9 resultados para Lee-Carter model

em University of Queensland eSpace - Australia


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A two-component mixture regression model that allows simultaneously for heterogeneity and dependency among observations is proposed. By specifying random effects explicitly in the linear predictor of the mixture probability and the mixture components, parameter estimation is achieved by maximising the corresponding best linear unbiased prediction type log-likelihood. Approximate residual maximum likelihood estimates are obtained via an EM algorithm in the manner of generalised linear mixed model (GLMM). The method can be extended to a g-component mixture regression model with the component density from the exponential family, leading to the development of the class of finite mixture GLMM. For illustration, the method is applied to analyse neonatal length of stay (LOS). It is shown that identification of pertinent factors that influence hospital LOS can provide important information for health care planning and resource allocation. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

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Tannerella forsythia has been implicated as a defined periodontal pathogen. In the present study a mouse model was used to determine the phenotype of leukocytes in the lesions induced by subcutaneous injections of either live (group A) or nonviable (group B) T. forsythia. Control mice (group C) received the vehicle only. Lesions were excised at days 1, 2, 4, and 7. An avidin-biotin immunoperoxidase method was used to stain infiltrating CD4(+) and CD8(+) T cells, CD14(+) macrophages, CD19(+) B cells, and neutrophils. Hematoxylin and eosin sections demonstrated lesions with central necrotic cores surrounded by neutrophils, macrophages and lymphocytes in both group A and group B mice. Lesions from control mice exhibited no or only occasional solitary leukocytes. In both groups A and B, neutrophils were the dominant leukocyte in the lesion 1 day after injection, the numbers decreasing over the 7-day experimental period. There was a relatively low mean percent of CD4(+) and CD8(+) T cells in the lesions and, whereas the percent of CD8(+) T cells remained constant, there was a significant increase in the percent of CD4(+) T cells at day 7. This increase was more evident in group A mice. The mean percent of CD14(+) macrophages and CD19(+) B cells remained low over the experimental period, although there was a significantly higher mean percent of CD19(+) B cells at day 1. In conclusion, the results showed that immunization of mice with live T. forsythia induced a stronger immune response than nonviable organisms. The inflammatory response presented as a nonspecific immune response with evidence of an adaptive (T-cell) response by day 7. Unlike Porphyromonas gingivalis, there was no inhibition of neutrophil migration.

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Purpose A teaching model for trabeculectomy is described using pig eyes prepared in formalin. Method The model enables trainee surgeons to practice various aspects of tissue handling required for successful trabeculectomy including the construction of a fornix-based conjunctival flap, scleral flap with buried releasable sutures, and water-tight conjunctival closure. Results Exposure to the necessary skills required to perform trabeculectomy surgery can be improved by the use of wet laboratory practice. Conclusions Trabeculectomy surgery experience is becoming more limited as fewer procedures are being performed due to the efficacy of recent medications. Wet laboratories will become an increasingly important aspect of a comprehensive ophthalmology training programme.

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The introduction of standard on-chip buses has eased integration and boosted the production of IP functional cores. However, once an IP is bus specific retargeting to a different bus is time-consuming and tedious, and this reduces the reusability of the bus-specific IP. As new bus standards are introduced and different interconnection methods are proposed, this problem increases. Many solutions have been proposed, however these solutions either limit the IP block performance or are restricted to a particular platform. A new concept is presented that can connect IP blocks to a wide variety of interface architectures with low overhead. This is achieved through the use a special interface adaptor logic layer.