A hypothesis test using bias-adjusted AR estimators for classifying time series in small samples

A new test of hypothesis for classifying stationary time series based on the bias-adjusted estimators of the fitted autoregressive model is proposed. It is shown theoretically that the proposed test has desirable properties. Simulation results show that when time series are short, the size and power estimates of the proposed test are reasonably good, and thus this test is reliable in discriminating between short-length time series. As the length of the time series increases, the performance of the proposed test improves, but the benefit of bias-adjustment reduces. The proposed hypothesis test is applied to two real data sets: the annual real GDP per capita of six European countries, and quarterly real GDP per capita of five European countries. The application results demonstrate that the proposed test displays reasonably good performance in classifying relatively short time series.

Effect of atmospheric gas plasmas on cancer cell signaling

Cancer is one of the most life-threatening diseases with many forms still regarded as incurable. The conventional cancer treatments have unwanted side effects such as the death of normal cells. A therapy that can accurately target and effectively kill tumor cells could address the inadequacies of the available therapies. Atmospheric gas plasmas (AGP) that are able to specifically kill cancerous cells offer a promising alternative approach compared to conventional therapies. AGP have been shown to exploit tumor-specific genetic defects and a recent trial in mice has confirmed its antitumor effects. The mechanism by which the AGP act on tumor cells but not normal cells is not fully understood. A review of the current literature suggests that reactive oxygen species (ROS) generated by AGP induce death of cancer cells by impairing the function of intracellular regulatory factors. The majority of cancer cells are defective in tumor suppressors that interfere normal cell growth pathways. It appears that pro-oncogene or tumor suppressor-dependent regulation of antioxidant/or ROS signaling pathways may be involved in AGP-induced cancer cell death. The toxic effects of ROS are mitigated by normal cells by adjustment of their metabolic pathways. On the other hand, tumor cells are mostly defective in several regulatory signaling pathways which lead to the loss of metabolic balance within the cells and consequently, the regulation of cell growth. This review article evaluates the impact of AGP on the activation of cellular signaling and its importance for exploring mechanisms for safe and efficient anticancer therapies.

Asian international student attrition among Australian universities : are wellness programs the answer?

Education is one of Australia’s largest service-based exports. International students comprise approximately 24% of enrolments at Australian universities (Sawir, Marginson, Deumert, Nyland, & Ramia, 2008); and approximately 80% of these students are from the Asian region (Australian Federal Government, 2012). The financial cost of international student attrition for universities is significant. The Australian Federal Government Department of Education, Science and Training reports the attrition rates for first-year international undergraduate students ranged between 4% and 22.5% across all Australian Universities (2013). Academic, psychological, and sociocultural adjustments to a new environment can be challenging for international students. This process manifests from various stressors such as communication difficulties, adjustment to a new teaching style, new cultural norms and pressure on academic performance. These stressors result in an often overwhelming attempt to integrate and function effectively, and can consequently affect a student’s ability to meet academic requirements. The relationship between a student’s ability to successfully complete a higher education program is consistently related to a range of academic and non-academic factors. The role of specific Australian higher education institutions is vital in facilitating the continued education of Asian International students. Initiatives targeting an enhancement of modifiable lifestyle factors may have the potential to enhance a student’s ability to effectively and successfully transition into a lifestyle that facilitates their ability to adjust to the requirements of Australian universities. One possibility is the prospect of providing wellness programming, coaching and education targeting lifestyle behaviours for acculturation.

Functional impairments characterising mild, moderate and severe hallux valgus

Objective Hallux valgus has been linked to functional disability and increased falls risk, but mechanisms underpinning functional disability are unclear. This study investigated functional performance, muscle strength and plantar pressures in adults with mild, moderate, and severe HV compared to controls, while considering the influence of foot pain. Methods Sixty adults with hallux valgus (classified as mild, moderate and severe on dorsalplantar radiographs) and 30 controls participated. Measures included: hallux plantarflexion and abduction strength, walking performance, postural sway and forefoot plantar pressures. Multiple analysis of covariance and pairwise comparisons (p<0.05, Bonferroni adjustment) were used to investigate differences between groups, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index and foot pain. Results Hallux plantarflexion and abduction strength was significantly reduced in those with moderate (mean differences: plantarflexion -45.8N, abduction -12.3N, p<0.001) and severe hallux valgus (plantarflexion -50.1N, p<0.001; abduction -11.2N, p=0.01) compared to controls. A significant reduction in hallux peak pressure and pressure-time integral was evident in moderate (peak pressure -90.8kPa, p<0.001) and severe hallux valgus (peak pressure -106.2kPa, p<0.001) compared to controls. Those with severe hallux valgus also demonstrated increased mediolateral postural sway in single leg stance compared to controls (3.5cm, p=0.01). Conclusion Moderate to severe hallux valgus is associated with reduced hallux plantar pressures and strength measures, while relatively normal function compared to controls was found in those with mild deformity. Greater understanding of specific functional deficits associated with different stages of hallux valgus will help inform clinical management and future research.

Nanosphere monolayer-templated, ion-assisted nanofeature etching in dielectric materials : a numerical simulation of nanoscale ion flux topography

The results of numerical simulations of nanometer precision distributions of microscopic ion fluxes in ion-assisted etching of nanoscale features on the surfaces of dielectric materials using a self-assembled monolayer of spherical nanoparticles as a mask are presented. It is shown that the ion fluxes to the substrate and nanosphere surfaces can be effectively controlled by the plasma parameters and the external bias applied to the substrate. By proper adjustment of these parameters, the ion flux can be focused onto the areas uncovered by the nanospheres. Under certain conditions, the ion flux distributions feature sophisticated hexagonal patterns, which may lead to very different nanofeature etching profiles. The results presented are generic and suggest viable ways to overcome some of the limitations of the existing plasma-assisted nanolithography.

Determinants of second row passenger comfort

China is becoming an increasingly important automotive market. Customer’s vehicle usage, preferences and requirements differ from traditional western markets in a number of aspects – rear seat usage rates are higher, vehicles are used for business purposes as well as for private transport and rear seat usage is generally more important to Chinese customers compared to their western counterparts. The purpose of this project is to dimension and investigate these differences from an ergonomics perspective and use these results to guide the design of future products. The focus for this project will be specific to vehicles in the CD segment. More specifically, this project focuses on the second row ‘ambience’. Ambience refers to the global feeling perceived by second row passengers, and the main factors contributing to ambience are: ingress and egress comfort, seat comfort, roominess, and ease of use of the controls. In order to investigate the aforementioned parameters, an experimental study has been conducted in Shanghai, China. This experiment involved 80 healthy Chinese CD- and D-car customers. These subjects were asked to evaluate different features present in the second row environment of three different cars: A Ford Mondeo, Toyota Camry and Mercedes S-class. Various data has been collected during this experiment: First, the anthropometric dimensions of the subjects have been measured. The subjects were also asked to fill a questionnaire about demographics, their own car usage, and their perception of a various number of features present in the three tested cars. A great amount of technical data was also collected. The first part of this report presents the results given by the questionnaires. It includes Chinese demographics, vehicle usage habits, and the subjective perception of the features present in the tested cars. It also presents the results of the anthropometric measurements. This gives a first insight into Chinese customers’ habits and preferences. The second part deals with the technical data recorded during the experiment: second row seat adjustment ranges, roominess, optimal location of controls, and pressure mapping analysis. Analysis of technical data allows a deeper understanding of the factors contributing to comfort and ambience perception. Using the technical data together with the comfort ratings given by the subjects in the questionnaire, recommendations on several design parameters were provided. Finally, an experimental study of car ingress-egress has been conducted in a University laboratory controlled environment. During this study, the ingress and egress motion of 20 customers from Chinese origin was recorded using a motion capture system. The last part of this report presents the protocol and data processing that led to building an ingress-egress motion database that was provided to Ford.

The impact of diabetic ketoacidosis and age on behavior six months post-diagnosis in children with type 1 diabetes

Objectives: Children with type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM1) may be at increased risk of psychosocial and adjustment difficulties. We examined behavioral outcomes six months post-diagnosis in a group of children with newly diagnosed DM1. Methods: This study formed part of a larger longitudinal project examining pathophysiology and neuropsychological outcomes in diabetic patients with or without diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA). Participants were 61 children (mean age 11.8 years, SD 2.7 years) who presented with a new diagnosis of DM1 at the Royal Children’s Hospital, Melbourne. Twenty-three (11 female) presented in DKA and 38 (14 female) without DKA. Parents completed the behavior assessment system for children, second edition six months post-diagnosis. Results: There was a non-linear relationship between age and behavior. Internalising problems (i.e. anxiety depression, withdrawal) peaked in the transition from childhood to adolescence; children aged 10–13 years had elevated rates relative to the normal population (t = 2.55, P = 0.018). There was a non-significant trend for children under 10 to display internalising problems (P = 0.052), but rates were not elevated in children over 13 (P = 0.538). Externalising problems were not significantly elevated in any age group. Interestingly, children who presented in DKA were at lower risk of internalising problems than children without DKA (t = 3.83, P < 0.001). There was no effect of DKA on externalising behaviors. Conclusions: Children transitioning from childhood to adolescence are at significant risk for developing internalising problems such as anxiety and lowered mood after diagnosis of DM1. Somewhat counter-intuitively, parents of children presenting in DKA reported fewer internalising symptoms than parents of children without DKA. These results highlight the importance of monitoring and supporting psychosocial adjustment in newly diagnosed children even when they seem physically well.

The effect of trade openness on deforestation: empirical analysis for 142 countries

This study explores the effect of trade openness on deforestation. Previous studies do not find a clear effect of trade openness on deforestation. We use updated data on the annual rate of deforestation for 142 countries from 1990 to 2003, treat trade and income as endogenous, and take into consideration an adjustment process by applying a dynamic model. We find that an increase in trade openness increases deforestation for non-OECD countries while slowing down deforestation for OECD countries. There is a possibility that both capital-labor and environmental-regulation effects have a negative impact on deforestation in developing countries, whereas the opposite holds in developed countries. © 2012 Springer Japan.

Does trade openness improve environmental quality?

The literature on trade openness, economic development, and the environment is largely inconclusive about the environmental consequences of trade. This study treats trade and income as endogenous and estimates the overall impact of trade openness on environmental quality using the instrumental variables technique. We find that whether or not trade has a beneficial effect on the environment varies depending on the pollutant and the country. Trade is found to benefit the environment in OECD countries. It has detrimental effects, however, on sulfur dioxide (SO2) and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in non-OECD countries, although it does lower biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) emissions in these countries. We also find the impact is large in the long term, after the dynamic adjustment process, although it is small in the short term.

Clinical utility of exhaled nitric oxide

Lower airway inflammation is generally classified as eosinophilic or neutrophilic. In conditions where eosinophilic inflammation predominates such as asthma in children, corticosteroids are usually beneficial. Traditionally, lower airway eosinophilia is measured using cellular count (through bronchoalveolar lavage or induced sputum). Both methods have limited applicability in children. When instruments to measure fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) became available, it presented an attractive option as it provided a non-invasive method of measuring eosinophilic inflammation suitable for children and adult. Not surprisingly, proposals have been made that FeNO measurement can be clinically used in many scenarios including monitoring the response to anti-inflammatory medications, to verify the adherence to treatment, and to predict upcoming asthma exacerbations. This thesis addresses the utility of FeNO levels in various scenarios, specifically in relation to asthma control and cough, a contentious aspect of the diagnosis of asthma. The thesis consists of a series of systematic reviews (related to the main question) and original studies in children. The over-arching aim of the thesis is to determine if FeNO is a clinically useful tool in the management of asthma and common asthma symptoms. The specific aims of the thesis were, to: 1. Determine if children with asthma have more severe acute respiratory symptoms at presentation with an asthma exacerbation and at days 7, 10 and 14 using validated scales. We also examined if children with asthma were more likely to have a persistent cough on day 14 than children with protracted bronchitis and/or controls. 2. Evaluate the efficacy of tailoring asthma interventions based on sputum analysis in comparison to clinical symptoms (with or without spirometry/peak flow) for asthma related outcomes in children and adults. 3. Evaluate the efficacy of tailoring asthma interventions based on exhaled nitric oxide in comparison to clinical symptoms (with or without spirometry/peak flow) for asthma related outcomes in children and adults. 4. Determine if adjustment of asthma medications based on FeNO levels (compared to management based on clinical symptoms) reduces severe exacerbations in children with asthma. 5. Examine the relationship between FeNO and exercise induced broncho-constriction and cough in children The aims above are addressed in respective chapters and all but one has been published/submitted. A synopsis of the findings are: In study-1 (Aim 1), we found that children with protracted bronchitis had the most severe acute respiratory infection symptoms and higher percentage of respiratory morbidity at day 14 in comparison to children with asthma and healthy controls. The systematic review of study-2 (Aim 2) included 246 randomised adult participants (no children) with 221 completing the trials. In the meta-analysis, a significant reduction in number of participants who had one or more asthma exacerbations occurred when treatment was based on sputum eosinophils in comparison to clinical symptoms. In the systematic review of study-3 (Aim 3), we found no significant difference between the intervention group (treatment adjusted based on FeNO) and control group (treatment adjusted based on clinical symptoms) for the primary outcome of asthma exacerbations or for the other outcomes (clinical symptoms, FeNO level and spirometry). In post-hoc analysis, a significant reduction in mean final daily dose ICS per adult was found in the group where treatment was based on FeNO in comparison to clinical symptoms. In contrast, in the paediatric studies, there was a significant increase in ICS dose in the FeNO strategy arm. Thus, controversy remains of the benefit or otherwise of utilising exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) in routine clinical practice. FeNO levels are dependent on atopy and none of the 7 published trials have considered atopic status in FeNO levels when medications were adjusted. In study-4 (Aim 4), 64 children with asthma were recruited. Their asthma medications were adjusted according to either FeNO levels or usual clinical care utilising a management hierarchy taking into account atopy. It was concluded that tailoring of asthma medications in accordance to FeNO levels (compared to usual management), taking into account atopy status, reduced the number of children with severe exacerbations. However, a FeNO-based strategy resulted in higher daily ICS doses and had no benefit on asthma control. In study-5 (Aim 5), 33 children with cough and 17 controls were recruited. They were randomised to undertake an exercise challenge on day 1, or dry powder mannitol challenge on day 1 (with alternative challenge being done on day 2). In addition, a 24 hour cough meter, skin prick test, capsaicin cough sensitivity test and cough diary were undertaken. The change in cough frequency post exercise was significantly increased in the children with cough. FeNO decreases post exercise regardless of whether EIB is present or not. Limitations in the studies were addressed in the respective chapters. In summary, the studies from this thesis have provided new information on: • The severity of respiratory symptoms was increased in the early phase of the asthma exacerbation but not in the later recovery phase when compared with controls. • The utility of FeNO in the management of children with asthma. • The relationship of FeNO, cough and EIB in children. • Systematic reviews on the efficacy of tailoring asthma interventions based on eosinophilic inflammatory markers (sputum analysis and FeNO) in comparison to clinical symptoms.

Strengthening Social and Emotional Learning in Children with Special Needs

Locally and globally, guiding children’s social and emotional development is no longer optional for educators. Research undertaken over the last 20 years provides compelling evidence that early and ongoing development of socio-emotional skills contributes to an individual’s overall health, wellbeing and competence throughout life. Moreover, competence in this domain is now recognised as fundamental to school readiness, school adjustment and academic achievement. As a consequence, social and emotional learning (SEL) is an important theme in current educational policy, curriculum frameworks and classroom practice. This chapter focuses on a particular group of vulnerable learners – children with special needs – and highlights key strategies for educators to use in their everyday classroom practices to strengthen SEL in children from early years through to the end of primary school.

An alternative approach to setting a mill

The conventional approach to setting a milling unit is essentially based on the desire to achieve a particular bagasse moisture content or fibre fill in each nip of the mill. This approach relies on the selection of the speed at which the mill will operate for the selected fibre rate. There is rarely any checking that the selected speed or the selected fibre fill is achieved and the same set of assumptions is generally carried over to use again in the next year. The conventional approach largely ignores the fact that the selection of mill settings actually determines the speed at which the mill will operate. Making an adjustment with the intent of changing the performance of the mill often also changes the speed of the mill as an unintended consequence. This paper presents an alternative approach to mill setting. The approach discussed makes use of mill feeding theory to define the relationship between fibre rate, mill speed and mill settings and uses that theory to provide an alternative means of determining the settings in some nips of the mill. Mill feeding theory shows that, as the feed work opening reduces, roll speed increases. The theory also shows that there is an optimal underfeed opening and Donnelly chute exit opening that will minimise roll speed and that the current South African guidelines appear to be well away from those optimal values.

On the (ir)relevance of rates of return measures of economic performance to small boats

A common measure of the economic performance of different fleet segments in fisheries is the rate of return on capital. However, in the English Channel (UK), observed changes in the fleet structure are at odds with expectations given the observed rates of return on capital. This disjunction between expected and observed behaviour raises the question as to the appropriateness of rate of return on capital as a measure of economic performance for small boats whose main input is often non-wage labour. In this paper, an alternative performance indicator is developed based on returns on owner-operator labour. This indicator appears to be of more relevance to small scale boats than the traditional returns on capital, and a better indicator of the direction of adjustment in the fishery.

Environmental, personal, and genetic determinants of response to vitamin D supplementation in older adults

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE: Suboptimal vitamin D status can be corrected by vitamin D supplementation, but individual responses to supplementation vary. We aimed to examine genetic and nongenetic determinants of change in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) after supplementation. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: We used data from a pilot randomized controlled trial in which 644 adults aged 60 to 84 years were randomly assigned to monthly doses of placebo, 30 000 IU, or 60 000 IU vitamin D3 for 12 months. Baseline characteristics were obtained from a self-administered questionnaire. Eighty-eight single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 41 candidate genes were genotyped using Sequenom MassArray technology. Serum 25(OH)D levels before and after the intervention were measured using the Diasorin Liaison platform immunoassay. We used linear regression models to examine associations between genetic and nongenetic factors and change in serum 25(OH)D levels. RESULTS: Supplement dose and baseline 25(OH)D level explained 24% of the variability in response to supplementation. Body mass index, self-reported health status, and ambient UV radiation made a small additional contribution. SNPs in CYP2R1, IRF4, MC1R, CYP27B1, VDR, TYRP1, MCM6, and HERC2 were associated with change in 25(OH)D level, although only CYP2R1 was significant after adjustment for multiple testing. Models including SNPs explained a similar proportion of variability in response to supplementation as models that included personal and environmental factors. CONCLUSION: Stepwise regression analyses suggest that genetic variability may be associated with response to supplementation, perhaps suggesting that some people might need higher doses to reach optimal 25(OH)D levels or that there is variability in the physiologically normal level of 25(OH)D.

Current status and future trends of school counseling in Australia

School counselling in Australia is presently in a state of flux and adaptation. Within this period of change and adjustment, three key points are acknowledged. First structural and organisational change is a constant in the field of school counselling in the Australian context. Second, despite this, the nature of the school counselling role tends to remain the same but with new areas of need being added, such as self harm and cyberbullying. Third, each state and territory in Australia has differing role statements and training requirements for its school counsellors. This paper initially reviews the historical context of school counselling in Australia, including changes and developments in qualifications and training programs. A description is then provided of the current status of school counselling including the differences among the state systems. Issues such as work intensification, uncertainty of tenure, supervision, ethical issues and online counselling are discussed. The scant research into the effectiveness of the profession is outlined, followed by future recommendations.