2 resultados para Exponential smoothing

em Greenwich Academic Literature Archive - UK


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Trends in sample extremes are of interest in many contexts, an example being environmental statistics. Parametric models are often used to model trends in such data, but they may not be suitable for exploratory data analysis. This paper outlines a semiparametric approach to smoothing example extremes, based on local polynomial fitting of the generalized extreme value distribution and related models. The uncertainty of fits is assessed by using resampling methods. The methods are applied to data on extreme temperatures and on record times for the womens 3000m race.

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Sufficient conditions for the exponential stability of a class ofnonlinear, non-autonomous stochastic differential equations in infinitedimensions are studied. The analysis consists of introducing a suitableapproximating solution systems and using a limiting argument to pass onstability of strong solutions to mild ones. As a consequence, the classicalcriteriaof stability in A. Ichikawa [8] are improved and extended to cover a class ofnon-autonomous stochastic evolution equations.Two examples are investigated to illustrate our theory.