Previsão de demanda de veículos automotores através do modelo de regressão linear múltipla

This study aimed to model a equation for the demand of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, based on the data from February 2007 to July 2014, through a multiple regression analysis. The literature review consists of an information collection of the history of automotive industry, and it has contributed to the understanding of the current crisis that affects this market, which consequence was a large reduction in sales. The model developed was evaluated by a residual analysis and also was used an adhesion test - F test - with a significance level of 5%. In addition, a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.8159 was determined, indicating that 81.59% of the demand for automobiles and light commercial vehicles can be explained by the regression variables: interest rate, unemployment rate, broad consumer price index (CPI), gross domestic product (GDP) and tax on industrialized products (IPI). Finally, other ten samples, from August 2014 to May 2015, were tested in the model in order to validate its forecasting quality. Finally, a Monte Carlo Simulation was run in order to obtain a distribution of probabilities of future demands. It was observed that the actual demand in the period after the sample was in the range that was most likely to occur, and that the GDP and the CPI are the variable that have the greatest influence on the developed model

Análise da produtividade agrícola da cana-de-açúcar nos estados de Mato Grosso do Sul e Goiás

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Verificação de pilares metálicos compostos constituídos por perfis formados a frio por meio de programa computacional

In this work, we discuss the procedures adopted for the design of built-up columns (laced and battened columns). Built-up columns are widely used in steel construction generally when the compression forces are relatively low and the column buckling lengths are large. They are commonly used in industrial buildings, for example, as posts for cladding, or as columns supporting a crane girder. Unlike columns with full section, in the case of built-up columns, it is necessary to evaluate the shear stiffness. In fact, the shear strength leads to a significant reduction of the critical load. In the context of this work, the components of the columns (chords, diagonals, posts, etc.) are formed by cold-formed members. In order to systematize and rationalize the verification of the built-up columns, this work aim to develop a computer program based on the standards NBR 14762, NBR 6355 and Eurocode 3, basically the considerations of the part EN 1993-1-1

Análise molecular de pacientes com holoprosencefalia

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Genes associados à virulência e multirresistência de antimicrobianos em linhagens Trueperella Pyogenes isoladas de mastite e outras afecções em animais domésticos

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Memória e identidade em Jaguariaíva, Paraná: contribuição à cartografia escolar

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)