The Genetics of Postglacial Colonization and Peripherality in Northwestern Populations of the Spring Peeper, Pseudacris crucifer

Glaciation over the Pleistocene induced dramatic range fluctuations for species across North America such that postglacial recolonization by southern refugial lineages has characterized the genetic structure of northern North American species. Based on the leading edge model of postglacial range expansion, dispersal and rapid population growth in these northern taxa is expected to produce vast areas of genetic homogeneity. Previous work on the widely distributed spring peeper (Pseudacris crucifer) revealed six distinct mitochondrial lineages that diverged between 3-11 mya, expanding and contracting with glacial cycles. Beginning 16,000 yBP, receding glaciers permitted Eastern lineage refugia residing in the southern Appalachians to migrate northward into the St. Lawrence Valley then westward through most of central Canada. Peripheral populations at the northwestern range limit of P. crucifer in central Manitoba are likely descended from this westward expanding Eastern lineage. According to the central-marginal hypothesis, founder effects from colonization as well as limited gene flow is expected to reveal genetic differentiation and lower genetic diversity in peripheral populations. The goal of my study is to further our understanding of peripheral range dynamics in peripheral Manitoba populations of P. crucifer by determining their genetic affinity and diversity relative to more central populations in Ontario and Minnesota. In this study I amplified and aligned cytochrome b sequences from sample sites across central Manitoba to reconstruct a Bayesian phylogeny for P. crucifer; additionally, microsatellite loci were genotyped to estimate genetic diversity. Results from this study affirmed Eastern lineage descent for peripheral Manitoba sites by aligning with Ontario. Initial colonization by the Interior lineage between glacial retreat and the appearance of arid vicariance events may explain the apparent introgression of non-Eastern lineages in Manitoba. However, genetic diversity measured in expected heterozygosity (H¬e) was not found to be significantly different in Manitoba genotypes. Greater isolation by distance and inbreeding relative to Ontario and Minnesota is likely the primary driver of genetic variation in these sites. Further sampling is necessary to generate a more complete genetic population structure for P. crucifer.

Karst hazard analysis towards the development of predictive karst models for southern Ontario

An investigation into karst hazard in southern Ontario has been undertaken with the intention of leading to the development of predictive karst models for this region. The reason these are not currently feasible is a lack of sufficient karst data, though this is not entirely due to the lack of karst features. Geophysical data was collected at Lake on the Mountain, Ontario as part of this karst investigation. This data was collected in order to validate the long-standing hypothesis that Lake on the Mountain was formed from a sinkhole collapse. Sub-bottom acoustic profiling data was collected in order to image the lake bottom sediments and bedrock. Vertical bedrock features interpreted as solutionally enlarged fractures were taken as evidence for karst processes on the lake bottom. Additionally, the bedrock topography shows a narrower and more elongated basin than was previously identified, and this also lies parallel to a mapped fault system in the area. This suggests that Lake on the Mountain was formed over a fault zone which also supports the sinkhole hypothesis as it would provide groundwater pathways for karst dissolution to occur. Previous sediment cores suggest that Lake on the Mountain would have formed at some point during the Wisconsinan glaciation with glacial meltwater and glacial loading as potential contributing factors to sinkhole development. A probabilistic karst model for the state of Kentucky, USA, has been generated using the Weights of Evidence method. This model is presented as an example of the predictive capabilities of these kind of data-driven modelling techniques and to show how such models could be applied to karst in Ontario. The model was able to classify 70% of the validation dataset correctly while minimizing false positive identifications. This is moderately successful and could stand to be improved. Finally, suggestions to improving the current karst model of southern Ontario are suggested with the goal of increasing investigation into karst in Ontario and streamlining the reporting system for sinkholes, caves, and other karst features so as to improve the current Ontario karst database.