Investment optimization in distribution network based on fuzzy outage parameters

This paper presents a methodology that aims to increase the probability of delivering power to any load point of the electrical distribution system by identifying new investments in distribution components. The methodology is based on statistical failure and repair data of the distribution power system components and it uses fuzzy-probabilistic modelling for system component outage parameters. Fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters are obtained by statistical records. A mixed integer non-linear optimization technique is developed to identify adequate investments in distribution networks components that allow increasing the availability level for any customer in the distribution system at minimum cost for the system operator. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology, the paper includes a case study that considers a real distribution network.

The application of Basel III in Portugal: previsions based on 2012 and 2013 banking balance-sheets

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) introduced new regulations for banking supervision in December 2010, better known as Basel III recommendations that aimed at guaranteeing the solidity of banks worldwide and the mitigation of new banking crises risks. The European Union transposed these directives through the Credit Review Directives IV (CRD IV). Portugal adopted CRD IV by a new decree-law no. 157/2014, on 24 th October 2014, enforced from 24 th November 2014. While individual banks have been given the option of using the internal ratings based method, this study analyses the compliance levels of all Portuguese banking institutions using the standard method, also prescribed by BCBS. Our results show that out of thirteen banks on 31-12-2013 only five banks were in a comfortable position and the remaining eight could not reach the minimum requirements set up by BCBS for 1-1-2014.

Does corruption inhibit foreign direct investment?

Globalization creates new opportunities for firms to invest abroad and many economies are making active efforts to attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in order to promote economic growth. Decisions to invest abroad depend on a complex set of factors, but the least corrupt countries may attract more foreign direct investment because they provide a more favorable climate for investors. In this paper we investigate the impact of corruption on FDI inflows in 73 countries, over the period 1998-2008. Our results suggest that countries where corruption is lower, the FDI inflows are greater, and so controlling corruption may be an important strategy for increase FDI inflows.

Privatization and social welfare in an international mixed Stackelberg duopoly

Competition between public and private firms exists in a range of industries like telecommunications, electricity, natural gas, airlines industries, as weel as services including hospitals, banking and education. Some authors studied mixed oligopolies under Cournot competition (firms move simultaneously) and some others considered Stackelberg models (firms move sequentially). Tomaru [1] analyzed, in a Cournot model, how decision-making upon cost-reducing R&D investment by a domestic public firm is affected by privatization when competing in the domestic market with a foreign firm. He shows that privatization of the domestic public firm lowers productive efficiency and deteriorates domestic social welfare. In this paper, we examine the same question but in a Stackelberg formulation instead of Cournot. The model is a three-stage game. In the first stage, the domestic firm chooses the amount of cost-reducing R&D investment. Then, the firms compete à la Stackelberg. Two cases are considered: (i) The domestic firm is the leader; (ii) The foreign firm is the leader. We show that the results obtained in [1] for Cournot competition are robust in the sence that they are also true when firms move sequentially.

A internacionalização do setor bancário português

O processo de globalização, na esfera dos mercados financeiros, exigiu às instituições bancárias opções de investimento estratégico na plataforma internacional. O movimento de implantação dos bancos portugueses no estrangeiro acompanhou esse processo, permitindo a oferta de serviços bancários de captação e financiamento nos principais mercados de destino das exportações e emigração. A presente dissertação tem como objetivo o estudo do processo de internacionalização do setor bancário português centrado na seguinte questão geral de investigação: “Quais os fatores determinantes das variáveis que caraterizam a evolução do setor bancário português no exterior?” O desenvolvimento desta questão é conduzido através da construção de um modelo explicativo dos impactos de um conjunto de determinantes, selecionados a partir da revisão de literatura, sobre os indicadores que traduzem a dinâmica do negócio bancário no exterior. Neste contexto, pretendeu-se obter evidência empírica desses efeitos através de uma metodologia que consiste na estimação de modelos de dados em painel, utilizando uma amostra de seis bancos com relevância ao nível de investimento no mercado externo relativos ao período compreendido entre 2004 e 2014. Os resultados empíricos sugerem a existência de relações estatisticamente significativas entre as variáveis consideradas nos modelos. Foram encontrados indícios que associam consistentemente as variáveis emigração, Investimento Direto Estrangeiro, Produto Interno Bruto em Portugal e nos países de acolhimento, ativo bancário e inflação, com a evolução da atividade bancária no exterior. Adicionalmente, os resultados revelam que o desemprego e o rácio do crédito em relação ao ativo são estatisticamente significativos na sua influência sobre o indicador da rendibilidade dos bancos. Conclui-se que a significância dos fatores selecionados permite explicar o comportamento dos indicadores de negócio no exterior para os bancos estudados e, consequentemente, a validade do modelo de análise proposto. No entanto, não se exclui que outros elementos explicativos não ponderados no estudo tenham igualmente preponderância explicativa no processo de internacionalização do setor bancário.

Financiamentos das pequenas e médias empresas

Relatório de Estágio apresentado ao Instituto de Contabilidade e Administração do Porto para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Contabilidade e Finanças, sob orientação do Mestre Carlos Lourenço Moreira de Barros