Depois dos 35 anos, quais as intenções reprodutivas dos sul europeus?

Sendo a baixa fecundidade comum aos países do sul da Europa e considerando que nas últimas décadas tanto homens como mulheres têm vindo a adiar o nascimento do primeiro e, consequentemente, do segundo filho, interessa estudar os determinantes das intenções de fecundidade, em particular, dos sul europeus com mais de 35 anos, idade a partir da qual se considera que aqueles que não têm filhos ou que têm apenas um adiaram os seus projetos de fecundidade. Recorrendo à base de dados do Eurobarómetro (2011) e a modelos de regressão logística, analisámos os fatores que determinam a intenção de permanecer sem filhos ou com apenas um filho e se questões relacionadas com valores, percepções e expectativas ganham uma maior relevância face às características sociodemográficas. Deste modo, damos especial enfoque ao efeito que os valores e atitudes podem ter no contexto da fecundidade. Os resultados mostram que as percepções dos indivíduos em relação à sua vida e ao estado do país são determinantes para explicar a intenção de permanecer sem filhos ou com apenas um filho. Para os sul europeus, percepções e expectativas negativas em relação ao estado do país são inibidoras no processo da tomada de decisão de ter (mais) filhos, especialmente quando a decisão em causa é transitar para o segundo filho. Este trabalho reporta para a importância de considerar valores e expectativas dos indivíduos em relação à sua vida no geral a ao estado do país como preditores do comportamento reprodutivo. Because low fertility is common in southern European countries and considering that in recent decades both men and women have been postponing the birth of the first and therefore the second child, it is of our interest to study the determinants of reproductive decision-making, particularly of southern Europeans older than 35, age from which it is considered that those who don’t have children or have only one have postponed their fertility intentions. Using the Eurobarometer data (2011) and logistic regression models, we analyse the factors that determine the intention of remaining childless and with only one child. Also, we study if variables related to values, perceptions and expectations gain greater relevance than a set of background variables. Thus, we give a special attention to the effect that values and attitudes can have in the context of reproductive decision-making. The findings show that respondent’s perceptions about their lives and the environment of their country are crucial to explain the intention of remaining childless or with only one child. For southern Europeans, negative perceptions and expectations about the situation of the country inhibit the process of decision-making to have a/another child, especially when the decision at issue is transitioning to the second child. This paper reports to the importance of considering values, perceptions and expectations of individuals regarding their lives and the environment of their country as predictors of fertility behaviour.

Crossing frontiers between tourism and demography. An empirical analysis based on European travellers’ behaviour

This paper aims to establish possible tourism demand scenarios of European travellers to Portugal based on the relationship with changing population structures. A combination of the EuROBAROMETER report 370 (“Attitudes of Europeans towards Tourism in 2013”) and the cohort-component method for population projections will allow the development of different possible tourism demand scenarios. Following the European report, individuals who travelled in 2013 were most likely to live in a household with two or more individuals. Thus, if elderly couples are together till later in their life and in better physiological shape, it is possible that the number of elderly individuals travelling for tourism purposes will increase in the near future. If we can expect tourists from developing countries to be younger due to their demographic dynamics than those from developed countries, where the ageing population is growing fast, we can expect that the percentage of the elderly among tourists will increase. Furthermore, the 2013 European report found that the combination of socio-demographic variables, such as, age, population, gender, household dimension, country of residence and trip purpose explained tourism demand scenarios for Portugal, confirming that seniors and families evidence a paramount sense of importance for the destination. In the literature there is a lack of discussion about the effects of demography in the future and the role of an ageing population in tourism demand choice patterns. We aim to contribute to filling this gap. Consequently, we strongly believe that this paper contributes to the literature by introducing a new field of discussion about the importance of demographic changes in shaping travel trends.

Simplified Chinese lacquer techniques and Nanban style decoration on Luso-Asian objects from the late sixteenth or early seventeenth centuries

The meeting of multiple cultures and their mutual influence during the Portuguese expansion in Asia led to the emergence of different types of fusion styles in objects commissioned by the settlers, merchants, and religious orders present in Portuguese India. The east-Asian lacquer coatings of modestly sized wooden objects of various types dating from the sixteenth and early seventeenth centuries have been analyzed as part of the research for a doctoral thesis that aims to establish their cultural and geographical attribution within the context of the Getty Conservation Institute’s lacquer research project. Among the objects were three seventeenthcentury lacquered trays from Portuguese museums and private collections that had previously been classified as Japanese Nanban, Chinese or Ryukyuan lacquers or even as Indo-Portuguese artifacts. The materials and techniques that were identified show close similarities with Chinese techniques mentioned in historic accounts — the only existing Ming Chinese Treatise on lacquering Xiushi lu and the eighteenth-century memoirs of the Jesuit priest d’Incarville. These nearly 400-year-old artifacts are among the first lacquered objects commissioned by Europeans and probably the first of Chinese origin. Their detailed technical study contributes to international lacquer research and complements existing knowledge and perceptions of the lacquering processes that were applied in response to an early European demand for exotic items.

Crossing frontiers between tourism and demography. An empirical analysis based on European travellers’ behaviour

This paper aims to establish possible tourism demand scenarios of European travellers to Portugal based on the relationship with changing population structures. A combination of the EUROBAROMETER report 370 (“Attitudes of Europeans towards Tourism in 2013”) and the cohort-component method for population projections will allow the development of different possible tourism demand scenarios. Following the European report, individuals who travelled in 2013 were most likely to live in a household with two or more individuals. Thus, if elderly couples are together till later in their life and in better physiological shape, it is possible that the number of elderly individuals travelling for tourism purposes will increase in the near future. If we can expect tourists from developing countries to be younger due to their demographic dynamics than those from developed countries, where the ageing population is growing fast, we can expect that the percentage of the elderly among tourists will increase. Furthermore, the 2013 European report found that the combination of socio-demographic variables, such as, age, population, gender, household dimension, country of residence and trip purpose explained tourism demand scenarios for Portugal, confirming that seniors and families evidence a paramount sense of importance for the destination. In the literature there is a lack of discussion about the effects of demography in the future and the role of an ageing population in tourism demand choice patterns. We aim to contribute to filling this gap. Consequently, we strongly believe that this paper contributes to the literature by introducing a new field of discussion about the importance of demographic changes in shaping travel trends.