Hybrid fuzzy Monte Carlo technique for reliability assessment in transmission power systems

This paper proposes a new methodology to reduce the probability of occurring states that cause load curtailment, while minimizing the involved costs to achieve that reduction. The methodology is supported by a hybrid method based on Fuzzy Set and Monte Carlo Simulation to catch both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters of transmission power system. The novelty of this research work consists in proposing two fundamentals approaches: 1) a global steady approach which deals with building the model of a faulted transmission power system aiming at minimizing the unavailability corresponding to each faulted component in transmission power system. This, results in the minimal global cost investment for the faulted components in a system states sample of the transmission network; 2) a dynamic iterative approach that checks individually the investment’s effect on the transmission network. A case study using the Reliability Test System (RTS) 1996 IEEE 24 Buses is presented to illustrate in detail the application of the proposed methodology.

Hybrid fuzzy Monte Carlo and logic programming model for distribution network reconfiguration in the presence of outages

This paper presents a methodology for distribution networks reconfiguration in outage presence in order to choose the reconfiguration that presents the lower power losses. The methodology is based on statistical failure and repair data of the distribution power system components and uses fuzzy-probabilistic modelling for system component outage parameters. Fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters are obtained by statistical records. A hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. Once obtained the system states by Monte Carlo simulation, a logical programming algorithm is applied to get all possible reconfigurations for every system state. In order to evaluate the line flows and bus voltages and to identify if there is any overloading, and/or voltage violation a distribution power flow has been applied to select the feasible reconfiguration with lower power losses. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology to a practical case, the paper includes a case study that considers a real distribution network.

Fuzzy Monte Carlo mathematical model for load curtailment minimization in transmission power systems

This paper presents a methodology which is based on statistical failure and repair data of the transmission power system components and uses fuzzyprobabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. Using statistical records allows developing the fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. A network contingency analysis to identify any overloading or voltage violation in the network is performed once obtained the system states by Monte Carlo simulation. This is followed by a remedial action algorithm, based on optimal power flow, to reschedule generations and alleviate constraint violations and, at the same time, to avoid any load curtailment, if possible, or, otherwise, to minimize the total load curtailment, for the states identified by the contingency analysis. In order to illustrate the application of the proposed methodology to a practical case, the paper will include a case study for the Reliability Test System (RTS) 1996 IEEE 24 BUS.

Logic programming and fuzzy Monte Carlo for distribution network reconfiguration

This paper present a methodology to choose the distribution networks reconfiguration that presents the lower power losses. The proposed methodology is based on statistical failure and repair data of the distribution power system components and uses fuzzy-probabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method using fuzzy sets and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzyprobabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. A logic programming algorithm is applied, once obtained the system states by Monte Carlo Simulation, to get all possible reconfigurations for each system state. To evaluate the line flows and bus voltages and to identify if there is any overloading, and/or voltage violation an AC load flow has been applied to select the feasible reconfiguration with lower power losses. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology, the paper includes a case study that considers a 115 buses distribution network.

Hay vida más allá del trabajo: la relación entre la recuperación de recursos y el desempeño en el trabajo

En los últimos años presenciamos profundas alteraciones en la relación trabajo/ tiempo libre. El proceso de globalización, las alteraciones económicas y sociales produjeron cambios en las estructuras sociales, en el trabajo y en la forma como los individuos ocupan su tiempo libre. Estas transformaciones tuvieron un impacto indeleble en la organización del trabajo, con consecuencias a nivel de las exigencias colocadas a los trabajadores; éstos se vieron obligados a adaptarse a medios cada vez más exigentes, estresantes y en constante mutación. Al mismo tiempo, muchos trabajadores vieron que aumentaba su jornada de trabajo y disminuían los períodos de descanso, dejando poco tiempo para la recuperación de las presiones a que estuvieron sujetos a lo largo de la jornada laboral.

Gestão do risco em mercados de energia eléctrica recorrendo ao VaR por simulação de Monte Carlo

Mestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica – Sistemas Eléctricos de Energia.

Prospecção de recursos hidrominerais e geotérmicos na Orla Ocidental Portuguesa: os casos das Termas dos Cucos e de Monte Real

A cobertura sedimentar da região Oeste portuguesa é constituída por uma série possante de sedimentos com uma variedade de fácies com idades compreendidas entre o Triásico Superior e o actual. Estes sedimentos foram depositados numa bacia alongada com direcção NNE‐SSW. A tectónica desta cobertura sedimentar é condicionada pelas falhas tardi‐Variscas que afectaram o substrato e pelo complexo evaporítico depositado na base das séries sedimentares. Séries evaporíticas espessas de idade Hetangiana formaram numerosas estruturas diapíricas. Na região Oeste de Portugal existem diversas nascentes minerais e termais usadas para hidroterapia. Esta tese tem por objectivo estudar as concessões hidrominerais das Termas dos Cucos e das Termas de Monte Real (Portugal Central), bem como as suas áreas envolventes. Estas actividades hidroterapêuticas são muito relevantes em termos sócio‐económicos para os concelhos de Torres Vedras e Leiria. Os estudos contemplados nesta tese (que incluíram trabalho de campo no domínio da geotectónica, geomorfologia e hidrogeologia) permitiram delinear modelos hidrogeológicos conceptuais, apoiados, ainda, pela re‐interpretação de estudos geofísicos e hidrogeológicos prévios. A caracterização destas áreas foi suportada por inventários hidrogeológicos, tendo sido determinante para o projecto dos furos de captação, incluindo localização e profundidade. Todos os dados compilados foram representados cartograficamente numa base de Sistemas de Informação Geográfica (SIG).

El predomínio del inglês en el lenguaje científico: características del lenguaje médico español en la actualidad

Sin lugar a dudas, el inglés se ha convertido en las últimas décadas en la lingua franca de la comunidad científica internacional, desplazando incluso a otras lenguas que tuvieron una gran importancia en otras épocas, caso del francés o del alemán. El lenguaje científico español también ha sucumbido a esta entrada masiva del inglés en las distintas disciplinas científico-técnicas, y presenta desde hace unas décadas ciertas características que no son propias de las reglas gramaticales del español y que son el fruto de una contaminación lingüística derivada de la penetración del inglés. El objetivo del presente artículo es analizar las características del lenguaje médico tal y como lo podemos encontrar en las publicaciones españolas actuales. Para ello, el artículo se divide en tres apartados: en primer lugar, haremos un breve recorrido por la historia del lenguaje médico como punto de partida para comprender la evolución de este lenguaje. En segundo lugar, analizaremos las características principales dentro de los niveles léxicosemántico, morfosintáctico y fonético-fonológico del lenguaje médico español y veremos la influencia que ha tenido el inglés en el proceso de evolución del mismo. En tercer lugar, examinaremos los procedimientos de creación y formación de términos médicos y cómo afectan al desarrollo lingüístico de la terminología.

Fuzzy Monte Carlo model for transmission power systems reliability based decision making

This thesis presents the Fuzzy Monte Carlo Model for Transmission Power Systems Reliability based studies (FMC-TRel) methodology, which is based on statistical failure and repair data of the transmission power system components and uses fuzzyprobabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. Using statistical records allows developing the fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. A network contingency analysis to identify any overloading or voltage violation in the network is performed once obtained the system states. This is followed by a remedial action algorithm, based on Optimal Power Flow, to reschedule generations and alleviate constraint violations and, at the same time, to avoid any load curtailment, if possible, or, otherwise, to minimize the total load curtailment, for the states identified by the contingency analysis. For the system states that cause load curtailment, an optimization approach is applied to reduce the probability of occurrence of these states while minimizing the costs to achieve that reduction. This methodology is of most importance for supporting the transmission system operator decision making, namely in the identification of critical components and in the planning of future investments in the transmission power system. A case study based on Reliability Test System (RTS) 1996 IEEE 24 Bus is presented to illustrate with detail the application of the proposed methodology.

La representación del trabajo de las mujeres en la prensa española

Este artículo presenta los principales resultados de una investigación de doctorado donde abordamos la representación del trabajo de las mujeres en la prensa española. Nuestra metodología se basó en la aplicación de la herramienta de análisis de contenido, Test ADSH, para evaluar la mirada informativa sobre este aspecto concreto de la realidad social.

Monte Carlo na Avaliação de Opções Americanas

A determinação do preço justo de um contrato de opções, trouxe enormes desa os a diversos ramos da Matemática procurando desenvolver e aperfeiçoar modelos e métodos que melhor representem os comportamentos dos mercados nanceiros. A avaliação de opções americanas apresenta uma di culdade acrescida, uma vez que é necessário determinar uma estratégia óptima ao seu exercício antecipado, já que estas opções podem ser exercidas em qualquer momento até à sua maturidade. Investigações recentes mostram que metodologias baseadas em técnicas de simulação podem ser usadas com sucesso neste tipo de opções (Duan and Simonato (2001), Longsta and Schwartz (2001), Stentoft (2005)). Neste trabalho, usamos métodos de Monte Carlo para avaliar opções Americanas, recorrendo à abordagem sugerida por Longsta and Schwartz (2001), combinando modelos GARCH para o subjacente com Filtered Historical Simulation (Barone, Engle and Mancini (2008)).

A genetic algorithm for the job shop scheduling with a new local search using Monte Carlo method

This paper presents a methodology for applying scheduling algorithms using Monte Carlo simulation. The methodology is based on a decision support system (DSS). The proposed methodology combines a genetic algorithm with a new local search using Monte Carlo Method. The methodology is applied to the job shop scheduling problem (JSSP). The JSSP is a difficult problem in combinatorial optimization for which extensive investigation has been devoted to the development of efficient algorithms. The methodology is tested on a set of standard instances taken from the literature and compared with others. The computation results validate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. The DSS developed can be utilized in a common industrial or construction environment.