Prediction of functional capacity in chronic heart failure patients using myocardial tissue Doppler

Background. Exercise therapy improves functional capacity in CHF, but selection and individualization of training would be helped by a simple non-invasive marker of peak VO2. Peak VO2 in these pts is difficult to predict without direct measurement, and LV ejection fraction is a poor predictor. Myocardial tissue velocities are less load-dependent, and may be predictive of the exercise response in CHF pts. We sought to use tissue velocity as a predictor of peak VO2 in CHF pts. Methods. Resting 2D-echocardiography and tissue Doppler imaging were performed in 182 CHF pts (159 male, age 62±10 years) before and after metabolic exercise testing. The majority of these patients (129, 71%) had an ischemic cardiomyopathy, with resting EF of 35±13% and a peak VO2 of 13.5±4.7 ml/kg/min. Results. Neither resting EF (r=0.15) nor peak EF (r=0.18, both p=NS) were correlated with peak VO2. However, peak VO2 correlated with peak systolic velocity in septal (Vss, r=0.31) and lateral walls (Vsl, r=0.26, both p=0.01). In a general linear model (r2 = 0.25), peak VO2 was calculated from the following equation: 9.6 + 0.68*Vss - 0.09*age + 0.06*maximum HR. This model proved to be a superior predictor of peak VO2 (r=0.51, p=0.01) than the standard prediction equations of Wasserman (r= -0.12, p=0.01). Conclusions. Resting tissue Doppler, age and maximum heart rate may be used to predict functional capacity in CHF patients. This may be of use in selecting and following the response to therapy, including for exercise training.

Statistical tests of load-unload response ratio signals by lattice solid model: Implication to tidal triggering and earthquake prediction

Statistical tests of Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR) signals are carried in order to verify statistical robustness of the previous studies using the Lattice Solid Model (MORA et al., 2002b). In each case 24 groups of samples with the same macroscopic parameters (tidal perturbation amplitude A, period T and tectonic loading rate k) but different particle arrangements are employed. Results of uni-axial compression experiments show that before the normalized time of catastrophic failure, the ensemble average LURR value rises significantly, in agreement with the observations of high LURR prior to the large earthquakes. In shearing tests, two parameters are found to control the correlation between earthquake occurrence and tidal stress. One is, A/(kT) controlling the phase shift between the peak seismicity rate and the peak amplitude of the perturbation stress. With an increase of this parameter, the phase shift is found to decrease. Another parameter, AT/k, controls the height of the probability density function (Pdf) of modeled seismicity. As this parameter increases, the Pdf becomes sharper and narrower, indicating a strong triggering. Statistical studies of LURR signals in shearing tests also suggest that except in strong triggering cases, where LURR cannot be calculated due to poor data in unloading cycles, the larger events are more likely to occur in higher LURR periods than the smaller ones, supporting the LURR hypothesis.

Determinants of functional capacity in patients with chronic heart failure: Role of filling pressure and systolic and diastolic function

Background Previous work suggesting a better correlation of diastolic than systolic function with exercise capacity in heart failure may reflect the -relative insensitivity and load-dependence of ejection fraction (EF). We sought the correlation of new and more sensitive methods of quantifying systolic and diastolic function and filling pressure with functional capacity. Methods We studied 155 consecutive exercise tests on 95 patients with congestive heart failure (81 male, aged 62 +/- 10 years), who underwent resting 2-climensional echocardiography and tissue Doppler imaging before and after measurement of maximum oxygen uptake (peak VO2)Results The resting EF was 3 1 % 10% and a peak VO(2)was 13 +/- 5 mL/kg/min; the majority of these patients (80%) had an ischemic cardiornyopathy. Resting EF (r 0.14, P =.09) correlated poorly with peak VO2 and mean systolic (r = 0.23, P =.004) and diastolic tissue velocities (r 0.18, P =.02). Peak EF was weakly correlated with the mean systolic (r = 0.18, P =.02) and diastolic velocities (r = 0.16, P <.04). The mean sum of systolic and diastolic velocities in both annuli (r = 0.30, P <.001) and E/Ea ratio (r 0.31, P <.001) were better correlated with peak VO2 Prediction of peak VO2 was similar with models based on models of filling pressure (R = 0.61), systolic factors (R = 0.63), and diastolic factors (R 0.59), although a composite model of filling pressure, systolic and diastolic function was a superior predictor of peak VO2 (R 0.69; all P<.001). Conclusions The reported association of diastolic rather than systolic function with functional capacity may have reflected the limitations of EF. Functional capacity appears related not only to diastolic function, but also to systolic function and filling pressure, and is most closely associated with a combination of these factors.

Disease risk and mortality prediction in intensive care patients with pneumonia. Australian and New Zealand practice in intensive care (ANZPIC II)

This study of ventilated patients investigated pneumonia risk factors and outcome predictors in 476 episodes of pneumonia (48% community-acquired pneumonia, 24% hospital-acquired pneumonia, 28% ventilator-associated pneumonia) using a prospective survey in 14 intensive care units within Australia and New Zealand. For community acquired pneumonia, mortality increased with immunosuppression (OR 5.32, CI 95% 1.58-17.99, P < 0. 01), clinical signs of consolidation (OR 2.43, CI 95% 1.09-5.44, P = 0. 03) and Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores (OR 1.19, CI 95% 1.08-1.30, P < 0. 001) but improved if appropriate antibiotic changes were made within three days of intensive care unit admission (OR 0.42, CI 95% 0.20-0.86, P = 0.02). For hospital-acquired pneumonia, immunosuppression (OR 6.98, CI 95% 1.16-42.2, P = 0.03) and non-metastatic cancer (OR 3.78, CI 95% 1.20-11.93, P = 0.02) were the principal mortality predictors. Alcoholism (OR 7.80, CI 95% 1.20-1750, P < 0.001), high SOFA scores (OR 1.44, CI 95% 1.20-1.75, P = 0.001) and the isolation of high risk organisms including Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Acinetobacter spp, Stenotrophomonas spp and methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus (OR 4.79, CI 95% 1.43-16.03, P = 0.01), were associated with increased mortality in ventilator-associated pneumonia. The use of non-invasive ventilation was independently protective against mortality for patients with community-acquired and hospital-acquired pneumonia (OR 0.35, CI 95% 0.18-0.68, P = 0.002). Mortality was similar for patients requiting both invasive and non-invasive ventilation and non-invasive ventilation alone (21% compared with 20% respectively, P = 0.56). Pneumonia risks and mortality predictors in Australian and New Zealand ICUs vary with pneumonia type. A history of alcoholism is a major risk factor for mortality in ventilator-associated pneumonia, greater in magnitude than the mortality effect of immunosuppression in hospital-acquired pneumonia or community-acquired pneumonia. Non-invasive ventilation is associated with reduced ICU mortality. Clinical signs of consolidation worsen, while rationalising antibiotic therapy within three days of ICU admission improves mortality for community-acquired pneumonia patients.

The appetitive motivation scale and other BAS measures in the prediction of Approach and Active Avoidance

The Appetitive Motivation Scale (Jackson & Smillie, 2004) is a new trait conceptualisation of Gray's (I 970 199 1) Behavioural Activation System. In this experiment we explore relationships that the Appetitive Motivation Scale and other measures of Gray's model have with Approach and Active Avoidance responses. Using a sample of 144 undergraduate students, both Appetitive Motivation and Sensitivity to Reward (from the Sensitivity to Punishment and Sensitivity to Reward Questionnaire, SPSRQ; Torrubia, Avila, Molto, & Ceseras, 2001), were found to be significant predictors of Approach and Active Avoidance response latency. This confirms previous experimental validations of the SPSRQ (e.g., Avila, 2001) and provides the first experimental evidence for the validity of the Appetitive Motivation scale. Consistent with interactive views of Gray's model (e.g., Corr, 2001), high SPSRQ Sensitivity to Punishment diminished the relationship between Sensitivity to Reward and our BAS criteria. Measures of BIS did not however interact in this way with the appetitive motivation scale. A surprising result was the failure for any of Carver and White's (1994) BAS scales to correlate with RST criteria. Implications of these findings and potential future directions are discussed. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Efffluent flux prediction in variably saturated soil zones within a septic tank-soil absorption trench

The treatment and hydraulic mechanisms in a septic tank-soil absorption system ( SAS) are highly influenced by the clogging layer or biomat zone which develops on bottom and lower sidewall surfaces within the trench. Flow rates through the biomat and sub-biomat zones are governed largely by the biomat hydraulic properties (resistance and hydraulic conductivity) and the unsaturated hydraulic conductivity of the underlying soil. One- and 2-dimensional models were used to investigate the relative importance of sidewall and vertical flow rates and pathways in SAS. Results of 1-dimensional modelling show that several orders of magnitude variation in saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ks) reduce to a 1 order of magnitude variation in long-term flow rates. To increase the reliability of prediction of septic trench hydrology, HYDRUS-2D was used to model 2-dimensional flow. In the permeable soils, under high trench loading, effluent preferentially flowed in the upper region of the trench where no resistant biomat was present (the exfiltration zone). By comparison, flow was more evenly partitioned between the biomat zones and the exfiltration zones of the low permeability soil. An increase in effluent infiltration corresponded with a greater availability of exfiltration zone, rather than a lower resistance of biomat. Results of modelling simulations demonstrated the important role that a permeable A horizon may play in limiting surface surcharge of effluent under high trench hydraulic loading.