Almirante: Evaluating the board game: Board game, startup, discounted cash flow, venture capital method, real options

This thesis evaluates a start-up company (Jogos Almirante Lda) whose single asset is a board game named Almirante. It aims to conclude whether it makes sense to create a company or just earn copyrights. The thesis analyzes the board game’s market, as part of the general toy’s market, from which some data exists: European countries as well as the USA. In this work it is analyzed the several ways to finance a start-up company and then present an overview of the valuation of the Jogos Almirante based on three different methods: Discounted Cash Flow, Venture Capital Method and Real Options.

Does direct cash flow presentation help in predicting future operating cash flow?

Research literature and regulators are unconditional in pointing the disclosure of operating cash flow through direct method a section of unique information. Besides the intuitive facet, it is also consistent in forecasting future operating cash flows and a cohesive piece to financial statement puzzle. Bearing this in mind, I produce an analysis on the usefulness and predictive ability on the disclosure of gross cash receipts and payments over the disclosure of reconciliation between net income and accruals for two markets with special features, Portugal and Spain. Results validate the usefulness of direct method format in predicting future operating cash flow. Key

The flow-performance relationship around the world

We use a new dataset to study how mutual fund flows depend on past performance across 28 countries. We show that there are marked differences in the flow-performance relationship across countries, suggesting that US findings concerning its shape do not apply universally. We find that mutual fund investors sell losers more and buy winners less in more developed countries. This is because investors in more developed countries are more sophisticated and face lower costs of participating in the mutual fund industry. Higher country-level convexity is positively associated with higher levels of risk taking by fund managers.

A type system for value-dependent information flow analysis

Information systems are widespread and used by anyone with computing devices as well as corporations and governments. It is often the case that security leaks are introduced during the development of an application. Reasons for these security bugs are multiple but among them one can easily identify that it is very hard to define and enforce relevant security policies in modern software. This is because modern applications often rely on container sharing and multi-tenancy where, for instance, data can be stored in the same physical space but is logically mapped into different security compartments or data structures. In turn, these security compartments, to which data is classified into in security policies, can also be dynamic and depend on runtime data. In this thesis we introduce and develop the novel notion of dependent information flow types, and focus on the problem of ensuring data confidentiality in data-centric software. Dependent information flow types fit within the standard framework of dependent type theory, but, unlike usual dependent types, crucially allow the security level of a type, rather than just the structural data type itself, to depend on runtime values. Our dependent function and dependent sum information flow types provide a direct, natural and elegant way to express and enforce fine grained security policies on programs. Namely programs that manipulate structured data types in which the security level of a structure field may depend on values dynamically stored in other fields The main contribution of this work is an efficient analysis that allows programmers to verify, during the development phase, whether programs have information leaks, that is, it verifies whether programs protect the confidentiality of the information they manipulate. As such, we also implemented a prototype typechecker that can be found at http://ctp.di.fct.unl.pt/DIFTprototype/.

Terapia celular com células mesenquimais por via intracoronária: contributos do estudo invasivo da microcirculação coronária

RESUMO: Introdução - A utilização de células e das suas propriedades para o tratamento das doenças cardiovasculares, é uma promessa para o futuro e talvez a única forma de ultrapassar algumas das insuficiências das terapêuticas atuais. A via de entrega das células mais utilizada na investigação tem sido a intracoronária, ganhando a microcirculação especial relevância, por ser onde ocorre a primeira interação com o tecido nativo. As células estaminais mesenquimais (CEM) têm propriedades que as tornam particularmente aptas para a Terapia Celular, mas as suas dimensões, superiores ao diâmetro dos capilares, tem motivado controvérsia quanto à sua entrega intracoronária. A cardiologia de intervenção tem atualmente técnicas que permitem a avaliação em tempo real e in vivo do estado da microcirculação coronária. A determinação do índice da resistência da microcirculação (IRM) fornece informação sobre a circulação dos pequenos vasos, de forma independente da circulação coronária e do estado hemodinâmico, mas a aplicabilidade clínica deste conhecimento encontra-se ainda por definir. Objectivos Esclarecer o potencial do IRM no estudo dos efeitos do transplante de CEM por via intracoronária. População e Métodos . Estudo pré-clínico com modelo animal (suíno) desenvolvido em 3 fases. Na Primeira Fase foram utilizados 8 animais saudáveis para estudar e validar a técnica de determinação de estudo da microcirculação. Efetuou-se a determinação do IRM com duas doses diferentes de papaverina para a indução da resposta hiperémica máxima (5 e 10 mg) e após a disfunção da microcirculação com injeção intracoronária de microesferas de embozene com 40 μm de diâmetro. Na Segunda Fase foram utilizados 18 animais saudáveis, randomizados em grupo controlo e grupo recetor de 30 x 106 CEM por via intracoronária. Foram avaliados de forma cega o IRM, a pressão aórtica, o fluxo coronário epicárdico e a ocorrência de alterações electrocardiográficas. Na Terceira Fase foram utilizados 18 animais, com enfarte agudo do miocárdio provocado (EAM), randomizados em grupo controlo, grupo recetor de CEM expandidas de forma convencional e grupo recetor de CEM expandidas com metodologia inovadora e de menores dimensões. Foi realizada uma exploração da dose/efeito com infusão faseada de 10 x 106, 15 x 106 e 20 x 106 CEM, com determinação do IRM, da pressão aórtica, do fluxo coronário epicárdico e da ocorrência de alterações eletrocardiográficas. Quatro semanas após a entrega das células foi novamente avaliado o IRM e foi efetuado o estudo anatomopatológico dos animais na procura de evidência de neoangiogénese e de regeneração miocárdica, ou de um efeito positivo da resposta reparadora após o enfarte. Resultados Nas 3 fases todos os animais mantiveram estabilidade hemodinâmica e eletrocardiográfica, com exceção da elevação de ST de V1-V3 verificada após a injeção das microesferas. Na Primeira Fase as duas doses de papaverina induziram uma resposta hiperémica eficaz, sem tradução com significado na determinação do IRM (variação da pressão distal de - 11,4 ± 5 e de - 10,6± 5 mmHg com as doses de 5 e 10 mg respetivamente (p=0,5). Com a injeção das microesferas o IRM teve uma elevação média de 310 ± 190 %, para um valor médio de 41,3 ± 16 U (p = 0,001). Na Segunda Fase não houve diferenças significativas dos parâmetros hemodinâmicos, do fluxo epicárdico e da avaliação eletrocardiográfica entre os dois grupos. O IRM de base foi semelhante e após a infusão intracoronária observou-se uma elevação expressiva do IRM nos animais que receberam células em comparação com o grupo controlo (8,8 U ± 1 vs. 14,2 U ± 1,8, P=0,02) e quanto ao seu valor de base (aumento de 112%, p=0,008). Na terceira Fase não houve novamente diferenças significativas dos parâmetros hemodinâmicos, do fluxo epicárdico e da avaliação eletrocardiográfica entre os três grupos. Houve uma elevação do IRM nos animais que receberam células a partir da 2ª dose (72% nas células convencionai e 108% nas células inovadoras) e que se manteve com a 3ª dose (100% nas células convencionais e 88% nas inovadoras) com significado estatístico em comparação com o grupo controlo (p=0,034 com a 2ªdose e p=0,024 com a 3ª dose). Quatro semanas após a entrega das CEM observou-se a descida do IRM nos dois grupos que receberam células, para valores sobreponíveis aos do grupo controlo e aos valores pós-EAM. Na avaliação anatomopatológica e histológica dos corações explantados não houve diferenças entre os três grupos. Conclusões O IRM permite distinguir alterações da microcirculação coronária motivadas pela entrega intracoronária de CEM, na ausência de alterações de outros parâmetros clínicos da circulação coronária utilizados em tempo real. As alterações do IRM são progressivas e passíveis de avaliar o efeito/dose, embora não tenha sido possível determinar diferenças com os dois tipos de CEM. No nosso modelo a injeção intracoronária não se associou a evidência de efeito benéfico na reparação ou regeneração miocárdica após o EAM.---------------------------- ABSTRACT: ABSTRACT Introduction The use of cells for the treatment of cardiovascular disease is a promise for the future and perhaps the only option to overcome some of the shortcomings of current therapies. The strategy for the delivery of cells most often used in current research has been the intracoronary route and due to this microcirculation gains special relevance, mainly because it is the first interaction site of transplanted cells with the native tissue. Mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) have properties that make them suitable for Cell Therapy, but its dimensions, larger than the diameter of capillaries, have prompted controversy about the safety of intracoronary delivery. The interventional cardiology currently has techniques that allow for real-time and in vivo assessment of coronary microcirculation state. The determination of the index of microcirculatory resistance index (IMR) provides information about small vessels, independently of the coronary circulation and hemodynamic status, but the clinical applicability of this knowledge is yet to be defined. Objectives To clarify the potential use of IMR in the study of the effects of MSC through intracoronary transplantation. Population and Methods Preclinical study with swine model developed in three phases. In Phase One 8 healthy animals were used to study and validate the IMR assessment in our animal model. IMR was assessed with two different doses of papaverine for inducing the maximal hyperaemic response (5 and 10 mg) and microcirculation dysfunction was achieved after intracoronary injection with embozene microspheres with 40 μm in diameter. In Phase Two we randomized 18 healthy animals divided between the control group and the one receiving 30 x 106 MSC through an intracoronary infusion. There we blindly evaluated IMR, the aortic pressure, the epicardial coronary flow and the occurrence of ECG changes. In Phase Three we used 18 animals with a provoked acute myocardial infarction (AMI), randomized into a control group, a MSC expanded conventionally receiver group and a MSC expanded with an innovative methodology receiver group. There was a stepwise infusion with doses of 10 x 106, 15 x 106 and 20 x 106 MSC with determination of IMR, the aortic pressure, the epicardial coronary flow and occurrence of electrocardiographic abnormalities. Four weeks after cell delivery we again measured the IMR and proceeded with the pathological study of animals in the search for evidence of neoangiogenesis and myocardial regeneration, or a positive effect in the reparative response following the infarction. Results All animals remained hemodynamically stable and with no electrocardiographic abnormalities, except for the ST elevation in V1-V3 observed after injection of the microspheres. In Phase One the two doses of papaverine achieved an hyperemic and effective response without significant differences in IMR (variation of the distal pressure -11.4 ± 5 and -10.6 ± 5 mmHg with the doses of 5 and 10 mg respectively (p = 0.5). With the injection of the microspheres the IMR had an average increase of 310 ± 190% for an average value of 41.3 ± 16 U (p = 0.001). In the second phase there were no significant differences in hemodynamic parameters, epicardial flow and electrocardiographic assessment between the two groups. The baseline IMR was similar and after intracoronary infusion there was a significant increase in animals receiving cells compared with the control group (8.8 ± U 1 vs. 14.2 ± 1.8, p = 0.02) and with their baseline (112% increase, p = 0.008). In the third phase again there were no significant differences in hemodynamic parameters, the epicardial flow and electrocardiographic evaluation between the three groups. There was a significant increase in IMR in animals that received cells from the 2nd dose (72% in conventional cells and 108% in the innovative cells) that remained with the 3rd dose (100% in conventional cells and 88% in the innovative) with statistical significance compared with the control group (p = 0.034 with 2nd dose, p = 0.024 with 3rd dose). Four weeks after delivery of the MSC we observed the fall of the IMR in the two groups that received cells with values overlapping those of the control group. In pathological and histological evaluation of removed hearts there were no differences among the three groups. Conclusions The IMR allows for the differentiation of changes in coronary microcirculation motivated by intracoronary delivery of MSC in the absence of modification in other clinical parameters. IMR changes are progressive and enable the evaluation of the effect / dose, though it has not been possible to determine differences in the two types of MSC. In our model, intracoronary injection of MSC was not associated with evidence of repair or myocardial regeneration after AMI.

Reporting cash flow evidence from campanies listed in the Euronext Lisbon

Based on the 2013 and 2014 consolidated statements of cash flows of companies listed in Euronext Lisbon, this Work Project analyses the cash flow disclosures, namely if they are in accordance with International Accounting Standards 7, specifically the format, the choice of classification interests, dividends paid and received and the composition of cash and cash equivalents. Additionally, quality of income ratio is analyzed due to its importance for users of financial statements. The results show evidence of uniformity and consistency in the use of the direct method for reporting operational activities in both years, but there are some differences regarding the disclosure of interests and dividends, paid and received, respectively.