Modelling the effectiveness of grass buffer strips in managing muddy floods under a changing climate

Muddy floods occur when rainfall generates runoff on agricultural land, detaching and transporting sediment into the surrounding natural and built environment. In the Belgian Loess Belt, muddy floods occur regularly and lead to considerable economic costs associated with damage to property and infrastructure. Mitigation measures designed to manage the problem have been tested in a pilot area within Flanders and were found to be cost-effective within three years. This study assesses whether these mitigation measures will remain effective under a changing climate. To test this, the Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) model was used to examine muddy flooding diagnostics (precipitation, runoff, soil loss and sediment yield) for a case study hillslope in Flanders where grass buffer strips are currently used as a mitigation measure. The model was run for present day conditions and then under 33 future site-specific climate scenarios. These future scenarios were generated from three earth system models driven by four representative concentration pathways and downscaled using quantile mapping and the weather generator CLIGEN. Results reveal that under the majority of future scenarios, muddy flooding diagnostics are projected to increase, mostly as a consequence of large scale precipitation events rather than mean changes. The magnitude of muddy flood events for a given return period is also generally projected to increase. These findings indicate that present day mitigation measures may have a reduced capacity to manage muddy flooding given the changes imposed by a warming climate with an enhanced hydrological cycle. Revisions to the design of existing mitigation measures within existing policy frameworks are considered the most effective way to account for the impacts of climate change in future mitigation planning. 

Mucosal modulation of contractility in bladder strips from normal and overactive rat models and the effect of botulinum toxin A on overactive bladder strips

AIMS: To investigate the local, regulatory role of the mucosa on bladder strip contractility from normal and overactive bladders and to examine the effect of botulinum toxin A (BoNT-A).

METHODS: Bladder strips from spontaneously hyperactive rat (SHR) or normal rats (Sprague Dawley, SD) were dissected for myography as intact or mucosa-free preparations. Spontaneous, neurogenic and agonist-evoked contractions were investigated. SHR strips were incubated in BoNT-A (3 h) to assess effects on contractility.

RESULTS: Spontaneous contraction amplitude, force-integral or frequency were not significantly different in SHR mucosa-free strips compared with intacts. In contrast, spontaneous contraction amplitude and force-integral were smaller in SD mucosa-free strips than in intacts; frequency was not affected by the mucosa. Frequency of spontaneous contractions in SHR strips was significantly greater than in SD strips. Neurogenic contractions in mucosa-free SHR and SD strips at higher frequencies were smaller than in intact strips. The mucosa did not affect carbachol-evoked contractions in intact versus mucosa-free strips from SHR or SD bladders. BoNT-A reduced spontaneous contractions in SHR intact strips; this trend was also observed in mucosa-free strips but was not significant. Neurogenic and carbachol-evoked contractions were reduced by BoNT-A in mucosa-free but not intact strips. Depolarisation-induced contractions were smaller in BoNT-A-treated mucosa-free strips.

CONCLUSIONS: The mucosal layer positively modulates spontaneous contractions in strips from normal SD but not overactive SHR bladder strips. The novel finding of BoNT-A reduction of contractions in SHR mucosa-free strips indicates actions on the detrusor, independent of its classical action on neuronal SNARE complexes.