A short-term risk management tool applied to OMEL electricity market using particle swarm optimization

Short-term risk management is highly dependent on long-term contractual decisions previously established; risk aversion factor of the agent and short-term price forecast accuracy. Trying to give answers to that problem, this paper provides a different approach for short-term risk management on electricity markets. Based on long-term contractual decisions and making use of a price range forecast method developed by the authors, the short-term risk management tool presented here has as main concern to find the optimal spot market strategies that a producer should have for a specific day in function of his risk aversion factor, with the objective to maximize the profits and simultaneously to practice the hedge against price market volatility. Due to the complexity of the optimization problem, the authors make use of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to find the optimal solution. Results from realistic data, namely from OMEL electricity market, are presented and discussed in detail.

Intersubjectivity and a practical intersubjective ethics of translation

This essay suggests that the intersubjectivity in translation should be given priority because different stages of the translation activity have different subjects, and presents a practical intersubjective ethics of translation based on an interpretation of the intersubjective relations connected with translation activities in a perspective of game theory in the hope that it can equip us with better explanations of the translator’s calculations or considerations in the professional practice.

A actual regulação do crédito ao consumo

"Consumidores somos todos nós como impressivamente se ex­pressou John F. Kennedy em 15 de Março de 1962. E diríamos que "consumidores de credito "somos muitos. É neste contexto que assume especial relevância a recente aprovação, no nosso ordenamento jurídico, de nova normativa reguladora do crédito ao consumo. Por outro lado, será de realçar o comando consti­tucional que prevê a protecção dos consumidores. De facto, prescreve o artigo 60° da Constituição da República Portuguesa que "os consu­midores têm direito à qualidade dos bens e serviços consumidos, à for­mação e à informação, à protecção da saúde, da segurança e dos seus interesses económicos, bem como à reparação dos danos". lmporta, pois, conhecer em rigor as normas que actualmente re­gem o acesso e a regulação dos contratos de crédito ao consumo, num contexto de harmonização comunitária deste instituto jurídico-económico. Será oportuno, sobretudo, compreender de que forma o diploma que actualmente rege a matéria em questão protege de modo mais vin­cado a parte considerada economicamente mais débil.

Multidimensional Scaling Visualization using Parametric Similarity Indices

In this paper, we apply multidimensional scaling (MDS) and parametric similarity indices (PSI) in the analysis of complex systems (CS). Each CS is viewed as a dynamical system, exhibiting an output time-series to be interpreted as a manifestation of its behavior. We start by adopting a sliding window to sample the original data into several consecutive time periods. Second, we define a given PSI for tracking pieces of data. We then compare the windows for different values of the parameter, and we generate the corresponding MDS maps of ‘points’. Third, we use Procrustes analysis to linearly transform the MDS charts for maximum superposition and to build a global MDS map of “shapes”. This final plot captures the time evolution of the phenomena and is sensitive to the PSI adopted. The generalized correlation, the Minkowski distance and four entropy-based indices are tested. The proposed approach is applied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average stock market index and the Europe Brent Spot Price FOB time-series.