Application of wavelets to the study of political history

\The idea that social processes develop in a cyclical manner is somewhat like a `Lorelei'. Researchers are lured to it because of its theoretical promise, only to become entangled in (if not wrecked by) messy problems of empirical inference. The reasoning leading to hypotheses of some kind of cycle is often elegant enough, yet the data from repeated observations rarely display the supposed cyclical pattern. (...) In addition, various `schools' seem to exist which frequently arrive at di erent conclusions on the basis of the same data." (van der Eijk and Weber 1987:271). Much of the empirical controversies around these issues arise because of three distinct problems: the coexistence of cycles of di erent periodicities, the possibility of transient cycles and the existence of cycles without xed periodicity. In some cases, there are no reasons to expect any of these phenomena to be relevant. Seasonality caused by Christmas is one such example (Wen 2002). In such cases, researchers mostly rely on spectral analysis and Auto-Regressive Moving-Average (ARMA) models to estimate the periodicity of cycles.1 However, and this is particularly true in social sciences, sometimes there are good theoretical reasons to expect irregular cycles. In such cases, \the identi cation of periodic movement in something like the vote is a daunting task all by itself. When a pendulum swings with an irregular beat (frequency), and the extent of the swing (amplitude) is not constant, mathematical functions like sine-waves are of no use."(Lebo and Norpoth 2007:73) In the past, this di culty has led to two di erent approaches. On the one hand, some researchers dismissed these methods altogether, relying on informal alternatives that do not meet rigorous standards of statistical inference. Goldstein (1985 and 1988), studying the severity of Great power wars is one such example. On the other hand, there are authors who transfer the assumptions of spectral analysis (and ARMA models) into fundamental assumptions about the nature of social phenomena. This type of argument was produced by Beck (1991) who, in a reply to Goldstein (1988), claimed that only \ xed period models are meaningful models of cyclic phenomena".We argue that wavelet analysis|a mathematical framework developed in the mid-1980s (Grossman and Morlet 1984; Goupillaud et al. 1984) | is a very viable alternative to study cycles in political time-series. It has the advantage of staying close to the frequency domain approach of spectral analysis while addressing its main limitations. Its principal contribution comes from estimating the spectral characteristics of a time-series as a function of time, thus revealing how its di erent periodic components may change over time. The rest of article proceeds as follows. In the section \Time-frequency Analysis", we study in some detail the continuous wavelet transform and compare its time-frequency properties with the more standard tool for that purpose, the windowed Fourier transform. In the section \The British Political Pendulum", we apply wavelet analysis to essentially the same data analyzed by Lebo and Norpoth (2007) and Merrill, Grofman and Brunell (2011) and try to provide a more nuanced answer to the same question discussed by these authors: do British electoral politics exhibit cycles? Finally, in the last section, we present a concise list of future directions.

The greener grass: da autorrepresentação em Alanis Morissette

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências da Literatura - Especialidade em Teoria da Literatura

Mechanism of extracellular silver nanoparticles synthesis by Stereum hirsutum and Fusarium oxysporum

The increasing interest for greener and biological methods of synthesis has led to the development of non-toxic and comparatively more bioactive nanoparticles. Unlike physical and chemical methods of nanoparticle synthesis, microbial synthesis in general and mycosynthesis in particular is cost-effective and environment-friendly. However, different aspects, such as the rate of synthesis, monodispersity and downstream processing, need to be improved. Many fungal-based mechanisms have been proposed for the formation of silver nanoparticles (AgNPs), mainly those involving the presence of nitrate reductase, which has been detected in filtered fungus cell used for AgNPs production. There is a general acceptance that nitrate reductase is the main responsible for the reduction of Ag ions for the formation of AgNPs. However, this generally accepted mechanism for fungal AgNPs production is not totally understood. In order to elucidate the molecules participating in the mechanistic formation of metal nanoparticles, the current study is focused on the enzymes and other organic compounds involved in the biosynthesis of AgNPs. The use of each free fungal mycelium of both Stereum hirsutum and Fusarium oxysporum will be assessed. In order to identify defective mutants on the nitrate reductase structural gene niaD, fungal cultures of S.hirsutum and F.oxysporum will be selected by chlorate resistance. In addition, in order to verify if each compound identified as key-molecule influenced on the production of nanoparticles, an in vitro assay using different nitrogen sources will be developed. Lately, fungal extracellular enzymes will be measured and an in vitro assay will be done. Finally, The nanoparticle formation and its characterization will be evaluated by UV-visible spectroscopy, electron microscopy (TEM), X-ray diffraction analysis (XRD), Fourier transforms infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), and LC-MS/MS.

Da modelação matemática à simulação computacional: a experimentação matemática no ensino

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências (área de especialização em Matemática).

Da modelação matemática à simulação computacional: a experimentação matemática no ensino

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências (área de especialização em Matemática).

Ranking procedure based on mechanical, durability and thermal behavior of mortars with incorporation of phase change materials

Nowadays, considering the high variety of construction products, adequate material selection, based on their properties and function, becomes increasingly important. In this research, a ranking procedure developed by Czarnecki and Lukowski is applied in mortars with incorporation of phase change materials (PCM). The ranking procedure transforms experimental results of properties into one numerical value. The products can be classified according to their individual properties or even an optimized combination of different properties. The main purpose of this study was the ranking of mortars with incorporation of different contents of PCM based in different binders. Aerial lime, hydraulic lime, gypsum and cement were the binders studied. For each binder, three different mortars were developed. Reference mortars, mortars with incorporation of 40% of PCM and mortars with incorporation of 40% of PCM and 1% of fibers, were tested. Results show that the incorporation of PCM in mortars changes their global performance.

An overview of the brewing process

The first chapter of this book has an introductory character, which discusses the basics of brewing. This includes not only the essential ingredients of beer, but also the steps in the process that transforms the raw materials (grains, hops) into fermented and maturated beer. Special attention is given to the processes involving an organized action of enzymes, which convert the polymeric macromolecules present in malt (such as proteins and polysaccharides) into simple sugars and amino acids; making them available/assimilable for the yeast during fermentation.