Networking as a route for corporate foresight in SMEs

Paper presented at the 1st Winter School of PhD Programme on Technology Assessment on the December 6th and 7th, 2010, at the Universidade Nova de Lisboa campus of Caparica (Portugal). A final version was developed for the unit “Project III” of the same PhD programme on Technology Assessment at the Universidade Nova de Lisboa in 2010-11 under the supervision of Prof. António Brandão Moniz

Mosaicos da villa romana do Rabaçal, Penela, Portugal: Prelúdio de arte bizantina?

Revista do IHA, N.3 (2007), pp.84-101

Cross sectional default probabilities in european corporate bonds

This study attempts to identify basis-trading opportunities in the European banking sector by comparing two different measures for the market’s assessment of risk: market-observed CDS spreads and model-implied Z-spreads. Using a sample of 10 banks, over a period of 3 years following the European banking crisis, it can be concluded that there were arbitrage opportunities in the sector, as evidenced by the derived negative bases.

Universal banks and corporate control: Evidence from the global syndicated loan market

We investigate the effects of bank control over borrower firms whether by representation on boards of directors or by the holding of shares through bank asset management divisions. Using a large sample of syndicated loans, we find that banks are more likely to act as lead arrangers in loans when they exert some control over the borrower firm. Bank-firm governance links are associated with higher loan spreads during the 2003-2006 credit boom, but lower spreads during the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Additionally, these links mitigate credit rationing effects during the crisis. The results are robust to several methods to correct for the endogeneity of the bank- firm governance link. Our evidence, consistent with intertemporal smoothing of loan rates, suggests there are costs and benefits from banks’ involvement in firm governance.