Sistema pericial para suporte à decisão na alocação de recursos de emergência

O panorama atual da emergência e socorro de primeira linha em Portugal, carateriza-se por uma grande aposta ao longo dos últimos anos num incremento contínuo da qualidade e da eficiência que estes serviços prestam às populações locais. Com vista à prossecução do objetivo de melhoria contínua dos serviços, foram realizados ao longo dos últimos anos investimentos avultados ao nível dos recursos técnicos e ao nível da contratação e formação de recursos humanos altamente qualificados. Atualmente as instituições que prestam socorro e emergência de primeira linha estão bem dotadas ao nível físico e ao nível humano dos recursos necessários para fazerem face aos mais diversos tipos de ocorrências. Contudo, ao nível dos sistemas de informação de apoio à emergência e socorro de primeira linha, verifica-se uma inadequação (e por vezes inexistência) de sistemas informáticos capazes de suportar convenientemente o atual contexto de exigência e complexidade da emergência e socorro. Foi feita ao longo dos últimos anos, uma forte aposta na melhoria dos recursos físicos e dos recursos humanos encarregues da resposta àsemergência de primeira linha, mas descurou-se a área da gestão e análise da informação sobre as ocorrências, assim como, o delinear de possíveis estratégias de prevenção que uma análise sistematizada da informação sobre as ocorrências possibilita. Nas instituições de emergência e socorro de primeira linha em Portugal (bombeiros, proteção civil municipal, PSP, GNR, polícia municipal), prevalecem ainda hoje os sistemas informáticos apenas para o registo das ocorrências à posteriori e a total inexistência de sistemas de registo de informação e de apoio à decisão na alocação de recursos que operem em tempo real. A generalidade dos sistemas informáticos atualmente existentes nas instituições são unicamente de sistemas de backoffice, que não aproveitam a todas as potencialidades da informação operacional neles armazenada. Verificou-se também, que a geo-localização por via informática dos recursos físicos e de pontos de interesse relevantes em situações críticas é inexistente a este nível. Neste contexto, consideramos ser possível e importante alinhar o nível dos sistemas informáticos das instituições encarregues da emergência e socorro de primeira linha, com o nível dos recursos físicos e humanos que já dispõem atualmente. Dado que a emergência e socorro de primeira linha é um domínio claramente elegível para a aplicação de tecnologias provenientes dos domínios da inteligência artificial (nomeadamente sistemas periciais para apoio à decisão) e da geo-localização, decidimos no âmbito desta tese desenvolver um sistema informático capaz de colmatar muitas das lacunas por nós identificadas ao nível dos sistemas informáticos destas instituições. Pretendemos colocar as suas plataformas informáticas num nível similar ao dos seus recursos físicos e humanos. Assim, foram por nós identificadas duas áreas chave onde a implementação de sistemas informáticos adequados às reais necessidades das instituições podem ter um impacto muito proporcionar uma melhor gestão e otimização dos recursos físicos e humanos. As duas áreas chave por nós identificadas são o suporte à decisão na alocação dos recursos físicos e a geolocalização dos recursos físicos, das ocorrências e dos pontos de interesse. Procurando fornecer uma resposta válida e adequada a estas duas necessidades prementes, foi desenvolvido no âmbito desta tese o sistema CRITICAL DECISIONS. O sistema CRITICAL DECISIONS incorpora um conjunto de funcionalidades típicas de um sistema pericial, para o apoio na decisão de alocação de recursos físicos às ocorrências. A inferência automática dos recursos físicos, assenta num conjunto de regra de inferência armazenadas numa base de conhecimento, em constante crescimento e atualização, com base nas respostas bem sucedidas a ocorrências passadas. Para suprimir as carências aos nível da geo-localização dos recursos físicos, das ocorrências e dos pontos de interesse, o sistema CRITICAL DECISIONS incorpora também um conjunto de funcionalidades de geo-localização. Estas permitem a geo-localização de todos os recursos físicos da instituição, a geo-localização dos locais e as áreas das várias ocorrências, assim como, dos vários tipos de pontos de interesse. O sistema CRITICAL DECISIONS visa ainda suprimir um conjunto de outras carências por nós identificadas, ao nível da gestão documental (planos de emergência, plantas dos edifícios) , da comunicação, da partilha de informação entre as instituições de socorro e emergência locais, da contabilização dos tempos de serviço, entre outros. O sistema CRITICAL DECISIONS é o culminar de um esforço colaborativo e contínuo com várias instituições, responsáveis pela emergência e socorro de primeira linha a nível local. Esperamos com o sistema CRITICAL DECISIONS, dotar estas instituições de uma plataforma informática atual, inovadora, evolutiva, com baixos custos de implementação e de operação, capaz de proporcionar melhorias contínuas e significativas ao nível da qualidade da resposta às ocorrências, das capacidades de prevenção e de uma melhor otimização de todos os tipos de recursos que têm ao dispor.

Effects of international diffusion of a general purpose technology on wage inequality

This paper studies the effects of the diffusion of a General Purpose Technology (GPT) that spreads first within the developed North country of its origin, and then to a developing South country. In the developed general equilibrium growth model, each final good can be produced by one of two technologies. Each technology is characterized by a specific labor complemented by a specific set of intermediate goods, which are enhanced periodically by Schumpeterian R&D activities. When quality reaches a threshold level, a GPT arises in one of the technologies and spreads first to the other technology within the North. Then, it propagates to the South, following a similar sequence. Since diffusion is not even, neither intra- nor inter-country, the GPT produces successive changes in the direction of technological knowledge and in inter- and intra-country wage inequality. Through this mechanism the different observed paths of wage inequality can be accommodated.

Photoluminescence and electrical study of fluctuating potentials in Cu2ZnSnS4-based thin films

In this work, we investigated structural, morphological, electrical, and optical properties from a set of Cu2ZnSnS4 thin films grown by sulfurization of metallic precursors deposited on soda lime glass substrates coated with or without molybdenum. X-ray diffraction and Raman spectroscopy measurements revealed the formation of single-phase Cu2ZnSnS4 thin films. A good crystallinity and grain compactness of the film was found by scanning electron microscopy. The grown films are poor in copper and rich in zinc, which is a composition close to that of the Cu2ZnSnS4 solar cells with best reported efficiency. Electrical conductivity and Hall effect measurements showed a high doping level and a strong compensation. The temperature dependence of the free hole concentration showed that the films are nondegenerate. Photoluminescence spectroscopy showed an asymmetric broadband emission. The experimental behavior with increasing excitation power or temperature cannot be explained by donor-acceptor pair transitions. A model of radiative recombination of an electron with a hole bound to an acceptor level, broadened by potential fluctuations of the valence-band edge, was proposed. An ionization energy for the acceptor level in the range 29–40 meV was estimated, and a value of 172 ±2 meV was obtained for the potential fluctuation in the valence-band edge.

A study on security grade assignment model for mobile users in urban computing

The relation between the information/knowledge expression and the physical expression can be involved as one of items for an ambient intelligent computing [2],[3]. Moreover, because there are so many contexts around user/spaces during a user movement, all appplcation which are using AmI for users are based on the relation between user devices and environments. In these situations, it is possible that the AmI may output the wrong result from unreliable contexts by attackers. Recently, establishing a server have been utilizes, so finding secure contexts and make contexts of higher security level for save communication have been given importance. Attackers try to put their devices on the expected path of all users in order to obtain users informationillegally or they may try to broadcast their SPAMS to users. This paper is an extensionof [11] which studies the Security Grade Assignment Model (SGAM) to set Cyber-Society Organization (CSO).

Uncertainty assessment approach for composite structures based on global sensitivity indices

The problem of uncertainty propagation in composite laminate structures is studied. An approach based on the optimal design of composite structures to achieve a target reliability level is proposed. Using the Uniform Design Method (UDM), a set of design points is generated over a design domain centred at mean values of random variables, aimed at studying the space variability. The most critical Tsai number, the structural reliability index and the sensitivities are obtained for each UDM design point, using the maximum load obtained from optimal design search. Using the UDM design points as input/output patterns, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is developed based on supervised evolutionary learning. Finally, using the developed ANN a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is implemented and the variability of the structural response based on global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is studied. The GSA is based on the first order Sobol indices and relative sensitivities. An appropriate GSA algorithm aiming to obtain Sobol indices is proposed. The most important sources of uncertainty are identified.

Evaluating P-NET message's response time with fixed priority queuing at application process level

P-NET is a multi-master fieldbus standard based on a virtual token passing scheme. In P-NET each master is allowed to transmit only one message per token visit. In the worst-case, the communication response time can be derived considering that, in each token cycle, all stations use the token to transmit a message. In this paper, we define a more sophisticated P-NET model, which considers the actual token utilisation. We then analyse the possibility of implementing a local priority-based scheduling policy to improve the real-time behaviour of P-NET.

A proposal for media component brokerage

This paper describes how MPEG-4 object based video (obv) can be used to allow selected objects to be inserted into the play-out stream to a specific user based on a profile derived for that user. The application scenario described here is for personalized product placement, and considers the value of this application in the current and evolving commercial media distribution market given the huge emphasis media distributors are currently placing on targeted advertising. This level of application of video content requires a sophisticated content description and metadata system (e.g., MPEG-7). The scenario considers the requirement for global libraries to provide the objects to be inserted into the streams. The paper then considers the commercial trading of objects between the libraries, video service providers, advertising agencies and other parties involved in the service. Consequently a brokerage of video objects is proposed based on negotiation and trading using intelligent agents representing the various parties. The proposed Media Brokerage Platform is a multi-agent system structured in two layers. In the top layer, there is a collection of coarse grain agents representing the real world players – the providers and deliverers of media contents and the market regulator profiler – and, in the bottom layer, there is a set of finer grain agents constituting the marketplace – the delegate agents and the market agent. For knowledge representation (domain, strategic and negotiation protocols) we propose a Semantic Web approach based on ontologies. The media components contents should be represented in MPEG-7 and the metadata describing the objects to be traded should follow a specific ontology. The top layer content providers and deliverers are modelled by intelligent autonomous agents that express their will to transact – buy or sell – media components by registering at a service registry. The market regulator profiler creates, according to the selected profile, a market agent, which, in turn, checks the service registry for potential trading partners for a given component and invites them for the marketplace. The subsequent negotiation and actual transaction is performed by delegate agents in accordance with their profiles and the predefined rules of the market.

A PTAS for assigning sporadic tasks on two-type heterogeneous multiprocessors

Consider the problem of determining a task-toprocessor assignment for a given collection of implicit-deadline sporadic tasks upon a multiprocessor platform in which there are two distinct kinds of processors. We propose a polynomialtime approximation scheme (PTAS) for this problem. It offers the following guarantee: for a given task set and a given platform, if there exists a feasible task-to-processor assignment, then given an input parameter, ϵ, our PTAS succeeds, in polynomial time, in finding such a feasible task-to-processor assignment on a platform in which each processor is 1+3ϵ times faster. In the simulations, our PTAS outperforms the state-of-the-art PTAS [1] and also for the vast majority of task sets, it requires significantly smaller processor speedup than (its upper bound of) 1+3ϵ for successfully determining a feasible task-to-processor assignment.

Projecto de avaliação de interfaces – PAI

Para obtenção do grau de Doutor pela Universidade de Vigo com menção internacional Departamento de Informática

A pseudo-medium-wide 8-competitive interface for two-level compositional real-time scheduling of constrained- deadline sporadic tasks on a uniprocessor

Compositional real-time scheduling clearly requires that ”normal” real-time scheduling challenges are addressed but challenges intrinsic to compositionality must be addressed as well, in particular: (i) how should interfaces be described? and (ii) how should numerical values be assigned to parameters constituting the interfaces? The real-time systems community has traditionally used narrow interfaces for describing a component (for example, a utilization/bandwidthlike metric and the distribution of this bandwidth in time). In this paper, we introduce the concept of competitive ratio of an interface and show that typical narrow interfaces cause poor performance for scheduling constrained-deadline sporadic tasks (competitive ratio is infinite). Therefore, we explore more expressive interfaces; in particular a class called medium-wide interfaces. For this class, we propose an interface type and show how the parameters of the interface should be selected. We also prove that this interface is 8-competitive.

Uncertainty propagation in inverse reliability-based design of composite structures

An approach for the analysis of uncertainty propagation in reliability-based design optimization of composite laminate structures is presented. Using the Uniform Design Method (UDM), a set of design points is generated over a domain centered on the mean reference values of the random variables. A methodology based on inverse optimal design of composite structures to achieve a specified reliability level is proposed, and the corresponding maximum load is outlined as a function of ply angle. Using the generated UDM design points as input/output patterns, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is developed based on an evolutionary learning process. Then, a Monte Carlo simulation using ANN development is performed to simulate the behavior of the critical Tsai number, structural reliability index, and their relative sensitivities as a function of the ply angle of laminates. The results are generated for uniformly distributed random variables on a domain centered on mean values. The statistical analysis of the results enables the study of the variability of the reliability index and its sensitivity relative to the ply angle. Numerical examples showing the utility of the approach for robust design of angle-ply laminates are presented.

Handling QoS dependencies in distributed cooperative real-time systems

Due to the growing complexity and adaptability requirements of real-time embedded systems, which often exhibit unrestricted inter-dependencies among supported services and user-imposed quality constraints, it is increasingly difficult to optimise the level of service of a dynamic task set within an useful and bounded time. This is even more difficult when intending to benefit from the full potential of an open distributed cooperating environment, where service characteristics are not known beforehand. This paper proposes an iterative refinement approach for a service’s QoS configuration taking into account services’ inter-dependencies and quality constraints, and trading off the achieved solution’s quality for the cost of computation. Extensive simulations demonstrate that the proposed anytime algorithm is able to quickly find a good initial solution and effectively optimises the rate at which the quality of the current solution improves as the algorithm is given more time to run. The added benefits of the proposed approach clearly surpass its reducedoverhead.

Level monitoring system for waste oil containers: an EPS@ISEP project

Waste oil recycling companies play a very important role in our society. Competition among companies is tough and process optimization is essential for survival. By equipping oil containers with a level monitoring system that periodically reports the level and alerts when it reaches the preset threshold, the oil recycling companies are able to streamline the oil collection process and, thus, reduce the operation costs while maintaining the quality of service. This paper describes the development of this level monitoring system by a team of four students from different engineering backgrounds and nationalities. The team conducted a study of the state of the art, draw marketing and sustainable development plans and, finally, designed and implemented a prototype that continuously measures the container content level and sends an alert message as soon as it reaches the preset capacity.

Dynamic adaptation of stability periods for service level agreements

A QoS adaptation to dynamically changing system conditions that takes into consideration the user’s constraints on the stability of service provisioning is presented. The goal is to allow the system to make QoS adaptation decisions in response to fluctuations in task traffic flow, under the control of the user. We pay special attention to the case where monitoring the stability period and resource load variation of Service Level Agreements for different types of services is used to dynamically adapt future stability periods, according to a feedback control scheme. System’s adaptation behaviour can be configured according to a desired confidence level on future resource usage. The viability of the proposed approach is validated by preliminary experiments.

Avaliação da qualidade em habitações existentes - proposta de método

Mestrado em Engenharia Civil - Ramo de Gestão da Construção