Computational tools for comparing asymmetric GARCH models via Bayes factors

In this paper we use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in order to estimate and compare GARCH models from a Bayesian perspective. We allow for possibly heavy tailed and asymmetric distributions in the error term. We use a general method proposed in the literature to introduce skewness into a continuous unimodal and symmetric distribution. For each model we compute an approximation to the marginal likelihood, based on the MCMC output. From these approximations we compute Bayes factors and posterior model probabilities. (C) 2012 IMACS. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Does celiac disease occur in Afro-derived Brazilian populations?

Background: Celiac disease is an autoimmune disorder that occurs in genetically susceptible individuals in whom the ingestion of dietary gluten induces intestinal mucosa inflammation. Previous studies suggest that celiac disease may either be very rare or underdiagnosed in African and/or African-derived population. Aim: Determine the prevalence of celiac disease in Sub-Saharan African-derived Brazilian communities using serological screening. Subjects and methods: Inhabitants from 10 African-derived communities from Northeastern of Brazil were screened for celiac disease. All sera were tested for endomysial class IgA antibody using indirect immunofluorescence. Results: No positive test for IgA-endomysial was observed in the 860 individuals tested. Conclusion: Our data suggests a low prevalence of celiac disease in African-derived Brazilian populations. Am. J. Hum. Biol., 2012. (c) 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

IL28B polymorphisms are markers of therapy response and are influenced by genetic ancestry in chronic hepatitis C patients from an admixed population

Background: IL28B polymorphisms are predictors of therapy response in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients. We do not know whether they are markers of treatment response in admixed populations or not. Aims: To determine whether IL28B polymorphisms are predictors of therapy response in patients with HCV from an admixed population and are influenced by genetic ancestry. Methods: rs12979860 and rs8099917 were genotyped in 222 HCV patients treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. Ancestry was determined using genetic markers. Results: IL28B rs12979860 C/C was associated with sustained virological response (SVR), whereas C/T and T/T were associated with failure to therapy (P = 1.12 x 10(-5)). IL28B rs8099917 T/T was associated with SVR, and G/G and G/T were associated with nonresponse/ relapse (NR/R) (P = 8.00 x 10(-3)). Among HCV genotype 1 patients with C/C genotype, genomic ancestry did not interfere with therapy response. Among patients with rs12979860 T/T genotype, African genetic contribution was greater in the NR/R group (P = 1.51 x 10(-3)), whereas Amerindian and European genetic ancestry contribution were higher in the SVR group (P = 3.77 x 10(-3) and P = 2.16 x 10(-2) respectively). Among HCV type 1 patients with rs8099917 T/T, African genetic contribution was significantly greater in the NR/R group (P = 5.0 x 10(-3)); Amerindian and European ancestry genetic contribution were greater in the SVR group. Conclusion: IL28B rs12979860 and rs8099917 polymorphisms were predictors of therapy response in HCV genotypes 1, 2 and 3 subjects from an admixed population. Genomic ancestry did not interfere with response to therapy in patients with rs12979860 C/C, whereas it interfered in patients with C/T and T/T genotypes. Among HCV genotype 1 rs8099917 T/T patients, genomic ancestry interfered with response to therapy.