Are People Changing Address Less? An Analysis of Migration within England and Wales, 1971–2011, by Distance of Move

Expectations of migration and mobility steadily increasing in the longer term, which have a long currency in migration theory and related social science, are at odds with the latest US research showing a marked decline in internal migration rates. This paper reports the results of research that investigates whether England and Wales have experienced any similar change in recent decades. Using the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study (ONS-LS) of linked census records, it examines the evidence provided by its 10-year migration indicator, with particular attention to a comparison of the first and latest decades available, 1971-1981 and 2001-2011. This suggests that, as in the USA, there has been a marked reduction in the level of shorter-distance (less than 10km) moving that has involved almost all types of people. In contrast to this and to US experience, however, the propensity of people to make longer-distance address changes between decennial censuses has declined much less, largely corroborating the results of a companion study tracking the annual trend in rates of between-area migration since the 1970s (Champion and Shuttleworth, 2016).

The Development of a Two-Dimensional Transient Catalyst Model for Direct Injection Two-Stroke Applications.

This paper describes the development of a two-dimensional transient catalyst model. Although designed primarily for two-stroke direct injection engines, the model is also applicable to four-stroke lean burn and diesel applications. The first section describes the geometries, properties and chemical processes simulated by the model and discusses the limitations and assumptions applied. A review of the modeling techniques adopted by other researchers is also included. The mathematical relationships which are used to represent the system are then described, together with the finite volume method used in the computer program. The need for a two-dimensional approach is explained and the methods used to model effects such as flow and temperature distribution are presented. The problems associated with developing surface reaction rates are discussed in detail and compared with published research. Validation and calibration of the model is achieved by comparing predictions with measurements from a flow reactor. While an extensive validation process, involving detailed measurements of gas composition and thermal gradients, has been completed, the analysis is too detailed for publication here and is the subject of a separate technical paper.

Positronium scattering by lithium

We report cross sections for Ps(1s)-Li(2s) scattering in the energy range up to 30 eV. The calculations have been carried out in a coupled state approximation. The Ps states consist of both eigenstates and pseudostates. the latter to allow for ionization of the Ps. The atom is treated as a frozen core represented by it model potential which supports the valence orbitals. The coupled state expansion includes only the 2s and 2p states of the atom as well as in unphysical Is state which exists in the model potential. The inclusion of this Is state is necessary in order to avoid pronounced false pseudostructure. Results are presented for excitation and ionization of the Ps as well as collisions in which the Ps(1s) remains unchanged. These results also differentiate between the case where the Li(2s) remains unexcited and where it is excited to the 2p level. (c) 2005 Published by Elsevier B.V.

Single ionization of helium by antiproton impact

We study the ionization of helium (fie) in collision with antiprotons (p) in the energy range from 10 keV to 1000 keV. We adopt a semiclassical single center close coupling approach in which the wave function for the electron is expanded in a B-spline basis centered on the nucleus of the He atom, The calculations are performed using two different models: the independent particle (IP) model and the one-electron (OE) approximation. The interaction between the active electron and the rest of the atom, i.e. passive electron and nucleus, is represented by a model potential. The results obtained are compared with experimental data as well as with existing theoretical calculations. (c) 2005 Published by Elsevier B.V.

Ionization from the outer shell of Ar by proton impact

Recent results for proton-argon total ionization cross sections [Kirchner Phys. Rev. Lett. 79, 1658 (1997)] show large disagreement between theory and experiment for energies below 80 keV. To address this problem we have employed a recently developed theoretical method with a more pragmatic approach to the charge screening both in the initial and final channels. The target is considered as a one-electron atom and the interactions between this active electron and remaining target electrons are treated by a model potential including both short- and long-range effects. In the final channel the usual product of two continuum distorted wave functions each associated with a distinct electron-nucleus interaction is used. New results in the present calculation show good agreement in total cross sections for the energy range 10-300 keV with the measurement of Rudd [Rev. Mod. Phys. 57, 965 (1985)].

Assessment of resuscitation skills of Foundation Year 1 hospital doctors

An objective and subjective assessment of performance of CPR by 38 foundation year 1 doctors in a major teaching hospital. The study clearly demonstrated that males are more effective than females, BMI has a significant effect on chest compression depth and that females, especially those with a BMI of <24 are more effective at CPR when using a 15:2 rather than a 30:2 ratio of chest compressions to ventilations.

A two compartment in vitro release model for the testing of HIV microbicide formulations

BACKGROUND: In vitro release testing of vaginal formulations is usually performed in a one-compartment model (OCM) where the release medium, usually comprising pH-adjusted water, an aqueous surfactant solution or a solvent-water solution, provides sink conditions throughout the release experiment. Although this model is useful in evaluating the effect of formulation parameters upon release, it rarely reflects in vivo conditions. Here we report use of a two-compartment diffusion cell model (TCM, comprising a small volume donor, a large volume receptor, and separated by a model epithelial membrane) to more closely mimic in vivo vaginal release and tissue absorption following administration of a UC781 vaginal ring.

METHODS: Macaque-sized matrix silicone elastomer vaginal rings containing 100mg UC781 were prepared by injection molding, and in vitro release testing performed using both OCM (20mL simulated vaginal fluid, SVF) and TCM (5mL SVF in donor cell and variable quantities of Tween 80; silicone elastomer membrane; 100mL 3:2 ethanol/water in receptor cell). In the TCM, drug levels were measured by HPLC in both donor and receptor cells, representing fluid and tissue levels respectively. Rings containing 100mg UC781 and 10% w/w Tween 80 were also manufactured and tested.

RESULTS: The amount of UC781 released from rings was significantly influenced by the choice of release model. Greatest release (56mg/14 days) was measured in the ethanol/water OCM, compared with no measurable release into SVF only. Increasing the concentration of Tween 80 in the SVF medium (1, 3 and 5% w/w) led to increased UC781 release (11, 16 and 18mg, respectively), demonstrating that vaginal fluid solubility of UC781 may be rate-determining in vivo. In the TCM, UC781 accumulates in the receptor cell medium over time, despite not being measured in the donor medium containing the ring device. Incorporation of Tween 80 directly into the ring provided enhanced release in both donor and receptor cells.

CONCLUSIONS: Release of UC781 was influenced by the choice of release medium and the inclusion of Tween 80 in the ring. Although use of SVF-only in the OCM indicated no measurable UC781 release from rings, data from the TCM confirms that UC781 is not only released but is also capable of penetrating across the model epithelial membrane. The TCM may therefore provide a more representative in vitro release model for mimicking in vivo absorption.

The analysis of large-scale turbulence characteristics in the Indonesian seas derived from a regional model based on the Princeton Ocean Model

Turbulence characteristics in the Indonesian seas on the horizontal scale of order of 100 km were calculated with a regional model of the Indonesian seas circulation in the area based on the Princeton Ocean Model (POM). As is well known, the POM incorporates the Mellor–Yamada turbulence closure scheme. The calculated characteristics are: twice the turbulence kinetic energy per unit mass, <i>q</i>²; the turbulence master scale, &ell;; mixing coefficients of momentum, <i>K</i>_M; and temperature and salinity, <i>K</i>_H; etc. The analyzed turbulence has been generated essentially by the shear of large-scale ocean currents and by the large-scale wind turbulence. We focused on the analysis of turbulence around important topographic features, such as the Lifamatola Sill, the North Sangihe Ridge, the Dewakang Sill, and the North and South Halmahera Sea Sills. In general, the structure of turbulence characteristics in these regions turned out to be similar. For this reason, we have carried out a detailed analysis of the Lifamatola Sill region because dynamically this region is very important and some estimates of mixing coefficients in this area are available. <br><br> Briefly, the main results are as follows. The distribution of <i>q</i>² is quite adequately reproduced by the model. To the north of the Lifamatola Sill (in the Maluku Sea) and to the south of the Sill (in the Seram Sea), large values of <i>q</i>² occur in the deep layer extending several hundred meters above the bottom. The observed increase of <i>q</i>² near the very bottom is probably due to the increase of velocity shear and the corresponding shear production of <i>q</i>² very close to the bottom. The turbulence master scale, &ell;, was found to be constant in the main depth of the ocean, while &ell; rapidly decreases close to the bottom, as one would expect. However, in deep profiles away from the sill, the effect of topography results in the &ell; structure being unreasonably complicated as one moves towards the bottom. Values of 15 to 20 × 10^&minus;4 m² s^-1 were obtained for <i>K</i>_M and <i>K</i>_H in deep water in the vicinity of the Lifamatola Sill. These estimates agree well with basin-scale averaged values of 13.3 × 10^&minus;4 m² s^-1 found diagnostically for <i>K</i>_H in the deep Banda and Seram Seas (Gordon et al., 2003) and a value of 9.0 × 10^&minus;4 m² s^-1 found diagnostically for <i>K</i>_H for the deep Banda Sea system (van Aken et al., 1988). The somewhat higher simulated values can be explained by the presence of steep topography around the sill.

The management of cough:a clinical year in review

As the number of published articles in the field of cough increases year on year, it is sometimes helpful to pause and review what might have passed us by. This "Clinical Year in Review" provides an opportunity to reflect on a number of important studies reported in the area of both adult and pediatric cough. It would be impossible to cover all the important published literature; therefore, this effort has been confined to selected topics published in the last 12 months with direct relevance to the clinical management, measurement, and treatment of cough. While this article reflects a personal commentary of the literature, it is hoped that it will contribute to improving "evidence-based" care for the many individuals burdened with a troublesome cough.

Universal tight binding model for chemical reactions in solution and at surfaces. II. Water

A revised water model intended for use in condensed phase simulations in the framework of the self consistent polarizable ion tight binding theory is constructed. The model is applied to water monomer, dimer, hexamers, ice, and liquid, where it demonstrates good agreement with theoretical results obtained by more accurate methods, such as DFT and CCSD(T), and with experiment. In particular, the temperature dependence of the self diffusion coefficient in liquid water predicted by the model, closely reproduces experimental curves in the temperature interval between 230 K and 350 K. In addition, and in contrast to standard DFT, the model properly orders the relative densities of liquid water and ice. A notable, but inevitable, shortcoming of the model is underestimation of the static dielectric constant by a factor of two. We demonstrate that the description of inter and intramolecular forces embodied in the tight binding approximation in quantum mechanics leads to a number of valuable insights which can be missing from ab initio quantum chemistry and classical force fields. These include a discussion of the origin of the enhanced molecular electric dipole moment in the condensed phases, and a detailed explanation for the increase of coordination number in liquid water as a function of temperature and compared with ice-leading to insights into the anomalous expansion on freezing. The theory holds out the prospect of an understanding of the currently unexplained density maximum of water near the freezing point. 

The effects of blood pressure lowering on development of cognitive impairment and dementia in patients without apparent prior cerebrovascular disease

BACKGROUND: Hypertension and cognitive impairment are prevalent in older people. It is known that hypertension is a direct risk factor for vascular dementia and recent studies have suggested hypertension also impacts upon prevalence of Alzheimer's disease. The question is therefore whether treatment of hypertension lowers the rate of cognitive decline. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of blood pressure lowering treatments for the prevention of dementia and cognitive decline in patients with hypertension but no history of cerebrovascular disease. SEARCH STRATEGY: The trials were identified through a search of CDCIG's Specialised Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO and CINAHL on 27 April 2005. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomized, double-blind, placebo controlled trials in which pharmacological or non-pharmacological interventions to lower blood pressure were given for at least six months. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two independent reviewers assessed trial quality and extracted data. The following outcomes were assessed: incidence of dementia, cognitive change from baseline, blood pressure level, incidence and severity of side effects and quality of life. MAIN RESULTS: Three trials including 12,091 hypertensive subjects were identified. Average age was 72.8 years. Participants were recruited from industrialised countries. Mean blood pressure at entry across the studies was 170/84 mmHg. All trials instituted a stepped care approach to hypertension treatment, starting with a calcium-channel blocker, a diuretic or an angiotensin receptor blocker. The combined result of the three trials reporting incidence of dementia indicated no significant difference between treatment and placebo (Odds Ratio (OR) = 0.89, 95% CI 0.69, 1.16). Blood pressure reduction resulted in a 11% relative risk reduction of dementia in patients with no prior cerebrovascular disease but this effect was not statistically significant (p = 0.38) and there was considerable heterogeneity between the trials. The combined results from the two trials reporting change in Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) did not indicate a benefit from treatment (Weighted Mean Difference (WMD) = 0.10, 95% CI -0.03, 0.23). Both systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels were reduced significantly in the two trials assessing this outcome (WMD = -7.53, 95% CI -8.28, -6.77 for systolic blood pressure, WMD = -3.87, 95% CI -4.25, -3.50 for diastolic blood pressure).Two trials reported adverse effects requiring discontinuation of treatment and the combined results indicated a significant benefit from placebo (OR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.06, 1.30). When analysed separately, however, more patients on placebo in SCOPE were likely to discontinue treatment due to side effects; the converse was true in SHEP 1991. Quality of life data could not be analysed in the three studies. There was difficulty with the control group in this review as many of the control subjects received antihypertensive treatment because their blood pressures exceeded pre-set values. In most cases the study became a comparison between the study drug against a usual antihypertensive regimen. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There was no convincing evidence from the trials identified that blood pressure lowering prevents the development of dementia or cognitive impairment in hypertensive patients with no apparent prior cerebrovascular disease. There were significant problems identified with analysing the data, however, due to the number of patients lost to follow-up and the number of placebo patients given active treatment. This introduced bias. More robust results may be obtained by analysing one year data to reduce differential drop-out or by conducting a meta-analysis using individual patient data.

Children's Views on Children's Right to Work:Reflections from Belfast

The purpose of this article is to examine children’s attitudes regarding the right to work. The article is based on comments made by 245 15-year-old children on child employment and is supported by focus group interviews with 56 boys and 38 girls and tape-recorded interviews with 15 working pupils. One of most dominant themes to emerge from the data is children’s perception that they have a right to work. The article examines the legislation regarding child employment in Northern Ireland and the role of the state in determining the legislation. The author suggests that within this legislation, children are seen as vulnerable and in need of protection. Traditionally the protection of children in the workforce has been achieved by limiting the hours they can work and the occupations they can enter. Yet when children’s own views are taken into account, they move beyond the limits of protecting them through exclusion to suggesting frameworks whereby their protection may be achieved by empowering them within the labour market.

Perspectives for quantum state engineering via high nonlinearity in a double-EIT regime

We analyse the possibilities for quantum state engineering offered by a model for Kerr-type nonlinearity enhanced by electromagnetically induced transparency (EIT), which was recently proposed by Petrosyan and Kurizki [2002, Phys. Rev. A, 65, 33833]. We go beyond the semiclassical treatment and derive a quantum version of the model with both a full Hamiltonian approach and an analysis in terms of dressed states. The preparation of an entangled coherent state via a cross-phase modulation effect is demonstrated. We briefly show that the violation of locality for such an entangled coherent state is robust against low detection efficiency. Finally, we investigate the possibility of a bi-chromatic photon blockade realized via the interaction of a low density beam of atoms with a bi-modal electromagnetic cavity which is externally driven. We show the effectiveness of the blockade effect even when more than a single atom is inside the cavity. The possibility to control two different cavity modes allows some insights into the generation of an entangled state of cavity modes.

Modelling the MAPK signalling pathway using a two-stage identification algorithm

Signal transduction pathways describe the dynamics of cellular response to input signalling molecules at receptors on the cell membrane. The Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinase (MAPK) cascade is one of such pathways that are involved in many important cellular processes including cell growth and proliferation. This paper describes a black-box model of this pathway created using an advanced two-stage identification algorithm. Identification allows us to capture the unique features and dynamics of the pathway and also opens up the possibility of regulatory control design. In the approach described, an optimal model is obtained by performing model subset selection in two stages, where the terms are first determined by a forward selection method and then modified using a backward selection model refinement. The simulation results demonstrate that the model selected using the two-stage algorithm performs better than with the forward selection method alone.

Short pulse pumped X-ray lasers

Double laser pulses of duration similar to 75 ps and short laser pulses similar to 1 ps superimposed on longer duration background pulses have been shown to efficiently pump lasing in Ne-like and Ni-like ions. For the 75 ps pumping, X-ray laser output without travelling wave pumping is shown to be well-described by a model of ASE output. With I ps pumping, the X-ray laser output with different velocity travelling wave pumping is well-fitted with an extension to the ASE model allowing for travelling wave excitation of the gain along the plasma line. The model is used to investigate the production of short (<1 ps) x-ray laser pulses and the effects of non-ideal travelling wave velocities on the X-ray laser output. Resonance line spectra of emission perpendicular to the plasma line are measured and simulated. It is shown that an accurate opacity model for the more intense Ne-like ions is needed to correctly simulate the spectra.