2 resultados para Mergers and acquisitions, analysts, consensus forecast error

em Repositório Institucional da Universidade Estadual de São Paulo - UNESP


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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

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Considering the high competitiveness in the industrial chemical sector, demand forecast is a relevant factor for decision-making. There is a need for tools capable of assisting in the analysis and definition of the forecast. In that sense, the objective is to generate the chemical industry forecast using an advanced forecasting model and thus verify the accuracy of the method. Because it is time series with seasonality, the model of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average - SARIMA generated reliable forecasts and acceding to the problem analyzed, thus enabling, through validation with real data improvements in the management and decision making of supply chain