2 resultados para Heurística surrogate

em Memorial University Research Repository


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Background: Obstructive airway diseases (OADs) are among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Shortness of breath (SOB) is the main symptom associated with OADs. International guidelines from the Global Initiative for Chronic Lung Disease (GOLD) and the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) have recommended spirometry as an indispensable tool for the diagnosis of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD), but spirometry is rarely used in family practice. Simple and reliable diagnostic tools are necessary for screening community patients with onset of OADs for timely management. Purpose: This thesis examined screening utility of the PiKo-6 forced expiratory volume in one second (pFEV₁) , in six second (pFEV₆), and the pRatio ( pFEV₁/pFEV₆) in SOB patients for OADs in community pharmacy settings. FEV₆ has recently been suggested an excellent surrogate for Forced Vital Capacity (FVC), which requires maximum exhalation of the lungs. Methods: Patients with SOB symptoms who were prescribed pulmonary inhalers, by their family physicians, were recruited via community pharmacies. Trained pharmacists collected two PiKo-6 tests to assess the repeatability of the PiKo-6 device. All patients performed laboratory spirometry ( FEV₁, FVC and FEV₁/FVC) to obtain physician diagnosis of their OADs. The results of the PiKo-6 spirometer and laboratory spirometer were compared. In addition, the PiKo-6 pRatio and laboratory FEV₁/FVC were assessed against physician diagnosed COPD. Results: Sixty three patients volunteered to perform the PiKo-6 spirometry. Of these, 52.4 % were men (age 53.9 ± 15.3 years; BMI 31.9 ± 7.40 kg/m2). Repeated testing with pFEV₁, pFEV6 and pRatio correlated significantly (within correlation, r = 0.835, p-Value≤ 0.05 ; 0.872, p- Value≤ 0.05; and 0.664, p-Value≤ 0.05). In addition, pFEV₁, pFEV6 and pRatio correlated significantly with FEV₁, FVC and FEV₁/FVC, respectively (between correlation = 0.630, p- Value≤ 0.05 ; 0.660, p-Value≤ 0.05 and 0.580, p-Value≤ 0.05). The cut-off value corresponding to the greatest sum of sensitivity and specificity of pRatio for physician-diagnosed COPD was <0.80, the sensitivity and specificity were 84 % and 50%, respectively. Conclusions The portable PiKo-6 correlates moderately well with the standard spirometry, when delivered by community pharmacists to patients with OADs. The PiKo-6 spirometer may play a role in screening patients suspected of having an OAD in community pharmacies that may benefit from early physician diagnosis and appropriate management.

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Introduction: Pelvic rami fractures in the elderly are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite our rapidly aging population there is a paucity of literature dealing with fractures of the pelvic rami in this age group. The purpose of this study is report mortality rates following these injuries in the Eastern region of Newfoundland. Additionally, we aim to describe and quantify the important resultant morbidity in this vulnerable elderly population . Methods: A retrospective chart review was performed of all the pelvic fractures in individuals over the age of 60 between 2000 and 2005 in the Eastern Health region of Newfoundland and Labrador. From these patients, only those with the radiographic parameters consistent with low energy pattern pelvic ring injuries were included. Excluded from the study were those with concurrent fractures of the femur. Survival data, comorbidities, injury characteristics, hospital stay, ambulatory status, and place of residence were recorded from the chart. A surrogate control group was formulated from Statistics Canada survival data for use as a survival comparison group. Results: There were 80 fractures of the pelvis identified in patients over 60 years old from 2000-2005. Of these, 43 met our inclusion/exclusion criteria and were used in our analysis. The one and five year mortalities of these patients were 16.3% (95% CI; 7.80% to 30.3%) and 58.1% (95% CI; 43.3% to 71.6%), respectively. These were both significantly different from the point estimates from our constructed age and gender matched control group from the Statistics Canada data of 6.58% (one year mortality) and 31.3% (five year mortality). Morbidity was quantified by change in ambulatory status (independent, walker/cane assisted, wheelchair) and change in residential independence (independent, assisted living, nursing home). Post fracture, 36% of patients permanently required increased ambulatory aids and 21% of patients required a permanent increase in everyday level of care. Conclusion: This study suggests that there may be significantly increased mortality and morbidity following low energy pattern pelvic rami fractures in an elderly population compared to age and gender matched controls. In contrast to previous studies describing these injuries, there is greater homogeneity in this population with respect to age and mechanism of injury. This study generates several important hypotheses for future research and in particular highlights the need for larger prospective studies to identify factors predicting the highest risk for poor outcomes in this population.