Using historical data to detect temporal changes in the abundances of intertidal species on Irish shores

An historical data set, collected in 1958 by Southward and Crisp, was used as a baseline for detecting change in the abundances of species in the rocky intertidal of Ireland. In 2003, the abundances of each of 27 species was assessed using the same methodologies (ACFOR [which stands for the categories: abundant, common, frequent, occasional and rare] abundance scales) at 63 shores examined in the historical study. Comparison of the ACFOR data over a 45-year period, between the historical survey and re-survey, showed statistically significant changes in the abundances of 12 of the 27 species examined. Two species (one classed as northern and one introduced) increased significantly in abundance while ten species (five classed as northern, one classed as southern and four broadly distributed) decreased in abundance. The possible reasons for the changes in species abundances were assessed not only in the context of anthropogenic effects, such as climate change and commercial exploitation, but also of operator error. The error or differences recorded among operators (i.e. research scientists) when assessing species abundance using ACFOR categories was quantified on four shores. Significant change detected in three of the 12 species fell within the margin of operator error. This effect of operator may have also contributed to the results of no change in the other 15 species between the two census periods. It was not possible to determine the effect of operator on our results, which can increase the occurrence of a false positive (Type 1) or of a false negative (Type 2) outcome

Isotopic Abundances Of Lead In Estuarine Sediments Swansea Bay Bristol Channel

A historical record for the deposition of lead in Swansea Bay, Bristol Channel, U.K. has been determined together with isotopic compositions. Analysis of the isotopic composition of lead in cores, dated by 210Pb-210Po chronology, illustrated a post ~ 1850 influx of lead originating from technically produced materials. Since ~ 1850 there has been a × 3 increase of lead in sediments of which only 25–30% can be accounted for from technical sources; the remainder is presumed to be derived from working of the South Wales Coal Measures.