177 resultados para Predictive
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Diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) may be challenging. However, early diagnosis is important because immunosuppression is life-saving. Diagnostic criteria of the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group (IAIHG) were complex and purely meant for scientific purposes. This study of the IAIHG aims to define simplified diagnostic criteria for routine clinical practice. Candidate criteria included sex, age, autoantibodies, immunoglobutins, absence of viral hepatitis, and histology. The training set included 250 AIH patients and 193 controls from 11 centers worldwide. Scores were built from variables showing predictive ability in univariate analysis. Diagnostic value of each score was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The best score was validated using data of an additional 109 AIH patients and 284 controls. This score included autoantibodies, immunoglobulin G, histology, and exclusion of viral hepatitis. The area under the curve for prediction of AIH was 0.946 in the training set and 0.91 in the validation set. Based on the ROC curves, two cutoff points were chosen. The score was found to have 88% sensitivity and 97% specificity (cutoff >= 6) and 81% sensitivity and 99% specificity (cutoff 2:7) in the validation set. Conclusion: A reliable diagnosis of AIH can be made using a very simple diagnostic score. We propose the diagnosis of probable AIH at a cutoff point greater than 6 points and definite AIH 7 points or higher.
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PURPOSE. To assess whether baseline Glaucoma Probability Score (GPS; HRT-3; Heidelberg Engineering, Dossenheim, Germany) results are predictive of progression in patients with suspected glaucoma. The GPS is a new feature of the confocal scanning laser ophthalmoscope that generates an operator-independent, three-dimensional model of the optic nerve head and gives a score for the probability that this model is consistent with glaucomatous damage. METHODS. The study included 223 patients with suspected glaucoma during an average follow-up of 63.3 months. Included subjects had a suspect optic disc appearance and/or elevated intraocular pressure, but normal visual fields. Conversion was defined as development of either repeatable abnormal visual fields or glaucomatous deterioration in the appearance of the optic disc during the study period. The association between baseline GPS and conversion was investigated by Cox regression models. RESULTS. Fifty-four (24.2%) eyes converted. In multivariate models, both higher values of GPS global and subjective stereophotograph assessment ( larger cup-disc ratio and glaucomatous grading) were predictive of conversion: adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI): 1.31 (1.15 - 1.50) per 0.1 higher global GPS, 1.34 (1.12 - 1.62) per 0.1 higher CDR, and 2.34 (1.22 - 4.47) for abnormal grading, respectively. No significant differences ( P > 0.05 for all comparisons) were found between the c-index values ( equivalent to area under ROC curve) for the multivariate models (0.732, 0.705, and 0.699, respectively). CONCLUSIONS. GPS values were predictive of conversion in our population of patients with suspected glaucoma. Further, they performed as well as subjective assessment of the optic disc. These results suggest that GPS could potentially replace stereophotograph as a tool for estimating the likelihood of conversion to glaucoma.
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Objectives (1) Study the effectiveness of intravariceal injection of n-butyl-2-cyanoacrylate to treat acute gastric variceal (GV) bleeding and (2) study the impact of the type of GV and hepatic function on endoscopic hemostasis and mortality outcomes. Methods Fourty-eight patients with acute GV bleeding underwent intravariceal injection of n-butyl-2-cyanoacrylate and were followed until death or study conclusion (12-52 months). Results Primary hemostasis (no re-bleeding within 48 h) was accomplished in 42 patients (87.5%). Appearance of the bleeding site at the time of initial endoscopy, grade of cirrhosis and location of GV were not significant predictors of immediate hemostasis. Early re-bleeding (48 h to 6 weeks) occurred in 20.5% of patients and late re-bleeding (beyond 6 weeks) in 20.5% of patients. While the Child-Pugh score was predictive of re-bleeding and mortality, the type of GV and stigmata at initial endoscopy were not significant predictors of re-bleeding and mortality. Over a mean follow-up of 18 months, mortality rates were 43.9% and bleeding was the commonest cause of death. Conclusion Endoscopic injection of n-butyl-2-cyanoacrylate is effective and safe for treating bleeding GV. Patients with poor hepatic function are at higher risk of re-bleeding and death after acute gastric variceal bleed.
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Background and Aim: There were strong evidences that nitric oxide has capital importance in the progressive vasodilatation associated with varied circulatory shock forms, including systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), in patients undergoing cardiac surgeries for cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). If CPB procedures, per se, are the inciting stimulus for inflammation, plasma nitrate/nitrite (NOx) excretion would be expected to be higher in these patients rather than in patients operated without CPB. In consequence, we hypothesized that increased levels of NOx would be predictive for vasoplegic syndrome. Methods: Thirty patients were assigned to three groups: Group 1-coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) roller pump CPB; Group 2-CABG centrifugal vortex pump CPB; and Group 3-heart valve surgery roller pump CPB. Sampling of venous blood for chemiluminescence plasma NOx dosage was achieved at the following time points: (1) before anesthesia induction; (2) after anesthesia induction; (3) before heparin infusion; (4) after heparin infusion; (5) CPB-30 minutes; (6) CPB-60 minutes; (7) before protamine infusion; (8) after protamine infusion; and (9) on return to the recovery area. Results: There were no intergroup differences regarding age and anesthetic regimen, and the number of arteries grafted was not different between the CABG groups. There were no NOx statistic differences, neither among the three groups of patients or among the surgery time. In addition, there was no correlation among NOx, lactate, and hemoglobin. Conclusions: Considering the inflammatory process intrinsic to CPB, this study reinforces the idea that plasma NOx is not useful as a biomarker of inflammatory response onset, which may or may not lead to SIRS and/or vasoplegic syndrome.
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Laboratory diagnosis of hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome (HCPS) in Brazil has been performed mostly by a detection of IgM antibodies to recombinant antigen purified from Sin Nombre virus and Andes Virus (ANDV). Recently, a recombinant nucleocapsid (rN) protein of Argentina virus (ARAV), a Brazilian hantavirus, was Obtained in Escherichia coli. To evaluate ARAV rN as antigen for antibody detection, serum samples from 30 patients front Argentina seropositive for hantavirus were tested. All samples were positive for IgG and IgM by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) using either ARAV rN or ANDV rN antigens. In Brazil, six of 00 serum samples from patients With suspected HCPS (10%) were positive for IgM by ELISA Using ARAV rN antigen and 7 were positive Using ANDV rN antigen. For results obtained with 90 serum samples analyzed by IgM ELISA with ANDV rN antigen, the sensitivity of the IgM ELISA using ARAV rN antigen was 97.2%,, the specificity was 100%, the positive predictive value was 100% and the negative predictive value was 98.1%. The results show that ARAV rN is a Suitable antigen for diagnosis Of hantavirus infection in Brazil and Argentina.
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Aripiprazole is an atypical antipsychotic that acts as a partial agonist at the dopamine D-2 receptor. It has been mainly investigated in dopamine-based models of schizophrenia, while its effects on glutamate-based paradigms have remained to be further characterized. Due to its unique mechanism of action, aripiprazole has also been considered as a replacement medication for psychostimulant abuse. Thus, in the present study we tested the hypothesis that aripiprazole would prevent the motor hyperactivity induced by psychostimulant and psychotomimetic drugs that act either by dopaminergic or glutamatergic mechanisms. Male Swiss mice received injections of aripiprazole (0.1-1 mg/kg) followed by drugs that enhance the dopamine-mediated neurotransmission, amphetamine (3 mg/kg) or cocaine (5 mg/kg), or by glutamate NMDA-receptor antagonists, ketamine (60 mg/kg) or MK-801 (0.4 mg/kg). Independent groups also received aripiprazole (0.1-1 mg/kg) or haloperidol (0.5 mg/kg) and were tested for catalepsy. All doses of aripiprazole were effective in preventing the motor stimulant effects of amphetamine and cocaine. Moreover, the higher dose also prevented the effects of ketamine and MK-801. The present study reports the effects of aripiprazole in dopaminergic and glutamatergic models predictive of antipsychotic activity, suggesting that both may be useful for screening novel partial agonists with antipsychotic activity. It also shows that aripiprazole may prevent the acute effects of psychostimulant drugs without significant motor impairment. C) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Aims: Many fundamental pharmacological studies in pain and inflammation have been performed on rats. However, the pharmacological findings were generally not extended to other species in order to increase their predictive therapeutic value. We studied acute and chronic inflammatory nociceptive sensitisation of mouse hind paws by prostaglandin E(2) (PGE(2)) or dopamine (DA), as previously described in rats. We also investigated the participation of the signalling pathways in acute and persistent sensitisation. Main methods: Mechanical sensitisation (hypernociception) induced by intraplantar administrations of PGE(2) or DA was evaluated with an electronic pressure meter. The signalling pathways were pharmacologically investigated with the pre-administration of adenylyl cyclase (AC), cAMP-dependent protein kinase (PKA), protein kinase C epsilon (PKC epsilon), and the extracellular signal-related kinase (ERK) inhibitors. Key findings: Single or 14 days of successive intraplantar injections of PGE(2) or DA-induced acute and persistent hypernociception (lasting for more than 30 days), respectively. The involvement of AC, PKA or PKC epsilon was observed in the acute hypernociception induced by PGE(2), while PKA or PKC epsilon were continuously activated during the period of persistent hypernociception. The acute hypernociception induced by DA involves activation of ERK, PKC epsilon, AC or PKA, while persistent hypernociception implicated ERK activation, but not PKA, PKC epsilon or AC. Significance: In mice, acute and persistent paw sensitisation involves the different activation of kinases, as previously described for rats. This study opens the possibility of comparing pharmacological approaches in both species to further understand acute and chronic inflammatory sensitisation, and possibly associated genetic manipulations. (C) 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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Some studies have demonstrated the involvement of nuclear factor-kappa B (NF-kB) in the pathogenesis of glomerulonephritis. The aim of our study was twofold: (1) to analyze the prognostic value of NF-kB expression in primary IgA nephropathy (IgAN) and (2) to compare the results of NF-kB expression by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and southwestern histochemistry (SWH). We analyzed 62 patients diagnosed with IgAN from 1987 to 2003. We used monoclonal antibodies to CD68 and mast cell tryptase and polyclonal antibodies to TGF-beta 1, alpha-SMA and NF-kB p65. We used SWH for the in situ detection of activated NF-kB. The results showed that NF-kB expression (mainly by SWH) correlated with clinical and histological parameters. An unfavorable clinical course of IgAN was significantly related to tubular NF-kB expression by SWH, but not by IHC. The Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that increased NF-kB expression, which was measured by IHC and SWH, decreased renal survival. In conclusion, the increased expression of NF-kB in the tubular area may be a predictive factor for the poor prognosis of patients with IgAN. Compared with IHC, NF-kB expression determined by SWH was correlated with a larger number of parameters of poor disease outcome.
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IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a kidney disease with a varying renal prognosis. Recently, many studies have demonstrated that renal alpha-smooth muscle actin (alpha-SMA) and transforming growth factor (TGF-beta 1) expression, as well interstitial mast cell infiltrates could represent a prognostic marker in several renal diseases. The aim of our study was to analyze the prognostic value of mast cell, TGF-beta 1 and alpha-SMA expression in IgAN. A survey of the medical records and renal biopsy reports of 62 patients with a diagnosis of IgAN followed-up from 1987 to 2003 was performed. The mean follow-up time was 74.7 +/- 50.0 months. The immunohistochemical studies were performed using a monoclonal antibody anti-human mast cell tryptase, a polyclonal antibody anti-human TGF-beta 1, and a monoclonal antibody anti-human alpha-SMA. An unfavorable clinical course of IgAN was related to interstitial mast cell infiltrates and alpha-SMA expression in the tubulointerstitial area. Expression of glomerular TGF-beta 1 and alpha-SMA, and interstitial TGF-beta 1 is not correlated with clinical course in IgAN. In conclusion, the increased number of mast cells and higher alpha-SMA expression in the tubulointerstitial area may be predictive factors for the poor prognosis of patients with IgAN.
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Aim: The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety of breast conserving surgery ill patients with breast tumours satisfactorily downstaged after neoadjuvant therapy. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was undertaken to analyze the loco-regional recurrence (LRR) after breast conserving surgery. We enrolled 88 patients with breast cancer subjected to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT group) who achieved an objective response due to neoadjuvant treatment and compared them with 191 patients with early breast cancer (EBC group) who were submitted to primary conserving surgery. Lumpectomy or quadrantectomy with axillary lymph node dissection was performed in all patients who received adjuvant radiotherapy. Systemic adjuvant therapy was offered to all patients. The mean periods of observation were 61.3 months in the NAT group and 67.5 months in the EBC group. Results: The mean age was 53 years in the NAT group and 56 years in the EBC group (p = 0.04). There was no histological type and histological grade difference between groups. In the NAT group, the mean diameter of residual tumour was lower and the mean volume of breast tissue resection was higher than in the EBC group (p = 0.01 and p = 0.002, respectively). The ipsilateral recurrence rate was 7.9% in the NAT group and 7.8% in the EBC group (p = 0.9). The most important predictive factor of recurrence in the NAT group was the age of patient. Conclusion: Breast conserving therapy is a safe procedure in satisfactorily downstaged breast cancer after neoadjuvant therapy. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Purpose Revise role of hormonal basal and dynamic tests, as well as ultrasonographic measures as ovarian reserve markers, in order to provide better counseling to subfertile couples. Methods Review of publications on the topic, with an emphasis on recent well designed articles. Results Currently available ovarian reserve tests do not provide sufficient evidence to be solely considered ideal, even for premature ovarian senescence patients who do not present subfertility complaints. However, these markers occupy important place in initial approach to treatment of subfertile couples, predicting unsatisfactory results that could be improved by differentiated induction schemes and reducing excessive psychological and financial burdens, and adverse effects. Conclusions In order to remedy the limitations due to the scarcity of strong evidence about this topic, future studies should try to clarify predictive value of markers in groups of specific diseases-related subfertility and pay special attention to propaedeutic multivariate models including anti-Mullerian hormone and antral follicle count.
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Objectives The methods currently available for the measurement of energy expenditure in patients, such as indirect calorimetry and double-labelled water, are expensive and are limited in Brazil to research projects. Thus, equations for the prediction of resting metabolic rate appear to be a viable alternative for clinical practice. However, there are no specific equations for the Brazilian population and few studies have been conducted on Brazilian women in the climacteric period using existing and commonly applied equations. On this basis, the objective of the present study was to investigate the concordance between the predictive equations most frequently used and indirect calorimetry for the measurement of resting metabolic rate. Methods We calculated the St. Laurent concordance correlation coefficient between the equations and resting metabolic rate calculated by indirect calorimetry in 46 climacteric women. Results The equation showing the best concordance was that of the FAO/WHO/UNU formula (0.63), which proved to be better than the Harris & Benedict equation (0.55) for the sample studied. Conclusions On the basis of the results of the present study, we conclude that the FAO/WHO/UNU formula can be used to predict better the resting metabolic rate of climacteric women. Further studies using more homogeneous and larger samples are needed to permit the use of the FAO/WHO/UNU formula for this population group with greater accuracy.
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This study was aimed at assessing the psychometric qualities of the fast alcohol screening test (FAST), and at comparing these qualities to those of the alcohol use disorders identification test (AUDIT) in three samples of Brazilian adults: (i) subjects attended at an emergency department (530); (ii) patients from a psychosocial care center (40); and (iii) university students (429). The structured clinical interview for diagnosis (SCID)-IV was used as gold standard. The FAST demonstrated high test-retest and interrater reliability coefficients, as well as high predictive and concurrent validity values. The results attest the validity and reliability of the Brazilian version of the FAST for the screening of indicators of alcohol abuse and dependence.
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Background: This study was aimed at assessing the psychometric qualities of the abbreviated versions of the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT-3, AUDIT-4, AUDIT-C, AUDIT-PC, AUDIT-QF, FAST, and Five-Shot) and at comparing them to the 10-item AUDIT and the CAGE in 2 samples of Brazilian adults. Methods: The validity and internal consistency of the scales were assessed in a sample of 530 subjects attended at an emergency department and at a Psychosocial Care Center for Alcohol and Drugs. The Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV was used as the diagnostic comparative measure for the predictive validity assessment. The concurrent validity between the scales was analyzed by means of Pearson`s correlation coefficient. Results: The assessment of the predictive validity of the abbreviated versions showed high sensitivity (of 0.78 to 0.96) and specificity (of 0.74 to 0.94) indices, with areas under the curve as elevated as those of the AUDIT (0.89 and 0.92 to screen for abuse and 0.93 and 0.95 in the screening of dependence). The CAGE presented lower indices: 0.81 for abuse and 0.87 for dependence. The analysis of the internal consistency of the AUDIT and its versions exhibited Cronbach`s alpha coefficients between 0.83 and 0.94, while the coefficient for the CAGE was 0.78. Significant correlations were found between the 10-item AUDIT and its versions, ranging from 0.91 to 0.99. Again, the results for the CAGE were satisfactory (0.77), although inferior to the other instruments. Conclusions: The results obtained in this study confirm the validity of the abbreviated versions of the AUDIT for the screening of alcohol use disorders and show that their psychometric properties are as satisfactory as those of the 10-item AUDIT and the CAGE.
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This study examined the psychometric properties of the Brazilian versions of the Fagerstrom Test for Nicotine Dependence (FTND) and the Heaviness of Smoking Index (HSI). The test-retest reliability of the FTND was assessed in a sample of 61 smoking university students, with a 15-day interval between assessments. The interrater reliability was examined in 30 smoking patients of a psychosocial care center for alcohol and drug users (PCC-AD). The reliability coefficient was estimated by the kappa and intraclass correlation coefficients. The predictive validity, internal consistency, and factor structure of the FTND and the HSI were evaluated by factor analysis in 271 smokers treated at an emergency unit and at the PCC-AD. The gold standard was the nicotine dependence criteria of DSM-IV, as assessed by the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV. The FTND showed high reliability, with correlation coefficients of .92 for test-retest reliability and .99 for interrater reliability. Both the FTND and the HSI presented high levels of sensitivity and specificity. The internal consistency evaluation yielded a Cronbach`s alpha coefficient of .83 for the FTND and of .56 for the HSI. An exploratory factor analysis found 2 factors in the FTND, which were validated by a confirmatory factor analysis. The results obtained in this study confirm the validity and reliability of the Brazilian versions of the FTND and the HSI.