Plant Migrations Impact on Potential Vegetation and Carbon Redistribution in Northern North America from Climate Change

Forests have a prominent role in carbon storage and sequestration. Anthropogenic forcing has the potential to accelerate climate change and alter the distribution of forests. How forests redistribute spatially and temporally in response to climate change can alter their carbon sequestration potential. The driving question for this research was: How does plant migration from climate change impact vegetation distribution and carbon sequestration potential over continental scales? Large-scale simulation of the equilibrium response of vegetation and carbon from future climate change has shown relatively modest net gains in sequestration potential, but studies of the transient response has been limited to the sub-continent or landscape scale. The transient response depends on fine scale processes such as competition, disturbance, landscape characteristics, dispersal, and other factors, which makes it computational prohibitive at large domain sizes. To address this, this research used an advanced mechanistic model (Ecosystem Demography Model, ED) that is individually based, but pseudo-spatial, that reduces computational intensity while maintaining the fine scale processes that drive the transient response. First, the model was validated against remote sensing data for current plant functional type distribution in northern North America with a current climatology, and then a future climatology was used to predict the potential equilibrium redistribution of vegetation and carbon from future climate change. Next, to enable transient calculations, a method was developed to simulate the spatially explicit process of dispersal in pseudo-spatial modeling frameworks. Finally, the new dispersal sub-model was implemented in the mechanistic ecosystem model, and a model experimental design was designed and completed to estimate the transient response of vegetation and carbon to climate change. The potential equilibrium forest response to future climate change was found to be large, with large gross changes in distribution of plant functional types and comparatively smaller changes in net carbon sequestration potential for the region. However, the transient response was found to be on the order of centuries, and to depend strongly on disturbance rates and dispersal distances. Future work should explore the impact of species-specific disturbance and dispersal rates, landscape fragmentation, and other processes that influence migration rates and have been simulated at the sub-continent scale, but now at continental scales, and explore a range of alternative future climate scenarios as they continue to be developed.

Coarse Graining to Invesitigate Peptide-Lipid Interactions

Experimental characterization of molecular details is challenging, and although single molecule experiments have gained prominence, oligomer characterization remains largely unexplored. The ability to monitor the time evolution of individual molecules while they self assemble is essential in providing mechanistic insights about biological events. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can fill the gap in knowledge between single molecule experiments and ensemble studies like NMR, and are increasingly used to gain a better understanding of microscopic properties. Coarse-grained (CG) models aid in both exploring longer length and time scale molecular phenomena, and narrowing down the key interactions responsible for significant system characteristics. Over the past decade, CG techniques have made a significant impact in understanding physicochemical processes. However, the realm of peptide-lipid interfacial interactions, primarily binding, partitioning and folding of amphipathic peptides, remains largely unexplored compared to peptide folding in solution. The main drawback of existing CG models is the inability to capture environmentally sensitive changes in dipolar interactions, which are indigenous to protein folding, and lipid dynamics. We have used the Drude oscillator approach to incorporate structural polarization and dipolar interactions in CG beads to develop a minimalistic peptide model, WEPPROM (Water Explicit Polarizable PROtein Model), and a lipid model WEPMEM (Water Explicit Polarizable MEmbrane Model). The addition of backbone dipolar interactions in a CG model for peptides enabled us to achieve alpha-beta secondary structure content de novo, without any added bias. As a prelude to studying amphipathic peptide-lipid membrane interactions, the balance between hydrophobicity and backbone dipolar interactions in driving ordered peptide aggregation in water and at a hydrophobic-hydrophilic interface, was explored. We found that backbone dipole interactions play a crucial role in driving ordered peptide aggregation, both in water and at hydrophobic-hydrophilic interfaces; while hydrophobicity is more relevant for aggregation in water. A zwitterionic (POPC: 1-palmitoyl-2-oleoyl-sn-glycero-3-phosphocholine) and an anionic lipid (POPS: 1-palmitoyl-2-oleoyl-sn-glycero-3-phospho-L-serine) are used as model lipids for WEPMEM. The addition of head group dipolar interactions in lipids significantly improved structural, dynamic and dielectric properties of the model bilayer. Using WEPMEM and WEPPROM, we studied membrane-induced peptide folding of a cationic antimicrobial peptide with anticancer activity, SVS-1. We found that membrane-induced peptide folding is driven by both (a) cooperativity in peptide self interaction and (b) cooperativity in membrane-peptide interactions. The dipolar interactions between the peptide and the lipid head-groups contribute to stabilizing folded conformations. The role of monovalent ion size and peptide concentration in driving lipid domain formation in anionic/zwitterionic lipid mixtures was also investigated. Our study suggest monovalent ion size to be a crucial determinant of interaction with lipid head groups, and hence domain formation in lipid mixtures. This study reinforces the role of dipole interactions in protein folding, lipid membrane properties, membrane induced peptide folding and lipid domain formation. Therefore, the models developed in this thesis can be used to explore a multitude of biomolecular processes, both at longer time-scales and larger system sizes.

THE PHYSICS OF IDEAS: INFERRING THE MECHANICS OF OPINION FORMATION FROM MACROSCOPIC STATISTICAL PATTERNS

In a microscopic setting, humans behave in rich and unexpected ways. In a macroscopic setting, however, distinctive patterns of group behavior emerge, leading statistical physicists to search for an underlying mechanism. The aim of this dissertation is to analyze the macroscopic patterns of competing ideas in order to discern the mechanics of how group opinions form at the microscopic level. First, we explore the competition of answers in online Q&A (question and answer) boards. We find that a simple individual-level model can capture important features of user behavior, especially as the number of answers to a question grows. Our model further suggests that the wisdom of crowds may be constrained by information overload, in which users are unable to thoroughly evaluate each answer and therefore tend to use heuristics to pick what they believe is the best answer. Next, we explore models of opinion spread among voters to explain observed universal statistical patterns such as rescaled vote distributions and logarithmic vote correlations. We introduce a simple model that can explain both properties, as well as why it takes so long for large groups to reach consensus. An important feature of the model that facilitates agreement with data is that individuals become more stubborn (unwilling to change their opinion) over time. Finally, we explore potential underlying mechanisms for opinion formation in juries, by comparing data to various types of models. We find that different null hypotheses in which jurors do not interact when reaching a decision are in strong disagreement with data compared to a simple interaction model. These findings provide conceptual and mechanistic support for previous work that has found mutual influence can play a large role in group decisions. In addition, by matching our models to data, we are able to infer the time scales over which individuals change their opinions for different jury contexts. We find that these values increase as a function of the trial time, suggesting that jurors and judicial panels exhibit a kind of stubbornness similar to what we include in our model of voting behavior.

Contactless Spectral-Dependent Measurement of Bulk Lifetime and Surface Recombination Velocity in Silicon Photovoltaic Materials

Charge carrier lifetime measurements in bulk or unfinished photovoltaic (PV) materials allow for a more accurate estimate of power conversion efficiency in completed solar cells. In this work, carrier lifetimes in PV- grade silicon wafers are obtained by way of quasi-steady state photoconductance measurements. These measurements use a contactless RF system coupled with varying narrow spectrum input LEDs, ranging in wavelength from 460 nm to 1030 nm. Spectral dependent lifetime measurements allow for determination of bulk and surface properties of the material, including the intrinsic bulk lifetime and the surface recombination velocity. The effective lifetimes are fit to an analytical physics-based model to determine the desired parameters. Passivated and non-passivated samples are both studied and are shown to have good agreement with the theoretical model.

Generating Discriminative Objective Proposals via Submodular Ranking

Object recognition has long been a core problem in computer vision. To improve object spatial support and speed up object localization for object recognition, generating high-quality category-independent object proposals as the input for object recognition system has drawn attention recently. Given an image, we generate a limited number of high-quality and category-independent object proposals in advance and used as inputs for many computer vision tasks. We present an efficient dictionary-based model for image classification task. We further extend the work to a discriminative dictionary learning method for tensor sparse coding. In the first part, a multi-scale greedy-based object proposal generation approach is presented. Based on the multi-scale nature of objects in images, our approach is built on top of a hierarchical segmentation. We first identify the representative and diverse exemplar clusters within each scale. Object proposals are obtained by selecting a subset from the multi-scale segment pool via maximizing a submodular objective function, which consists of a weighted coverage term, a single-scale diversity term and a multi-scale reward term. The weighted coverage term forces the selected set of object proposals to be representative and compact; the single-scale diversity term encourages choosing segments from different exemplar clusters so that they will cover as many object patterns as possible; the multi-scale reward term encourages the selected proposals to be discriminative and selected from multiple layers generated by the hierarchical image segmentation. The experimental results on the Berkeley Segmentation Dataset and PASCAL VOC2012 segmentation dataset demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of our object proposal model. Additionally, we validate our object proposals in simultaneous segmentation and detection and outperform the state-of-art performance. To classify the object in the image, we design a discriminative, structural low-rank framework for image classification. We use a supervised learning method to construct a discriminative and reconstructive dictionary. By introducing an ideal regularization term, we perform low-rank matrix recovery for contaminated training data from all categories simultaneously without losing structural information. A discriminative low-rank representation for images with respect to the constructed dictionary is obtained. With semantic structure information and strong identification capability, this representation is good for classification tasks even using a simple linear multi-classifier.