A data-mining based methodology for wind forecasting

In many countries the use of renewable energy is increasing due to the introduction of new energy and environmental policies. Thus, the focus on the efficient integration of renewable energy into electric power systems is becoming extremely important. Several European countries have already achieved high penetration of wind based electricity generation and are gradually evolving towards intensive use of this generation technology. The introduction of wind based generation in power systems poses new challenges for the power system operators. This is mainly due to the variability and uncertainty in weather conditions and, consequently, in the wind based generation. In order to deal with this uncertainty and to improve the power system efficiency, adequate wind forecasting tools must be used. This paper proposes a data-mining-based methodology for very short-term wind forecasting, which is suitable to deal with large real databases. The paper includes a case study based on a real database regarding the last three years of wind speed, and results for wind speed forecasting at 5 minutes intervals.

Qualidade da fragmentação no desmonte de rocha: análise preliminar

Mestrado em Engenharia Geotécnica e Geoambiente

Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting using Support Vector Machines

Wind speed forecasting has been becoming an important field of research to support the electricity industry mainly due to the increasing use of distributed energy sources, largely based on renewable sources. This type of electricity generation is highly dependent on the weather conditions variability, particularly the variability of the wind speed. Therefore, accurate wind power forecasting models are required to the operation and planning of wind plants and power systems. A Support Vector Machines (SVM) model for short-term wind speed is proposed and its performance is evaluated and compared with several artificial neural network (ANN) based approaches. A case study based on a real database regarding 3 years for predicting wind speed at 5 minutes intervals is presented.

Influência dos equipamentos de aquecimento, arrefecimento e AQS na certificação energética de edifícios

Na União Europeia os sectores dos transportes e da indústria são ambos grandes consumidores de energia, mas são os edifícios residenciais e de serviços onde o consumo energético é maior, e em 2005, segundo a EnerBuilding, representavam cerca de 17% dos consumos de energia primária em termos nacionais. A energia gasta com a iluminação, o aquecimento, o arrefecimento e AQS das habitações, locais de trabalho e locais de lazer é superior à consumida pelos sectores dos transportes e da indústria. As habitações representam dois terços do consumo total de energia dos edifícios europeus, o qual aumenta todos os anos com a melhoria da qualidade de vida, traduzindo-se numa maior utilização dos sistemas de climatização. Neste sentido, e de acordo com o decreto-lei que transpõe para a legislação portuguesa a diretiva comunitária relativa ao desempenho energético dos edifícios, todos os Estados da União Europeia devem ter um sistema de certificação energética para informar o cidadão sobre a qualidade térmica dos edifícios, aquando da construção, da venda ou do arrendamento. Assim, entrou em vigor em Portugal, desde 1 de Janeiro de 2009, a obrigatoriedade de apresentação de um certificado de eficiência energética, no ato de compra, venda ou aluguer de edifícios novos e existentes. A certificação energética permite assim aos futuros utilizadores dos edifícios obter informação sobre os potenciais consumos de energia, no caso dos novos edifícios ou no caso de edifícios existentes sujeitos a grandes intervenções de reabilitação, dos seus consumos reais ou aferidos para padrões de utilização típicos, passando o consumo energético a integrar um conjunto dos aspetos importantes para a caracterização de qualquer edifício. Em edifícios de serviços, o certificado energético assegura aos utentes do edifício ou da fração que este reúne condições para garantir a eficiência energética e a adequada qualidade do ar interior. Uma vez que passamos 80% do nosso tempo em edifícios, e que isto se reflete num consumo cada vez mais elevado do sector residencial e dos serviços no consumo total energético do país, este trabalho pretende fazer a comparação dos vários equipamentos de aquecimento, de arrefecimento e de AQS e qual a influência dos mesmos na certificação energética de edifícios, e consequentemente na eficiência dos mesmos, sendo que a eficiência e a certificação energética de um edifício deve ser um aspeto relevante a levar em consideração no momento do planeamento ou da construção, bem como na aquisição de uma nova habitação. Um projeto concebido de modo a tirar proveito das condições climáticas, da orientação solar, dos ventos dominantes e utilizadas técnicas construtivas e os materiais adequados, é possível reduzir os gastos energéticos com a iluminação ou os sistemas de climatização.

Oxidative Stress in Diabetic Neuropathy

For treating chronic pain, a multifactorial condition, is needed a suitable diagnosis which allows the differentiation in its many components. Diabetic neuropathy is a worldwide disease with great impact in the modern society. Diabetes may leads to the production of reactive oxygen species that are associated to oxidative stress, which may be a key factor in the development of diabetic neuropathy. The main goal is to inquire a potential association between chronic pain, diabetic neuropathy and oxidative stress. Thus, was performed a meta-analysis that permitted the causal evaluation between oxidative stress and diabetic neuropathy, and, a pain evaluation was accomplished in a convenience sample using validated surveys – Brief Pain Inventory (BPI) and Douleur Neuropathique 4 (DN4). Through the meta-analysis it was possible evaluate oxidative stress biomarkers, such lipid peroxidation, superoxide dismutase and catalase activities, and reduced glutathione. 9 studies were selected and all were performed in mouse models. The levels of lipid peroxidation were increased in all the studies, however the levels of the other biomarkers were diminished in diabetic models comparatively to healthy controls. In the evaluation of convenience sample, 84 surveys were collected along the four seasons: summer, autumn, winter and spring. The pain complaints were described in terms of local, intensity, impact, relief by medication and its effect on daily activities using BPI questionnaire. The scores obtained in BPI indicate the presence of moderate to severe pain, with increased complaints in autumn and spring, and implications in daily activities, transversal to all groups. To determine the main features associated with neuropathic pain it was used DN4 questionnaire. The DN4 indicated the presence of nearly 50% of patients with neuropathic pain. The results suggest that being female, the increased age and being retired can influence chronic pain and neuropathic pain in patients. As main conclusions, it was possible to verify an association between oxidative stress, and neuropathic pain, and, also, that weather conditions may influence the pain complaints and its prevalence.