Using demand response to deal with unexpected low wind power generation in the context of smart grid

Demand response is assumed an essential resource to fully achieve the smart grids operating benefits, namely in the context of competitive markets. Some advantages of Demand Response (DR) programs and of smart grids can only be achieved through the implementation of Real Time Pricing (RTP). The integration of the expected increasing amounts of distributed energy resources, as well as new players, requires new approaches for the changing operation of power systems. The methodology proposed aims the minimization of the operation costs in a smart grid operated by a virtual power player. It is especially useful when actual and day ahead wind forecast differ significantly. When facing lower wind power generation than expected, RTP is used in order to minimize the impacts of such wind availability change. The proposed model application is here illustrated using the scenario of a special wind availability reduction day in the Portuguese power system (8th February 2012).

Aplicação do Ensaio de Porta Ventiladora ao Regulamento das Características de Comportamento Térmico dos Edifícios

Com a crescente sensibilização mundial relativa ao aquecimento global, provocado pela alta quantidade de emissão de gases com efeito de estufa, torna-se imperativa a redução de consumos de combustíveis fósseis e consecutivas emissões. Ao nível da construção civil, uma intervenção eficaz na prevenção de perdas de ar aquecido poderá levar a diminuições superiores a 50% na utilização de energia. Este trabalho pretende estudar a importância da eficiência energética nos edifícios, com especial enfoque na sua permeabilidade ao ar. O ensaio de porta ventiladora permite avaliar esta permeabilidade e identificar os locais onde se dão as infiltrações, nomeadamente com auxílio da câmara térmica. O principal objectivo é estudar a aplicação deste ensaio na legislação em desenvolvimento no âmbito da certificação energética, através da comparação dos resultados de quatro habitações distintas. Também ao nível da eficiência energética, será obtida a classe energética, segundo a legislação em vigor à corrente data em Portugal, de uma das habitaçãoes ensaiadas e propostas medidas de melhoria para o desempenho energético desta. Do estudo efectuado é destacado o facto de o valor de renovações horárias do ar interior de uma fracção ser sempre inferior quando obtido unicamente através da legislação em desenvolvimento, em comparação com a obtenção deste através da legislação com auxílio do ensaio da porta ventiladora, o que leva a um grande desincentivo na utilização deste.

Age-period-cohort effects in the incidence of hip fractures: political and economic events are coincident with changes in risk

Introduction: Healthcare improvements have allowed prevention but have also increased life expectancy, resulting in more people being at risk. Our aim was to analyse the separate effects of age, period and cohort on incidence rates by sex in Portugal, 2000–2008. Methods: From the National Hospital Discharge Register, we selected admissions (aged ≥49 years) with hip fractures (ICD9-CM, codes 820.x) caused by low/moderate trauma (falls from standing height or less), readmissions and bone cancer cases. We calculated person-years at risk using population data from Statistics Portugal. To identify period and cohort effects for all ages, we used an age–period–cohort model (1-year intervals) followed by generalised additive models with a negative binomial distribution of the observed incidence rates of hip fractures. Results: There were 77,083 hospital admissions (77.4 % women). Incidence rates increased exponentially with age for both sexes (age effect). Incidence rates fell after 2004 for women and were random for men (period effect). There was a general cohort effect similar in both sexes; risk of hip fracture altered from an increasing trend for those born before 1930 to a decreasing trend following that year. Risk alterations (not statistically significant) coincident with major political and economic change in the history of Portugal were observed around birth cohorts 1920 (stable–increasing), 1940 (decreasing–increasing) and 1950 (increasing–decreasing only among women). Conclusions: Hip fracture risk was higher for those born during major economically/politically unstable periods. Although bone quality reflects lifetime exposure, conditions at birth may determine future risk for hip fractures.