Analyzing Multiple Outcomes: Is it Really Worth the use of Multivariate Linear Regression?

In health related research it is common to have multiple outcomes of interest in a single study. These outcomes are often analysed separately, ignoring the correlation between them. One would expect that a multivariate approach would be a more efficient alternative to individual analyses of each outcome. Surprisingly, this is not always the case. In this article we discuss different settings of linear models and compare the multivariate and univariate approaches. We show that for linear regression models, the estimates of the regression parameters associated with covariates that are shared across the outcomes are the same for the multivariate and univariate models while for outcome-specific covariates the multivariate model performs better in terms of efficiency.

Training control centers' operators in incident diagnosis and power restoration using intelligent tutoring systems

The activity of Control Center operators is important to guarantee the effective performance of Power Systems. Operators’ actions are crucial to deal with incidents, especially severe faults like blackouts. In this paper, we present an Intelligent Tutoring approach for training Portuguese Control Center operators in tasks like incident analysis and diagnosis, and service restoration of Power Systems. Intelligent Tutoring System (ITS) approach is used in the training of the operators, having into account context awareness and the unobtrusive integration in the working environment. Several Artificial Intelligence techniques were criteriously used and combined together to obtain an effective Intelligent Tutoring environment, namely Multiagent Systems, Neural Networks, Constraint-based Modeling, Intelligent Planning, Knowledge Representation, Expert Systems, User Modeling, and Intelligent User Interfaces.

An intelligent tutoring system for operators’ training in power system control centres

The activity of Control Center operators is important to guarantee the effective performance of Power Systems. Operators’ actions are crucial to deal with incidents, especially severe faults, like blackouts. In this paper we present an Intelligent Tutoring approach for training Portuguese Control Centre operators in tasks like incident analysis and diagnosis, and service restoration of Power Systems. Intelligent Tutoring System (ITS) approach is used in the training of the operators, taking into account context awareness and the unobtrusive integration in the working environment.

Determination of tartaric acid in wines by FIA with tubular tartrate-selective electrodes

A flow injection analysis (FIA) system comprising a tartrate- (TAT) selective electrode has been developed for determination of tartaric acid in wines. Several electrodes constructed for this purpose had a PVC membrane with a complex of quaternary ammonium and TAT as anion exchanger, a phenol derivative as additive, and a more or less polar mediator solvent. Characterization of the electrodes showed behavior was best for membranes with o-nitrophenyl octyl ether as solvent. On injection of 500 μL into a phosphate buffer carrier (pH = 3.1; ionic strength 10–2 mol/L) flowing at 3 mL/min, the slope was 58.06 ± 0.6 with a lower limit of linear range of 5.0 × 10–4 mol/L TAT and R2 = 0.9989. The interference of several species, e.g. chloride, bromide, iodide, nitrate, gallic acid, tannin, sucrose, glucose, fructose, acetate, and citrate, was evaluated in terms of potentiometric selectivity coefficients. The Hofmeister series was followed for inorganic species and the most interfering organic ion was citrate. When red and white wines were analyzed and the results compared with those from an independent method they were found to be accurate, with relative standard deviations below 5.0%.

Observability of nonlinear fractional dynamical systems

We study the observability of linear and nonlinear fractional differential systems of order 0 < α < 1 by using the Mittag-Leffler matrix function and the application of Banach’s contraction mapping theorem. Several examples illustrate the concepts.

Optimal tuning of fractional controllers using genetic algorithms

This study addresses the optimization of fractional algorithms for the discrete-time control of linear and non-linear systems. The paper starts by analyzing the fundamentals of fractional control systems and genetic algorithms. In a second phase the paper evaluates the problem in an optimization perspective. The results demonstrate the feasibility of the evolutionary strategy and the adaptability to distinct types of systems.

Performance of fractional PID algorithms controlling nonlinear systems with saturation and backlash phenomena

The development of fractional-order controllers is currently one of the most promising fields of research. However, most of the work in this area addresses the case of linear systems. This paper reports on the analysis of fractional-order control of nonlinear systems. The performance of discrete fractional-order PID controllers in the presence of several nonlinearities is discussed. Some results are provided that indicate the superior robustness of such algorithms.

Time domain design of fractional differintegrators using least-squares

In this paper we propose the use of the least-squares based methods for obtaining digital rational approximations (IIR filters) to fractional-order integrators and differentiators of type sα, α∈R. Adoption of the Padé, Prony and Shanks techniques is suggested. These techniques are usually applied in the signal modeling of deterministic signals. These methods yield suboptimal solutions to the problem which only requires finding the solution of a set of linear equations. The results reveal that the least-squares approach gives similar or superior approximations in comparison with other widely used methods. Their effectiveness is illustrated, both in the time and frequency domains, as well in the fractional differintegration of some standard time domain functions.

Delay approximation of fractional integrals

This paper explores the calculation of fractional integrals by means of the time delay operator. The study starts by reviewing the memory properties of fractional operators and their relationship with time delay. Based on the time response of the Mittag-Leffler function an approximation of fractional integrals consisting of time delayed samples is proposed. The tuning of the approximation is optimized by means of a genetic algorithm. The results demonstrate the feasibility of the new perspective and the limits of their application.

Fractional calculus analysis of the cosmic microwave background

Cosmic microwave background (CMB) radiation is the imprint from an early stage of the Universe and investigation of its properties is crucial for understanding the fundamental laws governing the structure and evolution of the Universe. Measurements of the CMB anisotropies are decisive to cosmology, since any cosmological model must explain it. The brightness, strongest at the microwave frequencies, is almost uniform in all directions, but tiny variations reveal a spatial pattern of small anisotropies. Active research is being developed seeking better interpretations of the phenomenon. This paper analyses the recent data in the perspective of fractional calculus. By taking advantage of the inherent memory of fractional operators some hidden properties are captured and described.

A Review of Operational Matrices and Spectral Techniques for Fractional Calculus

Recently, operational matrices were adapted for solving several kinds of fractional differential equations (FDEs). The use of numerical techniques in conjunction with operational matrices of some orthogonal polynomials, for the solution of FDEs on finite and infinite intervals, produced highly accurate solutions for such equations. This article discusses spectral techniques based on operational matrices of fractional derivatives and integrals for solving several kinds of linear and nonlinear FDEs. More precisely, we present the operational matrices of fractional derivatives and integrals, for several polynomials on bounded domains, such as the Legendre, Chebyshev, Jacobi and Bernstein polynomials, and we use them with different spectral techniques for solving the aforementioned equations on bounded domains. The operational matrices of fractional derivatives and integrals are also presented for orthogonal Laguerre and modified generalized Laguerre polynomials, and their use with numerical techniques for solving FDEs on a semi-infinite interval is discussed. Several examples are presented to illustrate the numerical and theoretical properties of various spectral techniques for solving FDEs on finite and semi-infinite intervals.

Multi-agent simulation of competitive electricity markets: Autonomous systems cooperation for European market modeling

The electricity market restructuring, and its worldwide evolution into regional and even continental scales, along with the increasing necessity for an adequate integration of renewable energy sources, is resulting in a rising complexity in power systems operation. Several power system simulators have been developed in recent years with the purpose of helping operators, regulators, and involved players to understand and deal with this complex and constantly changing environment. The main contribution of this paper is given by the integration of several electricity market and power system models, respecting to the reality of different countries. This integration is done through the development of an upper ontology which integrates the essential concepts necessary to interpret all the available information. The continuous development of Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets platform provides the means for the exemplification of the usefulness of this ontology. A case study using the proposed multi-agent platform is presented, considering a scenario based on real data that simulates the European Electricity Market environment, and comparing its performance using different market mechanisms. The main goal is to demonstrate the advantages that the integration of various market models and simulation platforms have for the study of the electricity markets’ evolution.

Lanczos algorithm on the grassmann manifold

5th. European Congress on Computational Methods in Applied Sciences and Engineering (ECCOMAS 2008) 8th. World Congress on Computational Mechanics (WCCM8)

Estudo empírico da caracterização da selecção de fornecedores

O problema de selecção de fornecedores/parceiros é uma parte integrante e importante nas empresas que se propõem a um desempenho competitivo e lucrativo na sua área de actividade. A escolha do melhor fornecedor/parceiro passa na maior parte da vezes por fazer uma análise cuidada dos factores que podem influenciar positiva ou negativamente essa escolha. Desde cedo este problema tem vindo a ser alvo de inúmeros estudos, estudos esses que se focam essencialmente nos critérios a considerar e nas metodologias a adoptar para optimizar a escolha dos parceiros. De entre os vários estudos efectuados, muitos são os que consideram como critérios chave o custo do produto, a qualidade, a entrega e a reputação da empresa fornecedora. Ainda assim, há muitos outros que são referidos e que na sua maioria se apresentam como subcritérios. No âmbito deste trabalho, foram identificados cinco grandes critérios, Qualidade, Sistema Financeiro, Sinergias, Custo e Sistema Produtivo. Dentro desses critérios, sentiu-se a necessidade de incluir alguns subcritérios pelo que, cada um dos critérios chave apresenta cinco subcritérios. Identificados os critérios, foi necessário perceber de que forma são aplicados e que modelos são utilizados para se poder tirar o melhor partido das informações. Sabendo que existem modelos que privilegiam a programação matemática e outros que fazem uso de ponderações lineares para se identificar o melhor fornecedor, foi realizado um inquérito e contactadas empresas por forma a perceber quais os factores que mais peso tinham nas suas decisões de escolha de parceiros. Interpretados os resultados e tratados os dados foi adoptado um modelo de ponderação linear para traduzir a importância de cada um dos factores. O modelo proposto apresenta uma estrutura hierárquica e pode ser aplicado com o método AHP de Saaty ou o método de Análise de Valor. Este modelo permite escolher a ou as alternativas que melhor se adequam aos requisitos das empresas.

Melhoria do processo produtivo da Schmitt+Sohn Elevadores - Porto

Este projeto teve como objetivo a utilização de ferramentas e conceitos Lean, para análise e implementação da Melhoria de Processos em ambiente fabril, com o intuito de melhorar o sistema produtivo em algumas secções da empresa SCHMITT+SOHN Elevadores. Pretende-se nesta primeira fase uma melhoria na comunicação entre os vários setores fabris, assim como uma melhoria no fluxo dos materiais. Pretende-se igualmente uma simplificação das ações dos operadores nos seus locais de trabalho. Foi para isso necessário, numa fase inicial, a recolha e análise dos diversos dados necessários ao trabalho proposto. Foram feitos diversos VSM’s e análises de fluxo em duas secções da empresa, com o intuito de estudar a situação atual e posteriormente proceder à implementação de um sistema Kanban. Foram também analisados problemas a nível de stocks e armazenamento de matéria-prima e materiais diversos tendo sido concretizadas diversas soluções. O trabalho que apresentamos foi fortemente condicionado por imperativos ditados pela empresa, tendo o nosso estudo e aplicações praticas um suporte de apenas 3 meses. No restante período estivemos condicionados pela empresa a trabalhos de conhecimento do funcionamento da mesma, formação em Kaizen e preparação para as implementações de VSM e Kanban. Nesta fase é ainda prematura a validação dos resultados obtidos nas secções, visto que o processo para a implementação do sistema Kanban ainda se encontra em fase de desenvolvimento.