Some models for discretized series of events

A discretized series of events is a binary time series that indicates whether or not events of a point process in the line occur in successive intervals. Such data are common in environmental applications. We describe a class of models for them, based on an unobserved continuous-time discrete-state Markov process, which determines the rate of a doubly stochastic Poisson process, from which the binary time series is constructed by discretization. We discuss likelihood inference for these processes and their second-order properties and extend them to multiple series. An application involves modeling the times of exposures to air pollution at a number of receptors in Western Europe.

[Book review] Owen Gingerich, The Book Nobody Read: In Pursuit of the Revolutions of Nicolaus Copernicus, Heinemann, 2004

Tony Mann reviews: Owen Gingerich, The Book Nobody Read: In Pursuit of the Revolutions of Nicolaus Copernicus, Heinemann, 2004, 0-434-01315-3, £12.99.

Roy Williams: representing multicultural Britain in Fallout

This article considers how Roy Williams's 2003 play, which dramatises a black-on-black killing and the flawed police investigation which follows, represents contemporary British society, particularly in relation to the vexed question of multiculturalism. Some have described "Fallout" as limited and bleak, reinforcing stereotypes of black experience and identity. By contrast, this article demonstrates that the play, through its analysis of both a conflicted police service and the societal divisions that push black youths towards criminality, draws attention to the underlying systemic causes of inner city violence and makes a constructive and valuable contribution to ongoing public debate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]