Probabilistic models for mechanical properties of prestressing strands

This study focus on the probabilistic modelling of mechanical properties of prestressing strands based on data collected from tensile tests carried out in Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC), Portugal, for certification purposes, and covers a period of about 9 years of production. The strands studied were produced by six manufacturers from four countries, namely Portugal, Spain, Italy and Thailand. Variability of the most important mechanical properties is examined and the results are compared with the recommendations of the Probabilistic Model Code, as well as the Eurocodes and earlier studies. The obtained results show a very low variability which, of course, benefits structural safety. Based on those results, probabilistic models for the most important mechanical properties of prestressing strands are proposed.

Seismic vulnerability: From building evaluation to a typology generalization

Outlining the best strategies for seismic risk mitigation requires that both benefits and costs of retrofitting are known in advance. The assessment of the vulnerability of building typologies is a first step of a more extensive effort, concerning the analysis of the viability of seismic risk mitigation and taking into account retrofitting costs. The methodology adopted to obtain the seismic vulnerability of some classes of residential buildings existing in mainland Portugal is presented. This methodology is based on a structural analysis of individual buildings belonging to the same typology. An application example is presented to illustrate the methodology. Fragility curves of “boxed” building typology are also presented and broken down into three height classes: low rise, medium-rise and high-rise. These curves are based on average capacity spectra derived from several individual buildings belonging to the same typology.

Probabilistic tsunami hazard in the Northeast Atlantic from near- and far-field tectonic sources

In this article, we present the first study on probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Northeast (NE) Atlantic region related to earthquake sources. The methodology combines the probabilistic seismic hazard assessment, tsunami numerical modeling, and statistical approaches. We consider three main tsunamigenic areas, namely the Southwest Iberian Margin, the Gloria, and the Caribbean. For each tsunamigenic zone, we derive the annual recurrence rate for each magnitude range, from Mw 8.0 up to Mw 9.0, with a regular interval, using the Bayesian method, which incorporates seismic information from historical and instrumental catalogs. A numerical code, solving the shallow water equations, is employed to simulate the tsunami propagation and compute near shore wave heights. The probability of exceeding a specific tsunami hazard level during a given time period is calculated using the Poisson distribution. The results are presented in terms of the probability of exceedance of a given tsunami amplitude for 100- and 500-year return periods. The hazard level varies along the NE Atlantic coast, being maximum along the northern segment of the Morocco Atlantic coast, the southern Portuguese coast, and the Spanish coast of the Gulf of Cadiz. We find that the probability that a maximum wave height exceeds 1 m somewhere in the NE Atlantic region reaches 60 and 100 % for 100- and 500-year return periods, respectively. These probability values decrease, respectively, to about 15 and 50 % when considering the exceedance threshold of 5 m for the same return periods of 100 and 500 years.

Probabilistic consensus clustering using evidence accumulation

Clustering ensemble methods produce a consensus partition of a set of data points by combining the results of a collection of base clustering algorithms. In the evidence accumulation clustering (EAC) paradigm, the clustering ensemble is transformed into a pairwise co-association matrix, thus avoiding the label correspondence problem, which is intrinsic to other clustering ensemble schemes. In this paper, we propose a consensus clustering approach based on the EAC paradigm, which is not limited to crisp partitions and fully exploits the nature of the co-association matrix. Our solution determines probabilistic assignments of data points to clusters by minimizing a Bregman divergence between the observed co-association frequencies and the corresponding co-occurrence probabilities expressed as functions of the unknown assignments. We additionally propose an optimization algorithm to find a solution under any double-convex Bregman divergence. Experiments on both synthetic and real benchmark data show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Generalization of Wertheim's theory for the assembly of various types of rings

We generalize Wertheim's first order perturbation theory to account for the effect in the thermodynamics of the self-assembly of rings characterized by two energy scales. The theory is applied to a lattice model of patchy particles and tested against Monte Carlo simulations on a fcc lattice. These particles have 2 patches of type A and 10 patches of type B, which may form bonds AA or AB that decrease the energy by epsilon(AA) and by epsilon(AB) = r epsilon(AA), respectively. The angle theta between the 2 A-patches on each particle is fixed at 601, 90 degrees or 120 degrees. For values of r below 1/2 and above a threshold r(th)(theta) the models exhibit a phase diagram with two critical points. Both theory and simulation predict that rth increases when theta decreases. We show that the mechanism that prevents phase separation for models with decreasing values of theta is related to the formation of loops containing AB bonds. Moreover, we show that by including the free energy of B-rings ( loops containing one AB bond), the theory describes the trends observed in the simulation results, but that for the lowest values of theta, the theoretical description deteriorates due to the increasing number of loops containing more than one AB bond.

O “Programa de Generalização das Actividades de Enriquecimento Curricular” como instrumento de regulação da política educativa

A partir de uma abordagem pela “análise das políticas públicas”problema público, tendo como fonte os textos e os discursos oficiais do Governo e de outros actores, pretende-se ensaiar um quadro explicativo para a génese das medidas de generalização do alargamento do horário das escolas do 1.º ciclo e das actividades de enriquecimento curricular (AEC), procurando desocultar as situações problemáticas que lhes estão subjacentes e justificar a sua “entrada” na “agenda política”. Neste processo releva-se o papel dos actores enquanto “empreendedores”, na definição das políticas públicas de educação. Focusing on the public policy analysis, a framework to explain the genesis of the generalization of the extension of school day and curriculum enrichment activities (CEA) in primary schools (1st Cycle) is provided, trying to make clear the problems underneath, as well as to justify their ‘entry’ in the ‘policy agenda’. The inquiry is based on the texts and discourse of government and other stakeholders. In this process the actors’ role is emphasized as "entrepreneurs" in the definition of the public policies for education

Estudo da qualidade organizacional da unidade de rastreio da retinopatia diabética do Alentejo central: projecto de intervenção comunitária em saúde

Mestrado em Intervenção Sócio-Organizacional na Saúde - Área de especialização: Políticas de Gestão e Administração dos Serviços de Saúde.

Preferências no exercício físico em mulheres portuguesas sobreviventes de cancro da mama

Introdução – Os benefícios do exercício físico em sobreviventes de cancro da mama têm sido reportados; contudo, a sua prática permanece baixa, tornando importante o conhecimento dos fatores que promovam a motivação e adesão ao exercício nesta população. Objetivos – Identificar as preferências quanto à programação e aconselhamento do exercício físico de uma amostra da população de mulheres portuguesas sobreviventes de cancro da mama e averiguar a influência das variáveis demográficas e médicas nestas preferências. Método – Foi aplicado um questionário a uma amostra não probabilística sequencial de 26 mulheres sobreviventes de cancro da mama. Resultados – A amostra era maioritariamente constituída por mulheres entre os 45 e os 62 anos, casadas ou em união de facto, com ensino básico, empregadas e com Índice de Massa Corporal (IMC) > 24,4. Maioritariamente tinham realizado cirurgia radical há um mês ou mais, apresentavam estadio I do tumor, efetuavam quimioterapia como tratamento adjuvante e algumas realizavam classes de fisioterapia. A maioria das participantes demonstrava interesse em receber aconselhamento, sentia-se apta a participar num programa de exercício, preferia receber aconselhamento face-a-face no hospital e acompanhada por outros doentes oncológicos. O exercício deveria ser supervisionado e com intensidade moderada, sendo as caminhadas o tipo de exercício preferido. Não foi estatisticamente possível realizar a associação entre as variáveis demográficas e médicas e as preferências. Conclusão – Alguns resultados obtidos estão em concordância com estudos prévios; contudo, outros divergem destes. Os resultados obtidos podem fornecer informações importantes para a construção futura de programas de exercício para esta população. ABSTRACT - Introduction – The benefits of physical exercise in cancer survivors have been reported, although it’s practice remains low, becoming important the acknowledgement of the factors that promote the motivation and adhesion of physical exercise in this population. Objectives – To identify the preferences about programming and counseling of physical exercise inside a population-based sample of Portuguese women who have survived breast cancer. We also intend to investigate the influence of demographic and medical variables in those preferences. Method – A questionnaire was applied to a non-probabilistic sequential sample of 26 women that have survived breast cancer. Results – Our sample was mainly composed by women aged between 45 and 62, married or in a cohabitation state, with basic instruction, employed and with a Body Mass Index (BMI)> 24.4. Most of them have had radical mastectomy for at least one month, had the Stage I of the tumor, and had done chemotherapy as an adjuvant treatment and some of them were practicing post-surgery physical therapy. The majority of participants showed interest in receiving counseling, felt able to participate in an exercise program, preferred receiving face-to-face counseling, at the hospital and with other cancer patients. The exercise should be supervised and with a moderate intensity. Walking was their preferred choice of exercise. It was not statistically possible to establish the relationship between demographic and medical variables and those preferences. Conclusion – Some results are in agreement with previous studies; however, others diverge from these. The results obtained can provide important information for future construction of exercise programs for this population.

O desenvolvimento do conceito de área: um estudo com alunos do 3.º ano de escolaridade

O objetivo desta investigação é compreender como é que alunos do 3.º ano de escolaridade desenvolvem o conceito de área com ênfase em conhecimentos sobre figuras e propriedades geométricas. Para melhor objetivar o estudo, formulei três questões que orientaram a investigação. Pretendo (1) compreender como é que os alunos mobilizam conhecimentos sobre as propriedades das figuras geométricas no estudo da área de uma figura plana? A que estratégias recorrem? Que dificuldades sentem? (2) que compreensão é que os alunos têm sobre o processo de medição? e (3) que ideias e/ou experiências são relevantes no desenvolvimento do conceito de área? Este é um estudo que se insere no paradigma interpretativo e que segue uma abordagem qualitativa, pelo que não visa generalização de resultados, mas uma descrição compreensiva dos processos vivenciados, tendo em conta os contextos pessoais e sociais. Optei por realizar dois Estudos de Caso. Os dados foram recolhidos através de fontes diversificadas, donde se destacam a observação participante e a análise de registos audiovisuais e escritos dos alunos. A análise dos dados teve por referência categorias criadas com base em contributos da literatura de referência. As conclusões desta investigação centram-se numa análise acerca das estratégias a que os alunos em estudo tendencialmente mais recorrem, visando também algumas das suas dificuldades mais relevantes e sobre as quais importa refletir. Destaca-se que ambos os alunos foram capazes de recorrer a raciocínios baseados e não baseados na medida, embora seja evidente uma tendência para raciocínios baseados na medida. É igualmente importante referir que os dois alunos revelaram um bom conhecimento acerca do processo de medição, mesmo quando ele implicava a definição de uma unidade de medida adequada e/ou mudança de unidade. É dado, também, destaque às experiências matemáticas que devem ser proporcionadas aos alunos no sentido do desenvolvimento de um conhecimento amplo e flexível do conceito de área. - Abstract The purpose of this investigation is to understand the development of 3rd year students’ concept of area based on their knowledge of geometrical properties and figures. As means to orientate the present study, the following investigation questions were formulated: 1) how do students use their knowledge about geometrical properties in order to understand geometrical shape’s areas? Which strategies do they use? What do they struggle with? (2) What is their understanding about measurement? And (3) what are the most relevant mathematical reasonings and classroom tasks in the development of the concept of area? This is a study that follows a qualitative approach: it does not intend to be a generalization, but a fully comprehensive description of the witnessed learning processes, bearing in mind the social and personal contexts. As such, two study-cases were developed. The data were collected through various sources, such as direct observation and analysis of audiovisual records or written worksheets. The scrutiny of the generated data was undertaken following criteria based on the literature of reference. The conclusions of this investigation are centered on the most used strategies as well as the students’ difficulties upon which it is important to discuss. It was noticed that the two students were able to use both measurement and non measurement thinking – although, preferably, they tend to use the first one. On the other hand, it is equally demonstrated that the two students have shown good acquaintance about measurement, even if obliged to the establishment of a suitable unit of measurement and/or change of units. At last, it is also referred which mathematical classroom tasks are important to develop a sustained and comprehensive concept of area.

Estudo dosimétrico comparativo do Acuros® XB: algoritmo avançado de cálculo de dose com o AAA – Anisotropic Analytical Alghorithm, em tratamentos de radioterapia externa com a técnica de RapidArc™

Mestrado em Radioterapia.

A entrada na profissão do educador de infância: percursos singulares

Dissertação apresentada à Escola Superior de Educação de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Ciências da Educação - Especialidade Supervisão em Educação

Avaliação ecocardiográfica de doentes propostos para terapêutica de ressincronização: impacto dos índices de dissincronia

Mestrado em Tecnologia de Diagnóstico e Intervenção Cardiovascular - Área de especialização: Ultrassonografia Cardiovascular.

Modeling Allee Effect from Beta(p, 2) Densities

In this work we develop and investigate generalized populational growth models, adjusted from Beta(p, 2) densities, with Allee effect. The use of a positive parameter leads the presented generalization, which yields some more flexible models with variable extinction rates. An Allee limit is incorporated so that the models under study have strong Allee effect.

An Extension of Gompertzian Growth Dynamics Weibull and Frechet Models

In this work a new probabilistic and dynamical approach to an extension of the Gompertz law is proposed. A generalized family of probability density functions, designated by Beta* (p, q), which is proportional to the right hand side of the Tsoularis-Wallace model, is studied. In particular, for p = 2, the investigation is extended to the extreme value models of Weibull and Frechet type. These models, described by differential equations, are proportional to the hyper-Gompertz growth model. It is proved that the Beta* (2, q) densities are a power of betas mixture, and that its dynamics are determined by a non-linear coupling of probabilities. The dynamical analysis is performed using techniques of symbolic dynamics and the system complexity is measured using topological entropy. Generally, the natural history of a malignant tumour is reflected through bifurcation diagrams, in which are identified regions of regression, stability, bifurcation, chaos and terminus.

Análise probabilística de segurança de barragens gravidade de betão

Trabalho Final de Mestrado para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil na Área de Especialização de Estruturas