The Brain Drain : Myth and Reality - What it is and What Should be Done (Working Paper 13)

The brain drain debate has been marked by a considerable amount of confusion and frustration, largely because there has been relatively little hard data available, and that which exists has often been twisted into very different forms by those with competing policy agendas. The first goal of this paper is to pull together and summarize the available evidence regarding the size and nature of the outflows, thus establishing an empirical basis from which the issue can be addressed. The second goal is to address some of the major related policy issues. This begins with some general brain drain policy principles. The personal income tax cuts solution is then addressed with simulations of the effects on government revenues and the associated costs “per brain”, thus putting such discussions on a much firmer empirical footing. A number of alternative proposals are then suggested for various problem groups of brain drain workers.

Analysis of Evidence from Core Sample Fractures in Stewardson Lake Uranium Prospect

This study was performed to characterize evidence of potential unconformity-type U mineralizing fluids in drill core fractures from the Stewardson Lake prospect, in the Athabasca Basin, located in Northern Saskatchewan and Alberta, Canada. Fractures were visually classified into eight varieties. This classification scheme was improved with the use of mineralogical characterization through SEM (Scanning Electron Microscope) and XRD analyses of the fracture fills and resulted in the identification of various oxides, hydroxides, sulfides, and clays or clay-sized minerals. Fractures were tallied to a total of ten categories with some commonalities in color. The oxidative, reductive or mixed nature of the fluids interacting with each fracture was determined based on its fill mineralogy. The measured Pb isotopic signature of samples was used to distinguish fractures affected solely by fluids emanating from a U mineralization source, from those affected by mixed fluids. Anomalies in U and U-pathfinder elements detected in fractures assisted with attributing them to the secondary dispersion halo of potential mineralization. Three types of fracture functions (chimney, composite and drain) were defined based on their interpreted flow vector and history. A secondary dispersion halo boundary with a zone of dominance of infiltrating fluids was suggested for two boreholes. The control of fill mineralogy on fracture color was investigated and the indicative and non-indicative colors and minerals, with respect to a secondary dispersion halo, were formally described. The fracture colors and fills indicative of proximity to the basement host of the potential mineralization were also identified. In addition, three zones of interest were delineated in the boreholes with respect to their geochemical dynamics and their relationship to the potential mineralization: a shallow barren overburden zone, a dispersion and alteration zone at intermediate depth, and a second deeper zone of dispersion and alteration.

Leaving and Coming Back to Canada : Evidence from Longitudinal Data (Working Paper 32)

The paper exploits the unique strengths of Statistics Canada's Longitudinal Administrative Database ("LAD"), constructed from individuals' tax records, to shed new light on the extent and nature of the emigration of Canadians to other countries and their patterns of return over the period 1982-1999. The empirical evidence begins with some simple graphs of the overall rates of leaving over time, and follows with the presentation of the estimation results of a model that essentially addresses the question: "who moves?" The paper then analyses the rates of return for those observed to leave the country - something for which there is virtually no existing evidence. Simple return rates are reported first, followed by the results of a hazard model of the probability of returning which takes into account individuals' characteristics and the number of years they have already been out of the country. Taken together, these results provide a new empirical basis for discussions of emigration in general, and the brain drain in particular. Of particular interest are the ebb and flow of emigration rates observed over the last two decades, including a perhaps surprising turndown in the most recent years after climbing through the earlier part of the 1990s; the data on the number who return after leaving, the associated patterns by income level, and the increases observed over the last decade.