Genetic Algorithm Search for Predictive Patterns in Multidimensional Time Series

Based on an algorithm for pattern matching in character strings, we implement a pattern matching machine that searches for occurrences of patterns in multidimensional time series. Before the search process takes place, time series are encoded in user-designed alphabets. The patterns, on the other hand, are formulated as regular expressions that are composed of letters from these alphabets and operators. Furthermore, we develop a genetic algorithm to breed patterns that maximize a user-defined fitness function. In an application to financial data, we show that patterns bred to predict high exchange rates volatility in training samples retain statistically significant predictive power in validation samples.

The impact of a PCR assay for candidemia on antifungal drug prescribing in critical care: an interrupted time series pilot study.

Objective To evaluate the feasibility of conducting a definitive study to assess the impact of introducing a rapid PCR-based test for candidemia on antifungal drug prescribing. Method Prospective, single centre, interrupted time series study consisting of three periods of six months' duration. The assay was available during the second period, during which the PCR assay was available for routine use by physicians Monday–Friday with guaranteed 24-h turnaround time. For each period total antifungal drug use, expressed as treatment-days, was recorded and an adjustment was made to exclude estimated use for proven candidemia. Also, during the intervention period, antifungal prescribing decisions for up to 72 h after each PCR result became available were recorded as either concordant or discordant with that result. Results While overall antifungal use remained relatively stable throughout, after adjustment for candidemia, there was a 38% reduction in use following introduction of the PCR test; however, this was nonsignificant at the 95% level. During the intervention period overall concordance between the PCR result and prescribing decisions was 84%. Conclusions The PCR assay for candidemia was requested, prescribing decisions were generally concordant with the results produced and there was an apparent decrease in antifungal prescription, although this was sustained even after withdrawal of the intervention; these findings should be more thoroughly evaluated in a larger trial.

Limitations of instantaneous water quality sampling in surface-water catchments: Comparison with near-continuous phosphorus time-series data.

The validity of load estimates from intermittent, instantaneous grab sampling is dependent on adequate spatial coverage by monitoring networks and a sampling frequency that re?ects the variability in the system under study. Catchments with a ?ashy hydrology due to surface runoff pose a particular challenge as intense short duration rainfall events may account for a signi?cant portion of the total diffuse transfer of pollution from soil to water in any hydrological year. This can also be exacerbated by the presence of strong background pollution signals from point sources during low flows. In this paper, a range of sampling methodologies and load estimation techniques are applied to phosphorus data from such a surface water dominated river system, instrumented at three sub-catchments (ranging from 3 to 5 km2 in area) with near-continuous monitoring stations. Systematic and Monte Carlo approaches were applied to simulate grab sampling using multiple strategies and to calculate an estimated load, Le based on established load estimation methods. Comparison with the actual load, Lt, revealed signi?cant average underestimation, of up to 60%, and high variability for all feasible sampling approaches. Further analysis of the time series provides an insight into these observations; revealing peak frequencies and power-law scaling in the distributions of P concentration, discharge and load associated with surface runoff and background transfers. Results indicate that only near-continuous monitoring that re?ects the rapid temporal changes in these river systems is adequate for comparative monitoring and evaluation purposes. While the implications of this analysis may be more tenable to small scale ?ashy systems, this represents an appropriate scale in terms of evaluating catchment mitigation strategies such as agri-environmental policies for managing diffuse P transfers in complex landscapes.

Synthesis and in Vitro and in Vivo Evaluation of a Series of Dihydroisocoumarin Derivatives Conjugated with Fatty Acids, Alcohols, and Amines as Potential Anticancer Agents

In this paper, we report the synthesis and biological activity of a series of dihydroisocoumarin analogues Conjugated with fatty acids, alcohols, or amines, of varying hydrocarbon chain length and degree of unsaturation, to (he dihydroisocoumarins, kigelin and mellein, at the C-7 and C-8 positions on the core dihydroisocoumarin structure. These compounds were evaluated for their antiproliferative activity against human breast cancer (MCF-7 and MDA-MB-468) and melanoma cells (SK-MEL-28 and Malme-3M) using the 3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-2,5-diphenyl-2H-tetrazolium bromide (MTT) assay. Two compounds Conjugated with gamma-linolenyl alcohol (18:3 n-6) demonstrated potent antiproliferative activity in vitro with one of these 4-hydroxy-3-oxo-1.3-dihydro-isobenzofuran-5-carboxylic acid octadeca-6,9,12-trienyl ester, demonstrating significant antitumor activity in vivo ill a number of human tumor xenograft models.

Fluorescence yields for 3lnl′ Rydberg series in ions belonging to the He isoelectronic sequence

Fluorescence yields are reported for 3lnl' Rydberg series members in He-like ions of N, O and Ne. Results are presented for singlet series members with n values between 3 and 9, i.e. up to the region of overlap with the states belonging to the 4l4l' manifold in these atoms. This data is required, for example, for the interpretation of charge-exchange experiments involving bare N, O and Ne nuclei. Fluorescence yields, averaged over all 3lnl' singlet states, larger than 50% are obtained from about n = 7.

An allelic series reveals essential roles for FY in plant development in addition to flowering-time control.

The autonomous pathway functions to promote flowering in Arabidopsis by limiting the accumulation of the floral repressor FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC). Within this pathway FCA is a plant-specific, nuclear RNA-binding protein, which interacts with FY, a highly conserved eukaryotic polyadenylation factor. FCA and FY function to control polyadenylation site choice during processing of the FCA transcript. Null mutations in the yeast FY homologue Pfs2p are lethal. This raises the question as to whether these essential RNA processing functions are conserved in plants. Characterisation of an allelic series of fy mutations reveals that null alleles are embryo lethal. Furthermore, silencing of FY, but not FCA, is deleterious to growth in Nicotiana. The late-flowering fy alleles are hypomorphic and indicate a requirement for both intact FY WD repeats and the C-terminal domain in repression of FLC. The FY C-terminal domain binds FCA and in vitro assays demonstrate a requirement for both C-terminal FY-PPLPP repeats during this interaction. The expression domain of FY supports its roles in essential and flowering-time functions. Hence, FY may mediate both regulated and constitutive RNA 3'-end processing.

Stonehenge:Digging in the Past Series.

Malone, C. and N. Bernard, Stonehenge. 2004, New York, Oxford University Press.

Transnational connections in European crime film series (1908–1914)

This article addresses the issue of ‘European popular cinema’ by discussing a very specific phenomenon, i.e. the crime series produced in the years immediately preceding World War I (e.g. Victorin Jasset’s Nick Carter, Viggo Larsen’s Arsène Lupin contra Sherlock, Ubaldo Maria del Colle’s Raffles, il ladro misterioso, Louis Feuillade’s Fantômas, George Pearson’s Ultus). On the one hand, the transnational circulation of these films is seen as the result of the development of the European cultural industries since the late nineteenth century; on the other hand, the rapid decline of this genre testifies of the historical peculiarity of this production. In particular, the popular heroic figure of the ‘gentleman thief’ seems to express at the same time the liberating, anti-hierarchial ethos of modernization and the dream of a quiet conciliation of the new and the traditional values: as a consequence, it might be regarded as a telling example of the economical, social and ideological transformations of that crucial phase in European history, when the development of the second industrial revolution and the first phase of ‘globalization’ pointed at the birth of a supranational sphere before the outbreak of World War I, which would temporarily stop this process.

Determinants of pediatric cataract program outcomes and follow-up in a large series in Mexico.

PURPOSE:

To report determinants of outcomes and follow-up in a large Mexican pediatric cataract project.

SETTING:

Hospital Luis Sanchez Bulnes, Mexico City, Mexico.

METHODS:

Data were collected prospectively from a pediatric cataract surgery program at the Hospital Luis Sanchez Bulnes, implemented by Helen Keller International. Preoperative data included age, sex, baseline visual acuity, type of cataract, laterality, and presence of conditions such as amblyopia. Surgical data included vitrectomy, capsulotomy, complications, and use of intraocular lenses (IOLs). Postoperative data included final visual acuity, refraction, number of follow-up visits, and program support for follow-up.

RESULTS:

Of 574 eyes of 415 children (mean age 7.1 years +/- 4.7 [SD]), IOLs were placed in 416 (87%). At least 1 follow-up was attended by 408 patients (98.3%) (mean total follow-up 3.5 +/- 1.8 months); 40% of eyes achieved a final visual acuity of 6/18 or better. Children living farther from the hospital had fewer postoperative visits (P = .04), while children receiving program support had more visits (P = .001). Factors predictive of better acuity included receiving an IOL during surgery (P = .04) and provision of postoperative spectacles (P = .001). Predictive of worse acuity were amblyopia (P = .003), postoperative complications (P = .0001), unilateral surgery (P = .0075), and female sex (P = .045).

CONCLUSIONS:

The results underscore the importance of surgical training in reducing complications, early intervention before amblyopia (observed in 40% of patients) can develop, and vigorous treatment if amblyopia is present. The positive impact of program support on follow-up is encouraging, although direct financial support may pose a problem for sustainability. More work is needed to understand reasons for worse outcomes in girls.