The Effects of Anti-Hypertensive Drugs Evaluated Using Markov Modelling for Northern Ireland Chronic Kidney Disease Patients

The aim of this paper is to use Markov modelling to
investigate survival for particular types of kidney patients
in relation to their exposure to anti-hypertensive treatment
drugs. In order to monitor kidney function an intuitive three
point assessment is proposed through the collection of blood
samples in relation to Chronic Kidney Disease for Northern
Ireland patients. A five state Markov Model was devised
using specific transition probabilities for males and
females over all age groups. These transition probabilities
were then adjusted appropriately using relative risk scores
for the event death for different subgroups of patients. The
model was built using TreeAge software package in order to
explore the effects of anti-hypertensive drugs on patients.

Estimating propeller scour at quays alongside a berthing ship.

This paper presents the findings from a experimental investigation in to the nature and extent of the scouring that occurs when a ship berths alongside a quay wall within the confines of a harbour. It examines the interaction between the relative position of the quay wall to the central axis of the ship and the influence that angle of the vessel’s rudder on the magnitude of the scouring produced. The experimental programme covered a range of sediment sizes and methods for calculating the depth of expected scour are presented both in terms semi empirical equations and through the use of trained artificial neural networks. This paper has been selected by the ICE publishing as one of their Best in Research and Practice papers. ICE Martime Engineering is the forefront UK publication for Civil Engineers working in this area.

The influence of reusing ‘Formtex’ controlled permeability

The effects of the reuse of ‘Formtex’ Controlled Permeability Formwork (CPF) liner on strength and durability properties of concrete were investigated at two different water-cement ratios and the results are reported in this paper. Test blocks were cast using the CPF on one side and impermeable formwork (IF) on the opposite side of the mould so that direct comparisons could be made between the two. The strength was assessed using the Limpet pulloff tester and both the air permeability and the water absorption (sorptivity) were measured using the Autoclam Permeability System. Both these instruments measured the ‘covercrete’ properties. In addition, cores cut from the test specimens were subjected to an accelerated carbonation test and a chloride exposure test. The results showed that the ‘Formtex’ CPF increases the surface strength and the durability of concrete compared to the IF. There was an almost complete elimination of blowholes. The permeability of concrete decreased and its resistance to the ingress of both carbon dioxide and chlorides increased when CPF was used. The beneficial effects of the Formtex CPF were most evident in concrete of higher water-cement ratio. With the reuse of the Formtex liner twice, that is a total of three uses, the performance of the CPF to improve the properties of concrete remained almost the same. In this research the CPF liner was cleaned thoroughly between each use, which must be adhered to for site applications for reproducing the beneficial effects observed in the laboratory.