Influência das alterações do envolvimento ambiental e organizacional na redução das quedas em doentes em meio hospitalar

RESUMO - As quedas têm na sua grande maioria uma causa multifatorial. As investigações são substancialmente direcionadas na identificação dos fatores de risco intrínsecos ao doente. Os principais fatores do envolvimento físico e organizacional são frequentemente segregados, ignorando-se as contribuições que estes podem ter na ocorrência de quedas. O propósito desta investigação foi perceber a influência de alterações do envolvimento ambiental e organizacional na redução das quedas em doentes em meio hospitalar. De forma a alcançar este objetivo, analisou-se a informação de uma base de dados referente às quedas ocorridas num hospital da zona da Grande Lisboa, que mudou de instalações a meio do período em estudo. Entre 2012-2014 verificou-se um total 361 notificações de quedas. Nos 3 anos existiu uma redução de 55%. As quedas relacionadas com os fatores do Estado de Saúde do Doente reduziram em 46%, não apresentando significância estatística. Relativamente às quedas devido aos fatores de risco do envolvimento Ambiental e Organizacional, houve uma redução de 67%, considerada estatisticamente significativa. Ao analisar em detalhe os doentes com Nível de risco Elevado (escala de Morse), constata-se que a redução das quedas ao longo do período em estudo não é estatisticamente relevante. Conclui-se que as mudanças de instalações e a renovação de equipamentos poderão ter contribuído positivamente para uma redução das quedas durante o período em estudo. A nível organizacional, a aplicação das medidas preventivas, específicas para doentes com elevado risco de queda, aparentemente não foram suficientemente efetivas.

Portugal no conselho de segurança das Nações Unidas

The United Nations is an international organization that was created after World War II, whose main objective is to promote cooperation, social and economic development, as well as to ensure international peace and security. The Member States are key actors in the international political system. For that reason they have strategic interests in what regards taking part in the international organizations. They see it as an opportunity to achieve those goals. The United Nations Security Council has a very important role in preserving international peace and security. It is the organ of the United Nations in which fifteen member states are represented: five permanently and ten non-permanently, being that the latter are elected for two years. Participating in the Security Council is a unique opportunity for middle powers like Portugal to promote their national interests and to increase their international visibility. In addition, they can contribute to the world’s destiny during their mandate period. Portugal has exercised his third term as a non-permanent member of the Security Council in 2011-2012 biennium, defeating Canada after a successful campaign carried out by the Portuguese diplomacy. This study analyses the participation of Portugal in the Security Council´s 2011-2012 biennium. It will focus the application process and election and the role of Portugal in the Security Council, especially in its the presidency and its intervention in the presidency of the Sanctions Committee on Libya. Its aim is to show the impact of Portuguese participation in the Security Council for international peace and security, as well as the geopolitical importance for the country of being part of the Security Council.

Anatomy of the portuguese stock market risk and return in the 1977-2012 period

This paper analyses the Portuguese stock market since it reopened in 1977, with a special focus on the evolution of the statistic and stochastic characteristics of the market return throughout this 36 year period. The market return for the period of time between 1977 and 2012 (September 28th) is estimated and then compared with the return that would have been achieved with Government bonds and treasury bills, which allows us to confirm that the hierarchy of return / risk across the different financial instruments is verified. The market risk premium for this 36 year period is also estimated and a comparison with other markets is performed, suggesting that the Portuguese market’s risk has not been compensated by an adequate return. The study also examines the evolution of the Portuguese market’s volatility in the 1977-2012 period and compares it with other markets, showing the existence of extremely high peaks during the first 11 years, but indicating a downwards trend throughout the whole period under analysis. Finally, the correlation between market returns for Portugal and for other countries and the degree of integration are estimated and their evolution throughout time is assessed, leading to the conclusion that the performance of the Portuguese stock market has become increasingly correlated with major European markets – correlation with some markets close to 0.70 from 2000 onwards-, but that country-specific risk factors are still relevant.