The portuguese insurance industry: basis for strategic process decision

Nowadays, the Portuguese insurance industry operates in a market with a much more aggressive structure than a few decades ago. Markets and the economy have become globalised since the last decade of the 20th century. Market forces have gradually shifted – power is now mainly on the demand side. In order to meet the new requirements, the insurance industry must develop a strong strategic ability to respond to constant changes of the new international economic order.One of the basic aspects of this strategic development will focus on the ability to predict the future. We introduce the subject by briefly describing the sector, its organisational structure in the Portuguese market, and challenges arising from the development of the European Union. We then analyse the economic and financial structure of the sector. From this point of view, we aim at the possibility of designing models that could explain the demand for insurance, claims and technical reserves evolution. Such models, (even if based on the past), would resolve, at least partly, one of the greatest difficulties experienced by insurance companies when estimating the budget. Thus, we examine the existence of variables that explain the previous points, which are capable of forming a basis for designing models that are simple but efficient, and can be used for strategic planning.

Using Modern Tools to Explain the Use of the Smith Chart

The concept of explaining the use of an old tool like the Smith chart, using modern tools like MATLAB [1] scripts in combination with e-learning facilities, is exemplified by two MATLAB scripts. These display, step by step, the graphical procedure that must be used to solve the double-stub impedance-matching problem. These two scripts correspond to two different possible ways to analyze this matching problem, and they are important for students to learn by themselves.

Tsunami vulnerability assessment of Casablanca-Morocco using numerical modelling and GIS tools

Earthquakes and tsunamis along Morocco's coasts have been reported since historical times. The threat posed by tsunamis must be included in coastal risk studies. This study focuses on the tsunami impact and vulnerability assessment of the Casablanca harbour and surrounding area using a combination of tsunami inundation numerical modelling, field survey data and geographic information system. The tsunami scenario used here is compatible with the 1755 Lisbon event that we considered to be the worst case tsunami scenario. Hydrodynamic modelling was performed with an adapted version of the Cornell Multigrid Coupled Tsunami Model from Cornell University. The simulation covers the eastern domain of the Azores-Gibraltar fracture zone corresponding to the largest tsunamigenic area in the North Atlantic. The proposed vulnerability model attempts to provide an insight into the tsunami vulnerability of building stock. Results in the form of a vulnerability map will be useful for decision makers and local authorities in preventing the community resiliency for tsunami hazards.

Grid structure impact in sparse point representation of derivatives

In the Sparse Point Representation (SPR) method the principle is to retain the function data indicated by significant interpolatory wavelet coefficients, which are defined as interpolation errors by means of an interpolating subdivision scheme. Typically, a SPR grid is coarse in smooth regions, and refined close to irregularities. Furthermore, the computation of partial derivatives of a function from the information of its SPR content is performed in two steps. The first one is a refinement procedure to extend the SPR by the inclusion of new interpolated point values in a security zone. Then, for points in the refined grid, such derivatives are approximated by uniform finite differences, using a step size proportional to each point local scale. If required neighboring stencils are not present in the grid, the corresponding missing point values are approximated from coarser scales using the interpolating subdivision scheme. Using the cubic interpolation subdivision scheme, we demonstrate that such adaptive finite differences can be formulated in terms of a collocation scheme based on the wavelet expansion associated to the SPR. For this purpose, we prove some results concerning the local behavior of such wavelet reconstruction operators, which stand for SPR grids having appropriate structures. This statement implies that the adaptive finite difference scheme and the one using the step size of the finest level produce the same result at SPR grid points. Consequently, in addition to the refinement strategy, our analysis indicates that some care must be taken concerning the grid structure, in order to keep the truncation error under a certain accuracy limit. Illustrating results are presented for 2D Maxwell's equation numerical solutions.

New heterogeneous catalysts for trans-esterification of triglycerides

This paper describes preliminary work done towards the development of new metallic heterogeneous catalysts to be used in the transesterification reaction of triglycerides, which is of considerable interest in the production of biodiesel. Biodiesel, is a mixture of mono-alkyl esters of fatty acids, and is currently manufactured by transesterification of triglycerides with methanol using NaOH or KOH as liquid base catalyst. Catalysts as such are corrosive to the equipment, and as these catalysts are in liquid phase must be neutralized after the completion of the reaction, typically using HCl, thus producing salt streams. Moreover, due to the presence of free fatty acids it reacts to form soaps as unwanted by-products, hence requiring more expensive separation processes. Therefore, there is a great need on the development of industrial processes for biodiesel production using solid acid catalysts. The key benefit of using solid acid catalysts is that no polluting by-products are formed and the catalysts do not have to be removed since they do not mix with the biodiesel product.

Basis invariant conditions for supersymmetry in the two-Higgs-doublet model

The minimal supersymmetric standard model involves a rather restrictive Higgs potential with two Higgs fields. Recently, the full set of classes of symmetries allowed in the most general two-Higgs-doublet model was identified; these classes do not include the supersymmetric limit as a particular class. Thus, a physically meaningful definition of the supersymmetric limit must involve the interaction of the Higgs sector with other sectors of the theory. Here we show how one can construct basis invariant probes of supersymmetry involving both the Higgs sector and the gaugino-Higgsino-Higgs interactions.

Impact of a 1755-like tsunami in Huelva, Spain

Coastal areas are highly exposed to natural hazards associated with the sea. In all cases where there is historical evidence for devastating tsunamis, as is the case of the southern coasts of the Iberian Peninsula, there is a need for quantitative hazard tsunami assessment to support spatial planning. Also, local authorities must be able to act towards the population protection in a preemptive way, to inform 'what to do' and 'where to go' and in an alarm, to make people aware of the incoming danger. With this in mind, we investigated the inundation extent, run-up and water depths, of a 1755-like event on the region of Huelva, located on the Spanish southwestern coast, one of the regions that was affected in the past by several high energy events, as proved by historical documents and sedimentological data. Modelling was made with a slightly modified version of the COMCOT (Cornell Multi-grid Coupled Tsunami Model) code. Sensitivity tests were performed for a single source in order to understand the relevance and influence of the source parameters in the inundation extent and the fundamental impact parameters. We show that a 1755-like event will have a dramatic impact in a large area close to Huelva inundating an area between 82 and 92 km(2) and reaching maximum run-up around 5 m. In this sense our results show that small variations on the characteristics of the tsunami source are not too significant for the impact assessment. We show that the maximum flow depth and the maximum run-up increase with the average slip on the source, while the strike of the fault is not a critical factor as Huelva is significantly far away from the potential sources identified up to now. We also show that the maximum flow depth within the inundated area is very dependent on the tidal level, while maximum run-up is less affected, as a consequence of the complex morphology of the area.

Leanness na manutenção aeronáutica: o caso FAP

Os sistemas de armas da Força Aérea Portuguesa (FAP) têm por missão a defesa militar de Portugal, através de operações aéreas e da defesa do espaço aéreo nacional, sendo o F-16 o principal avião de ataque em uso nesta organização. Neste sentido, e tendo em conta o actual contexto económico mundial, as organizações devem rentabilizar todos os recursos disponíveis, custos associados e optimizar processos de trabalho. Tendo por base os pressupostos anteriores, o presente estudo pretende analisar a implementação de lean na FAP, uma vez que esta filosofia assenta na eliminação de desperdícios com vista a uma melhoria da qualidade e diminuição de tempos e custos. Posto isto, a análise deste trabalho vai recair sobre a área de manutenção do F-16, em concreto na Inspeção de Fase (IF), um tipo de manutenção que esta aeronave realiza a cada trezentas horas de voo. O estudo de caso vai incidir em dois momentos da IF: o primeiro ponto relaciona-se com o processamento da recolha de dados para a reunião preliminar onde são definidas, para as áreas de trabalho executantes, as ações de manutenção a realizar com a paragem da aeronave. Deste modo, pretende-se averiguar as causas inerentes aos atrasos verificados para a realização desta reunião. O segundo ponto em observação compreende a informação obtida através da aplicação informática SIAGFA, em uso na FAP, para o processamento de dados de manutenção das quatro aeronaves que inauguraram a IF com a filosofia lean. Esta análise permitiu perceber o número de horas de trabalho dispendidas (em média pelas quatro aeronaves) por cada uma das cartas de trabalho, verificando-se que as cartas adicionais comportam mais horas; foi possível compreender quais as áreas de trabalho consideradas críticas; foram identificados os dias de trabalho realizado e tempos de paragem sem qualquer tipo de intervenção. Foi ainda avaliado, por aeronave, o número de horas de trabalho realizadas na IF e quais os constrangimentos que se verificaram nas aeronaves, que não realizaram a IF no tempo definido para tal.

Comporta de vigas: dimensionamento e análise estrutural

As comportas de vigas de fundo, objecto de estudo no presente trabalho, são essenciais devido à sua capacidade de controlo do fluxo de água em casos de emergência. Assim este trabalho visou o dimensionamento e análise estrutural de uma comporta dessa natureza. Para o seu dimensionamento foi essencial a norma DIN19704-1:1998, que define todos os padrões que devem ser levados em conta numa construção hidráulica em aço. Deste modo, após uma breve descrição do enquadramento e do estado da arte relativamente a este assunto, foram apresentados ao longo do trabalho, os cálculos dos principais componentes mecânicos que fazem parte dum projecto de uma comporta de vigas. Para comprovar a validade do dimensionamento da comporta realizado através da norma, recorreu-se a um software de análise e simulação por elementos finitos, COSMOSWorks, no sentido de assim prever o comportamento mecânico em análise estática linear, que as solicitações mecânicas em presença têm sobre a comporta. Os resultados da comparação entre o dimensionamento teórico e a análise de tensões através do COSMOSWorks nos elementos mais críticos da estrutura, permitem concluir globalmente que a comporta está bem dimensionada tendo em conta os esforços que tem de suportar.

Comportamento dinâmico da rede eléctrica da ilha de São Vicente em Cabo Verde: estabilidade de tensão

Neste trabalho é efectuado, não só o diagnóstico em regime permanente, mas também o estudo, simulação e análise do comportamento dinâmico da rede eléctrica da ilha de São Vicente em Cabo Verde. Os estudos de estabilidade transitória desempenham um importante papel, tanto no planeamento como na operação dos sistemas de potência. Tais estudos são realizados, em grande parte, através de simulação digital no domínio do tempo, utilizando integração numérica para resolver as equações não-lineares que modelam a dinâmica do sistema e dependem da existência de registos reais de perturbação (ex: osciloperturbografia). O objectivo do trabalho será também verificar a aplicabilidade dos requisitos técnicos que as unidades geradoras devem ter, no que concerne ao controlo de tensão, estabelecidos na futura regulamentação europeia desenvolvida pela ENTSO-E (European Network Transmission System Operator for Electricity). De entre os requisitos analisou-se a capacidade das máquinas existentes suportarem cavas de tensão decorrentes de curto-circuitos trifásicos simétricos, Fault Ride Through, no ponto de ligação à rede. Identificaram-se para o efeito os factores que influenciam a estabilidade desta rede, em regime perturbado nomeadamente: (i) duração do defeito, (ii) caracterização da carga, com e sem a presença do sistema de controlo de tensão (AVR) em unidades de geração síncronas. Na ausência de registos reais sobre o comportamento do sistema, conclui-se que este é sensível à elasticidade das cargas em particular do tipo potência constante, existindo risco de perda de estabilidade, neste caso, para defeitos superiores a 5ms sem AVR. A existência de AVR nesta rede afigura-se como indispensável para garantir estabilidade de tensão sendo contudo necessário proceder a uma correcta parametrização.

A practical approach for profit-based unit commitment with emission limitations

This paper proposes a practical approach for profit-based unit commitment (PBUC) with emission limitations. Under deregulation, unit commitment has evolved from a minimum-cost optimisation problem to a profit-based optimisation problem. However, as a consequence of growing environmental concern, the impact of fossil-fuelled power plants must be considered, giving rise to emission limitations. The simultaneous address of the profit with the emission is taken into account in our practical approach by a multiobjective optimisation (MO) problem. Hence, trade-off Curves between profit and emission are obtained for different energy price profiles, in a way to aid decision-makers concerning emission allowance trading. Moreover, a new parameter is presented, ratio of change, and the corresponding gradient angle, enabling the proper selection of a compromise commitment for the units. A case study based on the standard IEEE 30-bus system is presented to illustrate the proficiency Of Our practical approach for the new competitive and environmentally constrained electricity supply industry.

RFID together with multi-agent systems to control global value chains

Nowadays, the cooperative intelligent transport systems are part of a largest system. Transportations are modal operations integrated in logistics and, logistics is the main process of the supply chain management. The supply chain strategic management as a simultaneous local and global value chain is a collaborative/cooperative organization of stakeholders, many times in co-opetition, to perform a service to the customers respecting the time, place, price and quality levels. The transportation, like other logistics operations must add value, which is achieved in this case through compression lead times and order fulfillments. The complex supplier's network and the distribution channels must be efficient and the integral visibility (monitoring and tracing) of supply chain is a significant source of competitive advantage. Nowadays, the competition is not discussed between companies but among supply chains. This paper aims to evidence the current and emerging manufacturing and logistics system challenges as a new field of opportunities for the automation and control systems research community. Furthermore, the paper forecasts the use of radio frequency identification (RFID) technologies integrated into an information and communication technologies (ICT) framework based on distributed artificial intelligence (DAI) supported by a multi-agent system (MAS), as the most value advantage of supply chain management (SCM) in a cooperative intelligent logistics systems. Logistical platforms (production or distribution) as nodes of added value of supplying and distribution networks are proposed as critical points of the visibility of the inventory, where these technological needs are more evident.

Evaluating Tsunami Impact on the Gulf of Cadiz Coast (Northeast Atlantic).

The Gulf of Cadiz coasts are exposed to tsunamis. Emergency planning tools are now taking into account this fact, especially because a series of historical occurrences were strikingly significant, having left strong evidence behind, in the mareographic records, the geological evidence or simply the memory of the populations. The study area is a strip along the Algarve coast, south Portugal, an area known to have been heavily impacted by the 1 November 1755 event. In this study we use two different tsunami scenarios generated by the rupture of two thrust faults identified in the area, corresponding to 8.1-8.3 magnitude earthquakes. Tsunami propagation and inundation computation is performed using a non-linear shallow water code with bottom friction. Numerical modeling results are presented in terms of flow depth and current velocity with maximum values of 7 m and 8 m/s for inundation depth and flow speed, respectively. These results constitute a valuable tool for local authorities, emergency and decision planners to define the priority zones where tsunami mitigation measures must be implemented and to develop tsunami-resilient communities.

O currículo e as necessidades educativas especiais : práticas de adequação curricular no terceiro ciclo

A responsabilidade da construção de uma escola para todos deve ser o grande objectivo de todo e qualquer professor, criando espaços de reflexão conjunta no sentido de serem traçados projectos curriculares diferenciados que dêem resposta a todos os alunos na sua diversidade plural. Assim, a concepção e construção da escola inclusiva implicam mudanças, quer nas atitudes e práticas dos agentes educativos, quer nas estruturas do sistema de ensino ao nível organizacional e da gestão curricular. Neste âmbito, a adequação do currículo às necessidades educativas especiais (NEE) dos alunos torna-se essencial na (re)construção e operacionalização dos diferentes processos curriculares. O trabalho que agora se apresenta foi desenvolvido através de um estudo de caso. Constitui uma tentativa de compreensão das percepções dos professores e das práticas pedagógicas que desenvolvem para efectuar adequações curriculares para alunos com NEE. Centrámo-nos nos professores de um conselho de turma do sétimo ano do terceiro ciclo do ensino básico (3º CEB) que inclui uma aluna com NEE, procurando saber o que pensam sobre o processo de adequação curricular, como o concebem e como o implementam. Como metodologia de recolha dos dados utilizamos as técnicas da entrevista, da análise documental e da observação naturalista. Concluímos que, apesar das dificuldades que expressam e demonstram, os professores assumem a necessidade de implementar adequações curriculares face às NEE dos alunos, como resposta às diferenças e particularidades de cada um, tendo em vista o desenvolvimento de competências essenciais e a conclusão da escolaridade obrigatória. As Adequações Curriculares são percepcionadas como muito vantajosas do ponto de vista da promoção do sucesso educativo para todos os alunos e em particular para os alunos com NEE, proporcionando a estes, acompanhar o currículo mais próximo do que é normal, sentirem-se como “iguais” aos seus colegas, melhorar a sua auto-estima, auto-confiança e motivação ABSTRACT The responsibility of building a school for all must be the ultimate goal of any teacher, creating spaces for joint reflection in order to draw differentiated curricular projects which respond to all students in their plural diversity. Thus, the design and construction of the inclusive school involve changes both in attitudes and practices of the educational agents, and in the structures of the education system regarding the organization and the curriculum management. In this context, the adequacy of the curriculum to students’ special educational needs (SEN) becomes essential in the (re) construction and operationalization of the different curriculum processes. The work now presented was developed through a case study. It attempts to understand the perceptions of teachers and the pedagogical practices they develop to make curricular adjustments for students with SEN. We focused on the teachers of a seventh year class of the third cycle of basic education (3rd CBE) which includes a pupil, a girl, with SEN, trying to find out what they think about the process of adapting the curriculum, how they conceive and implement it. As a methodology of data collection we used different techniques: the interview, the documentary analysis and the naturalistic observation. We concluded that, despite the difficulties that teachers express and demonstrate they assume the need to implement curricular adjustments in relation to pupils with SEN in response to the differences and particularities of each one in order to develop core competencies and to complete compulsory schooling. The Curriculum Adequacies are perceived as very advantageous from the standpoint of promoting educational success for all students and particularly for pupils with SEN, providing the latter the possibility of following the curriculum closer than usual, feeling as "equal" to their schoolmates, improving their self-esteem, self- confidence and motivation.

Good deals in markets with frictions

This paper studies a portfolio choice problem such that the pricing rule may incorporate transaction costs and the risk measure is coherent and expectation bounded. We will prove the necessity of dealing with pricing rules such that there exists an essentially bounded stochastic discount factor, which must be also bounded from below by a strictly positive value. Otherwise good deals will be available to traders, i.e., depending on the selected risk measure, investors can build portfolios whose (risk, return) will be as close as desired to (−infinity, infinity) or (0, infinity). This pathologic property still holds for vector risk measures (i.e., if we minimize a vector valued function whose components are risk measures). It is worthwhile to point out that essentially bounded stochastic discount factors are not usual in financial literature. In particular, the most famous frictionless, complete and arbitrage free pricing models imply the existence of good deals for every coherent and expectation bounded (scalar or vector) measure of risk, and the incorporation of transaction costs will not guarantee the solution of this caveat.