Changes in survival after breast cancer: improvements in diagnosis or treatment?

We have compared 5-year survival rates in two cohorts of women diagnosed with breast cancer in Brisbane, Australia, between 1981-1984 and 1990-1994. Tumours diagnosed in the early 1990s were significantly smaller and less likely to have nodal involvement than those diagnosed 10 years earlier (P < 0.0001). The size difference was particularly striking for women aged over 50 at diagnosis, those targeted for screening. Five-year survival was greater among women diagnosed in the 1990s (84% vs. 74%; hazard ratio (HR) 0.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.46-0.81). After adjusting for the effects of tumour size and nodal status this difference was reduced, but women diagnosed more recently still showed improved survival (HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.56-1.01) and disease-free survival (HR 0.72; 0.56-0.92) at 5 years. This suggests that both earlier diagnosis and changes in breast cancer treatment have contributed to improved breast cancer survival. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Multivariate QTL linkage analysis suggests a QTL for platelet count on chromosome 19q

Platelet count is a highly heritable trait with genetic factors responsible for around 80% of the phenotypic variance. We measured platelet count longitudinally in 327 monozygotic and 418 dizygotic twin pairs at 12, 14 and 16 years of age. We also performed a genome-wide linkage scan of these twins and their families in an attempt to localize QTLs that influenced variation in platelet concentrations. Suggestive linkage was observed on chromosome 19q13.13-19q13.31 at 12 (LOD=2.12, P=0.0009), 14 (LOD=2.23, P=0.0007) and 16 (LOD=1.01, P=0.016) years of age and multivariate analysis of counts at all three ages increased the LOD to 2.59 (P=0.0003). A possible candidate in this region is the gene for glycoprotein VI, a receptor involved in platelet aggregation. Smaller linkage peaks were also seen at 2p, 5p, 5q, 10p and 15q. There was little evidence for linkage to the chromosomal regions containing the genes for thrombopoietin (3q27) and the thrombopoietin receptor (1q34), suggesting that polymorphisms in these genes do not contribute substantially to variation in platelet count between healthy individuals.

Australian and New Zealand practice in intensive care (ANZPIC II: The spectrum of practice in the diagnosis and management of pneumonia in patients requiring mechanical ventilation

This study of ventilated patients investigated current clinical practice in 476 episodes of pneumonia (48% community-acquired pneumonia, 24% hospital-acquired pneumonia, 28% ventilator-associated pneumonia) using a prospective survey in 14 intensive care units (ICUs) within Australia and New Zealand. Diagnostic methods and confidence, disease severity, microbiology and antibiotic use were assessed. All pneumonia types had similar mortality (community-acquired pneumonia 33%, hospital-acquired pneumonia 37% and ventilator-associated pneumonia 24%, P = 0.15) with no inter-hospital differences (P = 0.08-0.91). Bronchoscopy was performed in 26%, its use predicted by admission hospital (one tertiary: OR 9.98, CI 95% 5.11-19.49, P < 0.001; one regional: OR 629, CI 95% 3.24-12.20, P < 0.001), clinical signs of consolidation (OR 3.72, CI 95% 2.09-662, P < 0.001) and diagnostic confidence (OR 2.19, CI 95% 1.29-3.72, P = 0.004). Bronchoscopy did not predict outcome (P = 0.11) or appropriate antibiotic selection (P = 0.69). Inappropriate antibiotic prescription was similar for all pneumonia types (11-13%, P = 0.12) and hospitals (0-16%, P = 0.25). Blood cultures were taken in 51% of cases. For community-acquired pneumonia, 70% received a third generation cephalosporin and 65% a macrolide. Third generation cephalosporins were less frequently used for mild infections (OR 0.38, CI 95% 0.16-0.90, P = 0.03), hospital-acquired pneumonia (OR 0.40, CI 95% 0.23-0.72, P < 0.01), ventilator-associated pneumonia (OR 0.04, CI 95% 0.02-0.13, P < 0.001), suspected aspiration (OR 0.20, CI 95% 0.04-0.92, P = 0.04), in one regional (OR 0.26, CI 95% 0.07-0.97, P = 0.05) and one tertiary hospital (OR 0.14, CI 95% 0.03-0.73, P = 0.02) but were more commonly used in older patients (OR 1.02, CI 95% 1.01-1.03, P = 0.01). There is practice variability in bronchoscopy and antibiotic use for pneumonia in Australian and New Zealand ICUs without significant impact on patient outcome, as the prevalence of inappropriate antibiotic prescription is low. There are opportunities for improving microbiological diagnostic work-up for isolation of aetiological pathogens.

Mapping loss of heterozygosity in normal human breast cells from BRCA1/2 carriers

We have studied loss of heterozygosity at the BRCA1 and BRCA2 loci in 992 normal cell clones derived from topographically defined areas of normal tissue in four samples from BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers. The frequency of loss of heterozygosity in the clones was low ( 1.01%), but it was found in all four samples, whether or not a tumour was present. Topographical mapping revealed that the genetic changes were clustered in some breast samples. Our study confirms the previous finding that a field of genetic instability can exist around a tumour, suggesting that sufficient tissue must be removed at surgery to avoid local recurrence. We also demonstrate that such a field of genetic change can exist in morphologically normal tissue before a tumour develops and, for the first time, we demonstrate that the field is of a size greater than one terminal duct-lobular unit. The genetic changes are not identical, however, which suggests that genetic instability in these regions may play an early role in tumour development. We also confirm and extend our original observation of loss of the wild-type BRCA1 allele in some clones, and loss of the mutant allele in others, demonstrating that loss of either allele is a stochastic event.

Relative predictive value of intraventricular dysynchrony in determining long-term outcome in patients with known or suspected coronary disease

Improvement of intra-ventricular dysynchrony (IVD) in pts undergoing bi-ventricular pacing is associated with clinical improvementbut little isknownabout the relationship between IVD and prognosis.We sought whether IVD influences long-term outcome in pts with known or suspected coronary disease (CAD). Tissue Doppler imaging was performed in 184 pts (aged 61±10 years, 67% male) prior to dobutamine echo. From velocity curves the interval between QRS onset and max systolic velocity (Ts) was measured in basal septal, lateral, inferior and anterior segments. The maximal difference in Ts between segments (TsMax) was used as a measure of IVD. The standard deviation (TsSD) between all segments and the septal-lateral difference (TsSL) were also calculated. Pts were followed up for a median interval of 5 years and a Cox model used for survival analysis. The medianwall motion index (WMI) was 1.3 (IQR 1.0–1.8) at rest and 1.4 (IQR 1.3–1.9) at stress. The table shows IVD parameters. Forty-one deaths occurred during follow-up. Pts who died during follow-up, compared to survivors, showed greater IVD. WMI at rest (p = 0.03) and peak stress (p = 0.02), TsSD (p = 0.06), TsSL (p = 0.02) and TsMax (p = 0.05) but not QRS width were univariate predictors of mortality. TsSL was the only independent predictor of death (p = 0.01). Therefore, IVD is common in pts with known or suspected CAD. Pts with more IVD have reduced long-term survival, independent of WMI.