Avaliação de risco ambiental na indústria em regime de responsabilidade ambiental

O presente relatório surgiu na sequência do estágio curricular realizado na empresa Envienergy - Ambiente e Energia, Lda. O tema do estágio resultou da necessidade de responsabilização das empresas pelos danos ambientais que possam surgir da sua atividade, segundo as disposições da Diretiva n.º 2004/35/CE, de 21 de Abril, transposta para o regime jurídico nacional pelo Decreto-Lei n.º 147/2008, de 29 de julho, também conhecido por Diploma da Responsabilidade Ambiental. No âmbito deste regime de responsabilidade, desenvolveu-se e aplicou-se a um caso de estudo, uma metodologia de avaliação de riscos ambientais, com posterior cálculo da garantia financeira. O caso de estudo foi uma empresa industrial da área da cerâmica, de médias dimensões, cliente da Envienergy. A metodologia consistiu numa apreciação do estado inicial do ambiente envolvente à empresa em estudo (designada como CERÂMICA), levantamento dos riscos da sua atividade, formulação de cenários de acidentes, avaliação da severidade e da probabilidade dos riscos de acidente e estimativa dos custos de reparação e compensação ambiental dos danos que a atividade possa provocar (a garantia financeira). Segundo esta metodologia, o caso de estudo requer uma garantia financeira no valor de 26.125€, correspondente ao valor financeiro necessário para assegurar que seja possível à indústria avaliada a responsabilização ambiental por danos provocados pela sua atividade. A metodologia também prevê a sugestão de medidas de redução de risco e, considerando a aplicação dessas medidas, a reavaliação dos riscos e da garantia financeira. Desta reavaliação resultou uma garantia financeira estimada em 5.403€. A avaliação de riscos ambientais feita à indústria cerâmica serviu para testar e comprovar a adaptabilidade da metodologia a um caso real. Os resultados obtidos foram satisfatórios, e a metodologia está apta a ser aplicada a casos de estudo de dimensão semelhantes ao caso de estudo avaliado neste relatório.

Development of open models and tools for seismic risk assessment: application to Portugal

The exponential growth of the world population has led to an increase of settlements often located in areas prone to natural disasters, including earthquakes. Consequently, despite the important advances in the field of natural catastrophes modelling and risk mitigation actions, the overall human losses have continued to increase and unprecedented economic losses have been registered. In the research work presented herein, various areas of earthquake engineering and seismology are thoroughly investigated, and a case study application for mainland Portugal is performed. Seismic risk assessment is a critical link in the reduction of casualties and damages due to earthquakes. Recognition of this relation has led to a rapid rise in demand for accurate, reliable and flexible numerical tools and software. In the present work, an open-source platform for seismic hazard and risk assessment is developed. This software is capable of computing the distribution of losses or damage for an earthquake scenario (deterministic event-based) or earthquake losses due to all the possible seismic events that might occur within a region for a given interval of time (probabilistic event-based). This effort has been developed following an open and transparent philosophy and therefore, it is available to any individual or institution. The estimation of the seismic risk depends mainly on three components: seismic hazard, exposure and vulnerability. The latter component assumes special importance, as by intervening with appropriate retrofitting solutions, it may be possible to decrease directly the seismic risk. The employment of analytical methodologies is fundamental in the assessment of structural vulnerability, particularly in regions where post-earthquake building damage might not be available. Several common methodologies are investigated, and conclusions are yielded regarding the method that can provide an optimal balance between accuracy and computational effort. In addition, a simplified approach based on the displacement-based earthquake loss assessment (DBELA) is proposed, which allows for the rapid estimation of fragility curves, considering a wide spectrum of uncertainties. A novel vulnerability model for the reinforced concrete building stock in Portugal is proposed in this work, using statistical information collected from hundreds of real buildings. An analytical approach based on nonlinear time history analysis is adopted and the impact of a set of key parameters investigated, including the damage state criteria and the chosen intensity measure type. A comprehensive review of previous studies that contributed to the understanding of the seismic hazard and risk for Portugal is presented. An existing seismic source model was employed with recently proposed attenuation models to calculate probabilistic seismic hazard throughout the territory. The latter results are combined with information from the 2011 Building Census and the aforementioned vulnerability model to estimate economic loss maps for a return period of 475 years. These losses are disaggregated across the different building typologies and conclusions are yielded regarding the type of construction more vulnerable to seismic activity.