Development and validation of a risk model for prediction of hazardous alcohol consumption in general practice attendees : the PredictAL study

Background: Little is known about the risk of progression to hazardous alcohol use in people currently drinking at safe limits. We aimed to develop a prediction model (predictAL) for the development of hazardous drinking in safe drinkers. Methods: A prospective cohort study of adult general practice attendees in six European countries and Chile followed up over 6 months. We recruited 10,045 attendees between April 2003 to February 2005. 6193 European and 2462 Chilean attendees recorded AUDIT scores below 8 in men and 5 in women at recruitment and were used in modelling risk. 38 risk factors were measured to construct a risk model for the development of hazardous drinking using stepwise logistic regression. The model was corrected for over fitting and tested in an external population. The main outcome was hazardous drinking defined by an AUDIT score >= 8 in men and >= 5 in women. Results: 69.0% of attendees were recruited, of whom 89.5% participated again after six months. The risk factors in the final predictAL model were sex, age, country, baseline AUDIT score, panic syndrome and lifetime alcohol problem. The predictAL model's average c-index across all six European countries was 0.839 (95% CI 0.805, 0.873). The Hedge's g effect size for the difference in log odds of predicted probability between safe drinkers in Europe who subsequently developed hazardous alcohol use and those who did not was 1.38 (95% CI 1.25, 1.51). External validation of the algorithm in Chilean safe drinkers resulted in a c-index of 0.781 (95% CI 0.717, 0.846) and Hedge's g of 0.68 (95% CI 0.57, 0.78). Conclusions: The predictAL risk model for development of hazardous consumption in safe drinkers compares favourably with risk algorithms for disorders in other medical settings and can be a useful first step in prevention of alcohol misuse.

An assessment of the social and economic cohesion aspects of the development of the information society in Europe

Neste trabalho pretende consolidar-se a contribuição portuguesa para o estudo comunitário “Na Assessment of the Social and Economic Cohesion Aspects of the Development of the Information Society in Europe” elaborado por um consórcio europeu liderado pela Nexus Europe e em que intervém o ISEGI- Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação, da Universidade Nova de Lisboa, como parceiro nacional português.

Biological predictors of survival in limphoma and mechanisms underlying follicular lymphoma transformaion into diffuse large B cell lymphoma (vol I e II)

RESUMO: Os biomarcadores tumorais permitem identificar os doentes com maior risco de recorrência da doença, predizer a resposta tumoral à terapêutica e, finalmente, definir candidatos a novos alvos terapêuticos. Novos biomarcadores são especialmente necessários na abordagem clínica dos linfomas. Actualmente, esses tumores são diagnosticados através de uma combinação de características morfológicas, fenotípicas e moleculares, mas o prognóstico e o planeamento terapêutico estão quase exclusivamente dependentes de características clínicas. Estes factores clínicos são, na maioria dos linfomas, insuficientes numa proporção significativa dos doentes, em particular, aqueles com pior prognóstico. O linfoma folicular (LF) é, globalmente, o segundo subtipo mais comum de linfoma. É tipicamente uma doença indolente com uma sobrevida média entre os 8 e 12 anos, mas é geralmente fatal quando se transforma num linfoma agressivo de alto grau, habitualmente o linfoma difuso de grandes células B (LDGCB). Morfologicamente e funcionalmente, as células do LF recapitulam as células normais do centro germinativo na sua dependência de sobrevivência do microambiente não-tumoral, especialmente das células do sistema imunológico. Biomarcadores preditivos de transformação não existem pelo que um melhor conhecimento da biologia intrínseca de progressão do LF poderá revelar novos candidatos. Nesta tese descrevo duas abordagens distintas para a descoberta de novos biomarcadores. A primeira, o estudo da expressão global de genes ('genomics') obtidos por técnicas de alto rendimento que analisam todo o genoma humano sequenciado, permitindo identificar novas anomalias genéticas que possam representar mecanismos biológicos importantes de transformação. São descritos novos genes e alterações genómicas associados à transformação do LF, sendo especialmente relevantes as relacionadas com os eventos iniciais de transformação em LDGCB. A segunda, baseou-se em várias hipóteses centradas no microambiente do LF, rico em vários tipos de células nãomalignas. Os estudos imunoarquitectural de macrófagos, células T regulatórias e densidade de microvasos efectuado em biopsias de diagnóstico de doentes com LF tratados uniformemente correlacionaram-se significativamente, e independentemente dos critérios clínicos, com a evolução clínica e, mais importante, com o risco de transformação em LDGCB. Nesta tese, foram preferencialmente utilizadas (e optimizadas) técnicas que permitam o uso de amostras fixadas em parafina e formalina (FFPET). Estas são facilmente acessíveis a partir das biopsias de diagnóstico de rotina presentes nos arquivos de todos os departamentos de patologia, facilitando uma transição rápida dos novos marcadores para a prática clínica. Embora o FL fosse o tema principal da tese, os novos achados permitiram estender facilmente hipóteses semelhantes a outros subtipos de linfoma. Assim, são propostos e validados vários biomarcadores promissores e relacionados com o microambiente não tumoral, sobretudo dependentes das células do sistema imunológico, como contribuintes importantes para a biologia dos linfomas. Estes sugerem novas opções para a abordagem clínica destas doenças e, eventualmente, novos alvos terapêuticos.------------- ABSTRACT: Cancer biomarkers provide an opportunity to identify those patients most at risk for disease recurrence, predict which tumours will respond to different therapeutic approaches and ultimately define candidate biomarkers that may serve as targets for personalized therapy. New biomarkers are especially needed in the management of lymphoid cancers. At present, these tumours are diagnosed using a combination of morphologic, phenotypic and molecular features but prognosis and overall survival are mostly dependent on clinical characteristics. In most lymphoma types, these imprecisely assess a significant proportion of patients, in particular, those with very poor outcomes. Follicular lymphoma (FL) is the second most common lymphoma subtype worldwide. It is typically an indolent disease with current median survivals in the range of 8-12 years, but is usually fatal when it transforms into an aggressive high-grade lymphoma, characteristically Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL). Morphologically and functionally it recapitulates the normal cells of the germinal center with its survival dependency on non-malignant immune and immunerelated cells. Informative markers of transformation related to the intrinsic biology of FL progression are needed. Within this thesis two separate approaches to biomarker discovery were employed. The first was to study the global expression of genes (‘genomics’) obtained using high-throughput, wholegenome-wide approaches that offered the possibility for discovery of new genetic abnormalities that might represent the important biological mechanisms of transformation. Gene signatures associated with early events of transformation were found. Another approach relied on hypothesis-driven concepts focusing upon the microenvironment, rich in several non-malignant cell types. The immunoarchitectural studies of macrophages, regulatory T cells and microvessel density on diagnostic biopsies of uniformly treated FL patients significantly predicted clinical outcome and, importantly, also informed on the risk of transformation. Techniques that enabled the use of routine formalin fixed paraffin embedded diagnostic specimens from the pathology department archives were preferentially used in this thesis with the goal of fulfilling a rapid bench-to-beside” translation for these new findings. Although FL was the main subject of the thesis the new findings and hypotheses allowed easy transition into other lymphoma types. Several promising biomarkers were proposed and validated including the implication of several non-neoplastic immune cells as important contributors to lymphoma biology, opening new options for better treatment planning and eventually new therapeutic targets and candidate therapeutics.

Development and implementation of strategies for the incorporation of reinforcing elements in aluminium alloys by solid state processing

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Mecânica

Societal embedding in high-speed train technology development: dominant perspective from a case study

The present article is based on the report for the Doctoral Conference of the PhD programme in Technology Assessment, held at FCT-UNL Campus, Monte de Caparica, June 9th, 2011. The PhD thesis has the supervision of Prof. António Moniz (FCT-UNL and ITAS-KIT), and co-supervision of Prof. Manuel Seabra Pereira and Prof. Rosário Macário (both from IST-UTL).

The use of indicators and evidence in governance and policy development of science, technology and innovation

This paper was first presented at the 2012 – EU SPRI Conference “Towards Transformative Governance? - Responses to mission-oriented innovation policy paradigms”, Fraunhofer ISI, June 2012, Karlsruhe

Research and development expenditure in the business sector as indicator of knowledge economy: the Portuguese experience

The objective of the paper is to help to understand recent changes in the structure of R&D activities, by analyzing data on the expenditure of the business sector in research and development (R&D). The results are framed in an international context, through comparison with indicators from the most developed countries, divided by technological intensity and economic activity. The study reveals that the indicators of Portuguese R&D expenditure in the business sector are closely linked both to fiscal policy and to high foreign direct investment in knowledge-intensive industries. It also links these indicators to phenomena such as the abundance of skilled labor in pharmaceutical industries and the government intervention in some sectors of the economy (namely health and rail transportation).

Development of regional spatial data infrastructure (SDI) case study in hearth of Borneo

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Framework development for providing accessibility to qualitative spatial calculi

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Public private collaboration: Potentials for spatial data infrastructure development in developing countries - A caste study of Nigeria

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Development of new oxygen therapeutics using fluorinated ionic liquids

Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau Mestre em Engenharia Biomédica

Development of novel human cellular models for neurotoxicity studies

Dissertation to obtain master degree in Genética Molecular e Biomedicina

Development of integrated separation processes with green solvents

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Química Sustentável

Territorial Strategic Planning as a support instrument for Regional and Local Development : a comparative analysis between Lisbon and Barcelona metropolitan areas - a first approach

Trabalho de Projecto apresentado para cumprimento dos requisitos necessários à obtenção do grau de Mestre em Metropolização, Planeamento Estratégico e Sustentabilidade.

Information Society in Croatia, Landsc@pes of Knowledge for Development

Sabbatical Studies Report