Potential Cost-effectiveness of Early Identification of Hospital-acquired Infection in Critically Ill Patients.

RATIONALE: Limitations in methods for the rapid diagnosis of hospital-acquired infections often delay initiation of effective antimicrobial therapy. New diagnostic approaches offer potential clinical and cost-related improvements in the management of these infections. OBJECTIVES: We developed a decision modeling framework to assess the potential cost-effectiveness of a rapid biomarker assay to identify hospital-acquired infection in high-risk patients earlier than standard diagnostic testing. METHODS: The framework includes parameters representing rates of infection, rates of delayed appropriate therapy, and impact of delayed therapy on mortality, along with assumptions about diagnostic test characteristics and their impact on delayed therapy and length of stay. Parameter estimates were based on contemporary, published studies and supplemented with data from a four-site, observational, clinical study. Extensive sensitivity analyses were performed. The base-case analysis assumed 17.6% of ventilated patients and 11.2% of nonventilated patients develop hospital-acquired infection and that 28.7% of patients with hospital-acquired infection experience delays in appropriate antibiotic therapy with standard care. We assumed this percentage decreased by 50% (to 14.4%) among patients with true-positive results and increased by 50% (to 43.1%) among patients with false-negative results using a hypothetical biomarker assay. Cost of testing was set at $110/d. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, among ventilated patients, daily diagnostic testing starting on admission reduced inpatient mortality from 12.3 to 11.9% and increased mean costs by $1,640 per patient, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $21,389 per life-year saved. Among nonventilated patients, inpatient mortality decreased from 7.3 to 7.1% and costs increased by $1,381 with diagnostic testing. The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $42,325 per life-year saved. Threshold analyses revealed the probabilities of developing hospital-acquired infection in ventilated and nonventilated patients could be as low as 8.4 and 9.8%, respectively, to maintain incremental cost-effectiveness ratios less than $50,000 per life-year saved. CONCLUSIONS: Development and use of serial diagnostic testing that reduces the proportion of patients with delays in appropriate antibiotic therapy for hospital-acquired infections could reduce inpatient mortality. The model presented here offers a cost-effectiveness framework for future test development.

Temporal Regulation of LMP1 and Apoptosis Resistance After Primary EBV Infection

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is a ubiquitous human pathogen that establishes a lifelong latent infection in over ninety percent of all adult humans worldwide. While typically benign, EBV has been causally associated with a number of human malignancies in the settings of immune suppression, genetic, and/or environmental factors. While a highly successful pathogen based on prevalence, the ability of the virus to immortalize human B cells (a stage of infection thought to be critical for the establishment of latency) is quite poor. We hypothesize that the interactions between the virus and the human host early after infection are ultimately important for the outcome of viral latency establishment. To answer this question we broadly profiled primary human B cells at both early and late times after EBV infection to assay both host mRNA expression and the host-driven response to apoptotic stimuli. We found that EBV infection induces host gene expression signatures early after infection that are functionally distinct from the gene expression program late after infection. These studies also led to the novel discovery that viral gene expression is controlled differently early after infection, including the delayed expression of a viral protein that is critical for the establishment of latency. Furthermore, we have also shown that EBV can use a single viral protein to alter and repress host apoptotic sensitivity in the face of an anti-viral apoptotic response.