated again after six months. The risk factors in the final predictAL model were sex, age, country, baseline AUDIT score, panic syndrome and lifetime alcohol problem. The predictAL model's average c-index across all six European countries was 0.839 (95% CI 0.805, 0.873). The Hedge's g effect size for the difference in log odds of predicted probability between safe drinkers in Europe who subsequently developed hazardous alcohol use and those who did not was 1.38 (95% CI 1.25, 1.51). External validation of the algorithm in Chilean safe drinkers resulted in a c-index of 0.781 (95% CI 0.717, 0.846) and Hedge's g of 0.68 (95% CI 0.57, 0.78). Conclusions: The predictAL risk model for development of hazardous consumption in safe drinkers compares favourably with risk algorithms for disorders in other medical settings and can be a useful first step in prevention of alcohol misuse.