Long-term risk stratification for survivors of acute coronary syndromes - Results from the long-term intervention with pravastatin in ischemic disease (LIPID) study

OBJECTIVES We developed a prognostic strategy for quantifying the long-term risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) events in survivors of acute coronary syndromes (ACS). BACKGROUND Strategies for quantifying long-term risk of CHD events have generally been confined to primary prevention settings. The Long-term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease (LIPID) study, which demonstrated that pravastatin reduces CHD events in ACS survivors with a broad range of cholesterol levels, enabled assessment of long-term prognosis in a secondary prevention setting. METHODS Based on outcomes in 8,557 patients in the LIPID study, a multivariate risk factor model was developed for prediction of CHD death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Prognostic indexes were developed based on the model, and low-, medium-, high- and very high-risk groups were defined by categorizing the prognostic indexes. RESULTS In addition to pravastatin treatment, the independently significant risk factors included: total and high density lipoprotein cholesterol, age, gender, smoking status, qualifying ACS, prior coronary revascularization, diabetes mellitus, hypertension and prior stroke. Pravastatin reduced coronary event rates in each risk level, and the relative risk reduction did not vary significantly between risk levels. The predicted five-year coronary event rates ranged from 5% to 19% for those assigned pravastatin and from 6.4% to 23.6% fur those assigned placebo. CONCLUSIONS Long-term prognosis of ACS survivors varied substantially according to conventional risk factor profile. Pravastatin reduced coronary risk within all risk levels; however, absolute risk remained high in treated patients with unfavorable profiles. Our risk stratification strategy enables identification of ACS survivors who remain at very high risk despite statin therapy. CT Am Coil Cardiol 2001;38:56-63) (C) 2001 by the American College of Cardiology.

Use of stress echocardiography to predict mortality in patients with diabetes and known or suspected coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVE - This study sought to determine whether stress echocardiography using exercise (when feasible) or dobutamine echo could be used to predict mortality in patients with diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS - Stress echo was performed in 937 patients with diabetes (aged 59 +/- 13 years, 529 men) for symptom evaluation (42%) and follow-up of known coronary artery disease (CAD) (58%). Stress echocardiography using exercise was performed in 333 patients able to exercise maximally, and dobutamine echo using a standard dobutamine stress was used in 604 patients. Patients were followed for less than or equal to9 years (mean 3.9 +/- 2.3) for all-cause mortality. RESULTS - Normal studies were obtained in 567 (60%) patients; 29% had resting left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, and 25% had ischemia. Abnormalities were confined to one territory in 183 (20%) patients and to multiple territories in 187 (20%) patients. Death (in 275 [29%] patients) was predicted by referral for pharmacologic stress (hazard ratio [HR] 3.94, P < 0.0001), ischemia (1.77, P <0.0001), age (1.02, P = 0.002), and heart failure (1.54, P = 0.01). The risk of death in patients With a normal scan was 4% per year, and this was associated with age and selection for pharmacologic stress testing. In stepwise models replicating the sequence of clinical evaluation, the predictive power of independent clinical predictors (age, selection for pharmacologic stress, previous infarction, and heart failure; model chi(2) = 104.8) was significantly enhanced by addition of stress echo data (model chi(2) = 122.9). CONCLUSIONS - The results of stress echo are independent predictors of death in diabetic patients with known or suspected CAD.. Ischemia adds risk that is incremental to clinical risks and LV dysfunction.

Patients with early diabetic heart disease demonstrate a normal myocardial response to dobutamine

OBJECTIVES We sought to use quantitative markers of the regional left ventricular (LV) response to stress to infer whether diabetic cardiomyopathy is associated with ischemia. BACKGROUND Diabetic cardiomyopathy has been identified in clinical and experimental studies, but its cause remains unclear. METHODS We studied 41 diabetic patients with normal resting LV function and a normal dobutamine echo and 41 control subjects with a low probability of coronary disease. Peak myocardial systolic velocity (Sm) and early diastolic velocity (Em) in each segment were averaged, and mean Sm and Em were compared between diabetic patients and controls and among different stages of dobutamine stress. RESULTS Both Sm and Em progressively increased from rest to peak dobutamine stress. In the diabetic group, Sm was significantly lower than in control subjects at baseline (4.2 +/- 0.9 cm/s vs. 4.7 +/- 0.9 cm/s, p = 0.012). However, Sin at a low dose (6.0 +/- 1.3), before peak (8.4 +/- 1.8), and at peak stress (8.9 +/- 1.8) in diabetic patients was not significantly different from that of controls (6.3 +/- 1.4, 8.9 +/- 1.6, and 9.6 +/- 2.1 cm/s, respectively). The Em (cm/s) in the diabetic group (rest: 4.2 +/- 1.2; low dose: 5.0 +/- 1.4; pre-peak: 5.3 +/- 1.1; peak: 5.9 +/- 1.5) was significantly lower than that of controls (rest: 5.8 +/- 1.5; low dose: 6.6 +/- 1.5; pre-peak: 6.9 +/- 1.3; peak: 7.3 +/- 1.7; all p < 0.001). However, the absolute and relative increases in Sm or Em from rest to peak stress were similar in diabetic and control groups. CONCLUSIONS Subtle LV dysfunction is present in diabetic patients without overt cardiac disease. The normal response to stress suggests that ischemia due to small-vessel disease may not be important in early diabetic heart muscle disease. (C) 2003 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

Ventricular dysfunction in early diabetic heart disease: detection, mechanisms and significance

The detection of preclinical heart disease is a new direction in diabetes care. This comment describes the study by Vinereanu and co-workers in this issue of Clinical Science in which tissue Doppler echocardiography has been employed to demonstrate subtle systolic and diastolic dysfunction in Type 11 diabetic patients who had normal global systolic function and were free of coronary artery disease. The aetiology of early ventricular dysfunction in diabetes relates to complex intramyocardial and extramyocardial mechanisms. The initiating event may be due to insulin resistance, and involves abnormal myocardial substrate utilization and uncoupling of mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation. Dysglycaemia plays an important role via the effects of oxidative stress, protein kinase C activation and advanced glycosylation end-products on inflammatory signalling, collagen metabolism and fibrosis. Extramyocardial mechanisms involve peripheral endothelial dysfunction, arterial stiffening and autonomic neuropathy. The clinical significance of the ventricular abnormalities described is unknown. Confirmation of their prognostic importance for cardiac disease in diabetes would justify routine screening for presymptomatic ventricular dysfunction, as well as clinical trials of novel agents for correcting causal mechanisms. These considerations could also have implications for patients with obesity and the metabolic syndrome.

Determinants of subclinical diabetic heart disease

Aims/hypothesis: Subclinical left ventricular (LV) dysfunction has been shown by tissue Doppler and strain imaging in diabetic patients in the absence of coronary disease or LV hypertrophy, but the prevalence and aetiology of this finding remain unclear. This study sought to identify the prevalence and the determinants of subclinical diabetic heart disease. Methods: A group of 219 unselected patients with type 2 diabetes without known cardiac disease underwent resting and stress echocardiography. After exclusion of coronary artery disease or LV hypertrophy, the remaining 120 patients ( age 57 +/- 10 years, 73 male) were studied with tissue Doppler imaging. Peak systolic strain of each wall and systolic (Sm) and diastolic ( Em) velocity of each basal segment were measured from the three apical views and averaged for each patient. Significant subclinical LV dysfunction was identified according to Sm and Em normal ranges adjusted by age and sex. Strain and Em were correlated with clinical, therapeutic, echocardiographic and biochemical variables, and significant independent associations were sought using a multiple linear regressionmodel. Results: Significant subclinical LV dysfunction was present in 27% diabetic patients. Myocardial systolic dysfunction by peak strain was independently associated with glycosylated haemoglobin level ( p< 0.001) and lack of angiotensin- converting enzyme inhibitor treatment ( p= 0.003). Myocardial diastolic function ( Em) was independently predicted by age ( p= 0.013), hypertension ( p= 0.001), insulin ( p= 0.008) and metformin ( p= 0.01) treatment. Conclusions/ interpretation: In patients with diabetes mellitus, subclinical LV dysfunction is common and associated with poor diabetic control, advancing age, hypertension and metformin treatment; ACE inhibitor and insulin therapies appear to be protective.

Screening for heart disease in diabetic subjects

Background The prevalence of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), coronary artery disease, and subclinical cardiomyopathy in diabetic patients without known cardiac disease is unclear. We sought the frequency of these findings to determine whether plasma brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) could be used as an alternative screening tool to identify subclinical LV dysfunction. Methods Asymptomatic patients with diabetes mellitus without known cardiac disease (n = 10 1) underwent clinical evaluation, measurement of BNP, exercise stress testing, and detailed echocardiographic assessment. After exclusion of overt dysfunction or ischemia, subclinical myocardial function was sought on the basis of myocardial systolic (Sm) and diastolic velocity (Em). Association was. sought between subclinical dysfunction and clinical, biochemical, exercise, and echocardiographic variables. Results Of 101 patients, 22 had LVH and 16 had ischemia evidenced by exercise-induced wall motion abnormalities. Only 4 patients had abnormal BNP levels; BNP was significantly increased in patients with LVH. After exclusion of LVH and coronary artery disease, subclinical cardiomyopathy was identified in 24 of 66 patients: Subclinical disease could not be predicted by BNP. Conclusions Even after exclusion of asymptomatic ischemia and hypertrophy, subclinical systolic and diastolic dysfunction occurs in a significant number of patients with type 2 diabetes. However, screening approaches, including BNP, do not appear to be sufficiently sensitive to identify subclinical dysfunction, which requires sophisticated echocardiographic analysis.

Inhibitors of cholesteryl ester transfer protein - a step forward in the treatment of coronary artery disease?

Although the LDL cholesterol-lowering statins have reduced the mortality and morbidity associated with coronary artery disease (CAD), considerable mortality and morbidity remains. Increasing HDL cholesterol levels is associated with reduced CAD mortality and morbidity. In healthy subjects with mild dyslipidemia, treatment with JTT-705 decreased cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) activity, increased HDL cholesterol and decreased LDL cholesterol. Similarly, another CETP inhibitor, torcetrapib, has recently been shown to increase HDL cholesterol by 46%, decrease LDL cholesterol by 8% and have no effect on triglycerides in subjects with HDL cholesterol levels below 1.0 mmol/l. Increasing HDL cholesterol with inhibitors of CETP represents a new approach to dyslipidemia that requires further investigation, especially in patients with CAD.

Mapping the emergence of heart disease in a black, urban population in Africa: The Heart of Soweto Study

Background: There is increasing evidence that many populations in the developing world are in epidemiologic transition with the subsequent emergence of more affluent disease states. The Heart of Soweto Study will systematically investigate the emergence of heart disease (HD) in a large urban population in South Africa. Methods: Part of the conurbation of Johannesburg, South Africa, Soweto is a predominantly Black African community of I million individuals. During an initial two year period, all individuals presenting to the local Baragwanath Hospital (3500 beds) with any form of HD will be studied. Demographic and diagnostic coding data in those with pre-established HD will form an abbreviated clinical registry of > 12,000 prevalent cases. Similarly, socio-demographic, clinical and diagnostic data (e.g. echocardiography and ECG) in newly diagnosed patients will form a more detailed clinical registry of > 5000 incident cases. Sub-studies of the relationship between HIV status and H D and the optimal management of chronic heart failure will also be performed. Results: These data will provide a unique insight into the causes and consequences of a broad spectrum of HD-related conditions in a developing world community in epidemiologic transition. Initially documented Population rates, in addition to detailed examinations of the underlying risk factors and causes of HD-related morbidity/mortality will provide an important platform for future stages of the study: a community-based, population screening program and culturally specific primary and secondary programs of care. Conclusion: There is an urgent need to systematically track the emergence of HD in the developing world. Initially involving more than 15,000 individuals, the unique Heart of Soweto Study has the potential to provide a wealth of information in this regard. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

Diabetic heart disease

Diabetes mellitus is responsible for a spectrum of cardiovascular disease. The best known complications arise from endothelial dysfunction, oxidation, inflammation, and vascular remodelling and contribute to atherogenesis. However, the effects on the heart also relate to concurrent hypertensive heart disease, as well as direct effects of diabetes on the myocardium. Diabetic heart disease, defined as myocardial disease in patients with diabetes that cannot be ascribed to hypertension, coronary artery disease, or other known cardiac disease, is reviewed.

Inflammation, complement activation and endothelial function in stable and unstable coronary artery disease

Background: Endothelial dysfunction plays an important role in the pathogenesis of coronary artery disease (CAD). Apart from traditional risk factors complement activation and inflammation may trigger and sustain endothelial dysfunction. We sought to assess the association between endothelial function, high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and markers of complement activation in patients with either stable or unstable coronary artery disease. Methods: We prospectively recruited 78 patients, 35 patients with stable angina pectoris (SAP) and 43 patients with unstable angina pectoris (UAP). Endothelial function was assessed as brachial artery reactivity (BAR). Hs-CRP, C3a, C5a, and C1-Inhibitor (C1 inh.) were measured enzymatically. Results: Patients with IJAP showed higher median levels of hs-CRP and C3a compared to patients with SAP, while BAR was not significantly different between patient groups. In UAP patients, hs-CRP was significantly correlated with cholesterol (r = 0.27, p < 0.02), C3a (r = 0.32, p < 0.001) and C1 INH.(r = 0.41, p < 0.003), but not with flow mediated dilatation (r = 0.09, P = 0.41). Hs-CRP and C1 INH.were found to be independant predictors of IJAP in a backward stepwise logistic regression model. Conclusions: We conclude that both hs-CRP, a marker of inflammation and C3a, a marker of complement activation are elevated in patients with UAP, but not in patients with SAP. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Changes in estimated coronary risk in the 1980s: data from 38 populations in the WHO MONICA Project

The World Health Organization (WHO) MONICA Project is a 10-year study monitoring trends and determinants of cardiovascular disease in geographically defined populations. Data were collected from over 100 000 randomly selected participants in two risk factor surveys conducted approximately 5 years apart in 38 populations using standardized protocols. The net effects of changes in the risk factor levels were estimated using risk scores derived from longitudinal studies in the Nordic countries. The prevalence of cigarette smoking decreased among men in most populations, but the trends for women varied. The prevalence of hypertension declined in two-thirds of the populations. Changes in the prevalence of raised total cholesterol were small but highly correlated between the genders (r = 0.8). The prevalence of obesity increased in three-quarters of the populations for men and in more than half of the populations for women. In almost half of the populations there were statistically significant declines in the estimated coronary risk for both men and women, although for Beijing the risk score increased significantly for both genders. The net effect of the changes in the risk factor levels in the 1980s in most of the study populations of the WHO MONICA Project is that the rates of coronary disease are predicted to decline in the 1990s.

Coronary events and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke: a case-control study from Australia and New Zealand

Objectives-To estimate the relative risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) associated with exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). Design-Population-based case-control study. Subjects-Cases were 953 people identified in a population register of coronary events, and controls were 3189 participants in independent community-based risk factor prevalence surveys from the same study populations. Setting-Newcastle, Australia and Auckland, New Zealand. Main outcome measures-Acute myocardial infarction or coronary death. Results-After adjusting for the effects of age, education, history of heart disease, and body mass index, women had a statistically significant increased risk of a coronary event associated with exposure to ETS (relative risk (RR) = 1.99; 95% confidence interval (CI)= 1.40-2.81). There was little statistical evidence of increased risk found in men (RR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.81-1.28). Conclusion-Our study found evidence for the adverse effects of exposure to ETS on risk of coronary heart disease among women, especially at home. For men the issue is unclear according to the data from our study. Additional studies with detailed information on possible confounders and adequate statistical power are needed. Most importantly, they should use methods for measuring exposure to ETS that are sufficiently accurate to permit the investigation of dose-response relationships.

Estimation of contribution of changes in classic risk factors to trends in coronary-event rates across the WHO MONICA Project populations

Background From the mid-1980s to mid-1990s, the WHO MONICA Project monitored coronary events and classic risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) in 38 populations from 21 countries. We assessed the extent to which changes in these risk factors explain the variation in the trends in coronary-event rates across the populations. Methods In men and women aged 35-64 years, non-fatal myocardial infarction and coronary deaths were registered continuously to assess trends in rates of coronary events. We carried out population surveys to estimate trends in risk factors. Trends in event rates were regressed on trends in risk score and in individual risk factors. Findings Smoking rates decreased in most male populations but trends were mixed in women; mean blood pressures and cholesterol concentrations decreased, body-mass index increased, and overall risk scores and coronary-event rates decreased. The model of trends in 10-year coronary-event rates against risk scores and single risk factors showed a poor fit, but this was improved with a 4-year time lag for coronary events. The explanatory power of the analyses was limited by imprecision of the estimates and homogeneity of trends in the study populations. Interpretation Changes in the classic risk factors seem to partly explain the variation in population trends in CHD. Residual variance is attributable to difficulties in measurement and analysis, including time lag, and to factors that were not included, such as medical interventions. The results support prevention policies based on the classic risk factors but suggest potential for prevention beyond these.