3-D magnetic resonance angiography versus conventional angiography in peripheral arterial disease: Pilot study

Angiography is usually performed as the preoperative road map for those requiring revascularization for lower extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD). The alternative investigations are ultrasound, 3-D magnetic resonance angiography (3-D MRA) and computed tomography angiography. This pilot study aimed to assess whether 3-D MRA could replace the gold standard angiography in preoperative planning. Eight patients considered for aortoiliac or infrainguinal arterial bypass surgery were recruited. All underwent both imaging modalities within 7 days. A vascular surgeon and a radiologist each reported on the images from both the 3-D MRA and the angiography, with blinding to patient details and each others reports. Comparisons were made between the reports for the angiographic and the 3-D MRA images, and between the reports of the vascular surgeon and the radiologist. Compared to the gold standard angiogram, 3-D MRA had a sensitivity of 77% and specificity of 94% in detecting occlusion, and a sensitivity of 72% and specificity of 90% in differentiating high grade (> 50%) versus low grade (< 50%) stenoses. There was an overall concordance of 78% between the two investigations with a range of 62% in the peroneal artery to 94% in the aorta. 3-D MRA showed flow in 23% of cases where conventional angiography showed no flow. In the present pilot study, 3-D MRA had reasonable concordance with the gold standard angiography, depending on the level of the lesion. At times it showed vessel flow where occlusion was shown on conventional angiogram. 3-D MRA in peripheral vascular disease is challenging the gold standard, but is inconsistent at present.

Predicting functional capacity outcome 12 months after hospitalized injury

Background: There is a recognized need to move from mortality to morbidity outcome predictions following traumatic injury. However, there are few morbidity outcome prediction scoring methods and these fail to incorporate important comorbidities or cofactors. This study aims to develop and evaluate a method that includes such variables. Methods: This was a consecutive case series registered in the Queensland Trauma Registry that consented to a prospective 12-month telephone conducted follow-up study. A multivariable statistical model was developed relating Trauma Registry data to trichotomized 12-month post-injury outcome (categories: no limitations, minor limitations and major limitations). Cross-validation techniques using successive single hold-out samples were then conducted to evaluate the model's predictive capabilities. Results: In total, 619 participated, with 337 (54%) experiencing no limitations, 101 (16%) experiencing minor limitations and 181 (29%) experiencing major limitations 12 months after injury. The final parsimonious multivariable statistical model included whether the injury was in the lower extremity body region, injury severity, age, length of hospital stay, pulse at admission and whether the participant was admitted to an intensive care unit. This model explained 21% of the variability in post-injury outcome. Predictively, 64% of those with no limitations, 18% of those with minor limitations and 37% of those with major limitations were correctly identified. Conclusion: Although carefully developed, this statistical model lacks the predictive power necessary for its use as a basis of a useful prognostic tool. Further research is required to identify variables other than those routinely used in the Trauma Registry to develop a model with the necessary predictive utility.

Diabetes as a tracer condition in international benchmarking of health systems

OBJECTIVE - To assess the performance of health systems using diabetes as a tracer condition. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS - We generated a measure of case-fatality among young people with diabetes Using the mortalily-to-incidence ratio (M/I ratio) for 29 industrialized countries using published data on diabetes incidence and mortality. Standardized incidence rates for ages 0-14 years were extracted from the World Health Organization DiaMond Study for the period 1990-1994; data on death from diabetes for ages 0-39 years were obtained from the World Health Organization Mortality database and converted into age-standardized death rates for the period 1994-1998, using the European standard population. RESULTS - The MA ratio varied > 10-fold. These relative differences appear similar to those observed in cohort studies of mortality among young people with type I diabetes in five countries. A sensitivity analysis showed that using plausible assumptions about potential overestimation of diabetes as a cause of death and underestimation of incidence rates in the U.S. yields an M/I ratio that would still be twice as high as in the U.K. or Canada. CONCLUSIONS - The M/I ratio for diabetes provides a means of differentiating countries on quality of care for people with diabetes. It is solely an indicator of potential problems, a basis for Stimulating more detailed assessments of whether such problems exist, and what can be done to address them.