Response to price and production risk: The case of Australian wheat

A model of Australian wheat grower supply response was specified under the constraints of price and yield uncertainty, risk aversion, partial adjustment, and quadratic costs. The model was solved to obtain area planted. The results of estimation indicate that risk arising from prices and climate have had a significant influence on producer decision making. The coefficient of relative risk aversion and short-run and long-run elasticities of supply with respect to price were calculated. Wheat growers' risk premium, expected at the start of the season for exposed price and yield risk, was 2.8 percent of revenue or 10.4 percent of profit as measured by producer surplus. (C) 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Risk management for scuba diving operators on Australia's Great Barrier Reef

Australia's Great Barrier Reef is one of the world's most popular scuba diving destinations. Unfortunately, a series of recent diving injuries and deaths has tarnished the region's safety record. In particular, media attention surrounding the disappearance of American divers Thomas and Eileen Lonergan has focused attention on dive operators' legal responsibilities and the consequences of failing to discharge their duty of care to customers. This paper briefly examines the relevant Australian law for recreational diving operations, and reviews risk management strategies that may reduce or prevent the occurrence of future problems. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

The Australian Burden of Disease Study: measuring the loss of health from diseases, injuries and risk factors

This is an overview of the first burden of disease and injury studies carried out in Australia. Methods developed for the World Bank and World Health Organization Global Burden of Disease Study were adapted and applied to Australian population health data. Depression was found to be the top-ranking cause of non-fatal disease burden in Australia, causing 8% of the total years lost due to disability in 1996. Mental disorders overall were responsible for nearly 30% of the non-fatal disease burden. The leading causes of total disease burden (disability-adjusted life years [DALYs]) were ischaemic heart disease and stroke, together causing nearly 18% of the total disease burden. Depression was the fourth leading cause of disease burden, accounting for 3.7% of the total burden. Of the 10 major risk factors to which the disease burden can be attributed, tobacco smoking causes an estimated 10% of the total disease burden in Australia, followed by physical inactivity (7%).

The interaction between the equity premium and the risk-free rate

The equity premium arises from the interaction between the atemporal risk premium for equity, the risk-free rate of intertemporal substitution and the impact of risk on the precautionary motive for saving. Depending on parameter values, the equity premium may either be increased or reduced by the presence of undiversifiable background risk. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.

An update on genetic, structural and functional studies of arylamine N-acetyltransferases in eucaryotes and procaryotes

Arylamine N-acetyltransferase (NAT) was first identified as the inactivator of the anti-tubercular drug isoniazid, The enzyme was shown to catalyse the transfer of an acetyl group from acetyl-CoA to the terminal nitrogen of the hydrazine drug. The rate of inactivation of isoniazid was polymorphically distributed in the population and was one of the first examples of pharmacogenetic variation, NAT was identified recently in Mycobacterium tuberculosis and is a candidate for; modulating the response to isoniazid, Genome sequences have revealed many homologous members of this unique family of enzymes. The first three-dimensional structure of a member of the NAT family identifies a catalytic triad consisting of aspartate, histidine and cysteine proposed to form the activation mechanism. So far, all procaryotic NATs resemble the human enzyme which acetylates isoniazid (NAT2), Human NAT2 is characteristic of drug-metabolizing enzymes: it is found in liver and intestine, In humans and other mammals, there are up to three different isoenzymes. If only one isoenzyme is present, it is like human NAT1. Human NAT1 and its murine equivalent specifically acetylate the folate catabolite p-amino-benzoylglutamate. NAT1 and its murine homologue each have a ubiquitous tissue distribution and are expressed early in development at the blastocyst stage, During murine embryonic development, NAT is expressed in the developing neural tube. The proposed endogenous role of NAT in folate metabolism, and its multi-allelic nature, indicate that its role in development should be assessed further.

A novel genetic locus for low renin hypertension: familial hyperaldosteronism type II maps to chromosome 7 (7p22)

Familial hyperaldosteronism type II (FH-II) is caused by adrenocortical hyperplasia or aldosteronoma or both and is frequently transmitted in an autosomal dominant fashion. Unlike FH type I (FI-I-I), which results from fusion of the CYP11B1 and CYP11B2 genes, hyperaldosteronism in FH-II is not glucocorticoid remediable. A large family with FH-II was used for a genome wide search and its members were evaluated by measuring the aldosterone:renin ratio. In those with an increased ratio, FH-II was confirmed by fludrocortisone suppression testing. After excluding most of the genome, genetic linkage was identified with a maximum two point lod score of 3.26 at theta =0, between FH-II in this family and the polymorphic markers D7S511, D7S517, and GATA24F03 on chromosome 7,a region that corresponds to cytogenetic band 7p22. This is the first identified locus for FH-II; its molecular elucidation may provide further insight into the aetiology of primary aldosteronism.

Inactivation of human arylamine N-acetyltransferase 1 by the hydroxylamine of p-aminobenzoic acid

Human N-acetyltransferase 1 (NAT1) is a widely distributed enzyme that catalyses the acetylation of arylamine and hydrazine drugs as well as several known carcinogens, and so its levels in the body may have toxicological importance with regard to drug toxicity and cancer risk. Recently, we showed that p-aminobenzoic acid (PABA) was able to down-regulate human NAT1 in cultured cells, but the exact mechanism by which PABA acts remains unclear. In the present study, we investigated the possibility that PABA-induced down-regulation involves its metabolism to N-OH-PABA, since N-OH-AAF functions as an irreversible inhibitor of hamster and rat NAT1. We show here that N-OH-PABA irreversibly inactivates human NAT1 both in cultured cells and cell cytosols in a time- and concentration-dependent manner. Maximal inactivation in cultured cells occurred within 4 hr of treatment, with a concentration of 30 muM reducing activity by 60 +/- 7%. Dialysis studies showed that inactivation was irreversible, and cofactor (acetyl coenzyme A) but not substrate (PABA) completely protected against inactivation, indicating involvement of the cofactor-binding site. In agreement with these data, kinetic studies revealed a 4-fold increase in cofactor K-m, but no change in substrate K-m for N-OH-PABA-treated cytosols compared to control. We conclude that N-OH-PABA decreases NAT1 activity by a direct interaction with the enzyme and appears to be a result of covalent modification at the cofactor-binding site. This is in contrast to our findings for PABA, which appears to reduce NAT1 activity by down-regulating the enzyme, leading to a decrease in NAT1 protein content. BIOCHEM PHARMACOL 60;12: 1829-1836, 2000. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Inc.

A model for predicting the future incidence of coronary heart disease within percentiles of coronary heart disease risk

Background We present a method (The CHD Prevention Model) for modelling the incidence of fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease (CHD) within various CHD risk percentiles of an adult population. The model provides a relatively simple tool for lifetime risk prediction for subgroups within a population. It allows an estimation of the absolute primary CHD risk in different populations and will help identify subgroups of the adult population where primary CHD prevention is most appropriate and cost-effective. Methods The CHD risk distribution within the Australian population was modelled, based on the prevalence of CHD risk, individual estimates of integrated CHD risk, and current CHD mortality rates. Predicted incidence of first fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction within CHD risk strata of the Australian population was determined. Results Approximately 25% of CHD deaths were predicted to occur amongst those in the top 10 percentiles of integrated CHD risk, regardless of age group or gender. It was found that while all causes survival did not differ markedly between percentiles of CHD risk before the ages of around 50-60, event-free survival began visibly to differ about 5 years earlier. Conclusions The CHD Prevention Model provides a means of predicting future CHD incidence amongst various strata of integrated CHD risk within an adult population. It has significant application both in individual risk counselling and in the identification of subgroups of the population where drug therapy to reduce CHD risk is most cost-effective. J Cardiovasc Risk 8:31-37 (C) 2001 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.

Hormonal factors and risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage - An international population-based, case-control study

Background and Purpose-Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is more common in women than in men, but the role of hormonal factors in its etiology remains uncertain. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between hormonal factors and risk of SAH in women. Methods-This was a prospective, multicenter, population-based, case-control study performed in 4 major urban centers in Australia and New Zealand. Two hundred sixty-eight female cases of first-ever aneurysmal SAH occurred during 1995-1998. Controls were 286 frequency-matched women from the general population of each center. Outcome measures included risk of SAH associated with use of oral contraceptive pills (OCPs), hormone replacement therapy (HRT), and various endogenous hormonal factors including menstrual patterns, parity, age at birth of first child, and breast-feeding practices. Results-Cases and controls did not differ with regard to menstrual and reproductive history except in age at bir th of first child, where older age was associated with reduced risk of SAH (odds ratio [OR], 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43, 0.91). Relative to never use of HRT, the adjusted OR for over use of HRT was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.41, 0.98), which did not alter significantly after further adjustment for possible confounding factors. Borderline evidence of an inverse association was detected for past use of HRT (adjusted OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.30, 1.13) and current use of HRT (adjusted OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.40, 1.13), but there was no evidence of an association for use of OCPs (adjusted OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.58, 1.60). Conclusions-The risks of SAH are lower in women whose first pregnancy is at an older age and women who have ever used HRT but not OCPs. The findings suggest an independent etiologic role for hormonal factors in the pathogenesis of aneurysmal SAH and provide support for a protective role fur HRT on risk of SAH in postmenopausal women.