Fractional State Space Analysis of Temperature Time Series

Atmospheric temperatures characterize Earth as a slow dynamics spatiotemporal system, revealing long-memory and complex behavior. Temperature time series of 54 worldwide geographic locations are considered as representative of the Earth weather dynamics. These data are then interpreted as the time evolution of a set of state space variables describing a complex system. The data are analyzed by means of multidimensional scaling (MDS), and the fractional state space portrait (fSSP). A centennial perspective covering the period from 1910 to 2012 allows MDS to identify similarities among different Earth’s locations. The multivariate mutual information is proposed to determine the “optimal” order of the time derivative for the fSSP representation. The fSSP emerges as a valuable alternative for visualizing system dynamics.

Performance of state space and ARIMA models for consumer retail sales forecasting

Forecasting future sales is one of the most important issues that is beyond all strategic and planning decisions in effective operations of retail businesses. For profitable retail businesses, accurate demand forecasting is crucial in organizing and planning production, purchasing, transportation and labor force. Retail sales series belong to a special type of time series that typically contain trend and seasonal patterns, presenting challenges in developing effective forecasting models. This work compares the forecasting performance of state space models and ARIMA models. The forecasting performance is demonstrated through a case study of retail sales of five different categories of women footwear: Boots, Booties, Flats, Sandals and Shoes. On both methodologies the model with the minimum value of Akaike's Information Criteria for the in-sample period was selected from all admissible models for further evaluation in the out-of-sample. Both one-step and multiple-step forecasts were produced. The results show that when an automatic algorithm the overall out-of-sample forecasting performance of state space and ARIMA models evaluated via RMSE, MAE and MAPE is quite similar on both one-step and multi-step forecasts. We also conclude that state space and ARIMA produce coverage probabilities that are close to the nominal rates for both one-step and multi-step forecasts.

Development of advanced human robot interaction systems

O trabalho aqui apresentado é a Dissertação da minha Tese do curso de Mestrado em Engenharia Eletrotécnica e de Computadores do ISEP, realizada em parceria com o INESC TEC. O trabalho consiste no desenvolvimento de um sistema avançado de interação entre homem-robô, usando ferramentas de software livres e de domínio público e hardware pouco dispendioso e facilmente acessível. Pretende-se que o sistema desenvolvido possa ser adotado por pequenas ou micro empresas, daí a restrição monetária. Este tipo de empresas tem, por norma, uma capacidade de investimento pequena, e ficam impossibilitadas de aceder a este tipo de sistemas automatizados se estes forem caros. No entanto, o robô continua a ser um componente fundamental, sendo dispendioso. Os trabalhos realizados pelos sistemas robóticos podem por um lado, ser repetitivos sem necessidade de grandes ajustes; por outro lado, o trabalho a realizar pode ser bastante diverso, sendo necessários bastantes ajustes com (possivelmente) programação do robô. As empresas podem não ter disponível mão-de-obra qualificada para realização da programação do robô. Pretende-se então um sistema de “ensino” que seja simples e rápido. Este trabalho pretende satisfazer as necessidades de um sistema de interação homem-robô intuitivo mesmo para operadores que não estejam familiarizados com a robótica. Para simplificar a transferência de informação da tarefa a desempenhar pelo sistema robótico é usado um sistema de infravermelhos para delinear a operação a desempenhar, neste caso concreto uma operação de soldadura. O operador usa um apontador com marcadores, a posição destes marcadores é detetada usando duas câmaras para permitir o posicionamento tridimensional no espaço. As câmaras possuem filtros infravermelhos para separar o espectro de luz. Para o controlo do sistema e interface com o robô é usado um computador de baixos recursos computacionais e energéticos, e também de baixo custo. O sistema desenvolvido é portanto computacionalmente leve para poder ser executado neste computador.

Robot Manipulator Systems: Analysis and Control

Manipulator systems are rather complex and highly nonlinear which makes difficult their analysis and control. Classic system theory is veil known, however it is inadequate in the presence of strong nonlinear dynamics. Nonlinear controllers produce good results [1] and work has been done e. g. relating the manipulator nonlinear dynamics with frequency response [2–5]. Nevertheless, given the complexity of the problem, systematic methods which permit to draw conclusions about stability, imperfect modelling effects, compensation requirements, etc. are still lacking. In section 2 we start by analysing the variation of the poles and zeros of the descriptive transfer functions of a robot manipulator in order to motivate the development of more robust (and computationally efficient) control algorithms. Based on this analysis a new multirate controller which is an improvement of the well known “computed torque controller” [6] is announced in section 3. Some research in this area was done by Neuman [7,8] showing tbat better robustness is possible if the basic controller structure is modified. The present study stems from those ideas, and attempts to give a systematic treatment, which results in easy to use standard engineering tools. Finally, in section 4 conclusions are presented.

Kitchen robot prod. line development. Proj. of Bowden cables cutting and thermal forming machine.

This document presents particular description of work done during student’s internship in PR Metal company realized as ERASMUS PROJECT at ISEP. All information including company’s description and its structure, overview of the problems and analyzed cases, all stages of projects from concept to conclusion can be found here. Description of work done during the internship is divided here into two pieces. First part concerns one activities of the company which is robotic chefs (kitchen robot) production line. Work, that was done for development of this line involved several tasks, among them: creating a single-worker montage station for screwing robots housing’s parts, improve security system for laser welding chamber, what particularly consists in designing automatically closing door system with special surface, that protects against destructive action of laser beam, test station for examination of durability of heating connectors, solving problem with rotors vibrations. Second part tells about main task, realized in second half of internship and stands a complete description of machine development and design. The machine is a part of car handle latch cable production line and its tasks are: cutting cable to required length and hot-forming plastic cover for further assembly needs.